Final weekend of racing at Del Mar.

The Racing Digest is now available for Friday!

18 Nov 16:   After any scratches:  2nd race pick 3 was 3rd, 3rd, 3rd pick $290.20. 3rd race pick 6 five of six of 6 was 3rd, 3rd, 2nd, 2nd, top pick, 6th pick so count it a miss $3,629.00. 3rd race pick 3 was 3rd, 3rd, 2nd pick $927.60. 4th race pick 3 was 3rd , 3rd, 2nd pick $677.80. 5th race pick 3 was 2nd, 2nd, top pick for $990.40. 5th race pick 4 was 2nd, 2nd, top, 6th pick $10,908.80 (50 cents was $2,727.20). 7th race trifecta hit COLD $75.00. Not too shabby on a day nobody hit the pick 6. 

11 Nov 16:  Two long-shot plays were given out on the card and one of them won paying $19.20 in the 7th. The other in the 6th went off 33 to 1 and ran 3rd one length away from a win. They both led to nice payouts . 6th race pick 4 was 4th choice, long-shot play, 3rd choice, 2nd choice $19,008.00. (50 cent payoff $4,752.00) 7th race pick 3 was long-shot play, 3rd pick, 2nd pick for $3,058.80. 6th race top choice (ran 2nd) and/or long-shot play (ran 3rd) keyed around the other 3 given picks paid a super of $1,636.60. (trifecta $416.20). 2nd race double hit COLD $14.60. 8th race 3rd, 2nd choice exacta $57.60.

6 Nov 16:   After and scratches:  1st race pick 5 was 3rd, 3rd, top, 3rd, 3rd pick for $3,766.80. 3rd race exacta hit COLD $12.60. 6th race pick 3 was top, 3rd, top pick for $323.20. 6th race top pick, 3rd pick exacta $23.20. 8th race our top choice over our other 4 selections paid a trifecta of $393.60. (all payoffs are shown using the same $2 base)

30 Oct 16:   2nd race exacta hit COLD $20.00. 5th race exacta hit COLD $7.20. 7th race pick 3 was 3rd, top, 4th pick for $1,361.14. 8th race double was top, 4th pick $223.60. 9th race trifecta box of 5 given picks $717.40. 

27 Oct 16:   Great way to start the day. 1st race pick 5 was 2nd pick, 2nd pick, 2nd pick, 2nd pick, top pick for $3,752.00. 3rd race 2nd pick, top pick exacta $41.20. 5th race exacta hit COLD $22.60 (top, 2nd. 4th, 3rd pick superfecta $151.40). 7th race 3rd pick, top pick exacta $74.40. 8th race box of top five picks paid a superfecta of $1,683.60. 

2014 Del Mar Meeting (late Fall):   122 races run at Del Mar. Using a $2 base the cost if you wagered on our top choice each and every race would be $244. The return $281.20. That is a 15% profit. My guess is most of our competition wasn't even profitable with their "best bet" or "best bets" or "fair value plays". 

 

Posted on December 18, 2013 at 5:24 pm by brian · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Uncategorized

Del Mar for Friday 2 December 2016

I sure will be pulling for jockey Kent Desormeaux and trainer Phil D'Amato because if they have good days our selections should be right on track.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

9  Mintenized   D'Amato has won with 1/3 of his last 3 dozen first time in maiden claiming.......that is the case here for this three-year old gelding who has run 3 races (of 4 run) on the dirt that fit solidly at today's lower level

7  Little Mustard   appreciates the Del Mar dirt......appreciates the six furlong distance......gets both today.......seems likely to be a major player in this spot but he does have to get over a tendency to hang

5  Woodstock Memory   might have an endurance advantage as this three-year old has run 7 or 8 panels in all of his 8 lifetime races....in those races he has flattened out late some....doubt he does today at 6F

8  St. Reno

 

race 2    above average clarity

2  Resky Business   impressive win in latest as this two-year old filly only had a short lead while setting a decent pace and she held together to win quite easily.......and 4 good-looking works since.......same or better seem to be in the cards today

4  Perfect Cocktail   believe this filly needs a small move forward to compete for the win if our top choice runs "her" race......and she might provide one as her trainer Keith Desormeaux has for the most part been firing on all cylinders...... better than his record at the Dmr suggests

3  Memories Galore   needs a significant forward move to take down this race and/or our top two selections to run dull efforts......stranger things have happened

1  Velvet Jones

 

race 3   average clarity

5  Interrogator   seems like a nice pick up for William Morey and friends of a colt who just graduated at Prx by a bakers dozen........1st on the grass but bred OK for it......if he does take to it he should be tough especially with one solid grass rider in Desormeaux

8  Crosscheck Carlos   can really fly early and with a rider who is decent with sprint speed types......only needs to hold together five panels........dangerous gate to wire potential

3  Rim Ditch   another who can really turn on the jets early if of course he handles his 1st ever on the sod......owns an OK pedigree for the turf but his trainer has not hit the board with at last his last dozen runners running dirt to turf........something has to give

4  Uncle Grumpy

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Zanab   exits a very fast heat at today's same level and didn't have a very good trip......see ya cold rider.....hello hot one in Van Dyke......last race was a sprint and today's race is a route..... but..... I doubt the change will hurt

7  Albeit   Dmr doesn't appear to be her favorite racing surface but she does drop quite a bit and O'Neill shakes things up with blinkers off for today......Doug is 27% win with his last 3 dozen dropping multiple levels

8  Open Enrollment   short on numbers but might be able to get loose and lonely on the lead and with an improving 7 lbs bug boy in the saddle......cold trainer in Eric Kruljac but still seems dangerous

6  Sundar Creek

 

race 5    below average clarity

8  Ciao Bella Rosa  two-year old filly has done little wrong in 4 lifetime route grass races except for winning (2 2nd's & 2 3rd's)......but Miller can do no wrong of late and especially with Arroyo who knows this youngster well....filly is at her best with short rest and gets it today

4  Paddy Jean   nice move in the desired direction in her 2nd lifetime start with the addition of blinkers on.....1st time Espinoza today and he and his agent sure have made the most of 20 mounts with 7 wins and 2 2nds thru Sunday...........cold trainer but this entry appears to be a "live' one

12  Domestic Vintage   very strong stretch run down the SA hill in her MSW debut.......doubt she was fully cranked as she went off 31 to 1......good endurance building works in preparation for today's 2nd start which is a turf route......nasty post but one sizzling hot grass rider of late in Van Dyke remains up

9  Ravissante

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Ain't Misbehavin   exits an extremely fast heat of open company nw's where getting beat by 10 wasn't that bad.....and I believe the race was an extended sprint tune-up (gimme) to be fully ready back vs Cal-breds up for the optional 20K......very sharp recent a.m. work supports the notion

4  Dr. Go   nice awakening in latest and the a.m. prowess since suggests the same or better can occur this afternoon.....Harrington ships in very few to Del Mar from LA but they are usually live when he does

6  Plain Wrap    speed improved 2 races back and then in his last it even got better.....might get loose here......and is he does....... he......................might....................go.....................all....................the...................way

8  Spud Spivens

 

race 7    below average clarity

8  Fritz Johansen  vast improvement and his lifetime best effort/fig 2nd out following the Miller claim........running lines suggest the 11 furlongs might be a bit too far.....but almost everything Peter Miller enters is running better than their history suggests and the magic can't be dismissed whatsoever

4  Danas Best   last win came two races back in the summer version of this 1 3/8 grass nw alw race......this D'Amato seven-year old also ran a decent fifth only beaten by 3/4L for the win in a Grade 2 in the summer of 2015 which was also at the 11 furlong turf distance......nice reassuring 6 work series since his last race which was on 14 Oct

5  Rye   quite the opposite of our top pick as he is somewhat short on numbers but he appears to want to run all day long .......likely will be motoring late from far back

7  Oscar Dominguez

 

race 8    average clarity

1  Kenzou's Rhythm   nicely improved since the D'A claimed 3 races back.....and it sure seems as if he has a fitness advantage having run 1/16 further in his latest at the seldom run distance of 1 1/16 for a cheap maiden claiming two year.......like last time he should be in the mix from the go get and be tougher in the stretch with the cut back in distance

6  Cast and Blast   decent efforts so far in two lifetime sprints.........sprint - sprint - route scenario/maneuver for this two-year old .........and with a decent pedigree to handle eight furlongs

2  Supreme Giant   seems likely to be in a nice ground saving near or on the front position.......in fact I would have rated higher if his trainer wasn't so unsuccessful the last couple of years racing at the major S Cal racetracks

3  Northern Grey

9  Dixie Pistol

5  Dynamic Ruler

 

 

Posted on December 2, 2016 at 7:45 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Thursday 1 December 2016

Final week of racing at Del Mar and then racing moves to Los Alamitos for two weeks with a Grade 1 race as their feature on both Saturdays. Not too shabby for the small track.

Best of luck as always!

.

race 1    average clarity

6  Easter Fever   good gate horse.......seemingly the best early gas in the field........and gets in light with the 7 lbs apprentice up.......all the ingredients for a gate to wire win

1  Run Sophie Run   GG invader is very consistent but she has come up short in the win department in 2016......but......she takes a one level drop and takes the blinks off for today......high percentage trainer in Wong is even higher when he makes the blinkers off move......seems likely to get a nice ground saving stalking trip

5  Miss Graycee   can't be claimed and she sure is working as if she is ready fresh off of a 7 month layoff........might be a prep for a route but if it isn't........lookout

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Sorry Erik   no shot whatsoever in latest as he stumbled very badly at the start......appears to have survived the ordeal physically as the a.m. work since is quite good.....lifetime best and by a wide margin was his lone route race at Dmr......believe O'Neill will pull out all stops to have his two-year old feeling good as it is a long time until he will see Dmr again

7  Montana   nice awakening in 3rd lifetime start which was his 1st around two turns.....bug boy Solis was up and also stays up today to likely attempt to fly early and get in the mix in the early stages.......and then there is the Miller magic as his runners have been in the  exacta 19 of 35 races at the Dmr fall meeting

5  Causa   broke his maiden at 1st asking flying down the stretch to victory despite a wide trip......the adjusted for trouble fig fits at today's higher level if of course he can handle a route as well as he did a sprint......his pedigree for a route sure seems adequate

2  Beantown Boys

 

race 3   below average clarity   

8  Nat's Nation   Mike Puype has padded his win totals this fall by not being afraid to lose a given horse by dropping them down.....that is the case here.......switching jocks to one of his go to guys of the last 2 months (25% win with 2 dozen starters) in Elliot........lifetime best was his only race run at Dmr and it was at one mile on the sod like today

4  Trust Your Gut   lone lifetime win came SA turf sprint to Del Mar one mile grass race.......raced down the hill in last.......one on the grass today.....and takes a small drop......Perez was up for the aforementioned win.......and he is up as well today

10  Malko   tough post but jockey Joe Talamo came to life last week and he sure knows this four-year old well as this is his 7th mount on him.......can be motoring late with a clever trip

7  Yoked

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Little Nati   takes that magical drop from MSW racing to maiden claiming........last on the turf both final time wise and pace wise sure fits well if this filly can manage similar on the Dmr dirt......look for Delgadillo to try to take her wire to wire

3  Jeanjeannie   very wide trip (especially for only a 6 horse field) in her latest which was her 1st at a route.....she did well to salvage a 2nd place finish........Arroyo will be out to amends for such an weak ride

1  War Factor   like our top selection this two-year old filly owns some dangerous early speed and seems likely to go after the front end......1st at a route is a question mark but Richard Baltas is quite successful the 1st time he sends a given runner "long"

5  Big Adventure 

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Time for Ebby   seems highly likely to get what she wants (and maybe needs) as in contact to the front end of things.............and she might be sitting on her lifetime best as her a.m. preparation has never been sharper....solid rider/trainer combo the couple of months in Perez/Sherlock

1  Conquest So True   wide trip in last (also at 7F) vs better somewhat hides an effort that should fit at today's easier level......rider upgrade from a struggling apprentice to veteran rider.....such a deal

4  Sid the Squid   showing improvement with each and every sprint race and also appears to be training better since arriving at Del Mar to work earlier in November.......Desormeaux knows his mount well having been aboard for all 4 of her lifetime starts

6  Halo Darlin

 

race 6   below  average clarity

7  Act   can really fly and runs as a 1st time gelding this afternoon........and if his recent 46:2 bullet work is worth a hoot his minor surgery seems to have helped improve this five-year old.........we shall see

1  Individualist   nice win in his MSW debut way back in February........been away since but is training as if he is ready to roll fresh once again......like our top choice he also is a 1st time gelding today.......so.......there is the potential for even a better runner today and his debut wasn't too shabby.....1st on the sod is a ? mark......but he owns a decent pedigree for it

5  Gutsy Ruler   last three 5F grass races all at Del Mar fit well and all three were with today's jock up.....also all three were run off of short rest........and 18 days since his last qualifies for that

4  Alright Alright 

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Conquest Cobra   ran an eye-popping 120:4 running off of 3 weeks rest following a Santa Anita route race.......SA route race in last........4 weeks later he is in a 7 furlong dirt race at Del Mar.......and with a stellar 7F work showing.......should be tough again

7  Silent Bird   very competitive in all 4 lifetime races.......and definitely on the right end of the learning curve.......continues to train like a happy and healthy four-year old.....1 for 1 at the 7F distance......very dangerous

2  Guns Loaded   consistent on any surface other than an off main track......gets 1st time Van Dyke which of late has been a plus.....has a shot at the winners circle........but..... easy to place as our 3rd selection

1  Clever Royal

 

race 8    average clarity

11  Bissou Bissou    MSW debut fits at today's lower level but her 2nd start also in a MSW race does not.......enough time off and a nice work series seemingly has her all set for a rebound

10  Queen Bee to You   very strong race two back at today's MC50K level so the connections moved their two-year old filly into a MSW affair where she tossed a clunker......like our top choice she needs a rebound......the one to overcome if she provides one

7  Bona Fide Image   two-year old filly is a bona fide contender in this spot if she can get a better trip than she has gotten in her 1st two lifetime endeavors

8  Cuatro Rosas

2  Gypsy

5  Tribal Rosie

 

 

 

Posted on December 1, 2016 at 6:25 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Sunday 27 November 2016

High winds and the threat of rain made an already difficult card even more head scratching to handicap. A little fewer comments today as I had to study for the races possibly being taken off the grass and moved to the main track. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

3  Golden Missile   subtle improved a.m. work since her latest which was her best to date and disguised by a wide trip.....believe she is sitting on lifetime best

1  To B. Ava   all three lifetime races fit at today's lower level.....and finally gets an established decent rider in T C Baze in the saddle.......after three races with bug boys aboard

7  Yavrig

2  Trixie Topper

 

race 2    below average clarity

4  Alley Boss   speed was good yesterday with some moisture in the dirt.....best shot in the field of getting the front end for this colt coming off of an 11 length (likely stress-free) win....nice a.m. work since is reassuring

5  Zarqa Star   handles Del Mar quite well.....and his last three races before having to be laid up on Jan. 30th are solid......his trainer is an outstanding 34% with his last 32 off of layoffs of more than 3 months......dangerous sort

1  Tribal Roar

 

race 3    average clarity

5  We Go Now   best half mile speed in the race......Prat might be able to grab the lead and that is obviously a significant advantage in this seldom run abbreviated 5F sprint dirt race

1  Dapper Dixie   last sure appeared to be a learning experience only......and he ran better than the 7th place finish suggests.......and his last two works sure hint he is fitter and that he will likely move forward in lifetime start number two

7  Canny's Music

6  Jay Makes Us Laugh

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Royal Mo   exits a very fast heat of MSW runners where he had a very bad trip and still managed 2nd beating 10 others.......1st at a route but his pedigree to handle one is just fine.....should be tough if he holds form

5  Sonneteer   par like races in both MSW route races.......retains Desormeaux......speaking of Desormeaux.......Kent's brother Keith trains this colt and the last week or so his stock is really firing and more than his record indicates

4  Troublewithatee

3  South Americain

 

race 5    below average clarity

3  Nuke Laloosh   Miller is winning at a ridiculous 40% clip at the meeting and can add to that here with this gelding dropping a couple of notches....and with a runner who is ( 3 1 1 1) vs. tougher at the distance

9  Trump Diesel   bug boy is mired in a slump but might jump-start things here if he can utilize this gelding's speed to clear all or most by the turn....he definitely appears to have the horse with the best early speed

5  Uncle Chato

2  True Ranger

 

race 6    on the turf - below average clarity

2  Curly's Waterfront    colt has done little wrong in 4 lifetime starts including two races on the turf and at today's distance........good rider/trainer combo.......and what really catches my eye are his last couple of works which are the best two back to back drills of his career

6  Sword Fighter   sprint - sprint - route maneuver here and for a trainer who is on fire in Peter I can do no wrong Miller.......two year old showed he likes the sod as he ran a solid race down the SA hill in latest

4  Hootie

8  Vending Machine

 

race 6    off the turf - below average clarity

6  Sword Fighter   sprint - sprint - route maneuver here and for a trainer who is on fire in Peter I can do no wrong Miller.......should have a good opportunity to dictate the pace up front

2  Curly's Waterfront   colt has done little wrong in 4 lifetime starts including one race at today's one mile dirt distance........good rider/trainer combo.......and what really catches my eye are his last couple of works which are the best two back to back drills of his career

4  Hootie

8  Vending Machine

7  Term Of Art

 

race 7    below average clarity

1  Pleasant As Pie   lifetime best and it stands out here was his MSW debut in Sept of 2015.....she went off 33 to 1 in the race likely shocking her connections winning by 1/2 dozen lengths at Del Mar......Ellis smartly appears to have her ready fresh as he knows what she is capable of fresh and at Dmr which won't be available until summer of 2017

5  Lemhill Basr   another with a big MSW race way back in Sept 2015.......away since her 2nd start which was in Oct 2015.....so.....Baffert most likely has her ready fresh as well......800K purchase as a two-year old also supports the notion she has a ton of ability

10  Fruity

7  Run For Retts

Long-shot consideration:   3  Little Dume   off track at this point?  crushed to win her MSW at Kee in the slop.....seems worth a look if there is some moisture in the track today

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Imperative   I like the confidence builder Baltas gave his six-year-old in his latest......in the race he sure earned a solid fig even considering today's higher level.....he ran 2nd in the 2015 version of this race with a tough winner in Dortmund

6  Point Piper   very strong race the only time he has been on the Del Mar conventional dirt winning in solid time......track will likely have some moisture in it which seemingly will be a plus as he has a 1st and a 3rd in two off track races

7  Midnight Storm

1  Hard Aces

 

race 9    on the turf - below average clarity

1  Fabulous Lady   on the right end of the learning curve and has never trained better.....reliable trainer in Eurton and a reliable turf rider in Desormeaux.......should be in the mix from the get go

5  Angel Eria    good history in turf sprints .....and..... a grass rating anything less than firm (which seems likely) will be advantageous to her and won't be for many in the field

4  Aloha Spirit

3  Araceli B C M D

6  Yellow Bonnet

7  Ready To Hula Lula 

 

race 9    off the turf - average clarity

7  Ready To Hula Lula   been away since April......but......fresh speed and Glatt and only 5 furlongs to cope with.....absolutely right in Glatt's training wheelhouse

4  Aloha Spirit   mom has tossed 4 winners from 4 starters......Miller is red-hot and so is this 1st timers last 3F gate work......seems meant and ready.....and that sure is a dangerous thing for a trainer winning at 40% for the meet

3  Araceli B C M D

1  Fabulous Lady

6  Yellow Bonnet

2  Lori's Attitude

 

Posted on November 27, 2016 at 10:24 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Saturday 26 November 2016

Sure seems like a good card today. Let's call it a 7 on the 1 to 10 scale of things.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Runasaurus   most of career fits well at today's level.....toss out his only race on the Dmr dirt as he stumbled horribly one half-dozen lengths..........this is only his 6th race since starting his career 26 months ago but his works suggest he is doing well physically

6  Look Twice   blinkers on and showing a decent work or two hinting the equipment change might help.....seems likely to get a nice outside stalk position which has been a good place to sit at the fall Dmr meeting.......Miller barn is on fire

1  Bluegrass Bronco   has handled the one post well in the past.......full throttle early for this four-year old who looks as though he needs the front end to win.......solid rider/trainer combo in O'Neill/Prat

 

race 2    below average clarity

6  Glacken Too   likes to stalk the lead and that seems as if it should be the case here.....last 4 races all fit well and a couple of those efforts our disguised some.......back to back bullet works in preparation for todays race........Miller trained

3  Malibu Mogul   likes the Del Mar surface.......significant rider upgrade........seemingly the best early speed in the race.......good chance to get loose or on a short lead with our top selection lurking

5  Alabami Tide   like Peter Miller Mr. Puype is also firing on all cylinders.....and a good potion of his success is with Elliot riding......at his best at six panels

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Lob City   nice awakening in latest....sharp recent bullet 3F work since......appreciates close contact to the front and seems likely to get that in this spot........steps up a couple of "ability notches" but seems ready for the challenge

5  Trinitys Turn   yet to miss the board in 7 races (and all at today's distance) since Gonzo took over the riding responsibilities..........last effort run at Dmr which was run 3 back is solid and disguised by a very wide journey......does tend to race wide but how wide can you be in only a 7 horse race

1  Sharp Holiday   filly sprinters attempting a route for the 1st time often run a good effort in their 1st attempt at two turns especially when they can grab the early lead like this filly has a good shot of doing.......and gets a rider upgrade to 1st time Desormeaux

4  Margie's Minute

 

race 4    above average clarity

4  Eddie Haskell   good gate colt is two for two at the abbreviated sprint distance and ran a snappy 56 flat in both races which were at Del Mar.........seems likely to stalk our 3rd choice who can really fly

1  Richard's Boy   rider is hot right now and Espinoza owns a good history on this four-year old ( 5 1 3 0).......also...... 2 wins and a 2nd at the 5F grass distance for this gelding......needs to avoid a suicidal speed duel with our 3rd choice one way or another

5  Distinctiv Passion   speed of the speed and he might really fly today fresh off of a 10 1/2 month layoff....dangerous high octane sort

7  Bottle Rocket

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Gosseecal   continues to work as if this two-year old filly has held her form or possibly even improved a little.......and if she has with the cut back in distance she should be a major factor in the outcome of this race

1  Mistressofthenight   last effort is par like for today's level when you adjust for a tough trip where she checked on turn one and also had a wide trip.......put 6L of trip trouble in my notes.....like our top choice the cut back of 1/16 should be a plus

6  Spooky Woods   sprint - sprint - route scenario for this Hollendorfer (22% with his last 190 with the manuever) 3rd time starter ......both sprint races are good as is her pedigree to get the two turns......definitely fits if she lives up to her pedigree.....not at all easy to separate our top choices

2  Vexatious

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Mo'vette  very impressive 1st ever routing on the grass in latest......two year old filly trained by Baltas overcame trip trouble and still made a strong 3 wide move on the 2nd turn.......that race with a better trip should make her tough here in this Grade 3 despite just graduating

1  Defiant Honor   solid efforts/figs in her two lifetime one turn route races on the grass at Belmont......more than deserving at a shot in a Graded race.......good east coast conditioner in James Toner.......1st around two turns is a small ? mark

2  Bella Luna   on the improve with every start.......and she might feel really good coming off an easy likely stress free 9 length win at GG.....and the fact that Hal of Fame jockey Gary Stevens wants the mount supports the notion

4  Journey Home

 

race 7    above average clarity

4  Unique Belle   pounded at the windows in her MSW debut back in June to 3 to 10 .......and.......despite not winning she ran like she was bet.......the final time was sizzling and she had about 5L of trip trouble........earned an exceptionally solid number for a two-year old filly in June......as she did prior to her impressive debut she is working as if she is something special......Smith will be all out to make amends or risks losing a filly with a big future

7  Mannerly   good debut for this O'Neill 1ster running better than par for the MSW level and also displaying decent speed......and the works since her 2 Oct debut are improved hinting that even better can occur this afternoon

5  Lady Mamaba   very expensive 1st time starter has the best looking work tab for a Peter Eurton 1st time starter in many a moon......likely has a bright future and might display that future today

8  Arrowsphere

 

race 8    above average clarity

3  Om   very consistent hard trying colt from the Hendricks barn has only missed the board once in 11 lifetime turf starts.....and.....following that miss but he needed 5 1/2 months off hinting he got hurt in the race.......sure like that Stevens knows this multiple Graded Stakes winner very well

8  Hi Happy   four year old colt was something special in Argentina and the barn bothers to fly in his regular ruder for today's first in the U S of A........a perfect 6 for 6 including a big win in a prestigious Grade 1 in ARG........very strong work regiment at Slr going back to late Sept......plenty of potential for a big race

7  Ring Weekend   only time Van Dyke rode this five year old gelding he won a Grade 1 at SA on him.....and Van Dyke is on fire......gelding has a win and a 2nd in his only two grass routes at 1 1/16.....both Grade 2 races like today

4  Vyjack

 

race 9    average clarity

5  Sawbuck   solid move forward in his 2nd lifetime start and sharp in the a.m. since.......rather sure this colt has remained sharp.....that combined with a rider upgrade to 1st time Desormeaux makes him the one to overcome

4  One I'm Running Too   beat our top choice by a nose in his last which was also an improved race in his 2nd lifetime endeavor.....and the cut back od 1/2F appears to be a plus.......placed as the 2nd selection mostly because of the way in which our top choice is training

7  Majestic Journey   very prolonged work regiment for this Baltas 1st time strter suggests he is meant and ready for his MC debut.......have reasons to believe he will be running from off of the pace

2  Blow My Mind

1  General Info

6  Saturday Command

Posted on November 26, 2016 at 8:20 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Del Mar for Friday 25 November 2016

OK race card today and at first glance Saturday's appears quite good.

Hope you had a great Thanksgiving day.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Rosarita   alarming drop to the bottom claiming level but the morning work hints there still is something left in this five-year old mare......and she was claimed back in Jan. for only $4,500 more than she is up for today

9  Altaira   consistent sort (17 4 5 5) and her lifetime best was run on the Del Mar dirt and at today's 6F distance........good history with the bug boy up......all 4 lifetime wins are at the 6F

1  General Ann   another alarming drop........hasn't raced since April and that race is the only time she has been able to compete in 2016......does she have an effort in her?...... flip a coin

4  Mudge

 

race 2    below average clarity

1  My Uncle   nice par like MSW debut on the dirt in August......disappointed at 3 to 5 in October.......facing the grass and a route both for the first time this afternoon but with a solid pedigree to handle the changes......hot trainer in Puype and a good portion of his success over the last couple of months is with Elliott up

7  Jet Set Man   solid grass MSW debut down the SA hill.....showed plenty of early speed........so Theriot has a decent shot to get a good spot on or near the lead and keep his mount out of trouble.....and Brain Koriner is much more dangerous with 2nd time starters

5  Hot Rodin   good history running off of short rest and 14 days since his latest sure qualifies for that ......like our top pick he should be in the mix early.......new unproven sire but his blood lines suggest his progeny should like the grass and a route......we shall see

10  Evicted

Long-shot consideration:   9  The Golden Kid   toss out last as he seemed to dislike the dirt.....back to the grass today where his best ever on it was his lone race on the Del Mar turf......that race produced multiple next out winners......also that race was at 1 1/16th and today's shorter route distance appears to be a plus.....rider/trainer have won with some big prices in the past

 

race 3    above average clarity

6  Hot Smoke   repeat of his latest sure could win this and the 6 1/2 furlong distance seems like a perfect fit and likely won't be for a few in this race including the 5 horse who did beat our top choice on 6 Oct

2  Elwood   MSW debut run 3 races back fits and the effort was run at Del Mar......next two endeavors do not........so Hollendorfer wisely gives his two-year some time off to get his mojo back....adds blinkers....and has him training like a rebound should occur

3  Ms Wakaya   filly vs the colts and geldings but she ran a strong 2nd in her latest vs. her own sex and did so despite a wide trip........better trip with 5 lbs off and she might have a shot at beating the boys

 

race 4    average clarity

9  Sturdy One   has done little wrong in 3 lifetime turf races at the abbreviated 5F distance (3 1 2 0)....and she seemingly gets plenty of early gas up front to flatter her mid pack running style

3  Lajatico   ran a par like adjusted for trouble fig in her 1st race in the good old U S of A and did so at a route.....she was a successful turf sprinter in GB.....retains Prat.....like our top pick she should sit off what should be a hot pace up front and be motoring late

8  Tale of Papa Nick   poor trips in all 3 lifetime races at today's 5F on the sod......drops into claiming for the 1st time and does so off an eye-popping 45 flat work.....Baltas is trying to put a different level of early speed into her.....and Richard likely means business as he knows she might be claimed today

5  Miss Loujean

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Pontificator   Spawr appears to have his 1st time starter ready for her MC debut with a steady series of muscle-building 5F works......and her best work is her last and at Dmr hinting she is at her sharpest when it counts the most

5  Aura Rose   woke up in her 3rd lifetime start and 1st in a maiden claiming.....good a.m. work since and steps up hinting Truman likes what he sees

8  Tell My Fortune   25 to 1 in her debut hints the effort was needed (and really not that bad).....and the a.m. work hints she benefited from the race and that much more should occur today......trainer has had a good year and might add to it here

6  Wicked Favor

 

race 6    above average clarity

4  Texas Ryano   just keeps improving one baby step at a time and some of the improvement is hidden........smaller field today should help traffic wise as should a better post........11 - 10 - 12 post in last 3 race......4 post today......sharp recent bullet 5F work

7  Ashleyluvssugar   very good speed in this spot and consistent including at today's 12 turf furlongs where this five-year old is 2 for 3.....Hall Fame jock Stevens is well acquainted with his mount as is 8 mounts in his last 9 races

2  Royal Albert Hall   runs all day long so the 12 furlongs should help his chances of getting in the mix in the late stages......1st time blinkers and decent works.......potential for lifetime best is there

1  Ralis

 

race 7    average clarity

3  My Italian Babbo     solid MSW debut way back in Feb running 2nd by a nose despite breaking slow and running a little wide........returns with a major league trainer upgrade.....and the works sure hint Baltas has him very fit and ready for a big effort

2  Prime Attraction   32 to 1 in MSW debut hints the sprint was tune-up and a tune-up that has helped as his a.m. prowess since is vastly improved.....and the connections didn't shell out $335K to have a sprinter

7  Taniko   always tough to get a 1st time starter to cope with two turns to start their career but the works for this D'Amato are very aggressive.....and mom has tossed 4 winners from 4 starters 2 of which were Stakes winners.....seems dangerous

6  Chiksika

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Unlikely Story   Cal-bred showed some life in an open company turf route in his latest......and since he has put in a steady diet of 5F weekly drills.......back vs State-breds today and a soft looking group at that

8  Extreme Heat   decent sprint MSW debut and a much improved work tab since.......all systems go for his 2nd lifetime start.........owns an excellent pedigree to appreciate a mile turf route

5  He's All That   sprint-sprint-route scenario here for Cassidy and company......rider upgrade.....decent pedigree for a turf route......dangerous

11  Alsatian

4  Bottle Service

3  Hogan

 

Posted on November 25, 2016 at 10:03 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections