We were scheduled to take Sunday off at Los Alamitos but too many folks were disappointed because they love mandatory payoffs on closing day. So we are going to cover all 4 days of Lrc this week but will only give a comment for our top selection.

The Racing Digest is now available for Thursday

7 September 2019:  After any scratches:  1st race pick 5 was top, 2nd 3rd, 5th, 2nd pick for $9,701.80. 1st race exacta hit COLD (with only two selections given) $7.60. 2nd race trifecta box of top 3 picks $58.00. 3rd race pick 3 was 3rd, 5th, 2nd $1,120.80. 4th race pick 3 was 5th, 2nd, 2nd $1,397.40. 5th race double was 2nd pick, 2nd pick $126.00. 5th race trifecta box of 3 given picks $115.40.

6 September 2019:  After and scratches: 2nd race double was 2nd pick, 2nd pick for $139.60. 3rd race 2nd choice won and paid $45.00 to win. 3rd race exacta was 2nd pic, 3rd pick $213.60. 3rd race trifecta box of top 3 picks $619.80. 3rd race superfecta box of 4 given picks $1,325.60. 5th race double hit COLD $17.00. 8th race 3rd pick, top pick Exacta $46.80.

2 September 2019:  After and scratches on closing day Del Mar:  Top pick won 5 races, 2nd choice won 2 races and a 3rd choice won one race. 3rd race pick 3 was 2nd, top, top pick for $114.60. 4th race double hit COLD paying $46.00. 4th race pick 3 was top, top, 2nd choice paying $584.00. 5th race double was top pick, 2nd pick for $102.40. 6th race pick 3 was 2nd, 3rd, top pick for $224.80. 8th race top pick over our 4 other picks paid a superfecta of $307.40.

1 September 2019:  After any scratches:  1st race pick 5 was top, 4th, top, top, 5th pick for $1,984.00. 5th race pick 3 was 5th, 2nd, top for $673.20. 6th race pick 3 was 2nd, top, 4th pick for $564.40. 7th race top choice over the other 4 picks paid a superfecta of $787.00. 9th race trifecta box of top 4 picks paid $246.80.

31 August 2019:  Not the kind of day that will go into our "highlights" section but noteworthy. 7th race pick 4 was top, 2nd, top, top pick for $474.20. 8th race trifecta box of top 4 picks paid $249.60. 9th race exacta hot COLD $19.20. 9th race double also hit COLD $35.80. 10th race top pick, 3rd pick exacta $30.80

30 August 2019:  Not the kind of day that will go into our "highlights" section but noteworthy. Our 3rd ICE COLD superfecta in the last 5 days at Del Mar in race 1 paid $484.60. (other two paid $277.60 & $407.80). COLD trifecta was $147.0 Two nice top choice winners in the 7 race card paid $9.00 & $16.00. 1st race pick 3 was top, 4th, top pick for $246.00.

29 August 2019:   After any scratches:  1st race pick 5 was 3rd, top, 2nd, 5th, top pick for $2,977.60. 1st race pick 3 was 3rd, top, 2nd pick for $381.00. 1st race 3rd pick, 2nd pick exacta was $60.40. 2nd race exacta hit COLD $30.60. 3rd race pick 6 was 2nd, 5th, top, 4th, top, 3rd $12,906.80. 3rd race trifecta box of 4 given picks $236.60. 4th race pick 5 was 5th, top, 4th, top, 3rd pick $4,291.36. 7th race exacta hit COLD for $21.20.

28 August 2019:  Our fifth COLD trifecta $80.80 and second COLD superfecta $277.60 in the last 6 race days in race 1 today.

25 August 2019:  4th COLD trifecta this week in race 6 paid $170.60 to go along with $76.40, $163.60 & $28.40 earlier in the week.

24 August 2019:  3rd race superfecta hit ICE COLD for $407.80. 6th race 5th pick, top pick exacta $73.60. 6th race pick 5 was 5th, 4th, top, top, 5th pick $12,7960.30. 8th race double hit COLD $20.20. 9th race 5th pick, top pick exacta $162.60. 9th race 5th, top, 3rd pick trifecta $642.00.

22 August 2019:  3rd race pick 5 was top, 4th, top, top, 2nd pick paying $6,366.20. 3rd race top pick, 3rd pick exacta was $17.20. 4th race trifecta box of top 4 picks $380.20. 5th race double hit COLD $19.20. 6th race trifecta hit COLD $28.40. (that's 3 COLD trifecta's in 2 days or 15 races: $76.40, $163.60 & $28.40) 7th race 2nd pick, top pick exacta $45.20.

16 August 2019:  After any scratches: 1st race pick 5 was 2nd, top, 5th, top, 3rd pick for $12,524. (pick 3 was $1,041.40 and the double was $99.20). 1st race trifecta box of top 4 picks $245.80. 3rd race superfecta box of 5 given picks paid $6,340.60 (10 cent super was $317.03) 4th race pick 5 was top, 3rd, 3rd, 3rd, 4th pick for $3,186.40. 6th race trifecta box of top 4 picks paid $398.80.

14 August 2019:  After any scratches: 1st race 2nd pick, top pick exacta $33.40. 1st race 2nd pick, 2nd pick double $44.20. 4th race superfecta box of 4 given picks paid $873.00. 5th race 2nd pick, top pick exacta $24.80. 6th race trifecta hit ICE COLD $85.40.

9 August 2019:  1st race pick 5 was 4th, top, 3rd, 3rd, top pick for $1,975.60. 2nd race top pick over our other 3 picks paid a trifecta of $531.20. (exacta $117.00). 3rd race trifecta box of top 3 picks paid $47.60. 4th race 3rd pick, top pick exacta $21.60. 5th race top pick, 2nd pick exacta $18.00.

4 August 2019:  After and scratches:  1st race pick 5 was 2nd, 2nd, top, top, 2nd pick for $1,484.60. 1st race trifecta box of three given picks paid $200.20 (only a $12 investment). 1st race 2nd pick, 2nd pick double paid $83.20. 2nd race 2nd pick, top pick exacta $42.20. 3rd race superfecta box of 4 given picks $152.20. 4th race pick 3 was top, 2nd, top pick for $57.40. 5th race trifecta box of top 3 picks $43.40. 6th race exacta hit COLD $19.80.

2 August 2019:  After and scratches:  1st race superfecta hit COLD $73.40. 1st race pick 5 was top, 3rd, top, top, 4th pick $1,138.40. 2nd race trifecta box of 3 given picks $49.00. 3rd race double hit COLD $26.00. 3rd race top choice over other 3 given picks paid a superfecta of $328.60. 5th race superfecta box of 4 given picks was $269.00. 6th race exacta hit COLD $33.20. 6th race top pick over next 3 given picks paid a superfecta of $306.60. 7th race top two picks quinella paid $10.40.

1 August 2019:  After and scratches:  1st race top pick over other 4 picks trifecta $105.20. 3rd race pick 5 was top, 2nd, 3rd, 2nd, 3rd pick paying $1,831.80. 6th race 2nd pick, top pick exacta $19.40. 7th race trifecta box of 4 given picks $209.40.

28 July 2019:   Top choice won 4 of the 8 races carded and ran 2nd in 3 others. 4th race pick 5 was top, top, 5th, 4th, top pick for $5,012.00. 6th race 5th pick, top pick exacta was $150.20. 7th race superfecta box of 4 given picks $175.00. 8th race top pick, 3rd pick exacta paid $32.60.

26 July 2019:   2nd race pick 3 was 3rd, 5th, 2nd pick for $894.80. 2nd race trifecta box of 3 given picks $53.40. 3rd race pick 6 was 5th, 2nd, 4th, 3rd, top, top pick for $12,421.00. 5th race trifecta box of 5 given picks $329.40. 7th race double hit COLD for $28.70.

25 July 2019:  After any scratches: 1st race pick 5 was 2nd, 4th, top, 4th, top pick for $6,260.60. 2nd race pick 6 was 4th, top, 4th, top, 2nd, 3rd pick for $7,280.00. 4th race box of top four picks trifecta paid $202.40. 5th race top pick over our other 3 picks trifecta was $324.00. 5th race top pick, 2nd pick double paid $25.20.

 

Posted on December 18, 2013 at 5:24 pm by brian · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Uncategorized

Los Alamitos for Saturday 14 September 2019

Decent race cards both today and tomorrow.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

6  Dubnation   by far at his best on fast rated dirt tracks.....drop out of MSW racing to MC50K makes sense.........gelding has shown he can run well fresh......the D'A means bizz as he puts a good bug boy up - 5 lbs....... and....... enters for MC45K to get 2 more lbs off.......1st on the Lrc surface is a small ? mark

3  Cunning Munnings   tough trip hides a better than it looks MSW debut over at Del Mar in a 5F grass race.......and Glatt puts up Talamo who is 8 for his last 17 riding for the trainer........hard not to consider especially with that magical MSW to MC drop

4  Corrana En Limen   useful MSW debut as the works weren't much for this three year old going in.......and today he gets quite the rider upgrade from a struggling apprentice to a rider in Ruben Fuentes having a "break out year"

7  Endless Tale

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Bachchan   flashed speed and stopped in his MC debut on 29 December 2018.......he was claimed by Palma and has been absent since.......returns as a 1st time gelding and with a decent set of preparatory works.........trainer's go to guy of late in Eswan Flores is up

5  Temple Knights   solid efforts in his last three racing endeavors (3 0 2 1) all since switching to A. Espinoza who remains up today.......and Assael after going 0 for 38 at Del Mar is 4 for 7 thru Sunday at Lrc.......nice to see.........his confidence and stress level should be in a good place now

1  Brazilian Summer   MC50K debut has the look of a gimme/tune-up........trainer Chew has won 3 of his last 10 with multiple level drops and he is more prolific with 2nd time starters than 1st timers........and he and Iggy have teamed up with some recent success over the last 2 months with a win and a 2nd with 5 runners

7  Bob Again

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Thin Line   dead on the board in latest especially considering Prat was up for the 1st time........lets call in a gimme......and the "gimme" makes sense as this three year old gelding's best to date was his lone race at Lrc (fast heat and a very key race).....hard not to like

5  I Belong to Becky  once again Glatt (see race 1) puts up Talamo who is 8 for his last 17 riding for the trainer.......last two races are par like efforts.......proven at Lrc........would have been top choice if it wasn't for flattening out in races past 6F

6  Big Barrel    very poor effort in latest......very big effort 2 back and it was at today's 6 1/2 furlong distance.......believe he has some physical issues but if I am wrong and he rebounds he would be very solid here

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Buck Duane   laid up Knapp four year old just worked a strong 5F a week ago indicating his readiness off of the 3 1/2 month break.......that and Steve Knapp appears to be on go mode at the moment

8  Frankie Machine   by far at his best in dirt sprints......and his last 3 dirt sprints fit well......but I'm not so sure back in 6 days will.......we shall see at about 2:28 p.m. pacific time

5  Passing   lone win came when this three year old got away with a very loose lead setting a very slow 1/2 mile split........he does drop quite a bit and the multi-level drop makes some sense as his SA races are poor and SA is next in line

6  I'm Amore

3  Leedslimit

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Way Cool   sprint-sprint-route scenario for this two year old colt's 3rd lifetime start......and his effort/fig earned in his latest stands out as the best in the field.......and to go along with that his a.m. preparation stands out as the best in the field as well

6  Gorky Park   endurance building mile grass race in his latest his 2nd lifetime start........and just want you want to see as improved a.m. work......blinkers on.......1st time Maldonado.........hmmmm.........shooting to get the lead and never look back

1  Old Trafford   like our 2nd selection he comes off of an  endurance building mile grass race in his 2nd lifetime start.....not crazy about the a.m. work since but then again Callaghan is dynamite with the MSW to low level MC move

7  Jammers Justice

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Hotitude  won her lone lifetime win in her only start to date at Lrc and won it by an expanding 5L at the wire.......training lights out in the morning.......if this three year old filly runs to her works it will take a bad trip to keep her out of the winners circle

6  D's Lovely Sophia   like our top choice she is 1 for 1 at Lrc winning her debut........two races since are even better the last of which was at 6 1/2 furlongs..........and examining her running lines it appears that 5 1/2 might by a better fit.......all that and a good trainer/rider combo in Palma/Flores

2  Chasin Lucas   latest race run off of a 3 month break was likely a gimme and if that is true she should be poised for a solid race similar to her win in the May 27th version of this Cal-bred alw race .......placed as 3rd selection mainly because of the potential of our top two selections

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Go for a Ride   bet very hard 1st out with Miller as the trainer but was given an uncharacteristically bad ride by Prat........he pressed a fast pace and did so a bit too wide.....did well to finish 4th losing by 5 1/4 for the win......two very reassuring works since the 21 August race.....good bug up who has won 2 of his 4 mounts from Miller

6  Mo Reserve   turf to dirt and the D'A draws Gryder to ride his 1st mount at the meeting......a positive sign that this colt is still doing well following his 17 August grass race

2  Fay Dan   no support at the windows in his MSW debut but improved a.m. work since......that and Baffert likely would have dropped this fellow if he thought he didn't gain much from his debut........look for a better run for this three year old gelding 2nd out of the box

7  C Falls

 

race 8    below average clarity

3  Staythirstymyamigo   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  last 3 Santucci figs sure fit well here as they average 4L better than par when you adjust for trip factors.......drop down makes sense as it is still $3,500 higher in claiming price than the connections dropped this filly to win her race 2 back......hard not to like

6  Fracas   sprint-route-sprint scenario and blinkers go on today.......Maldonado stays up.........should be pedal to the metal from the get go and maybe with better endurance cutting back in distance 2 1/2 furlongs

5  Rizzi's Honors   stepped up in last and Glatt knew what he was doing as this mare won quite easily........steps up again despite a voided claim and with a near bullet work showing at Dmr..........Glatt might have discovered the trump card for this mare......we shall see

4  Erebuni

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Platinum Nights   very consistent when racing in fast track conventional dirt sprints.........risky drop down to $50K claiming but the connections got away with it as he wasn't claimed and now is eligible for today's non-claiming Alw50000s affair........and he sure fits the level well

6  Truck Salesman   three year old gelding was able to break his maiden in his latest despite tiring as he approached the wire.......so the cut back to 5 1/2 furlong should be a plus

1  Union Ride   on the improve with each and every dirt sprint.......tossed a clunker in his latest which was his his 1st on the sod and also his 1st around two turns...........decent 5F dirt work since the grass race......seems likely to welcome a return to the dirt and a sprint

8  Channel Crossing

9  Emtech

5  Starring John Wain

 

 

Posted on September 14, 2019 at 6:28 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Los Alamitos for Friday 13 September 2019

So so race card this afternoon but I like both cards on Saturday and Sunday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Cat's Desire   lone 4 year old filly faces four 3 year old filly foes and owns the best history in route dirt races........and she seems capable of running well with or without the lead.........trainer is 0 for 20 for 2019 but might get off the snide here with

2  Lucky Brite Eye   like the chances of this three year old filly if the connections/rider decide to take her back early because if they don't she will get involved in a pace that she likely can't handle

5  English Empress   doubt this filly 1st time starter is much but her trainer Valdimir Cerin towers over the other four trainers in this field ability wise........can't ever remember writing that comment

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Claudelle   drop from MSW to MC40K makes sense as this filly usually needs 6 to 8 weeks between starts........7 weeks since her last racing endeavor.........plenty of morning work in the interim.......6 1/2F is a good fit and might not be for a few in here

6  Morning Cynn   another dropping from the MSW ranks to MC40K........she has been absent since 23 March but both of her lifetime races fit solidly in this spot if of course she returns the same individual (or better) off of the 1/2 year layoff.......went for only 70K at sale so the drop to mid priced MC makes some sense

4  Buyback   decent debut in the 31 July version of this MC40K  over at Del Mar........but ........she will likely need to build on her debut to be a player here if either of our top two picks run to there potential.......rate it about 50/50 proposition that she does "build on her debut

 

race 3    above average clarity

2  Platinum Equity   Steve Knapp won 2 on Sunday and he might add another with this gelding who has run 3 consecutive races that fit very well at today's level and last of which was run at Lrc on 29 Jun........gelding also is (9 6 1 0) "at the distance" and trains as if he feels awfully good......should be one tough cookie with good dirt jock Fuentes in the saddle

4  Implicitly   route speed colt might have to deal with other speed in this field as 2 of his 4 foes in this small group also like to run on the front end.......but it might not matter as she is two for two at Lrc winning by a combined total lengths of 14.........yikes-o-rama!

1   Cabin John   gelding was just claimed by Dean Pederson and company and they have to like the fact that their new shooter should get a nice trip stalking some high level speed that can sets things up for their new acquisition........but of course then he needs to hold off our top pick who should be flying late

 

race 4    above average clarity

5  Eclair  dull debut especially considering this Baffert two year old filly went off at 3 to 5 odds........but then she ran a big effort/number on the grass at 5F in her next start.........solid 4F dirt drill since the 24 Aug turf race.......world class trainer is 4 for 8 at the meeting and has a big chance to make that 5 for 9

9  Bye Bye Beautiful   well-bred filly is training too well to ignore even for trainer in Eric Kruljac is 2 for his last 75 with 1st time starters........and my guess is this youngster has some early gas as speed rider Maldonado gets the call and the trainer doesn't ride Edwin very often

8  Charging Home   O'Neill 1st time starter also shows some a.m. signs of being meant and ready to roll........last three works hint he is peaking when it counts the most as in right before his MSW debut

6  Go Big Blue Nation

4  Well Done Sally

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Rineshaft   copious works and with a few of them rather decent.......signals a 1st timer that is likely ready for Hector Palma who often doesn't push them very hard in the a.m........good sire and mom has tossed 4 winners from 5 starters.......draws one of the better jocks at the meeting in Fuentes

5  Zorich   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  fell off in his latest but the effort was better than it appears in print as was his race 2 back where he popped a strong adjusted for trip Santucci fig (about 9L) that stands out in this spot........is he up for a rebound......tough to tell but a big factor in the outcome of this race if he is

2  Alvaaro  (tie for 3rd choice)  par like debut in his MC40K debut way back on September 28th 2018........claimed in the race by O'Neill.......works are up to snuff........1st time competing as a gelding.........very dangerous sort

3  Norski  (tie for 3rd choice)   take not that Hector Palma also conditions our top pick.......six lifetime races and three of them were on "off tracks" which is extremely unusual to see in sunny S Cal........the three on fast dirt stand out as his best three races by far and that is rather hidden........solid 3F drill at SA just 4 days ago.........dangerous sort

 

race 6    above average clarity

4  Kim K   lifetime best and a strong number here was her lone lifetime race at Lrc where she won a Stakes race to break her maiden........so it seems highly likely that a sharp trainer like Peter Miller will have her all revved up and ready to take advantage of the Lrc racing surface

1  Artistic Diva   very nice filly if she is ready fresh off of the bench........works hint that she is and Sadler is usually very tough with quality runners coming off of prolonged layoffs

5  Smiling Tigress   not much but all 4 foes like the front end and she doesn't so the race has the potential of collapsing into her hands.........that and she greatly prefers racing at today's 6F distance where she is (5 2 2 0) on the dirt

 

race 7    below average clarity

7  Heartfulofstars   race shape seems to favor his off the pace running style.......that and he ran a 107:4 in his lone race at Lrc winning today's racing level going away at the wire by 3 1/2 lengths

2  Restless Rambler  six year old has stats on conventional dirt rated "fast" that seem overwhelming.........as in 10 wins and 4 2nd's and a 3rd in 15 starts......and he seems at his very best in sprints of 5 or 5 1/2 furlong........that and he was just claimed by the ever dangerous Peter Miller.........hard not to like

8  Annies Candy  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  like our top selection he is an off pace type who gets a spot that is loaded with speed.......proven on the Lrc surface (2 1 1 0)........and a good start at the new meeting for Hollendorfer/Figueroa

3  Whatsittoya  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  

1  Aced

 

race 8    below average clarity

6  Scott's Best Beth   misbehaved at the gate loading and it continued when the gate opened as this filly broke slow.......maybe it was because of her quick 6 day turnaround..........gets a more reasonable 4 weeks between starts this time around.....good history at today's 5 1/2F distance.......race 2, 3, and 4 back fit fine

1  Tengs Wonder   four year old filly is an impressive (7 2 4 0) in 2018 but her lone race off of the board was at Lrc.........but it was not as bad as it appears in print......runs 1st out today following the Jerry Wallace claim.......good sign that Guce rides thru the claim as he has been a good fit with this four year old

10  Time For Kisses   quickly declining numbers for this Sherlock three year old filly who has seen better days.......she takes yet another alarming multi level drop for today........at least she gets to race at Lrc where she won the lone time she raced on it's surface

5  California Appeal

4  Xerneas

8  Copper Cowgirl  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  

 

 

Posted on September 13, 2019 at 9:58 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Los Alamitos for Sunday 8 September 2019

OK card today. Be back with you on Friday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Verynsky  appears like a great spot for his new trainer as this gelding should be the controlling speed in the race......2 wins and 2 seconds the last 4 times this youngster competed at 5 1/2 furlongs

1  San Giorgio   lifetime best and a winning effort was the only race that this colt ran at Lrc.......his other two conventional dirt races were at Dmr and SA......so the connections will likely pull out all stops to have him feeling good today

4  Mo Dinero   trainer is quite tricky at times and that makes the fact that this gelding went off at 28 to 1 in his last (when it looked like he should go off at about 8-1 on the drop in claiming) suggest it was a no go........that and he is back in 10 days.......hmmmm

 

race 2   above average clarity

1  Ragtime Blues   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  Baffert 1st timer is working as if he is well prepared for the challenge of debuting in a route race......plenty of furlongs put into him to build his endurance and a pedigree that screams "route racing"

3  Bronn   double barrel action for Bob Baffert as he also trains our top selection........sprint-sprint-route scenario for this 3rd time starter might do the trick considering Baffert is 42% win and 67% in the money with his last 33 with the classic maneuver

6  Special Day   recent works hint that this Hollendorfer 2nd time starter benefited from his MSW debut and that he should show more in his 2nd lifetime race........we shall see

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Steven Decatur  hot rider/trainer combo as in 3 for their last 6 and with the 3 others in the money........high percentage trainer has a good spot for his "2nd out after the claim" five year old as there are many slow early types in the race and he is not one of them

1  Burn Me Twice   high % trainer year in and year out but not so hot off of layoffs greater than 3 months (8% with his last 75).......but he does drop this gelding who has worked 8 times since 11 July multiple racing levels........so he might boost that 8% stat today

5  Papa Caballero   form at LA seems decent.......last sprint race at Lrc was run 4 races back at 5F and fits fine today if he can finish up as well at 5 1/2F as he did at 5F that day

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Colonel Power   likely has some physical issues as she has only two lifetime races to her credit and she will turn six in less than 4 months.......both lifetime races were at Lrc and fit a ton here.......works are stellar for the MC20K level.......should be tough but I wouldn't want to claim her

6  Appolina   five second place finishes in five lifetime starts but despite hanger like record I don't believe that she is as she has caught some tough cookies especially in her last two starts.......vet scratch 7 Aug but her 3 works since suggest she is doing fine......should be tough once again

3  Petronilla   2nd time on Lasix and coming off a better than it looks turf tightener at SR.......and her decent 31 August gate drill at LA since the grass race suggests the turf muscled her up as only the sod can do sometimes

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Quantum Force   gelding has handled races further than the 4 1/2 furlong races that LA offers and did so at Lrc.......decent rider in Juan Sanchez can get a nice mid pack or stalk position.......which........this gelding has responded to positively in the past

1  Frankie Machine   trainer won yesterday with a 1st time starter (who we also liked) and he appears to have this gelding set up for today using the sprint-route-sprint maneuver.....and doing so dropping multiple levels.......Aguirre is 2 for his last 10 with 5 others in the money with the move

4  Capes Hot Rocket   seemingly owns the best early speed in the field and might feel really good today coming off of a loose lead win at Fer where the pace was very slow.......likely put little stress on his legs

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Nikkileaks  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  MSW 1st timer from the Glatt barn is working up to snuff and draws Abel Cedillo who has been given mostly "live" mounts from the trainer........we shall see if he gets another about 3:28 p.m. pacific time

3  Miss Johnnie   very significant rider upgrade today for a filly with two 3rd place finishes in as many races ......would have been top pick if it wasn't for the quick turn around of only 6 days for baby........there should be a rule against it.........say 10 to 12 days minimum

7  Bella Renella   figs have been slipping with each lifetime start but she might awaken back where she debuted as in Lrc..........if she is up to that effort this afternoon she should have been made top pick-a-rue

8  Jodie Faster

6  Navy Queen  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Shake N Fries   appears to be lone speed in this spot.....and fresh speed (fresh legs) is usually dangerous speed especially when the a.m. preparation is as good as this gelding has put in for Yakteen and company

6  Bea's Boy   filly seemingly needs 5 1/2 furlongs or less in order to win and gets it here.......dead on the board in her layoff last suggests it is gimme/go time.......and the "gimme" wasn't too shabby

4  According to Buddy   away since February but likely ready fresh today as the connections will want to take advantage of her ability on the Lrc surface where she won her only lifetime race......and she won it by six lengths........2 for 2 at Lrc might be in the cards

 

race 8   below  average clarity

3  Cioppino Pasadino   seems like the most likely to grab the lead and this mare is also capable of winning without it as well..........that gives her jock options

2  Braggin Rights   3 for 3 at Lrc and that is no easy task for a filly who comes from far back.......that and she should not run into very much traffic in the stretch having to face only 5 foes

1  Empress of Lov   seems like a good claim by Ed Freeman who appears to be in good form......mostly placed as our 3rd selection because this filly seems slightly better suited to races longer than 5 1/2F

 

race 9    average clarity  

1  Ca Dreamer  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 1st out after the Miyadi claim is usually a dangerous proposition for the opposition.......blinkers off and with two improved works showing......rather sure the new trainer for today has improved this four year old filly

2  Fuega   better individual since making the switch from the turf to the dirt........latest effort at Del Mar is better than par considering today's lower level..........she did win her lone race to date at Lrc but with not the best of figs........so did she just move forward in her last or does she just prefer Dmr.........we shall see about 5 p.m pacific

3  Coilette   seems at her best at today's 5 1/2 furlong distance and she won her MC debut race at Lrc by 7 lengths at the distance........her next start was 10 1/2 months later and also at Lrc and at 5 1/2 but wasn't as impressive.........turf tightener in her latest gives her some potential for a rebound.......dangerous sort

5  Champagne Honey

6  Tengs Rhythm

 

 

 

Posted on September 8, 2019 at 9:12 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Los Alamitos for Saturday 7 September 2019

So so card today but Sunday's looks rather good.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

5  Eternal Endeavor   five year old mare has shown she can run fresh and seemingly needs to as she has needed anywhere from 2 1/2 months to 7 1/2 months off between starts.....thus this is only her 5th start in a career that started on 6 Jan 2017.......and her best to date and her only win was the lone time she competed on a fast rated conventional dirt

3  Sheza Factor   runs well turf to dirt and that is today's scenario for this Belvoir four year old filly.......and she has a win and a second in two starts at Lrc.......hard not to like

4  Heart of the Nile   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  showed some life in her latest which was a turf route with the blinkers taken off.......one career race fits big and it was one of two lifetime dirt races run on the dirt without blinkers........it was her MSW debut and in the other dirt race it appears she might have been injured in the race.......plenty of potential here.......so.......dangerous

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Taste's Legend   Gary Stute was waking up some towards the end of the Del Mar meeting and might keep the momentum going here with this seven year old who is (4 1 1 1) at Lrc......and he has a win and 2nd in his last two one mile dirt races.....and both were with today's rider Tiago Pereira up

1  Top of the Game   very powerful effort in his latest but it took it's toll as he was a voided claim following the race.......has he recovered enough?......tough to tell......but a ton if he has

6  Gray Admiral   might be a bit of a stretch but this gelding has been in an every 3rd race mode.......and......his last good effort was 3 back and his next two race were not so hot........can the trend continue......we shall see 1:28 pacific time

2  Jump the Tracks

 

race 3    average clarity

3   Totally Normal   takes that ever dangerous MSW to MC30K drop for her 2nd lifetime start for O'Neil and company........also makes the turf to dirt move and her MSW 5F turf debut wasn't bad especially considering today's much lower maiden level

6  Musically   not so hot in her last two racing endeavors but her debut sure fits solidly in this spot......and the debut race was her only effort run at Lrc.........Maldonado has been up for all her races and remains up today.....so you know it will be pedal to the metal from the get go

8  Sudden Notice   Paul Aguirre isn't much with 1st time starters but this cheap buy is working as if his $8K purchase price might have been a bargain.....and I like that Fuentes gets the call as he sure is riding the dirt awfully well

1  Fran's Empire

4  Sharp Turn

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Avers   obviously has physical problems to drop to $6,250 after racing just fine at the $25K level.....but this filly has been away since Jan and she will be heavily scrutinized before and following the race (possibly scratched before - or voided afterwards) so she might have a race left in her.......the days of exiting the gate and pulling up are fading away.........trainer is not afraid to drop many levels to win

7  Lady Krishna   last two times this gal raced under the 10K claiming level she won.....that and she has run just fine on the Lrc surface......and trainer Stortz is 4 for her last 12 dropping multiple levels which is the case today

8  Discrete Stevie B   last race fits fine and I might have considered her higher if it wasn't for her two dull races at Lrc to date........deserves one more shot?

3  Allotment

2  Mama's Kid

 

race 5    below average clarity

1  Message   very powerful sprint 2 races back at SA with big gaps to 2nd and 3rd to support the significant fig earned.......tossed a clunker in her next start at Dmr but her only other race at Del Mar was poor too......4th start is at Lrc.....lookout if this girl only dislikes Del Mar which isn't that uncommon for a given horse

2  Flor de La Mar   Baffert trains our top pick and also this filly.......lone lifetime win for this three year old was in her MSW debut which was the only time she has sprinted on a fast rated dirt.......so.......3 1/2 months since her last race (and a fast rated dirt) might be a good thing..........her recent a.m. work supports the notion

3  Madame Vestal   Eric Kruljac filly has done little wrong in 4 lifetime starts as in 2 wins & 2 2nd's in 4 lifetime starts.......and she won her last race despite a very wide trip.....dangerous off pace runner

 

race 6    above average clarity

1  White Russian  back to Lrc where he nearly broke his maiden at 1st asking in a 5F affair for 1 for 32 trainer.....not so hot in his next start at Del Mar.......claimed in the the race by a high % trainer in Wong including 28% win first following a claim......and back to Lrc for his 3rd start which like his debut will be at the abbreviated distance of 5F......hard not to like

7  Peter Alan   lone lifetime race was nearly a year ago.......went off at 42 to 1 and ended up pulling up..........works prior to the race were dismal........but they are not for today for this 1st time gelding (and blinkers)..........rather sure we see a different runner today

4  Royal Blue Grass   solid awakening at LA since he went on Lasix two races back.....the two efforts are more than deserving of a shot on the big oval this afternoon.........should be in the mix from the get go

5  Rounding for Home

8  Mighty Elijah

 

race 7    average clarity

7  War Union   decent history with the route-sprint-route scenario which is the case today.......and his route race two back is much better than it appears in print as he dueled in decent pace on a somewhat dull inside.......and he just popped a blistering 45:4 best of 24 bullet drill LA one week ago

2  Nileist   solid history since the blinkers were added (3 2nd's on the turf and a win on the Lrc dirt).........seems like a positive that the trainer passed on the Del Mar meeting and waited to start his four year old the first week of Lrc.......5 works in the interim........all systems go

3  Meistermind   drops precipitously and suspiciously.........hate these kind.......flip a coin

5  Fortune of War

4  Gryffinder

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Queen Bee to You   very consistent sort and appears at her best on the Lrc surface......faces the guys today but she beat them in a small Cal-bred Stakes race in late June at Lrc and at today's one mile distance........such a deal

6  Fire When Ready   Bob Hess is coming off of one heck of a strong Del Mar meeting and he sends out a gelding here who is 2 for 2 at the one mile dirt distance.......and his gelding handles the Lrc surface just fine

1  Cruel Intention   three year old taking on older today which is no big deal in September but he is co-high weight and is in his 1st ever around two turns both of which is a bit concerning........looks like he has the most early speed in the race though which seems like a plus for any Baffert horse

8  California Journey

7  Oliver

 

race 9    average clarity

6  Papa Joe  3rd consecutive race that we like a Lerner/Fuentes runner......4 year old drops to the lowest claiming level of his life for his first ever on the dirt....pedigree to handle it is decent......and he should have an endurance advantage over many in here considering his whole career has been in turf routes

5  Spectator's Dream   best speed in the race by quite a wide margin........Payeras will attempt to open up a lead and hold off all challengers.........jockey could use a win coming off a dismal Del Mar

3  Sharpshootingeorge   decent improvement in his 2nd lifetime start and 1st in a route.........still in all likelihood he will need another move in the desired direction if he wants to get to the winners circle

1  Go Sammy Go

8  Cross Town  

4  Rocket Ship

 

 

Posted on September 7, 2019 at 9:28 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Los Alamitos for Friday 6 September 2019

I like the opening day card at Los Alamitos and also Sunday's card.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Kenyetta   Ed Freedom sends out very few MC 1st time starters but when he has they have been fairly "live".........last preparatory work indicates this filly is peaking at the right time and the 5F drill at Del Mar was just 5 days ago

1  Billy'sgotasingle   80 to 1 MSW debut for a Cerin first starter says tune-up city.......should be all set facing easier today in start no. 2.........and we get one solid rider upgrade.......hard not to like

2  Phoenix Tears   two year old filly has always trained very well and not done much when it counts the most as in the afternoon........seems like a "morning glory" and many a morning glory wake-up significantly when they get loos on the lead........and she might get a loose lead here

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Topaz Time   2 for 2 at Lrc........2 for 3 at the distance......but most of all she seems highly likely to get loose on the lead and with one solid dirt route jock in Fuentes

1 Indypendent Deputy   six year old mare has earned only 13.5K this year racing in bottom level route turf races in S Cal......since she can't do any better than a handle of small checks the connections have to switch to the dirt where she can run much lower.......she's not much on the dirt but enough to fit in an 8K

5  Cee Sam's Girl   seems to be slowly improving of late and if that can continue this afternoon this filly might have a shot here.......good to see that Abel Cedillo (who I hope rides at Santa Anita) sticks around

 

race 3    average clarity

7  Never Think Twice   trainer is dynamite with young MC 1st time starters and his debut runner sure is out training anyone in this field.......and he seems to have plenty of early gas to keep out of trouble ........especially so with a rider who has been doing quite well  in 2019

2  Vastly Deep    like that the last 3 preparatory works are out of the gate........and the last on 31 Aug. is awfully strong especially for the likes of Miyadi who usually doesn't push them very hard in the mornings

1  Carpe Noctem   no support at the windows suggests that his 100K MC debut was a tune-up........drops 70K in MC today.......we likely will see what he's got this afternoon

5  Heraclitus

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Young Hendrick   very strong 109:2 six furlongs in his lone race at Lrc on the 4th of July.........ran the race off of 40 days rest following a 5F grass race.........5F grass race 42 days ago.......5 1/2 furlongs of dirt today......and 5 1/2F seems like a better fit than 6F.........such a deal

5  Policy   totally dead on the board in his layoff last after being bet hard and running well in his previous two lifetime races both in summer 2018........that and the fact Fuentes stays put gives credence to the idea that this is the old gimme/go scenario

3  Short of Ez   turf tightener at Dmr in his latest which was run off of a 5 1/2 month layoff........the tightener makes total sense as this gelding is 2 for 2 at Lrc........five year old is capable of winning on or off of the pace so the jock has options

 

race 5    below average clarity

6  Mo Hawk   expensive well-bred colt is working brilliantly for Baffert and company and makes his two year MSW debut at Lrc where things get a little easier in the MSW ranks than Dmr........hard not to place as the top pick-a-rue

5  Prince Magician   very strong works for a Palma MSW 1st timer as the crafty trainer usually doesn't push them that hard in the a.m.........mom has tossed 5 winners from 5 starters.......and the fact that Palma legs up one of his go to guys in Eswan Flores suggests this 1ster is "live" today

4  Moon Mischief   another MSW 1ster training as if he is fit and ready for his debut into the wonderful world of thoroughbred racing.......Sadler has been on quite a roll with his non-claiming stock this summer as witnessed by his leading total in earnings at Del Mar

 

race 6    below average clarity

3  Ps Bettin On You   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  handles Lrc rather decently where he has won 2 of his last 3 over a 10 race period.......the efforts were at 5 1/2F and 5F should fit him better........race 2 back at Lrc is better than it appears in print as he raced inside on a somewhat dull rail and it caused him to tire

5  Love Your Life   on the improve since Lorenzo Ruiz claimed 3 races back.......yet to win at Lrc but he does like the track (8 0 4 3)........might get that elusive win here if he manages to move forward again

4  Tiz Love   best at Lrc and also at his best in abbreviated sprints races........should be flying late and as the best "closer" in the field

6  Boy Howdy

 

race 7    average clarity

3  McKale   both lifetime races at Lrc peg this Baffert gelding as the one to beat and especially his race on 6 July which was at today's six panels........and overall he is 2 for 3 at 6F with his miss a quick pace duel where he was stuck on a dull rail condition at Dmr and predictably tired.........hard not to like

1  Seven Scents    good history racing at Lrc and seems very ready off of a seven week break which you would anticipate considering how well he ran in its unusual configuration......should be in the mix from the get go

2  Spokane Eagle   claim back by Doug O'Neill is in good form but likely needs a little bit of that "O'Neill" magic this afternoon as the waters get deeper today......back in only 6 days rest but Doug is one of the better trainer's with ridiculously quick turnarounds

 

race 8    above average clarity

8  An Ocala Ten   just claimed by Rosemary Trela who does quite well with limited starters.....and she is 7 for her last 12 1st following a claim with 3 others hitting the board........all that and her new shooter is 3 for 5 "at the distance"

7  Sokudo   dangerous outside speed here and for a small circuit trainer who is 35% win and 71% in the money with 37 2019 starts.......and this six year old won his lone start at Lrc albeit at 5 furlongs.......dangerous sort

5  Royal Seeker   seems like the best of of the off pace runners in this field.......and by far at his best at Lrc.........connections will have their fingers crossed that our top two choices will both go hard for the lead and duel

3  Kenny Benny

2  Rmanie's Grey Suit

 

 

Posted on September 6, 2019 at 9:56 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections