Once again a heck of a nice Saturday at Del Mar. See below. Pick 6 jackpot for Sunday stands at $63K.

The Racing Digest is now up for Sunday 

17 November 2018:  Just like last Saturday top pick won 5 of the 9 races. ($3.00, $11.40, $17.00, $3.60, $8.20). 3rd race trifecta HIT ICE COLD paying $853.20 (that is a 425 to 1 shot). 3rd race superfecta was top, 2nd, 3rd, 5th pick for $5,454.60. 7th race pick 3 HIT ICE COLD paying $150.40.

12 November 2018:   4th race pick 5 was 4th, 2nd, 3rd, top, 3rd pick for $74,454.20. (50 cent paid $18,613.55). 4th race pick 3 was 4th pick, 2nd pick, 3rd pick for $1,394.60. 5th race pick 4 was an unbelievable return: 2nd, 3rd, top, 3rd paid $15,103.60. 7th race top pick over our other 4 given picks paid a superfecta of $593.60.

10 November 2018:  Top pick won 5 of the 9 races. 1st race pick 5 was top, 4th, top, top, 2nd pick for $7,966.20. (50 cent paid $1,966.20) 3rd race double hit COLD for $46.00. 4th race pick 3 was top, 2nd, top pick for $80.20. 8th race exacta hit COLD $10.00.

9 November 2018:  Top pick won 3 of the 8 races. ($6.00, 8.60, $32.60) 1st race pick 5 was 4th, 2nd, top, 3rd, top pick for $3,413.20. 3rd race top pick over our other 4 given picks paid a superfecta of $1,333.80. 4th race pick 3 was 3rd, top, 3rd pick for $504.00. 5th race top pick over our other 4 given picks paid a superfecta of $748.60. 8th race $32.60 top choice over our other 4 picks paid a superfecta of $7,967.40. (trifecta was $2,951.80).

3 November 2018:  After any scratches at SA:  Top choice won 6 races and ran 2nd in 2 others. 1st race pick 3 was 3rd, top, top pick $213.00. 2nd race COLD double paid $39.00. 5 race pick 3 was 4th, top, 4th pick for $776.80. 5th race superfecta box of top 4 picks $273.00. 6th race pick 3 was top, 4th, top pick for $524.20. 7th race pick 5 was 4th, top, top, top, 4th pick for $2,830.60. 8th race COLD pick 3 was $50.80. 9th race exacta hit COLD for $50.20.

3 November 2018:  After any scratches at the Breeders Cup at CD:   4th race 3rd pick, top pick exacta $65.80. 4th race pick 3 was 3rd, top, 3rd pick for $301.60. 5th race top pick, 4th pick exacta $44.40. 5th race pick 3 was 3rd, top, 3rd pick for $1,013.00. 6th race pick 3 was 3rd, top, top pick for $285.40. 7th race double hit COLD for $50.60. 7th race top pick over the other 4 picks superfecta was $360.10. 7th race pick 5 was top, top, 2nd, 2nd, 2nd pick for $2,318.00.

 

Posted on December 18, 2013 at 5:24 pm by brian · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Uncategorized

Del Mar for Saturday 17 November 2018

Today we have quite a few prices on top or in the 2nd slot. Sure hope a few of them find their way to the winners circle. 

NOTE:   We will have the Thanksgiving Day card posted by 7 a.m. pacific time because of the early 11 a.m. post time next Thursday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

2  Coliseum   Baffert colt is working at SA as if he is a Stakes caliber horse but unlike many overzealous barns Baffert does what most should do and debuts him in a MSW race

6  Figure Eight   double barrel action from Baffet as he trains our top choice........another training awfully well but in his case over at LA.......but whereas the top pick has a top pedigree this colt does not

1  Light of the World   expensive 1st time starter from the Richard Mandella bran also appears ready but draws a difficult post at 7F for a two-year old to cope with

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Caribbean   colt moved forward in his latest running 2nd in a very key race where 1st and 2nd came back to win........been away since the 30 August race but Shirreffs has him well prepared in the a.m. off of the 11 week break

1  Aggressively   same sprint to route set up today as his 2nd lifetime start where he lost his jock at the start......and in his last his 3rd start he fired his lifetime best and the strength of the effort is disguised as he ran on a dull rail on 28 Oct at SA

4  Holly Blame   liked the blinkers on and also liked racing turf to dirt......for the 1st time gets both this afternoon

5  Momma's Baby Boy

 

race 3    average clarity

7  American Currency   might be a good claim by DeLeon of a fresh horse who so far is at his best at Del Mar where he won one race by 9L and could have won the other (his maiden debut) if not for a bad trip.......trainer won his only start at the meeting and overall is having a decent 2018

4  Builder   away since May but he has put in many gate works and a few of them are rather impressive......... and quite a few of his 7 lifetime races fit well in this spot

2  Street Zombie   another who seems best racing on the Dmr dirt.......and this might be the only shot he can compete at Del Mar until next summer.......so........you would think that Hess would pull out all stops to have him feeling good......back to back useful 4F works only 5 days apart supports the notion

1  Extreme Heat

6  Turnaround

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Spectacular Move    strong race and win run turf to dirt at Dmr on 23 August........turf in last and dirt today and the turf race was the best turf race of her life.......that and Morey is 29% win with his last 21 second out after a claim which is the case here

3  Cute Knows Cute   seems best racing on the Dmr dirt (3 2 1 0).......and this might be the only shot she can compete at Del Mar until next summer........Miller's three year old filly should be able to get a nice stalk position which she appreciates

4  Twisted Rose    yet another who seems best racing on the Dmr dirt (4 1 3 0).......and like mentioned above this might be the only time she can compete at Del Mar until next summer.......1st out after the Pender claim (an 18% proposition last 45) and a significant rider upgrade to Desormeaux who has done well on this filly in the past

1  Uno Trouble Maker

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Buckys Pick   nice win down the SA hill in his latest which is deserving of today's step up.......and he just worked an improved 4F bullet drill in preparation for today's race.......4 lbs off today and retains Delgadillo who is riding well on the grass of late.......should be able to sit close to the lead in a race that should reward those who do

1  My Man Chuckles   gelding seems night and day better when Prat rides (4 2 1 0 1).......and I believe that Pratt will have him sitting closer up early in this spot without much early speed

8  Hitters Park   1st out after the O'Neill claim and this appears to be a good spot for his newbie as he has some turf speed in a race that lacks it........such a deal for the new connections

4  Sword Fighter  

7  Market Sentiment

 

race 6    below average clarity

2  From the Distance   apprentice Luis Fuentes is starting to learn his trade and he won his only mount for Knapp........three year old appears to own the best early speed.......and with the 7 lbs weight break he should be fairly tough to wheel in if he gets loose

9  Gryffindor   lifetime best was the only time he raced at today's 6 1/2 furlong and the race was at Del Mar.....that and his latest run at 7F versus better is a fit in this spot

1  June Two Four   big wake up two races back albeit in a route race.......ran in a protected race in his latest which might have been a gimme of sorts to put some doubt into the minds those considering a claim today.....rider upgrade and the trainer for the most part has been firing on all cylinders for the last month or so........hmmm

8  Livin On Prayer

6  Jump the Tracks

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Absolutely Perfect   very solid dirt debut breaking slightly tardy and then running wide on a good rail day.........filly did extremely well to still run a 4L beaten 4th......would like this filly more if this was a dirt sprint especially since the trainer is dismal 1st at a route and 1st on the turf (1 for 24 & 1 for 15 respectively).......but at least the pedigree for both is decent

2  Into Rissa   both lifetime grass races are better than they appear in print.......that and her latest is her best lifetime dirt sprint of her life.........Talamo remains up and he has a better route turf post to work with today than he had in those two other grass route races......that and Joe has won 3 of his last 6 mounts riding for Sherlock

4  Just Kathy   might feel really good for O'Neill to step up this filly who is racing off of short rest following a grass race where she showed solid early speed and then fell apart.......like the switch in bug boys.......this filly can open up a lead and if she does she might get awfully brave and at a big price

8  Paprika

1  Radish

 

race 8    below average clarity

3  Mucho Gusto   strong winning debut for this Baffert colt back on the 20th of Sept. at Lrc.........colt has been able to work 6 times since then putting in tightly spaced muscle and endurance building drills.........all systems go for Baffert and company

2  Extra Hope   blinkers on in his last led to a 9L graduating win at SA in a 1 1/16 two turn affair.........Mandella colt should have plenty in the tank with the cut back in distance when push comes to shove in late stretch

7  Sueno   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   significant improve/fig in his 2nd lifetime start to graduate.........quite the jockey upgrade for today.........dangerous long-shot if this colt can handle the addition 1 1/2 furlong offered today

 

race 9    average clarity

8  Baby Bear's Soup   race lacks speed and this five-year old appears to own as much early speed as anyone in this group.........two vastly improved recent works.........7 lbs bug boy up.........he might open up a lead and be awfully dangerous

1  Matriculate   Spawr is very dangerous with claiming horses making a drop down off of a long layoff like this fellow.......that and the gelding is (7 2 2 0) at today's distance.......very dangerous despite a tough post at 6 1/2F

5  Go Ghetto   good history with bug boy Payeras on his back (5 2 1 1)...... and he also might be at his very best on the Del Mar dirt.......trainer is about 25% win with his last 200 starts in claiming races

6  Louden's Gray

3  Vending Machine

10  Air pocket

 

 

 

Posted on November 17, 2018 at 10:12 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Friday 16 November 2018

Rail speed bias on the dirt yesterday so I am slightly leaning towards the idea that the rail will be biased to some degree once again today.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Baby Frankie   trainer is stout route to sprint which is the case today........and........his two year old just popped the most impressive drill of his life 6 days ago.......Desormeaux brothers are starting to heat things up some

3  Two Fifty Coup   benefited from an inside speed bias in his last start on 13 Oct and ran a fig that fits fine here.......and if the track plays similar to yesterday he can once again

6  Swamp Souffle   big awakening in his 2nd lifetime start (and disguised in its strength some) with the blinkers taken off.....two very reassuring 5F drills since the 19 Oct race.......should have plenty of late run at today's 6 1/2F distance coming off of a one mile race......hot jock up.......hard not to like

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Don't Stalk Me   nice win at today's level in his latest.........two sharp 4F drills since........good history at Dmr and also at today's 6F distance.......Ron Ellis is solid stat wise with claimers making repeat wins

4  Colormemoney   might be a decent claim by Tim McCanna of a fairly consistent three-year old who is 2 for 4 at today's distance and (5 2 1 0) at Dmr on the dirt.........gelding has a good history when he stalks the lead and that should be the case today

3  Gringo Star   blinkers on might help this Puype three-year grab the lead and that would enhance his chances of taking down this race.........bad race in last but take note that his two lifetime wins came off of bad races

 

race 3    average clarity

6  Caecilius   Spawr MSW 1st time starter owns a solid pedigree to handle the grass......the conditioner doesn't start many 1st timers at the MSW level but you better take note when he does as in 3 for his last 6 and with one other hitting the board

1  Haydens Havoc   par like race on the dirt for today's MSW level in his latest ..........and........ mom has tossed two grass winners.......rider/trainer are one hot combo over the last two months as in 5 for their last 11.......seems fairly likely to handle the grass and if he does he should be a major factor in the outcome of this race

2  Bold Endeavor   sharp vastly improved works following his MSW debut which was down the SA hill.....in his race he showed good early speed but weakened.......doubt he "weakens" so easily today

3  Truck Salesman

4  Ka'nah

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Dominating Woman   filly won turf route to dirt route two races back.......turf sprint to dirt sprint this time around and the only time this four ran in a sprint she ran her top effort of her career.......all that and she appears as if she will get loose on the lead here

3  Steph Being Steph   does well when she can stalk the lead and that sure appears what she will do in this spot.......trainer has been hot of late and in general he has had one of his better years in quite some time

6  Spring Lily   2 for 2 at today's 6 1/2 furlongs with John Shirreffs as the trainer and one of those wins was with today's rider Gary ageless Stevens aboard.........like our 2nd choice he will also look to stalk our top choice

1  Kelly's Humor

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Its Five Somewhere   following 3 straight MSW races this colt is back where he started as in a MC50K affair.........blinkers back on and back at Del Mar both look like positives for this youngster who should fit very well at the MC50K level

1  Starring John Wain   nice improvement with the blinkers added in his latest.......apprentice rider upgrade from one that is struggling to one that is not......that and one hot trainer the last month or so in Jerry Hollendorfer

4  Ultra Lucky   flashed speed in his maiden debut and then put on the breaks........but he had an excuse as he dueled on a dull inside........back in a quick 20 days and yet still managed to work five furlongs........that hints he is feeling good......speed rider stays up and this seemingly is a good spot for a speed horse

9  Handsome John

8  Sea of Liberty

 

race 6    below average clarity

4  Avanti Bello   Cerin is dynamite first off of a claim as in 35% win and 63% in the money......that is the case today and you have to like that he gets Prat (who he seldom rides) to take the mount as he owns two wins and a 2nd in three mounts on the six-year-old who is awfully consistent of late

6  Just Kidding   very popular six-year-old at the claiming box and why not as he seems to show up almost every time.......and today he starts 1st off of the claim for Hollendorfer who is quite a bit more successful than the other trainers who have had this fellow

1  Crown the Kitten   major league rider upgrade for this Gus Headley six-year-old who sure is consistent on main track surfaces including Del Mar.......plenty of speed in this affair can flatter this gelding's late kick

5  Mercer Island

3  Ferguson

 

race 7    above average clarity

4  Retro   filly is proven fresh and outside of her MSW debut win that is somewhat hidden.......that and her only race at today's 9F turf distance fits well here........and I sure like the switch pack to Prat

6  K P Pergoliscious   not too shabby at 56 to 1 in a G3 in her latest beating 10 of her 13 foes......that and I sure like this youngster's win 3 back off of short rest and run one mile turf to 1 1/16 turf.........she is racing off of short rest today as well and this time one mile turf to 1 1/8 turf

1  Kodiak West   Prat likely took our top choice but Van Dyke will do just fine........filly lacked room in her latest which was her 1st in the USA or she could have been much closer at the wire......since the 11 Aug race she has been very busy working a dozen times........Drysdale has had a fountain of youth year and might add to his 19% win total here

5  Sappho

8  Pacific Strike

 

race 8    average clarity

1  Blaze of Glory   nice improvement with the blinkers taken off in his latest.......race doesn't have much speed and he has some......that and so far he has been a good gate horse in his 8 race career.........should be a major player in the outcome of this race if he manages to hold form

3  Bitter Ring Home   first on the dirt but owns a pedigree for it that for me is better for the dirt than the turf.......spotty 5 career races so the drop to the bottom makes sense

4  Elevate    lifetime best and by quite a bit was his lone race to date on the Del Mar dirt which was the 31 August version of this one mile MC20K affair.........nice to see an improved (and the improvement is subtle) 4F drill since his last run only 19 days ago......so so 7 lbs bug boy but he has been at his best in route races

9  Alphadar

6  Valiant 

5  Friendly Steve

 

 

 

 

Posted on November 16, 2018 at 7:56 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Thursday 15 November 2018

Take note that there is a Pick 6 carryover of $45K today and with another $10K in the jackpot.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Devils Dance   3 decent dirt races to start her career and in those efforts she showed good early speed......this is a good spot for a speed horse especially considering the abbreviated 5F turf distance.....if she takes to the turf in her 1st race on it she should be tough.......two year old filly owns an adequate turf pedigree

7  Rather Nosy   MSW debut at SA down the hill  which was run 4 weeks ago wasn't too bad beating 7 of 9 foes.........works since the 6 1/2F turf race are improved hinting the turf muscled her up and a forward move should occur today.......Prat staying put supports the notion

6  Miss Alegria   awfully decent dirt MSW debut considering she went off at 66 to 1 odds.......she likely wasn't all that cranked up and surprised the barn a bit......she should be now.....and she gets to run on the grass which she owns a good pedigree for.......two of her siblings were turf winners

4  Gallantlystreaming

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Sooner Better   nice endurance building route race on the AW at GG in her 2nd lifetime start.......improved 4F work since the race at Slr........and drops into maiden claiming for the 1st time........good post and rider......brothers Desormeaux are starting to heats things up a bit

8  Silent Alarm   just fired his lifetime best in his 1st ever in a route race.....and the effort is disguised in its strength by a wide trip up on the pace........endurance is likely to be enhanced today with that 1st route under his belt.......jock could use a little more cleverness with his ride today

7  Redrock Trail   nice forward move in his 2nd lifetime start and 1st with Sadler as the trainer.......another 1st today as in 1st at a route........like the step up from MC30 to MC50K as it suggests his new trainer likes what he is seeing since his 2nd place finish vs 11 foes on 13 October.......pedigree to handle the two turns is decent

3  Classy Chasie

 

race 3    below average clarity

1  Aunt Lubie   good effort two back with the blinkers on for the 1st time and going a route for the 1st time in her 1st race at Del Mar........too ambitious in her next start.........her winning race two back was run off of 10 weeks rest......11+ weeks since her last and a.m. work hints she is ready........back to Prat after being absent for one race......such a deal

2  Mo See Cal   scratched the other day for today's race......Cal-bred just fired her lifetime best albeit on a good track .........not sure if she is as good on a fast surface but if she is she fits well in this spot

6  Whirling   double barrel action from the Mandella barn as he also trains our top pick......tossed a clunker in her latest but continues to train as if she is healthy........rather confident she mounts a rebound but to what degree is tough call

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Breezy Bee   last two races which were both on the grass at Del Mar fit very well at today's lower maiden level.......filly has been absent for over a year but her a.m. prowess hints she is fit and ready fresh off of the bench.........brothers Desormeaux seem to be in "go mode" right now

6  Tig Tog   seems like an overdue drop into maiden claiming for this filly who runs well but has yet to win in 11 starts (11 0 3 4)

5  Gattaia   lost to our 2nd choice at GG (seemingly fair and square) two races back but her lifetime best was the only time she has seen the Del Mar turf........that and her trainer is 36% win & 73% in the money with the MSW to maiden claiming move

4  See That Kat

 

race 5    below average clarity

1  K P's Smokin   lone dirt race that this filly ever ran on the Dmr surface stands out as so much her best ever........and that race like today was run at one mile.......positive rider switch and the trainer appears to be in go mode of late..........if she is up to a repeat of her aforementioned 11 August Dmr race she should be tough in this spot

4  Peachy   best routing on the dirt (2 1 1 0).......seems to like racing of off of short rest......she does today and also gets to run turf to dirt which is usually a plus for most horses

5  Mousey Mousey   invader from Canada made a significant step up in maiden claiming (MC16K to MC50K) in her latest seemingly out of nowhere (and with no sign that she warranted a multi-level step up) in her last.........but the connections knew what they were doing as she won her 1st ever at a route by 5 1/2 lengths to break her maiden at odds of 24 to 1 in a 6 horse field........bothers to ship from Vancouver to Del Mar.......gets the meets leading jock to ride.......interesting and unusual sort for sure

6  Cooper Cowgirl

2  Rolling Shadow

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Objective   tightly spaced work tab for this Proctor MSW 1st time starter and she sure appears meant and ready at 1st asking as she held her 6 day work interval despite the long ship from Fai to SA.......that is very rare indeed......and Tom Proctor gets his old pal Stevens to accept the mount

7  Data Storm Kitty   solid MSW debut two back on the dirt at SA.......effort was better than par and unless you are a touring gold pro below par is a very good thing..........turf race in start number two was OK opening up a lead in the stretch and tiring bad late.....back on the turf for start number 3 and with endurance building a.m. work that hints she is ready fresh off of a 12 week layoff and with more staying power this time around

5  Sold It    pounded in her MSW debut to even money and didn't live up to her support at the windows whatsoever.........switch to the turf might help........we shall see

2  Shut It Up

1  Apples Arch

 

race 7    average clarity

5  California Journey   good move by Hollendofer putting his new shooter (used to be in the Chew barn) on the main track for the 1st time as he ran a lifetime top and the strength of the effort is somewhat disguised.....works since are solid......last might be good enough and he seems up for even more this afternoon

1  Ninety Nine Proof   like the move to his first at a dirt route as he handled two turn turf racing just fine and he sure appears to be a better dirt horse than a turf horse........Miller four year old should be in the mix from the get go and very dangerous

7  Ground Attack

2  Duluth

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Tough It Out    3 for 3 on the Del Mar grass......2 for 8 on other turf........1 for 1 at the marathon 11 furlong turf distance..........good post and an adequate turf jock up in Tiago Pereira........trainer has been fairly hot of late..........hard not to like

4  Lucky Soul   was screaming out for more ground to cover and he sure ran well in his latest when he got it........ retains Prat and for a trainer in Michael McCarthy who was firing on all cylinders at the SA fall meeting.......four year old gelding gets another furlong to deal with today (from 10F to 11F) which should be to his advantage

3  Icy Street   nothing cooking in 2018 so far (only two starts) but 3rd out after a long layoff and back in short rest both indicate he might be up to his 2017 form........Sadler is stout 3rd out off of a layoff and this colt's lone win came off of short rest.....last race 13 days ago........hmmmm

5  Alsatian

1  Red King

7  Epical

 

 

 

 

Posted on November 15, 2018 at 7:50 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Monday 12 November 2018

Shout out to all my fellow veterans especially those who saw battle. Enjoy your day.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Portal Creek   here is the comment for our 2nd selection in race 5 on 4 Oct where she went off at 16 to 1 and won for fun "only one in four lifetime endeavors looks good in this spot but she appears to be much sharper in the a.m. hinting Ryan Hanson has tweaked something for the better.......should be a nice price"..........3 solid drills since her win.......last might do the trick but I believe she will show even more today

6  Midnight Miracle   done little wrong in her 4 lifetime starts and might be at her best on the Dmr dirt.........shooting for her 4th win in a row and she is 2 for 2 with Stevens........hard not to like

1  Be Lifted   last was decent and gets a rider upgrade for today to Prat......likely needs a small forward move today to take down this race.......3 drills since her 12 Oct race hints she's feeling good and might provide one

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Chasing Yesterday   powerful MSW debut 3 back at Dmr so Baffert saw fit to ship x-country to Sar for a G1..........horrid trip in the race gave his filly no shot to strut her stuff......next start was back home at SA again and was another strong race........works since hint she is very fit and likely to have plenty of kick when push comes to shove in the late stages of this 7F $100K Stakes

3  It'sjustanillusion   solid move forward in her 2nd lifetime race running only 1/2 length behind our top choice...............seemingly has the most early speed in the race so like her 1st two racing endeavors she should be loose again........thus.......dangerous

1  Der Lu   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  double barrel action from Baffert as he also trains our top pick........very nice debut but a little less than our top two selections........maybe a nice stalk position can lead to a perfect trip and help her overcome a little less ability (so far) than our top two

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Zestful   decent hill grass race at SA off of a 56 day break should set him up nicely for today's one mile turf route off of 16 days rest.........brutal trip at one mile on the turf at Del Mar two back.......he showed so much trouble/pace that the fig earned is better than par for today's level despite being beat by 10L

2  Flip the Coin   double barrel action from O'Neill as he also conditions our top pick........colt seemingly should be able to get what he needs to win as in on the lead.......dangerous sort

5  Spirit Mission   the classic short comment line in your local paper works here "best of the rest"

7  Buckstopper Kit

8  Hey Sequoia

 

race 4    below average clarity

5  Whata Flirt   wide on a rail bias hides the strength of her last.......track played a little outside yesterday so if it stays the same today that "wide" run would make her awfully tough today if she holds form

4  Big Base   seems better suited to shorter sprint distances like the 5 1/2F offered here.......and her latest at 7F isn't too shabby......should be motoring late

2  Gone Skyward   takes that ever magical drop from MSW racing to low-level maiden claiming.......already owned some speed and now adds blinkers.....solid a.m......she likely will try to open up a lead and never look back

6  Desired Edge

 

race 5    average clarity

7  Big Buzz   solid move forward in his 2nd lifetime start in a grass race at Del Mar which was run off of short rest.....with that in mind logic suggests that he should be ready for a peak performance 2nd out after a long layoff......and..........his rider has 5 wins already to start the new meeting

8  Cupid's Claw   2 of his 3 lifetime grass races fit solidly here and his trainer can do no wrong to start the meeting with 3 wins with 4 starters........that and I like the cut back in distance which likely will enhance his endurance at one mile today

5  Stonegate   lost to a couple of others in this race in his latest......but......he gets to come back off of much shorter rest and he seemed much more suited to a one mile grass race than a 9 furlong grass race......and I like the rider change for a route turf race

3  Sellwood

4  Arch Anthem

 

race 6    below average clarity

7  Dukes Up   voided claim at 20K last time out but he gets ample time to recover.......and the drop makes sense as Miyadi and company only claimed him for 12.5K and made some decent money off of the claim......also it is a good time to drop as it is tough to take a horse by way of the claiming box following a voided claim

8  Point Piper   significant drop here.......claim me please...... or...... drop makes sense as he hasn't won a race in 2017 & 2018.......that and he is at his best on the Del Mar dirt (4 1 3 0)

5  Holland Road   rider upgrade and to a "hot" one at that........and an improved (and that is rather subtle) 4F work since his latest run on 19 October....rather sure he moves forward today.........to what degree is the ? mark

6  Monterey Shale

3  Freedies Dream

 

race 7    average clarity

2  More Ice   very poor trip in latest which was run on 8 October........won his one mile grass race prior to that on the Dmr turf........vastly improved work since.......and for the first time gets a rider other than an apprentice on his back.......and considering the new jock is Prat that is quite a turf rider upgrade......better post too

6  Seven Scents   solid races on the dirt as his last three are better than par for today's racing level.........1st on the turf but owns a decent pedigree for.......hit jock sticks around for the 4th straight time.......hard not to like

4  Our Silver Oak   on the improve with each and every start.......if he can keep the trend going and handles his 1st on the turf and a route he will fit well.........pedigree for it is decent for both for this Cal-bred

1  Sammys Dream

3  The Creep

 

race 8    below average clarity (SHF carryover here)

7  Mr. Class   major league rider upgrade and improved a.m. work.......broke his maiden in his debut only to get disqualified.........rides in next to starts are not so hot eirther.......Kent finally gets the mount from brother Keith.......all systems go today

9  Stay in Yo Lane   sprint-route-sprint maneuver is usually a good thing when the trainer is O'Neill......that and I like the 9 lbs off for today.......5 lbs for the bug boy and in for 28K for another 4 lbs

5  Malibu Bay   1st time starter with a steady diet of decent 5F works and I like that 2 of his last 3 were from the gate.......trainer has had one nice (break-out) year in S Cal

6  Shake N Fries

4  Agronomo  another with a positive rider change.....two of his three lifetime starts fit fine and one of the two was at Del Mar and was his debut

1  Lagoon

 

 

 

 

Posted on November 12, 2018 at 10:33 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Sunday 11 November 2018

Seems like a decent card this afternoon. Be back with you Monday for the Veterans Day race card.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Girl Downstairs  top turf jock Prat should work out a very nice up close position in an affair that should favor those that do......Prat won the 15 August version of this race by 6 1/4 lengths

1  Believe Indeed   Bejarano should get a nice ground saving trip behind our 3rd selection in a race that should yield a reasonable set of fractions thus favoring those close front end of things

4  Ok Doll   training as if Yakteen and company mean business with this mare running fresh off of the bench........bug boy is likely to try to open up a lead and never look back

 

race 2    average clarity

7  Dancing Belle   3rd out following a long break today and that should be a good thing as this filly ran very well in her 3rd lifetime start last year.....that and her off pace running style should be a good fit in this affair where our 2nd pick is liking to cut out some fast fractions

2  Creative Girl    solid better than par MSW sprint race in her last her 2nd lifetime start........she can really fly so look for Baze to attempt to get the lead in her 1st around two turns.......bred just fine for a route

3  Giveherdalute  sprint-sprint-route maneuver for this Baffert 3rd time starter........and one of Baffert's better starts (and that is saying something) is with the move as in 41% win with his last 41.......yikes

4  Waze Ready

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Banze No Oeste   race is loaded with speed so this gelding's off pace running style should be an advantage here.......and you have to like Geovanni Franco in the irons as he has won 4 the 1st two days of this new meeting

6  Exotic Ghost   consistent sort on main track surfaces but he tossed a clunker in his last.....previous 3 races all fit well and one of them was in a route at Del Mar where he lost to our top choice by a head.......needs a rebound......recent works hint he might provide one

4  Above Board   race is loaded with significant route speed which this fellow also has......but........he is capable of stalking and winning and that sure seems like it would be wise here..........very strong rider & trainer combo in Hernandez & Trela.......that and Trela is 7 for her last 12 1st out following a claim which is the case here

 

race 4    above average clarity

7  Neighborhood Bully   runs best at Dmr and the last time he raced turf to dirt like today he won by more than 7 lengths......1st time he has raced further than 6F on the dirt but the extra 1/2 furlong to cover today sure appears as if it will be a plus.......and Van Dyke has a solid history on the three-year old colt

6  Italiano   lone sprint dirt race with the blinkers on is his lifetime best and run at Del Mar......that race fits well here and considering he handled 7F you would think that 6 1/2F would be a piece of cake

3  Wild Verse   three-year old gelding is getting better with each and every race........and considering that Miller is hardly ever afraid to lose a given horse it seems noteworthy that he steps this younger up in class quite a bit

4  Redesign

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Falcone   this Keith Desormeaux colt has only had a good grass rider up once in his five lifetime grass races and the number he earned that day stands out as so much his best effort.....and that rider is the brother of the trainer.......hard not to like this (5 0 4 0) lifetime route grass horse

1  Rumpus Cat   high percentage trainer 1st out following a claim in Baltas......and he is able to get Prat to ride.........good post to work with for the stellar grass rider........only route turf race is decent......dangerous sort

3  Shaky Alibi   four-year old gelding seems better suited to sprint turf races as he has been flattening out late in his turf routes.......but he should be able to open up a lead in this spot and if Bejarano can slow things down he just might hang on for a win

4  Mo Bob

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Fast Cotton   lifetime best and by a wide margin (and it's strength greatly disguised) was his lone race at Dmr which was run 2 back........a ton here is he repeats the effort and gets an OK trip

7  Harley's Pride   lone race was on the AW at GG almost a year ago in a MSW race.....number earned that day fits well at today's lower level......works sure hint he is ready fresh......already showed solid early speed and now gets blinkers......might get away and not get caught

9  Rounding for Home   trainer and apprentice rider have teamed up twice with one pricey winner.......1st time starter hasn't missed a beat in the morning dating back to 6 Sept.........and trainer Phil Oviedo is decent with 1st time starters

10  Grand Minister

5  Sought Bai

 

race 7    above average clarity

4  Worthy Turk   outside of his race two back this gelding owns very strong Santucci figs in turf routes and especially so at Del Mar......and now gets 1st time Prat and with a good post........hard not to like and make as the top selection

8  Souter   capable of running better than par but still likely will need lifetime best to beat our top choice (note he did beat in him his latest) if he runs the race I think he will

3  Snazzy Dresser   should be loose in this spot and might be more capable of slowing down early with the blinkers coming off for today.......dangerous sort

7  Ayacara

5  Hot American

 

race 8    average clarity

8  S Y Sky   shows up every time and she is the lightest assigned weight of any four-year old in the field.......that should come in handy when push comes to shove in this 7F affair

3  Just Me Grazed   double barrel action from D'Amato as he also trains our top selection.....not easy to place this filly 2nd as she has won both of her lifetime sprints by an average of 5L......mainly placed 2nd as she is three and has to carry 2 more lbs than her four-year old barn partner S Y Sky

2  Love a Honeybadger   (6 4 1 10) since the blinkers were taken off.......has one way of running and that is at full throttle from the get go.......and Miller is one stout trainer with speed sprinters

4  Spiced Perfection

 

race 9    below average clarity

1  Operandi   (8 3 3 1) since the blinkers were put on.......has run this level race 2 times at Dmr at 5F and it has led to a win and a 2nd.......Prat wisely stays up for Andrew Lerner following a nice 1st out after the claim win down the hill at SA

2  Bako Sweets   very consistent sort for William Morey and company at GG and her lone 5F grass race at GG looks rather good........that and the trainer does awfully well with his N Cal shippers

7  Herunbridledpower   ultra consistent sort albeit vs. softer but she should love the abbreviated 5F turf sprint distance.....and she is quite versatile winning on or off the pace.....she has been in the exacta when racing on the fast rated dirt or the turf 16 of 21 races and 9 of the 16 were 1st place finishes

4  Coco Kisses

3  Shylock Eddie

 

 

Posted on November 11, 2018 at 8:39 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections