6 more days at Del Mar and then we take a break until Santa Anita opens on 26 September

The Racing Digest picks are up for Wednesday

30 Aug 15:   After any scratches:  Top choice won 4 races, 2nd choice won 2 races, 3rd pick won 2 races, 4th pick won 1 race. 1st race double 3rd pick, 2nd pick $64.20. 2nd race trifecta box of 3 given picks $329.60. 3rd race exacta and double hit COLD $8.00 & $$10.80. 4th race exacta hit COLD $18.40. 8th race trifecta hit COLD $283.60. 10th race top pick, 3rd pick, 2nd pick trifecta paid $843.80. (exacta $187.00)

26 Aug 15   1st race exacta hit COLD $31.80. 1st race double also hit COLD $36.60. 2nd race trifecta hit COLD $50.oo (COLD exacta was $25.00). 5th race exacta hit COLD $24.80. 6th race superfecta box of 4 given picks $1,080.60. 6th race trifecta box of top 3 picks $386.40.

21 Aug 15:   1st race pick 5 was 4th, 2nd, 3rd, 3rd, top pick for $12,249.60. 1st race superfecta box of 4 given selections $668.20. 2nd race pick 3 was 2nd, 3rd, 3rd pick $525.60

19 Aug 15:  1st race superfecta box of 4 selections paid $678.80. 1st race 4th pick, top pick double $60.00. 2nd race top choice over other 3 picks paid a trifecta of $167.20. 6th race our lone long-shot consideration horse of the day won and paid $60.20 win. 6th race double was long-shot, 2nd choice for $771.00. 6th race pick 3 was long-shot, 2nd pick, 4th pick $3,654.20. 7th race exacta box of top 2 picks paid $38.60.

16 Aug 2015:   1st race double was top pick, 4th pick $33.00. 4th race pick 3 hit COLD $97.00. 4th race exacta hit COLD $11.40. 4th race top pick over our other 3 picks paid a superfecta of $242.20. 5th race top pick over our other 4 picks paid a superfecta of $2,822.40. 6th race exacta hit COLD $35.20. 6th race top pick over our other 4 picks superfecta paid $1,140.20. 9th race double was 2nd pick, top pick $66.80. 9th race 2nd pick, 3rd pick exacta $76.20. 10th race top pick, 4th pick exacta was $304.60. 10th race top pick over next 4 picks trifecta paid $2,035.40. I absolutely love Del Mar when it plays fair and it sure has the last 3 weeks after some biased surfaces (inside and outside) earlier in the meeting.

15 Aug 15 Special pub. for Arlington Park: After any scratches: 1st race pick 3 was 3rd, 3rd, 4th pick $266.40. 4th race double hit COLD $10.00. Fabulous 7th race returns: 7th race exacta hit COLD $60.40. 7th race pick 3 was top, 4th, 4th pick $1,203.40. 7th race pick 4 was top, 4th, 4th, 4th pick $6,696.20. 7th race superfecta box of 4 given picks $560.20. 9th race pick 3 was 4th, 4th, 2nd pick for $2,946.20. 10th race trifecta box of top 5 picks $1,135.40. 11th race trifecta box of top 3 picks $216.00. I am a Midwest boy and it was great to play back at home even though I have to say I do love Southern Cal racing!

15 Aug 2015 Del Mar:   1st race exacta hit COLD $16.20. 1st race pick 5 was top, 4th, 2nd, 2nd. 2nd pick for $1,972.80. 3rd race pick 3 was 2nd, 2nd, 2nd pick $97.60. 4th race pick 3 was 2nd, 2nd, 4th pick $450.40. 8th race exacta box of top two picks ( 6-1 & 14-1) paid $191.40. 10th race trifecta box of top 5 picks $2,539.60.

14 August 2015:  After any scratches:  3rd race 3rd pick, 4th pick exacta $43.20. 4th race pick 3 was 3rd, top. top pick $117.20. 5th race pick 3 was hit COLD $293.40 ($7.00, $8.00, $14.80). 6th race trifecta hit COLD $76.00. (COLD exacta $41.60). 6th race double also hit COLD $70.00. 7th race trifecta was top, 4th, 3rd pick $561.00. 

9 August 2015:   2nd race pick 3 hit ice COLD paying $61.00. 2nd race exacta hit COLD $7.00. 3rd race pick 3 was top, top, 3rd choice for $343.20. (COLD double was $57.00). 4th race pick 3 was top, 3rd, 3rd choice for $424.00. 5th race pick 3 was 3rd, 3rd, 2nd pick for $213.20. 7th race exacta box of top two picks $17.20

8 August 2015:  1st race pick 5 was 3rd, 4th, 2nd, top, 3rd pick for $15,412.16. 1st race pick 3 was $1,232.60. 1st race 3rd, top exacta was $41.60. 4th race exacta hit COLD $20.00. 7th race pick 4 was top, 3rd, top, top pick for $805.60. 7th race exacta was top pick, 4th pick $73.80. 9th race double hit COLD $13.20. 10th race top pick, 3rd pick exacta $18.00.

7 August 2015:  1st race 3rd pick, top pick exacta $34.20. 1st race 3rd pick, 2nd pick double $71.60. 4th race superfecta box of 5 given picks $816.80. 5th race exacta hit COLD $41.60. 5th race pick 3 hit COLD $83.40. 5th race pick 4 was top, top, top, 4th pick for $946.96. 6th race exacta hit COLD $40.60. 7th race exacta hit COLD $8.80. (yesterday we hit two exactas COLD paying $49.60 & $25.80) The new surface is starting to settle down and so are we.

31 July 2015:   Top choice won 3 of the 8 races and ran 2nd twice. (none of those 5 horse's were the favorite) After any scratches: 1st race trifecta box of 3 given picks $141.00 (exacta 3rd pick, top pick $56.60) 4th race exacta was 3rd pick, top pick $87.40. 4th race pick 3 was 3rd, top, top pick $649.40. 5th race double hit COLD $70.60. 5th race pick 3 was top, top, 3rd pick $375.20. 5th race pick 4 was top, top, 3rd, 4th pick for $1,671.80. 6th race exacta was top pick, 3rd pick $56.60.

30 July 2015:  Top choice won 4 of the 8 races and ran 2nd once. (none of those 5 horse's were the favorite) 1st race 2nd pick, top pick double $21.20. 2nd race top pick over the other 3 picks trifecta $65.40. 4th race pick 3 was 4th, top, top pick $199.00. 5th race double hit COLD $33.80. 5th race pick 4 was top, top, 4th, top pick for $1,412.40. 6th race pick 3 was top, 4th, top pick $379.00.

2014 Del Mar Meeting (late Fall):   122 races run at Del Mar. Using a $2 base the cost if you wagered on our top choice each and every race would be $244. The return $281.20. That is a 15% profit. My guess is most of our competition wasn't even profitable with their "best bet" or "best bets" or "fair value plays". That is the 3rd meeting over the last 3 1/2 years that playing our top selection each and every race turned a profit of 14% or higher.

 

 

Posted on December 18, 2013 at 5:24 pm by brian · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Uncategorized

Del Mar for Wednesday 2 September 2015

OK card to start the new week. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Cadet Roni   1st time blinkers in latest sure did the trick....ran a vastly improved race and the effort is better than appears in print.....pressed the pace 3 wide on a rail bias day and still won by 4 1/4......yikes

4  Fast Magoo   best ever was turf to dirt in a race run 2 back.......turf to dirt once again today.....and one furlong less this afternoon than his last dirt race which seems like a better fit

3  Alexita   blinker on / sharp recent Slr work.....cut back in distance.......seems likely for a top run this afternoon

5  Yet Anotherkafwain   best ever in last her graduation day.......improved a.m. work since......shot to move forward and be a player here

 

race 2    average clarity

8  Late 'n Left   clunker in 2nd lifetime start......but.........a very strong effort/fig in MSW debut........rebound shot today and especially with a major jockey upgrade.........and if she does rebound she will be very tough

1  Miz Rizen   Puype might have this filly 1st timer ready off of some decent a.m. work......and.....mom has tossed 2 winners from two starters and they both won at two.......and one of them was a Stakes winner

2  Reckless   good race.......bad race.......good race.......?????.......and Cassidy can be one tricky trainer

3  Flaming Vixen    shuffled back early and finished up strong.........might get it right in the early stages today in start no. 2

 

race 3    average clarity

6  Sizzlin' Joe   improved since Hollendorfer claimed........and drops to the level he snatched this grass cutter for......good post.......good rider.......should appreciate softer than he has seen in his last two

10  Ice Cream Truck   very wide trip on the turf at today's distance in his last......earned a very strong number......needs a clever trip from the outer-most post

8  Infinite Magic   takes a significant drop in class and it seems likely he is in good health as Gary why would I ride a suspect horse Stevens accepts the mount

1  Downtown C. T.   only grass race is decent.....gate to wire shot here......jock needs a win badly

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Paschalitsa   John Salder 1st timer looks more than ready to rock and roll at 1st asking.....both mounts Graham has had for Sadler have been very "live"

4  Mc Hottie   improved about a dozen lengths in 2nd lifetime start when you take in account trip......only needs a couple more lengths of more horse today to be better than par........and for most of us better than par is what we strive for

3  Olotta Shaken   bad start in MSW debut and then showed life .........two solid intelligent 5F gate works since.....good break seems likely today

2  Emmy and I   decent works for this Yakteen 1ster.....low % trainer with MSW 1st timers but the drills are too good to ignore

 

race 5    above average clarity

7  Best in Class   Kitchingnam is 11 for 19 in the exacta at the meeting......winning is contagious especially with the big Dmr purses so why not run this filly back for 8K where she crushed her foes in her latest

6  Sugar Spice   drops from a solid 2nd at two levels higher......won for fun two back at today's 8K level......brilliant early speed and good out of the gate ......will have to be caught

2  Power of Nine   not out if this with a move forward in her 2nd out over the Dmr surface

1  Warrnesdollarsigns    needs her effort two back and maybe a little more

 

race 6    below average clarity

4  Yes Master  tepid top selection is working well enough to be ready in his mc debut.....Miller is much better than average with mc 1sters....and.....seems overdue to have a good one

3  Awesome Encounter   wide trip and drifted in the stretch or had a chance to win in his mc debut......and his conditioner is definitely better with 2nd time starters

8  Tribal Roar   poor trips in both lifetime starts.........Gutierrez remains up and the jock sure has had a break out meet at Dmr....dangerous sort and might be a price

2  Counterplay   seems to have the best early gas in the race.....not impossible to steal it

Longshot consideration:   5  Sorcer's Wildcat   works like he can run some........maybe blinkers on for today can bring that run out of him in a race

 

race 7    below average clarity

(AE 12 What A View   has a shot if draws into the field)

8  Freedie's Dream   1 for 1 at 1 1/8th on the grass..........0 for 6 at other distances..........strong work regiment in preparation for today.............Gonzalez has been a good fit and remains up today

2  Over Par   way too ambitious in latest.....back where he belongs today......9 panels (like our top choice) appears to be a good fit

9  Rainbow North   Stevens will likely recognize the lack of quality speed in the race and stalk the 7 horse who should stop.......and then attempt to hold off the Calvary charge

3  Temple Keys   comes roaring late from far far back.........connections will have their fingers crossed hoping for more speed up front than there appears on paper

Long-shot consideration:   6  Volkonsky   both lifetime grass races at 1 1/8th are his lifetime two best and one of them is hidden by a bad trip.....1 1/8th of turf here

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Gas Total   lifetime best was the only time this six-year-old mare got to run on fast rated conventional dirt.....Richard Mandella does very well in non Graded Stakes races......not too shabby in Graded races either

1  Savings Account   found a new home and it is called D I R T.......both lifeitme dirt races are solid........only ride of the day for choosy Mike Smith

3  Sky Mega   very consistent sort since becoming a route dirt horse.......needs just a little more pop late when push comes to shove

7  My Monet   needs a rebound and lookout out if he provides one a he gets a major league rider upgrade for today

 

race 9    average clarity  

(AE 12  Lily Kai    has as good a shot as anyone if draws into the field)

7  Peggy Sue's Loose   not the best of trips in last two races.......see you struggling rider .......hello Desormeaux......same effort with a decent trip and she will be tough here

4  Almost Reality   rebounded in latest with the blinkers put on.....might be up to her race 3 back where she ran 2nd versus the boys and it was a better than average field of males

3  Dressed to a T   dangerous rider - trainer - owner trio........1st timer is very nicely bred for the grass and a route

1  Just Peachy   woke up sprinting (on the dirt) with the blinkers put on in last........good pedigree for a turf route.....not impossible with a small move forward

6  Lirica Heat   faced way too tough in last.....back where belongs this afternoon.....switch to Nakatani who won his only mount for Abrams over he last two months

5  Bilger's Sapphire   tends to hang pretty bad......smaller piece of the pie seems much more likely

Posted on September 2, 2015 at 6:33 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Friday 28 August 2015

I have high hopes for the next 3 race cards at beautiful Del Mar as I have studied all 27 races and for the most part the races look good.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

6  More Stormyweather    seems best on conventional dirt and drops quite a bit.......away for 10 weeks but training as if all systems are go

4  Keezheekoni   lifetime best was run turf to dirt and the that is the case today.......seems likely to sit on or near the lead and with Mr. Bejarano in the saddle

1  Nazareth   vast improvement 1st time running on the new Dmr surface and the race is disguised by a tough trip......and gets a big time rider upgrade for today

5  Flat Footed Mama   shot if last was a gimme for a full throttle go today.....difficult to tell

 

race 2   average clarity

1  Madam Aamoura   seems to handle any surface.....caught a touch wide up near a strong pace in an improved turf effort 2 months ago......that race was run off of a 2 month break........returns off of another break of two months this time on the dirt and with a much improved work tab......MSW start no.12 might do the trick.....rather rare for Baffert

2  Midnight Bella   last sure looks like a layoff sprint gimme to muscle up for today's full throttle go around two turns....the fact Bejarano stays up supports the notion

4  California Curl   both lifetime races are better than appear in print.......and just popped his best work since early May........not out of this with a better journey

7  Entebbe   on the improve with every start.........late runner might need more pace than anticipated

 

race 3    below average clarity

8  Codacious   all three races turf or dirt at 5 or 5 1/2 furlongs fit well.....5 1/2 on the sod here......2 for 2 with today's jock Bejarano up.....0 for 4 with other jocks up

6  Bonus Spin   monster move forward in 2nd lifetime start......so......2nd out after a layoff seems like a dangerous thing......1st on grass but her pedigree to handle it is adequate

2  Desert Steel   on the improve with every start in 2015.....might be the one to beat if the trend continues

7  Moons Over Me   lifetime best was her lone turf race which was down the SA hill.......might want to run further than 5F but if she adjusts to the abbreviated 5F distance she has a shot of getting up in time

 

race 4    above average clarity

6  Matriculate   both lifetime races are strong and the works showing hint little has changed and another solid effort is in the cards

4  Hye I'm Jack   gelding has become very dangerous now that he has learned to rate.......shot to make it 3 straight wins in a row and 5 in a row in the exacta

2  Cornbread Red   on the right end of the learning curve........and might continue the trend getting to run off of a leg her up grass race

7  Tough Sunday   needs rebound to her December form......extra 1/2 furlong for today seems like a plus

 

race 5   average clarity

1  Ivana Beat Yabad   already seems to have the best early speed in the field and now adds blinkers.....should be prominent from the get go and likely tough to get by

6  Minster'sadventure   done little wrong in 4 lifetime starts effort wise.....she did get DQ'ed from 1st at today's level in her last start....should be one of the 1st to get 1st crack at our top pick

3  Vow Me Over   consistent when today's jock Bejarano is up.......top jock needs to push her along late as she tends to hang

5  Rush of Day   big improvement with the blinkers taken off and running from off the pace.......only grass race was a route and she handled the sod and the distance decently and that was with the blinkers on.....so maybe better with them off today

 

race 6   average clarity

9  Patriotic Diamond   might be a maiden still but fits here especially with a race under her belt ........nearly graduated in her debut despite a tardy start and running a little wide in a fast heat.......that race fits with a better trip.....and a forward move seems likely with Bejarano still wanting the mount

3  Later My Love   done little wrong in two lifetime starts......has a nice stalking style......pedigree suggests the 1/2 furlong more is to her advantage

4  Obey   2 for 2 lifetime......but carries 4 or more lbs more than anyone in the field and has to do it at 1/2 furlong further.......still very dangerous here and likely in it from the opening bell

6  Run for Retts   decent pace and final time........ another 1/2 furlong for today might hurt......might be rated too low if it doesn't

 

race 7    average clarity

8  Scratchmeifyoucan   significant early gas and a very positive ride change.....should be very difficult to catch if his form has held

7  Alpha Doll    drop makes sense especially with the solid purse money at Del Mar......good chance to get a nice stalk or mid pack position behind our top pick

1  Catalina Bonita   bad breaking filly moves way up if she can manage to break better from the metal monster

14  Canadian Exchange    3 of 4 lifetime dirt races fit here at today's lower level.....if of course her good health has remained intact

2  Lana Caprina   woke up in his 1st ever on the Dmr dirt......not impossible if she builds off of the effort

6  Allison Cole   improved many lengths in 2nd lifetime start......needs another significant improvement in 3rd lifetime start

Posted on August 28, 2015 at 9:49 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Sunday 30 August 2015

Scratching my head about the weak handicapping yesterday. I felt better than usual about my selections and the racing surfaces seemed very fair. I like the card once again today. We shall see how things turn out this go around. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity 

5  Light Striker   last 6 fast track dirt routes without blinkers fit fine.......no blinkers........a dirt route.......sunny forecast

1  Big Rosie Brown   seems likely to sit in a nice stalk or mid pack ground saving position and with the meets top gun in the saddle

2  West Coast Storm   likely to sit on or near the lead.......my guess is she might need a little more today to win her 3rd straight but she has been improving with each and every out since returning to California 4 races back

4  Runningwiththelute   most likely to grab the front end and her only lifetime route was decent.....Metz doesn't fair too well at the big So Cal tracks but might have a shot with this filly

 

race 2    below average clarity

2  My Secret Affair   SCRATCHED OUT    five furlongs sure seems like a good fit and his only grass race is better than appears in print....should be in the hunt from the get go

3  Kill Shot   another who looks like a good fit with the abbreviated sprint distance of 5F......1st on the grass is the ? mark

8  Pepnic   seems to fire his best "fresh" ............10 weeks fresh today.......proven grass runner should be motoring late

9  Giant Ego   last verses better and at today's 5F turf distance fits well.......would have rated higher if he hadn't been stuck with the outer-most 9 post

 

race 3    above average clarity

1  Stellar Wind   all 5 lifetime route races fit solidly here versus a soft looking group......has to go "south" today or have a bad trip not to be tough as nails here

2  Big Book   I have 5 lengths of trip/pace adjustment in both of her last 2 efforts and both were still wins.......still.....needs very best today and a good trip to take this down

5  Hone In   owns a record of (3 2 1 0) in two turn conventional dirt races........trainer/rider teamed up for an upset win not too long ago......should be making her move in the late stages

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Chasing the Heat   SCRATCHED OUT   last which was his 1st into Dmr fits well......like the fact he is very versatile....... comfortable on the lead or coming off the pace

4  My Slew   SCRATCHED OUT   claimed by Mullins who wins his fair share 1st out following a claim........Mullins needs to get the effort 2 or 3 back out of this 7 yr old........6F seems like a good fit (10 4 2 2)

6  No Contingency   claim back by Bonde who did well with this fellow the 2 races he had him for in the past

2  Magna Warrior   like his 2nd place finish at 7F as I don't think he really wants to run that far......interesting here cutting back to 6F

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Woody's Folly   last effort which was on the dirt is solid and disguised by a wide trip up close to the pace.......like the step up.....says he exited the race in great shape.......a ton if he handles the turf as well as the dirt........OK pedigree for the green carpet

7  Pothress   toss out last as he didn't handle the slop.....race 2 back on fast dirt fits......only race on the grass was a sprint down the SA hill and he seemed to handle the turf just fine

9  Gigantis   drops into maiden claiming for the 1st time off of some vastly improved (blinkers on) works........should be in the race from the get go......seems poised for lifetime best

2  Professor Berns    finally drops out of MSW racing to a level he fits.......not so crazy about the extra 1/16th of a furlong for today or would have rated higher

 

race 6    above average clarity

1  Hide My Heart   strong improvement 1st out on the Del Mar surface........and 3 reassuring works since....same or better seems likely this afternoon

7  Lucky Student   need to lead type has a decent shot at getting what he needs.......and....... if he does he................might........................go.....................all...................the.....................way........couldn't help myself as football season is right around the corner

6  Always a Chance   claimed by O'neill (20% 1st following a claim last 150) who needs to get the effort 2 back (6F) out of his new shooter........3 for 7 at today's 6F distance

5  Shared Image   on the improve for sure and just claimed......but this is an awfully big step up today.......not impossible but if I claimed her she would be in for about 16 or 20K

 

race 7    average clarity

4  The Gomper   steadied hard early and then ran a touch wide in an improved effort in his latest....better post and Hollendorfer is hot......should be tough with a better trip this afternoon

10  Chiropractor    also had a bad trip in the same race as our top choice...........in fact I would have selected him on top if he hadn't drawn the difficult outer-most 10 post

6  Fritz Johansen    2 for 2 at today's distance on the sod with both of those wins similar.....stalking the lead......likely to get that position once again today......hmmm

9  Forest Blue   sat too close to a brutal pace in last and predictably tired late.....blinkers off for today.......likely taking back.........interesting proposition especailly with Peter Miller as the trainer

 

race 8    average clarity

11  Sunbeamsfromheaven   lone conventional dirt race (albeit at a route) fits a ton here......been missing in action since the race which was run last December.......but.....training as if he is returning ready to roll........Hollendorfer puts him in at mdn40K which makes him eligible for the SA40Knw2 race

6  Blue Anchor   decent mdn75K debut last March........away since but drops a couple of levels and Glatt is quite dangerous with laid up runners returning in a sprint race

2  I'll Play My Hand   nice forward move 1st out after the D'Amato claim and the effort is hidden some.....very dangerous here with another move in the desired direction

7  Born to Serve   very fast pace thru 6F set by this Spwar runner in an 8F grass race in his latest.......has handled the dirt just fine.......should have the best finishing endurance of his career today cutting back in distance off of a grass race

 

race 9    average clarity   

9  Long Hot Summer     race lacks speed and she appears to have the most.......very consistent sort......let's hope that consistency shows up today

8  Native Heart  away a long time but working as if she is doing awfully well and draws Mike Smith......low % trainer but not the 1st out following a new runner that he receives in his barn

2  Mangita   need the effort 2 back and with a good trip instead of the bad one that she got......should get it as she has speed in a race that has little and she should be close up and be able to save plenty of ground

4  Butterfly Cup   2 for 2 at one mile on the turf.....last appears to be a tune-up for today.......especially considering the rate at which Hollendorfer has been winning of late.......danger city

 

race 10    average clarity

10  Rockin Rhythm   good speed in this spot and both lifetime races fit well here and his last is at today's somewhat speciality distance of 7 furlongs........hot rider remains up

12  Kiss My Face   good spot for blinkers on as being close up seems like the place to be in this affair.....nice recent work hints the equipment change has done as intended

9  Miss Star Maker   fired best ever in latest and it was at today's distance.....should be closing late.....trainer could use a win

11  Attaira   fits fig/effort wise but will need a clever ride from post 11 as he does not show the enough early speed to clear

8  Divine Tale   deep closer ran better than appears in last as she closed well into a totally slow pace.....but.......it appears another slow set of fractions up front might occur again today

7  Sidepocket Bet   handled 7F in last......rated too low if she moves forward off of the effort

 

Posted on August 27, 2015 at 3:58 pm by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Thursday 27 August 2015

Hot too crazy about today's race card. I would be delighted if things turn out well today. On a bright note Friday's late card looks good.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Doyouknowsomething   claimed from a 4% trainer to a 17% trainer.....and last 4 races fit well........draws the meets leading jock.......a trifecta of reasons to back this colt

2  Ike Walker   repeat of last would definitely make him the one to beat......but.....he suspiciously dropped multiple levels in his last......likely had his physical problems yet fired......can he do it again as a declining horse.......we shall see

6  Win Quietly   invader's whole career has been in routes..........three year old has fired at 3 different tracks so that enhances his chances of handling the Dmr surface......not impossible with his best

 

race 2   average clarity

3  Treasuring   solid sprint MSW debut and I doubt he was fully cranked to go off at 14 to 1.......checked early and still salvaged 3rd in a fast heat........route today for this Baffert runner.....and like most of Baffert's young stock he is very well-bred to handle a route of ground

6  Shakti   bet to favorite in his MSW debut but had a bad trip and it was in a fast heat......did OK to only get beat by 11L.......trains as if he has some early speed.......might go after the front end with a cleaner start........a surprise to many but not yours truly

4  Tanager   useful route turf debut......might have an endurance advantage for today coming off of the effort.....and I like his pedigree for the dirt more than the turf

2  Albeit   sprint - sprint - route scenario here and with a vastly improved 4F near bullet (2/93) drill since his last.....danger city and at a price

 

race 3    average clarity

3  City State   trainer has won 3 of his last 6 dropping off of a claim which is the case here........speed horse seemingly only has one foe to put away early in  our 4th pick

2  Okaad   trainer is stout drooping multiple levels..........8 for his last 21..........that hints his layoff last was nothing but a tune-up and the real running starts today

1  Sinfully   big efforts turf to dirt albeit sloppy dirt........turf to fast dirt today........good enough

6  Antinanco   top choice is dropping so if he has slipped this fellow might get what he wants......that being the controlling speed in the race

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Not too Shiny   last sure seems like a gimme as this mare has moved forward in all three lifetime efforts running 2nd out following a fresh run.....fits quite well if she repeats the pattern this afternoon for a 4th straight time

6  Pearl de Vere   solid sprint grass race 2 back (and a somewhat hidden run) for Eurton and company.......the race run off of 4 weeks rest.......so back in 3 weeks off of what appears to be a tune-up sets her up for a strong run here

7  Sweet Profit   solid 22 to 1 5F turf sprint in last......might find the winners circle today with a move forward or a very good trip

8  Silver Mojave  has impressively fired in every lifetime grass race which were all sprints....3 2nd's and 1 3rd.......needs to find a way to not hang and win

 

race 5   below average clarity

7  Hank the Tank   very aggressive work series and finish up his maiden debut preparation with a very strong 5F gate work at Slr........went for $77K at sale in April so debuting for $80K don't bother me in the least

2  Jimmy the Juice   impressive looking works for this Tim Yakteen 1ster......and mom has tossed 3 winners from 3 starters and they all were able to win at two

1  Big Finish   owns some good early speed but could use a little endurance........has been somewhat unlucky not to get totally loose with the early speed that he posses......might be today

5  Autumn Blitz   solid efforts in both lifetime starts at smaller venues.......deservedly gives the big circuit a try.....trainer could use a visit to the winners circle

 

race 6   below average clarity

2  Kyankes   consistent sort seems likely to get a nice grounding saving trip stalking the lead and with Bejarano aboard .....and the meets runaway leader in wins knows this filly well

1  Scuti de Patuti   last was a little too tough.....but maybe more importantly she just worked an improved 4F drill hinting she is very sharp right now

6  Traiteuse   invader is well placed to win to take advantage of the extra cash........only turf race is better than appears in print and it was her maiden debut.....trainer has had a stout Dmr meeting

9  Housemaker    filly sure fits but has a nasty post......but James Graham is better than most finding the wood from difficult posts

 

race 7    average clarity

8  All Run   seems to have legged up nicely off of a route grass race where he showed much better early foot........big bullet dirt work at Dmr since.........like the switch to Guttierrez who sure is riding great at the meeting.....maybe as good as anyone at the meeting including top gun Bejarano

4  Swiss Cheese   seems like a good claim as this gelding won at 1st asking despite a semi-tough trip.........trainer is good 1st off the claim so a repeat or better effort seems likely for today back in short rest

6  Zackos My Man   failed to fire in his latest which was off a layoff......runs off of a layoff again today but this time sure looks fit and ready to roll....fits if he is

3  Overcome   away since early March but works hint he might be ready......and if he is he has solid early speed and might really open up a lead with fresh legs.....dangerous

 

race 8    below average clarity

10  Tribal Zen   Wa bred tossed a clunker in his MSW debut at Otp.......but returns off of two months rest with an improved work series....especailly like the last 6F work at Dmr.....the work was faster than most of these have run in a race

5  Rickles   last is decent and he  finished up late as if the additional 1/2 furlong for today is a plus

4  Sammy Wonder Stone   trainer has been ready with both starters he has sent out at Dmr so far (2 1 0 1).....and this fellow is working well enough to be dangerous in his debut

8  Midnight Edition   went off at 2 to 1 and showed little in debut.....but a sharp bullet speed drill hints Baffert wants and maybe thinks he needs the front to perform at his best

3  Dinner At Trani's   poor start in debut last and then showed some life....bettter start and a small logical forward move and he should be a player here in his 2nd lifetime start

6  Calvert Street   1ster had so so drills until his very last.....might be coming round when it counts the most

Posted on August 27, 2015 at 9:48 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Wednesday 26 August 2015

Two weeks to go for the summer Del Mar meeting and then a break for a little R & R

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Dad's Princess    drop out of MSW racing makes sense as this is her 12th lifetime start....nice move forward in last 1st time with blinkers and the effort is disguised by a rough trip.....1st time blinkers turf and her race two back without them on the sod is better than par for today's lower level

7  Ya Ya Girl   owns some tactical speed and there are plenty of slow horses inside of him.....so......Bejarano has a good shot at getting over and save ground on turn one.......should be a major factor if that indeed occurs

2  Carnival Lights    improved since blinkers were put on........should be motoring late especially if there is more "pace" than I anticipate

Long-shot consideration:   5  Everdeen   34 to 1 in MSW debut hints at a gimme to drop and go back in short rest......bred OK for both the grass and the distance........sharp speed works since his debut hint he will show some speed today

 

race 2   average clarity

4  Bully Pulpit   all three lifetime races fit and the 3 drills since his latest look awfully good for a Miyadi runner .........as the trainer doesn't push to hard in the a.m.

5  Family Code   decent pace and final time in maiden breaking win in 2nd lifetime start and 1st at Dmr.......should be in the mix from the get go once again......might be the one to beat if he moves forward

3  Panther Creek   woke up and won in 2nd lifetime start and 1st time running with blinkers.....and he did at at today's distance of 6F when our top two choices graduated at 5 1/2F and have never run past 5 1/2F so far

 

race 3    below average clarity

3  Bistraya   SCRATCHED

2  Gavin Streetsense   decent MSW debut in a 5F sprint........needs to handle 8F in this his 2nd lifetime start........but bred to handle the added distance...... and.......1st time long for a R.Baltas trainee is a dangerous proposition

1  Afleet Domination   useful MSW debut and it was at today's one mile distance albeit on the sod........and his trainer is much better with 2nd time starters than 1st time starters......like his pedigree for the dirt better than the turf

5  Coach Q    expensive purchase might be ready to roll at 1st asking for Baffert........and besides Coach Q is my favorite Chicago coach of any sport in my lifetime

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Los Bambinos   awfully good at the 25 to 30K level on the sod and seems at his best at today's turf distance of one mile.....last is a total toss out as he was too wide and up on the pace

8  Persuasive Paul    somewhat of a suspicious drop to lowest level in a long time but the purse money is sweet at Dmr.....rate it 60/40 this fellow is still physically OK.....and if he is he will be a handful for his competition

5  Empty Headed   seven-year old has some strong back numbers and might be up for one of them today with the switch to Mike Smith......as Smith is a perfect 3 for 3 over the last couple of months riding for Jeff Mullins

9  Hobbits Hero   another Mullins runner with a shot at the circle of joy.....Baze has won his last 4 of 6 mounts on this four-year old including his last

 

race 5   average clarity

8  Kiss At Midnight   very consistent to date never missing the board in 7 lifetime starts.........last two races are both strong and her latest is somewhat hidden by a wide trip up near the front.......should be in the hunt from the get go

9  Rockin Dorita   big wake up in 2nd lifetime endeavor and 1st time running at Dmr........retains Nakatani who once again should range up from the outside and be close to the pace.....thus dangerous

3  Sadie Clare    bad starts (5 slow & 4 slow out of the metal monster) in both lifetime starts but still came away with a 4th and a win......will need to break better today versus tougher......very dangerous if she does

5  Q Viva   consistent grass horse but she has that hang in the stretch bugaboo

 

race 6   below average clarity

7  Worldwide   nice forward move in 2nd lifetime (and 1st at Dmr) start and a good-looking set of 3 drills since......stout trainer at the helm.......believe best ever is in the cards for today

11  The Custodian   very strong key race two back route turf to 7F dirt sprint.......one mile grass race in last - 6 1/2F dirt sprint today.....should fire another big effort

3  Real Big Deal    1st time running as a gelding and the recent drills at LA hint the minor surgery has helped......seems likely to show good endurnce today cutting back from a route grass race to 6 1/2F on the dirt

5  Diablo Caballero   consistent sort on any surface or distance.....not out of this by any means

 

race 7    above average clarity

7  Motown Men   3 for 3 at one mile since Ted West claimed.......and a very reassuring near bullet 6F work put in just 6 days ago......believe he has held his sharp form

6  Smooth Roller   done little wrong in two lifetime starts.......Baze takes our top choice but with Baze getting off look who jumps on.......Mike ageless Smith

2  Big Cazanoza   inside speed in one mile races (when the rail is OK) at Del Mar is so very tough to catch.....and that is what we have here with this Miller runner

1  Safety Belt   factor if he is ready off of the long layoff as his last two one mile dirt races (one in 2014 & one in 2013) are impressive

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Where's Bubba   good-looking work series for this Spawr 1st timer.......and Spawr is a better than average with maiden claiming 1st timers........2 wins and 2 others in the money in 4 starts for Baze/Spawr combo over the last 2 months

1  Papa Frank   moved forward in 2nd lifetime start.......cut back of 1/2 furlong should be a plus........should be in the race for the opening bell on or close to the lead

10  Next Book   whole career on the dirt fits here......would have rated higher if had drawn a better post as he has run wide in his last 4 races

3  Mister Exchange   works seem good enough to be possibly ready in his mc debut for Sadler and company

12  Player's Charm   consistent and seems ready fresh.....but tends to hang and has a tough post.....or.....would have rated higher

8  True Deja Vu   drops and blinkers on.......somewhat dangerous 2nd time starter

Posted on August 26, 2015 at 10:51 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections