2017 KENTUCKY DERBY DAY SELECTIONS: For only two more days save 18% on our special publication for full card (about 13 races) selections for Kentucky Derby day at Churchill Downs on May 6th. Santa Anita Jackpot now stands at $237K.

The Racing Digest  is now available for Sunday

16 April 17:  1st race pick 5 was top, 2nd, top, 3rd, top choice for $1,868.20. 6th race exacta hit COLD $18.20

15 April 2017:   Nice returns in the 4 races covered (7 thru 10) at Keeneland. Pick 4 was 2nd, top, 5th, top choice for $3,395.40. 9th race superfecta box of 5 given picks paid $1,229.20. 10th race Grade 1 exacta hit COLD for $31.20. Only top choice winner in the 4 Stakes races covered at Oaklawn came in the 11th where Classic Empire paid $5.80 to win. 

24 March 17:  1st race trifecta top pick over the other 3 picks $61.20. 3rd race exacta hit cold $13.40. 3rd race pick 6 was top, 2nd, top, top, 3rd, top pick for $16,193.40. 5th race trifecta hit cold $97.80. 5th race pick 4 was top, top, 3rd, top pick for $1,532.20.  7th race superfecta box of 4 given selections $1,090.20. 8th race our top selection over our other 5 picks paid a superfecta of $1,588.00  NOTE: 2nd straight day top selection won 5 of the 8 races. 

19 March 17:  2nd race pick 4 was 4th, 2nd, top, top pick for $836.60. 2nd race pick 3 was 4th, 2nd, top pick $505.60. 3rd race trifecta box of 3 given picks paid $113.00. 4th race superfecta top choice over the other four picks paid $2,523.00. 4th race pick 3 hit COLD for $45.60. 8th race top pick, 3rd pick exacta was $25.00.

18 March 17:   1st race pick 5 was 2nd, 3rd, 2nd, 4th, top choice for $32,917.80 (50 cent payoff was $8,229.45.) 2nd race 3rd pick, top pick exacta $44.20 4th race 4th pick, top pick exacta $214.00. 5th race top pick, 3rd pick exacta $69.60. 5th race top choice over other 3 given choices trifecta paid $324.00.

12 March 17:  After any scratches our top selection won 6 of the 9 races and our 3rd selection won the other 3 races. 1st race pick 5 was top, 3rd, top, top, 3rd pick for $869.40. 1st race exacta hit COLD $19.40. 4th race pick 6 was top, 3rd, top, 3rd, top, top pick for $3,035.40. 6 race pick 4 was top, 3rd, top, top pick $233.80. 7th race tri. box of top 3 picks $71.00. 8th race double hit COLD 33.40. 8th race trifecta was top, 3rd, 2nd pick for $319.20. 

11 March 17:   On a day when the average field size was a little over 9 per race one of our selections won every race and that was on a day that nobody hit the pick 6. Our pick 6 sequence was 3rd, top, 4th, 4th, top, top pick. 1st race pick 3 was 3rd, 4th, top pick $309.60. 1st race exacta was 3rd pick, 2nd pick $64.60. 3rd race trifecta hit COLD $43.40. 4th race superfecta box of 4 given picks $919.60. 6th race 3rd pick, top pick double paid $84.80. 7th race top, 4th pick exacta $68.40, 8th race pick 4 was 4th, 4th, top, top selection for $5,375.80. 10th race exacta and double both hit COLD paying $11.00 & $12.00 respectively. I maybe a Midwest boy but I love S Cal racing! 

10 March 17:  Top choice won 5 of the 8 races carded and ran 2nd in 2 others and 3rd in the other. Trifecta box of top 3 selections hit the trifecta in 4 of the 8 races. 3rd race pick 6 was 3rd, 3rd, top, top, top, top pick for $4,313.60. 3rd race superfecta box of 4 given horses $176.80. 4th race trifecta box of top 3 picks $226.00. 5th race pick 4 HIT ICE COLD ($4.20, $3.60, $9.00, $9.80) for $207.80. 7th race exacta HIT COLD for $43.20. 7th race double HIT COLD for $60.20.

16 Jan 17:  Bombs away at Santa Anita! After and scratches: In races 2 thru 9 the top selection won 3 races (including a 22 to 1 shot in the 4th) and the 2nd selection won the other 5 races. 2nd race pick 4 was 2nd, top, top, 2nd pick for $1,706.20. 3rd race top pick over our 3 other given picks paid a superfecta of $493.00. 3rd race double hit COLD for $122.20. 4th race pick 3 was top, 2nd, top pick for $357.20. 6th race pick 3 was top, 2nd, 2nd pick $56.20. 7th race pick 3 was all 2nd choices for $94.80. 9th race exacta box of top two picks paid $53.80. I may be a Midwest boy but I love S Cal racing.

Posted on December 18, 2013 at 5:24 pm by brian · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Uncategorized

Santa Anita for Friday 21 April 2017

Not the easiest of cards to decipher as you can see by the "clarity ratings". Saturday's card looks quite the opposite.

Only a couple of day's left to save some coin on the purchase of our special pub for Churchill Downs on Derby Day which is not only my favorite day of racing every year but the card that I enjoy handicapping more than any all year.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  On Draft   enough time off to "right the ship"......decent works......solid turf jock......and drops into easier.......and Eurton and friends likely are well aware of the fact that they might lose the horse this afternoon ......so.......they likely have him primed to run a strong effort

7  County Lineman   nasty duel in latest and at a distance of 9F that is further than this gelding wants to travel......cut back of one furlong.......blinkers off to curb his early speed.....drops a notch......positive rider change especially for a turf race.....seems poised for a strong bid at the winners circle

5  I'malreadythere   rather consistent racing at one mile turf or dirt.......deservedly steps up multiple levels following a strong win where he was caught wide up on the pace.....hardly ever a good place to be unless there is an outside bias which there was not........red hot rider/trainer combo in Prat/Hollendorfer

8  Tribal Tribute

 

race 2    average clarity

5  She Rules You   Ellis has upped his game the last year or so when it comes to having 1st time starters ready and especially MC 1sters......work tab seems adequate and shows some hints that this youngster has early speed

1  Sapodilla   one post you say.......no problem here as she has drawn it for the 4th straight time today......cut back of one furlong should be a plus.....should be a factor from the opening bell

8  Avaudrey   speed has been solid the last 4 race cards but that is because the wood is the place to be.....so.....Pedroza has do go hard early and get in the 1 or 2 path to have a shot if the track remains the same......he is the right kind of rider for the job

4  Seaquet

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Fancy Shoes   rather consistent sort but seemingly in need of a drop to hit pay dirt and gets it.......trainer Hendricks appears to be awakening from the doldrums......and the last four times Hendricks dropped multiple levels he won 2 and hit the board in another

6  Kiss Limit   layoff turf sprint in latest sure appears to have muscled up this gelding for D'Amato as his a.m. prowess since is vastly better......owns some solid back numbers and might be up for similar today

7  Hot Paris Night   nice history since switching to route racing.........last fits at today's higher level.....retains Prat who should be able to get on over by turn 1 and sit close to the lead with the tactical speed that this four-year old possesses

3  Midnight Rumble

 

race 4    below average clarity

7  Where Y'at Joe Joe   blinkers on experiment is over after two attempts with them on........most of his career at today's 6F distance on a fast rated track with them off fit

3  Bolitar   Knapp to Miller off of the claim......Miller has scored with 7 of his last 11 off of the claim......four year old is competing for the 1st time as a gelding........obviously the potential is there for better from this fellow this afternoon

6  Finallygotabentley   predictably failed versus better in his last.......back to facing some foes that he fits just fine against.......seems best competing at today's six panels

2  Louden's Grey

 

race 5    average clarity

9  Buster Douglas   beaten by 7L at today's 12 furlongs of turf in a Grade 2 and did so with an uncomfortable action for the 1st half of the race.....facing tons softer today.....has shot even if he ist rank once again.....should be very tough if he settles down

5  Oscar Dominquez   sure has appreciated 10 and 11 furlong races....and the way he has been able to finish in those races sure suggest the 12 furlongs of sod will be even more advantageous for him....we shall see

1  Klondike Creek    par like grass race in his latest at 1 1/4 on the sod....that race fits fine here.... but..... his pedigree and the way in which he was flat in the stretch in that 10F race hint 12 furlongs might be stretching things some

8  French Getaway

Long-shot consideration:   2  Chewy Round Town   not much in his four lifetime grass races (3 at 1 mile and 1 at 1 1/16) except for the fact he finished decently in all 4.........that and the fact he has a good pedigree to take to marathon racing suggest that he could surprise here

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Full of Hope    Ellis is very stout stat wise both 2nd time Laisx and 2nd time at a route.....and drop to maiden 75K seems safe as I don't see anyone paying that amount by the way of a claim for this four-year old colt

4  Orion's Belt   trainer has been dismal dropping from MSW racing into maiden claiming having not won with the move for the last 25 times or maybe even more than that.......but I don't recall too many where the drop was into high-priced MC75K or higher.....and this guy is a five-year old.......race 2 back sure fits and it was run turf to dirt......turf in last.......Desormeaux sticks around

7  Sagittari   horrid trip in MSW debut.....toss it out......acted up some prior to the race in his next start and still managed a decent close to par effort for today's slightly lower MC level............due for something to go right

1  Quiet Dude

Long-shot consideration:   5  Dare to Believe   trainer can be quite sneaky and is more than capable of scoring at big prices......here's the story:  3 lifetime starts all bad.....slop in first and then 2 grass races.....might have disliked both surfaces.......been away over a year.....works sure were sharp in late winter.....since than they have been dull .....but every week......1st ever on fast dirt........great name for a long-shot.......hmmmm

 

race 7    below average clarity

2  Tangled Up in Ju   good history racing on a fast rated SA main track.......good history with speed rider Maldonado up.........and this lady is a speed horse but she has also won without it......such as deal

1  Miz Strawberry Dee   trainer is at her best turf to dirt and not too bad shipping.......Theriot might be able to work out a nice ground saving mid pack trip......seems dangerous if he does

5  Zulu Petals   rather consistent on fast tracks and Knapp has been dynamite 1st following a claim the last 6 months or so.....I am leery that this one will flatten at 7F some.....but then again if our top and 4th picks press each other hard early she still can run on by even if she is a little gassed

7  Swissarella

 

race 8    below average clarity

12 AE  Kenda   solid 1st on the SA hill in her latest......3 reassuring works since......retains Baze.....the D'A is deadly with these kind

1  Chocolate Coated   decent MSW debut at today's 6 1/2 furlongs down the majestic SA hill turf course......good work since......and Gary Stevens sticks with the filly for his lone mount of the day.........likely needs a small forward move and seems likely to provide one

7  Upfront   on the improve with every start and retains Prat once again.........should be in the mix from the get go and might find the winners circle if her progress continues today

4  Te Amo Mamo

10  Tammy's Window

3  Moon Kitty

 

 

Posted on April 21, 2017 at 10:25 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 20 April 2017

OK card today. Let's call it a 6.5 on the 1 to 10 scale.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Getoffmyback   very solid at two.....like the step up out of claiming.......seems poised for......and...... has the potential for.......more  this afternoon 2nd out following the extended hiatus from the game

3  General Mach Four   solid move forward in 2nd lifetime start and 1st at a route.......back to a sprint today and once again something new for this gelding to handle......as in 6 1/2 furlongs of turf .......pedigree for it seems adequate

9  Taima the Hawk   proven on the SA hill grass course whereas our top two selections are not......vet scratch on 2 April or would have rated higher

1  Southern Keys

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Make it a Triple   broke poorly and ran wide in an eventful bad trip MC40K debut.......smartly steps up one level......last with a good trip sure fits well at today's higher level and he has the potential for more if he builds upon his debut

4  Westwood's Wizard   trainer has had a tough go of it with his stock in 2016......maybe a little too ambitious with the levels he puts his horses.....drops this one to a spot he fits......and if his form is intact he should finish with vigor coming off of 3 straight route races

5  Bucky Goldstein   liked this Wicker 1st time starter in his debut and he ran well running 2nd in a fast race for the level.....actually beat our top choice but only earned the same adjusted for trip fig

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Rizzi's Honors   last two races to finish off her 2016 campaign would very likely win here if she is up to similar off of a very long 9 month layoff.....trainer has done extremely well with limited starters at SA in 2017

3  Time and Chance   displayed some talent in Florida before arriving at Dmr where he had to be laid up after one race way back in July for Ellis......returns with a new trainer and Morey has her cranked putting both speed and endurance into her....seems ready......draws Bejarano

1  The Cat's Leavin   another racing off of a long layoff and changing trainers.....not impossible (as he did win his debut) but definitely easy to place as the 3rd selection

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Jill Madden   latest two racing endeavors peg this filly as the one to overcome.....and......she already appears to be the best speed in the field and now adds blinkers..... retains Mr Pratt......graduation day appears to be at hand

4  Warrior Vixen   toss out last as she might not have liked the blinkers.....toss out 2 back as she didn't like the grass....ignore fig 3 back as a lackluster pace made it impossible to run a good final time.....race four back fits.....rider upgrade.....works hint she has remained in decent shape

7  Quiet No More   Harty is so much more dangerous with 2nd time starters than 1st......drop from MSW to MC30K doesn't bother me as this filly only went for 40K one year ago........1st time blinkers......1st time Raffy........dangerous sort

3  Curlina Curlina

 

race 5    average clarity

8  Los Gatos   seems better on the sod and gets back to it this afternoon after competing in back to back races that were taken off of the turf........up for 12K less today than she was claimed for by Mulhall 4 races back.......works hint she is very primed for today's race as they know that she has a decent chance of being claimed....if they win they turn a nice profit......if she doesn't they lose some coin

7  Heat   Nakatani sure has fit "Heat" well with his 3 grass mounts on him (3 1 2  0)......and maybe more importantly he got him to pass and win to break his maiden in start no. 18.......maybe the five-year-old broke has habit of hanging......we shall see

3  Over Par   strong turf race put in (albeit in a turf route) the last time he competed off of a layoff......last race was November......works suggest he's fully fit for his layoff run.....seems dangerous even in a turf sprint

10  A New Trend

 

race 6    average clarity

4  American Rhiannon   last two races sure fit well in this spot and her latest is disguised by dueling in decent pace on a slightly dead inside......did quite well to salvage 2nd.......back in short rest and steps up hinting she is still sharp

3  Sheza Firstsamurai   bad race - good race - bad race - good race .........three-year old filly needs to break the pattern for her 5th lifetime start........cut back in distance should help

5  Californiasummer   lifetime best was her MSW debut........so running fresh off the bench might be a plus......new trainer and he has done well at SA in 2017 with limited starters

6  Pay Or Play

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Watch Me Now   works sure suggest this O'Neill four-year old filly is ready fresh just as she was in her maiden debut 14 months ago......apprentice has looked like he has some talent and he has done quite well in sprints....should be flying late if his filly is as ready off of the bench as I believe she is

5  Harbored Affair    believe this Hollendorfer four-year old filly is placed this low following her 5F MC20K win because she lacks endurance and they don't card too many of these lowest level condition claimers at 5 1/2F......as in place them where they can win

6  Sunshine Laurie   has failed in her last two layoff races albeit at a much shorter time interval......and she did run 2nd in her debut........so.......maybe with a long layoff she can turn things around......if she does she is at the right level to succeed

2  Truli Ponti

 

race 8    average clarity

12 AE   Californium    two sharp works at Slr since racing on 1 April..........his turf route speed looks good enough to sit close to the front in this sprint down the hill......should have plenty of endurance when push comes to shove

9  Kopitar   one fine hockey player as most of us Blackhawks fans know and not too shabby of a colt either.....still he likely will need a small move forward to graduate but he has been able to put in 3 works since his last on 23 March.....sharp and knows the hill......decent chance to "score" today

5  Lucky Soul   1st time starter has a good pedigree for the grass and draws Stevens for his lone mount of the day.......that sure hints this colt is "live"

7  Dog Gone Lenny   

10  Arms Runner

1  Gummy

11  Amazon Cry

 

Posted on April 20, 2017 at 8:10 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 16 April 2017

OK card today. Still quite sick thus the shorter comments. Back to bed.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Josephine's Moment   best distance appears to be one mile.....gets Prat.......claimed on Jan 21st and been away since but with a nice work series

5  Warren's Jen Fizz   best taken back and that is what Baze (who likely choose this gal over the horse who he just won with) has done in the past with this mare

1  Handfull    last run off of the long layoff appears to be a gimme to drop..... and..... go-go go today.....the fact Bejarano sticks around supports the notion

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Got Even   inside speed bias to some degree the last two days and this good breaking route speed horse should get the lead

1  Madiba   nearly won at one claiming level lower in his last despite being wide.....and the cut back of 1/16th appears to be a plus

2  City Steel   not as strong an effort as our top choice when they faced each other in their last ......but.......he did win the race......and like our 2nd choice he seems better suited to one mile than 1 1/16

 

race 3    average clarity

3  My Italian Babbo   nice improvement in latest and better than appears in print.......works since are stellar....believe this Baltas runner is sitting on his lifetime best

4  Six Point Rack    1st time gelding and some nice works showing.......race 3 back is much stronger than appears on paper

5  Freddie's Dream   obviously can handle this lower level as he won a turf to dirt 10 horse field by daylight for the same condition and was claimed by Carava

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Pacific Heat   been away from the game for a year but he won his debut by 13 lengths.......works suggest he is ready.......might pop another big run "fresh" and go wire to wire

7  Ceeme Run Wild    tough trip in latest and still managed 2nd at today's same level.......1st time Stevens who smartly is only accepting live mounts with the aches and pains he likely copes with

1  Madame Stripes    solid sprint grass race 2 back.....disappointing grass route in last........but she continues to train like she is better than that race and........Mr Desormeaux sticks around

8  Award It

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Johann's Command    last 5 races all fit and he might be at his best at 7F......good history breaking well from post one in sprints......most likely to grab the lead

5  Papa Royale   last two races sure fit but I am slightly leery of the drop and the fact there are not any works showing since his last

7  Picture Tube    75% of his lifetime races fit well here and that includes one at 7F....dangerous late runner

2  The Topester

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Ziconic   bad gate horse but he might appreciate the 9F as he is bred to run all day and that seems helpful at overcoming another bad start

7  Latitude   shot to get loose on the lead......not crazy about the distance for him but if he slows it down early the 9F might be doable

3  Conqueror   needs to build on his layoff run and recent works suggest he might as does 1st time Prat

8  Kid Charming

 

race 7    average clarity

6  For the Lovof Patty   big awakening in last......Maldonado should sit 1st or 2nd by the turn if this filly can repeat her latest.....been a good week for speed

1  She'sluckythatway   would have been top choice if it wasn't for the fact this filly has broken abit  slowly in both lifetime races and like last time draws the one post and the one post at 7F bothers more horses than the one post at 6F.....still....she might get the job done with the two claiming levels drop anyway

4  Run Scout Run   last is her best and somewhat disguised....would have rated higher if I thought the added distance was a plus

3  Princess Nile

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Aristocratic   O'Neill is uncanny the way many of his horse's rebound following a bad race out of town......if this colt rebounds he seems likely the best speed in the field......and gets 1st tim Raffy

1  Bobby Abu Dhabi   2 for 2 at 6 1/2F and it appears that 6f might be a better distance......we shall see

4  Rebel War   last is much better than appears in print......caught 3 wide very close to solid pace.....same effort/energy with a better trip and he has a shot

 

race 9    average clarity

6  Rprettyboyfloyd   all three lifetime grass races fit well here and are hidden to some degree especially his last.......not that fast early but should sit close today as there are many slow early horse's in this field

1  American League   definitely has some physical issues but if he is in good enough physically today he has a decent shot at controlling this race from start to finish

7  Formulate   last sure fits but whereas he had plenty of heat up front to flatter his late run he seemingly will get little today

9  Que Chistoso 

4  Lindante

Posted on April 16, 2017 at 8:57 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 15 April 17

Seems like a decent card today if I am still thinking straight after an evening where I was quite under the weather and had very little sleep. Note: I did handicap when I felt better. Same goes for tomorrow's card. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  St. Reno   speed and the rail had a good day yesterday and this Sadler five-year old should either grab the lead or stalk our 3rd choice........started his career in a MC20K (and won) so back up for a tag of 25K this afternoon isn't much of a concern

3  Magic Taste   recent a.m. prowess points to a top effort this afternoon likely because he is back up for a tag for the 1st time in 7 races.....does tend to hang but might not today if the 1 and the 2 both push each other too hard in the early stages

1  Foolish to Deceive   another who is working as if he might be up for a forward move (in fact the works almost seem too fast)......as mentioned above the lead likely goes to this guy or our top choice......and if the rail ends up as good as yesterday and he leads.......he will be tough to get by

5  Redneck Crazy

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Kenjisstorm   nicely improved since Baltas took over the training duties 2 races back......and one of the trainer's more dangerous stats is 3rd run following a layoff which is the case today.....all that..... and...... he should get a nice ground saving stalking trip

3  Pee Wee Reese    undefeated on the grass (2 for 2 with large margin gate to wire wins) in turf sprints....... tries two turns of sod today for the 1st time........D'Amato Cal-bred should grab the lead and try to hold off the challenge of our top choice and maybe a couple of others

1  Stringent   earned solid adjusted for trouble figs in last two races with tough trips.....better post for today should be a plus but Martin Garcia has been struggling on the grass.....but.....he sure has the right horse to bust out a turf slump with this nice Hofmans runner

4  Royal Albert Hall

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Basie Boots   last win came in a 25Knw2 which was the 1st time this Sherlock filly was up for a tag since he claimed her........so with that in mind I beleive the connections are lured into this drop from 25K to 16K to take advantage of the 16Knw3 claiming condition....she should be primed for this race

2  Comealongwithme   another who appears to be dropping to take advantage of the 16Knw3 claimer........and look who wants the mount for the 1st time.......Mr. Gary Stevens

1  Forthenineteen   nice forward move 2nd out following the Brocklebank claim......not out of this if she manages to build upon her latest

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Lord Simba   both races at SA and at today's 6F distance are very strong.......and Baffert shows a ton of confidence in his four-year old by putting him in a G3 race following his MSW breaking win

1  Kentuckian  tough to tell when this Kentuckian is up for his best but when he is he sure can produce some eye-popping efforts...... such as his last where he won despite being caught 4 wide pressing a fast pace

2  Grazen Sky   2 for 2 at today's distance on main track surfaces.......1 for 15 at other distances........it's not rocket science........should be motoring late

 

race 5    above average clarity

8  Gonzo   just fired lifetime best and it seems fitting as Gonzo rode Gonzo for the first time.....not the best of trips but he had to cope with outer-most 13th post and predictably broke tardy and was caught wide on the turn.........sharp reassuring 4F dill just 5 days ago......the one to beat with the same effort displayed in his last and of course a better trip-a-rue

7  Bourque   1st time blinkers - 1st time racing as a gelding - and 1st time racing in a maiden claimer......a trifecta of changes/reasons to consider this O'Neill three year old this afternoon

9  Cut   obviously a bad claim by Truman and company for 75K to wind up in a mdn30K 4 weeks later......the connections do convince Bejarano to ride.......dislike this situation.....thus I must use a cop-out line......as in......flip a coin

2  June Sixth

 

race 6    above average clarity

8  Hitters Park   sharp win in last to graduate earning a fig that sure fits at today's higher level.........two reassuring works since......good opportunity for Ocampo to impress the Miller barn once again and make it 3 for 7 over the last two months riding for the high % trainer

2  River Hoss   seems best at 6F ( 6 1 2 3) and gets it here.....and his last 3 6F sprints are better than appear in print......late runner appears to get an adequate amount of speed signed up to aid his late running style

1  Gigantis   impressive 17 to 1 maiden breaking win off of the extended hiatus from racing.......better than par for today's higher level......3 works since.......seems likely to provide a similar race today or maybe better if he exited his race in decent shape which his works suggest that he has

3  Informality

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Sweet Dragon Fly   kudos to Pedroza who sure has improved his grass riding in 2017........GB invader has steadily gotten better since arriving to the States in Oct.......and her last in much better than appears in print.......four year old filly should sit either 1st or 2nd out of turn one.....right in Predoza's wheelhouse

1  Ava Forty Seven   might have needed her last.....if that is the case lookout here as she has good early speed with the only other speed that shows on paper being our top choice......rider/trainer have won two of their last four as a team making for a significant return on yur money

2  Crimson and Gold   seems like the best of the off pace runners in this field......connections will have their fingers crossed that more pace develops than anticipated in this F & M alw race

7  Special Gal

 

race 8    average clarity

7  Waldorf   Glatt is more than capable with maiden claiming 1st timers and I am rather sure he has this MC75K 1ster ready.......Glatt has seemingly put both speed and endurance into his new shooter.....also I think it is a good sign of confidence that he starts this youngster in a high-priced MC as he only cost 15K at sale

6  Sutton Impact   another 1ster seemingly all wound up and ready to roll.....in this case for the Miller barn who just keeps cranking out winners without a break in the success for a very very long time.......can't remeber the last time a barn was on such a extended roll

8  Dreams of Valor   low percentage trainer these days but not when dropping from MSW racing to maiden claiming where he has won 4 of his last 16 with 5 others in the money......1st time Maldonado......expecting more early speed for this Dollase colt

9  Allaboutmike

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Moments Notiz   very consistent cheap claimer and especially so "at the distance" where he has managed 9 wins in 15 starts....claimed by Miller in his last and he sure seems up for the class hike as his a.m. work is vastly improved

4  Ankeny Hill   ice-cold barn drops this seven-year old from 25K to 8K.......if he still has something left in him he sure is racing at the right distance/surface where he owns 2 wins in three races

5  London Legacy   dangerous trainer sprint-route-sprint which is the case here.....seems ready for a strong late running effort if he gets enough gas up front

8  Changing Karma

 

race 10    below average clarity

8  Hi Heat Boy   the D'A and friends supported this 2nd time starter much more than they did the 3 horse and I am sticking with the notion that this D'Amato youngster has more talent than his barn mate......either way expect more for this 2nd timer

3  Thermopolis   went off at 17 to 1 in his MSW and beat his barn mate our top choice.......D'Amato is much dangerous with 2nd time starters.......might have put this fellow on top if Garcia was riding better on the sod

6  Patience Ofa Saint   trainer is absolutely polar this year at SA but might get things jump started here if this colt logically builds off his 1st turf race and shows more today.......but of course our top two selections are in the same boat and the D'Amato boat is anything but cold

9  Watered Down

1  Gosofar

7  Insubordination

Posted on April 15, 2017 at 10:46 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Special Pub for Saturday 15 April 2017 covering the 8 Stakes races at OP & Kee

Good weather forecast at both tracks. Life is good!

Good luck to all!

 

Kee race 7   G3 Ben Ali  average clarity

6  Bird Song   has held very sharp form over late fall and winter and continues to train as if his prowess will continue in his 1st race in spring.....capable of going eye to eye in decent pace and still battle for the top prize.....few are

3  Watershed   much improved in latest two endeavors and his trainer has been firing on all cylinders so far at the Keeneland Spring Meeting......should be motoring late as there does appear to be enough speed in the race for a late runner to be a factor in the outcome of this Grade 3

4  Scuba   more suited to 12 furlongs or further but he has also shown that he is capable at 1 1/16th and 1 1/8th.....and the fact that his regular rider Kendrick Carmouche ships in to ride him hints that this is not a tune-up

7  Conquest Enforcer

 

Kee race 8    F100K Giants Causeway  average clarity

7  Lady Aurelia   Wesley Ward is a turf sprint specialist and this three-year old filly is one of his top grass sprinters.......in 2016 this filly won a 5F turf sprint G2 at Ascot by 7 lengths (yikes) and also beat the boys in a 6F turf G1 in France.....training as if she is 100% ready to roll

4  Exaggerated   4 for 4 at the distance of 5 1/2F and three of those races were on the grass.........won the 2016 version of this race at 10 to 1 going gate to wire........capable of stalking to win if need be................draws Prat who by my book is one of the top 10 grass riders in the USA and Canada

5  Rapid Rhythm   very consistent late running grass sprinter racing less than 6 furlongs.....and she is 3 for 3 with James Graham on her back......Michael Stidham knows what it takes to ship and win especially in the Midwest

1  Ruby Notion

10  Pretty Perfection

 

Kee Race 9    G3 Lexington  average clarity

10  West Coast   not an easy post especially for a three-year old colt but the blinkers go back on and he appears to own the best early foot in the field.......rider upgrade......Prat should be able to clear all or most by the 1st turn.....if that scenario plays out he should be tough from the gate to the wire

4  No Dozing   rider upgrade and to one that is off to a hot start at the Kee meeting......trainer is a stellar 30% win 3rd out following a layoff which is the case today........beat two thirds the field in the 2016 Breeders Futurity at Kee last year.......seems pointed to this race.......very dangerous

5  Time to Travel   solid forward more in his 2nd lifetime start for Matz and company running a stout 1:21:4 at GP albeit on one fast day.....like that Prado comes in to ride........colt seems more than deserving at a shot at the big time.....believe this youngster will be on the lead if our top choice doesn't get it

1  Resiliency

3  Senior Investment

 

Kee race 10    G1 F & M Jenny Wiley  average clarity

4  Dickinson    since switching to the grass five races back this McLaughlin five-year old mare just keeps getting better.......comes off her top accomplishment to date a G2 win at Tampa.....and since then she is seemingly training the best of her career......should sit close to the lead in a race that likely favors those who do

1  Lady Eli   ultra consistent sort (as is her trainer) is not easy to place as 2nd choice but I believe she might be a little too late shortening up to only 8 1/2 furlongs and in a race without that much speed......very dangerous but a little less so today maybe

6  Time and Motion   seems at her best given ample time between starts and gets it.......the only time she was able to run on a firm Kee grass course she won a prestigious Grade 1 .......belivee Velasquez will hustle her early recognizing the lack of speed in the race

7  Illuminant

8  Quidara

 

 

OP race 7   G3 Count Fleet  average clarity

3  Moe Candy   owns some decent tactical speed.......and.......not much speed signed up in this affair especially for a Graded sprint race......usually a good gate horse but not so in his last where he broke a little tardy and still managed 2nd in a G2 at Santa Anita.....does well with ample time between starts and gets it......he is capable of leading or stalking to win......should sit 1 - 2 or 3 at the 1st call

8  Whitmore   4 for 4 at 6F and 1 for 6 at other distances......broke the 109 flat barrier at OP in his last two ........connections will have their fingers crossed that the pace will quick enough to aid his mid pack style

2  Wabel   if this five-year old brings his "A game" (2 of his 12 lifetime races) he has a shot at grabbing his 1st Graded win today.......and the way in which trainer Brad Cox is going these days he has a decent shot at doing just that

7  Sharp Art

 

 

OP race 8    150K Northern Spur  average clarity

5  Love That Lute   race came up awfully weak (this younster beat one half of this field in his last by 2 1/2 or more lengths) for a 150K Stakes race giving this Van Berg runner a chance to stalk and ponce once again as he did in an allowance race in his latest....believe our fourth choice leads....if not...... Mike Smith is likely to take it

2  Colonelsdarktemper   was beaten by our top selection in his latest but William Fires is much more dangerous 2nd time at a route.....and the a.m. work sure supports the notion that a forward move will occur.....likely to go off a decent price

3  Warriors Club   on the right end of the learning curve and retains J J Castellano.......seems highly likely to get a mid pack or stalking trip saving ground at least thru turn one.....that is dangerous proposition for sure

1  Cistron

 

 

OP race 9   G2 Oaklawn H.  average clarity

3  Midnight Storm   faces way easier than he faced in the prestigious Santa Anita Hcp to say the least (where he ran 2nd only beaten by 1/2 length).....and he does so as the best early speed in the far by far......thus a 1 to 2 morning line

4  Madefromlucky   seems the most likely to stalk our top choice hoping that if has a bad day for one reason or another......maybe he won't like the OP surface.....I doubt it.....but maybe

2  Domain's Rap   never better and gets to race on his favorite dirt track but he sure needs to do better at 9 furlongs than he has done twice in the past......would have been 2nd choice if this race at 1 1/16 of shorter

1  Texas Chrome

 

OP race 11    G1 Ark Derby  average clarity

2  Classic Empire   giant effort/win in the BCJvnl last Nov at SA.......ran number for a two-year that was off the charts and did so pressing  a strong pace......ran poorly in his next as the 1 to 1 favorite.....needs a rebound.....not sure if he provides one but if he does he can dominate this race from start to finish

12  Malagacy   Pletcher colt has won all three lifetime races by a combined 25 lengths........showed in likes the OP surface by winning a G2 4 weeks ago........ post is no bargain but still appears the one to beat if our top choice fails to make a rebound

1  Rockin Rudy   won by 11 lengths in lone dirt race and it was his debut in a MC80K......had to be laid up from August to Feb and returned to run two grass races down the SA hill and the latest was very strong.....might feel really good for his return to the dirt and with the sprint-sprint-route maneuver

9  Untrapped

Long-shot consideration:   3 Silver Dust   only lost to our 2nd choice by 3+ lengths and not with the best of trips.....blinkers on.....and just what you want to see as an improved work tab......not impossible to upset the apple card with a better trip and a little more horse with the addition of the blinkers

Posted on April 10, 2017 at 5:06 pm by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections