Los Alamitos opens Thursday for a decent two week meeting. Post time is 2:15 pm PST

 

5 June 15:  BOMBS AWAY at Santa Anita! (after any scratches) 1st race pick 5 hit ICE COLD $541.00. 3rd race pick 6 was top, top, top, 3rd, top, 4th pick for $64,066.40. 4th race superfecta selected in perfect order as in ICE COLD $473.20. 5th race pick 4 was top, 3rd, top, 4th pick for $4,415.20. 7th race exacta hit COLD $26.40. 8th race box of top 4 selections paid a $603.40 superfecta.

9 May 15:   6th race pick 4 was 2nd, 2nd, top, 2nd pick for $5,065.40. 7th race 2nd pick, 3rd pick exacta $142.00  9th race 2nd pick, 3rd pick exacta $223.20.

 

Posted on December 18, 2013 at 5:24 pm by brian · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Uncategorized

Santa Anita for Sunday 28 June 2015

Closing day today at Santa Anita. Los Alamitos opens up Thursday for a decent 2 week meeting. First post 2:15 PST. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Pefiolo   seems like a decent claim by Alfredo Marquez......cut back to one mile is a plus.....as is today's rider change.....should sit near the front in a pace that I project to be reasonable

3  Trash Talkin   trains like an allowance horse but runs like a cheap claimer.......at this point in his career of only 3 races his a.m. prowess still makes him awfully dangerous.....as in the possibility of a significant move forward

8  He's a Real Keeper   very strong effort in last somewhat hidden by a bad trip (checking and running wide)......would have rated higher if the jock was more clever as I believe he will be wide once again

4  Surfer Moon   seems capable here but more likely to get a small slice of the purse pie than a trip to the winners circle and 3/5ths of the pie

 

race 2    below average clarity

7  Call to Congrats   nice guy and usually decent trainer Gary Mandella has had a tough 2015 but might get his 3rd win of the year here with his new shooter to his barn that is working as if she is ready to roll fresh off of the bench........only race on grass is strong albeit at a route but she ran well sprinting on the AW so I highly doubt she won't handle the SA hill

4  Tale of Papa Nick   Baltas sure has cooled off the last couple of weeks after being sizzling hot....might right the ship here with filly who is 2 for 2 down the hill......the rest of the field only has 3 winners combined

3  Missy Mouse   on the improve with every start and proven on the SA hill....very dangerous if she keeps the trend going today

8  Daddy's Duo   when last seen in late Sept. she graduated in style winning by 13 lengths.......big step up......good turf pedigree.......not impossible if she is ready "fresh"

Long-shot consideration:   2  Doodetta   like her run down the SA hill when last seen on New Year's Day......works hint she is fit......and Drysdale is decent off of long layoffs

 

race 3    below average clarity

7  I B Mike   tepid top choice is solid when he brings his "A game".....not sure if he's bringing it today but if he does he should get a nice stalk position ranging up from the outside

4  Pat the Bear    after 4 consecutive strong efforts ( 3 of which were on the SA dirt) he tossed a clunker in his latest.....needs a rebound......good conditioer to get one out of him

2  Final Step   lead type only seems about 50/50 to get what he needs.....trouble city for his foes if he does get a clear lead

3  Rough Passage    seems like a better sprinter than router........seems better with the blinkers off than on.......gets both today

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Going Somewhere   triathlon's are his thing and the 1 3/4 miles won't be for most in this 7 horse field

3  Golden Soul   sure acts as though he will handle another quarter mile............ships in off of solid am.m work at Churchill Downs

1  PatriotRule   many of his lifetime races fit fig/effort wise......but......he has plenty to prove running about 14 furlongs

2  Decisive Edge   coming off lifetime best.......likely exited the race in good condition for Hollendorfer to step him up.......owms a better than average pedigree to handle a triathlon

 

race 5   above average clarity

8  Iron Fist   very impressive in latest his 1st at a route.......wide up on a hot pace and still managed to win.........series of 4 solid works since.......should take this if he just repeats his last and gets a decent journey

2  I Don't Care Who   might be a good claim by Sadler........coming off two good claiming races........and he sure has worked more impressively since arriving in the Sadler barn.....believe he might pop lifetime best today

3  Grazen Sky   three-year old colt has done little wrong in 7 lifetime races three of which were at SA....not out of this 

6  A Colt Following   won despite way too wide of a trip in his last....but he does face much better today so he will need his best ever and maybe more today......smaller slice of the pie seems more likely

 

race 6    average clarity

5  Blue Law   a "ton" if he returns as good as new as his grass race 2 back is very strong for the MSW level......works sure look good for a MSW runner trained by Bob Hess as he really doesn't push them too hard in the a.m 

8  Air Pocket   impressive one beaten length third in latest as he ran wide throughout the race......same effort with a better trip and he is quite solid for the level

7  Pretentious   very impressive late run into a paceless affair.....connections will have their fingers crossed that more pace will develop this time around for their deep closer

1  Osmoz   47 to 1 for a Mandella 1st timer has gimme written all over it.......we likely get to see what this colt has today

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Take It Easyplease   seems like a great spot for a filly to drop out of MSW racing to mc50K as this is one weak looking bunch.......and the trainer is 10 for his last 32 with such a maneuver

5  Hi Fever   decent debut......fits solidly with a logical forward move in his 2nd lifetime endeavor 

1  Designated Royalty   so so mc debut....needs quite a bit more this afternoon

7  Cattle Queen   so so debut but no support at the windows.....more likely today......seems like a question of what degree 

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Salah Champ   has to carry 125 lbs but has a super grass record of (11 5 5 0) and has a very smooth way of going.....if there is a ? mark it is the 1 1/4 distnce.......if Hollendorfer thinks he will handle it that is good enough for little old me

2  Big John B   best by far in the race but........not sure he is ready off of the long layoff and he has the burden of 130 lbs.......believe he can win this if he is fully fit even with the weight assignment

7  Street Maven    lone win at today's 1 1/4 distance (3 1 1 0) was the only time he was loose and it appears that can occur here

9  Macho Sox   last was lifetime best and gets plenty of weight off today......not impossible if he ends up appreciating the mini-marathon distance of 1 1/4

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Sweet Silver   last couple of races are par like for this afternoon's slightly lower level.....and back to Bejarano who owns the lone lifetime win on this filly in his only mount aboard her

1  Kantina Kowgirl   trainer has had a tough 2015 but might raise his 4% win % here as this fillies last 2 dirt sprint raises (his last and her a race 5 back) look good enough to put her in the hunt for the win here.....6F seems to be a very good fit 

7  Mothernaturespell   O'Neill has had this filly very ready when placed up for a tag (2 1 1 0) and I believe he will have her ready today as well

4  I'll Tell You What  not too much punch past 5 1/2 furlongs but might be feeling quite good for Gary Stute to step him up in claiming today

 

race 10    average clarity

3  Dixie Tweet   a good portion of her career fits.......and.......why not drop as this is the last opportunity to take advantage of a mid priced maiden claiming turf race for quite some time

5  Barbs Angel   last two sprint grass races fit....1st at a turf route today but owns a decent pedigree for one....at least at one mile

6  Carnival Lights   somewhat short on figs.....but.....recent a.m. preparation hints at running a top effort today

12  Ya Ya Girl   dangerous turf speed in this spot.....and retains the meets top gun

8  Scuti de Patuti   takes that ever significant drop into maiden claiming for the 1st time

10  Stipend   only turf race might fit but it was a sprint........has something to prove at a route on the grass

Posted on June 28, 2015 at 7:21 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 27 June 2015

Last Saturday at SA and the track sure has lined up some quality runners today. And the Triple Crown Winner makes an appearance.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  No Contingency   seemingly the best speed in the field and only needs to stick around for 5 1/2F........latest is par like and today we get a monumental rider upgrade

1  Sidepocket Champ   last fits OK but what would make him very solid here would be his effort produced two race back

7  Endless Cruise   dropping after a win is always a concern but the gelding has managed only 10 races in 5 years of racing.....fits here is he is still in decent shape

5  Peacenik   very competitive in all 4 races in 2015.....and might be at his best at 5 1/2F.....not out of this

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Larry Birdstone   improving sort is sharp in the a.m. for this race.......and his trainer is very solid sprint-sprint-route which is the scenario here

4  Big Discovery   both lifetime grass races fit here........if of course his new trainer can get a similar run out of this three-year gelding

7  Architop   two of 3 lifetime grass fit in this spot.........blinkers on to help focus come crunch time

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Mudge   solid wake up in last albeit at the abbreviated sprint distant of 5F......and her works since her last are improved and longer.......6F should be within her limited range

2  Not Tonight   last was better than appears....wide up on the pace in a route....cut back to a sprint should be a plus......two reassuring recent drills

9  Divine Tale   last was only so so....race 2 back would take this race......not sure which is likely today

6  What a Rainbow   1st time running for Chew.....blinkers on today and the trainer is good off of layoff and pulled quite a few upsets in 2015

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Ultimate Luck   1st on the sod but bred to handle it........if he does take to it he seems likely to sit in a good ground saving close up position

1  Neptune's Spear   toss out last as he had a very bad trip..........and the works since suggest he is feeling quick good.......2nd time Sadler and 2nd time lasix both make him dangerous as he had no shot to fire in his last

8  Yes Yes Yes     not my favorite trainer off of long layoffs (13% last 70) but his last race back in Jan. was on the hill and very strong......and Bejarano wants the mount.......very dangerous if he is fit and ready 

9  All Run   best of the rest....trainer is better 2nd time grass which is the case here

 

race 5   below average clarity

8  Colonel Power   not the most prolific trainer with MSW 1st timers in Hector Palma but the work regiment is much too good to ignore

6  Hook 'Em Kurt   last 3 races fit and the last two efforts are hidden by poor trips.....especailly his last where he dueled in solid pace and rightfully tired late as almost everyone does

11  Smooth Roller   another trainer not too hot with 1sters but seemingly has his first starter all wound up and ready to unwind

7  Colors of Beauty     dangerous trainer with 1st time starters when he works them with tight intervals.....6 days between the last 6 works qualifies

Long-shot consideration:   4  J Serino   finally gets to run off of short rest and the last time he did he ran a strong effort and the effort is hidden by dueling in solid pace on a slightly dull rail.....did well to only lose by a head.......dangerous rider/trainer team all year-long at SA

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Curlin's Fox   really getting good fast and Smith sticks around........seems likely to be no worse than 2 wide heading into turn one.......just crushed less in a grass sprint and her pedigree says she should be better at a route

8  Avenge   love when Mandella isn't in a rush with a nice prospect and that is the case with this developing filly.....1st long but owns a pedigree that should handle it

2  Long Hot Summer   (4 3 1 0) turf and AW combined........like out top pick seems likely to sit close and save ground on turn one.....and that folks is 1/2 the battle

9  Prize Exhibit   one race showing fits......her effort 4 back way back in January......needs to find that race today

Long-shot consideration:   3  Lutine Belle   promising filly hasn't been much following an eye-opening win on New Year's Day......but.....Hollendorfer might have discovered something for the better as she is working up a storm the last 8 weeks.....danger city

 

race 7   above average clarity

5  Masochistic   5 for 5 in one turn races when not wearing front bandages.......five year old gelding can handle nasty pace and still go on with it

4  Sahara Sky   decent history at today's somewhat specialty distance of 7F......might have beaten our top selection in latest if he hadn't been caught wide on the turn

2  San Onofre     consistent sort seems best stalking and it would be unwise to press out top choice too early....has a shot from just off the pace

3  Appealing Tale   best of the rest.......does have something to prove sprinting

 

race 8    average clarity

1  Blingismything   very consistent and one mile might be her more desirable turf distance....and she just missed in a Grade 1 at 1 1/8th on the sod.........sharp reassuring 4F drill one week ago

8  Queen of Sand   best at one mile (6 3 2 1)  and seems very sharp right now and gets a major league rider upgrade

4  Birdlover   responds well on the lead and especially when today's jock Mike Smith is up

2  Generosidade   only beaten by 2 1/4 for the win at 78 to 1 in a Grade 1.....shot if she moves forward today in her 2nd start in the good old U S of A

 

race 9    average clarity

9  Catch a Flight   8 for 10 on conventional dirt surfaces and he managed 3rd place finishes in the other two races one of which was the SA Hcp........continues to train for Richard Mandella as if all is well

8  Moreno   seems like a very good sign that Cornelio Velasquez comes in to ride this stout speed route horse once again......might have considered him as the top choice if he wasn't 0 for 7 at the distance

5  Majestic City   solid Grade 3 win at LS in last albeit on an off track.....but the works since on the fast SA surface suggest he might even show more today

2  Hard Aces  short on figs but might be flying late if a hot pace developes as it might

Long-shot consideration:   3  Poshsky   had 1o lengths of trip adjusted for this fellow and he only lost br 4L 1st time with the blinkers.....obviously needs a cleaner trip in this big race but lookout if he gets it

 

race 10    average clarity

6  Where Was Eddie   best set of preparatory works for a Ben Cecil runner in many a moon......might have a golden nugget.......excellent breeding for the grass

5  He Could   broke slowly and ran wide and still came flying fast late in MSW debut which was also down the hill....should be a player here

7  Stormin Trick   no chance with a bad trip down the hill in last but showed he can handle it....sharp work since.....likely needs best ever today.....not impossible to provide it

8  Diablo Caballero   competitive but needs more punch....last with the blinkers off was better....but will still need more today

12  Comtemplate   has flashed solid speed and stopped in 2 dirt races.....bred for the sod just fine......might not stop so readily on the turf

2  Prohibition Repeal   best of the rest

Posted on June 27, 2015 at 7:27 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 26 June 2015

Good card today a 7 on the 1 to 10 scale.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Top Drawer   1st going long and he has a somewhat suspect route pedigree but sure seems like the one to overcome if he handles the added distance........and Ron Ellis likely believes he will handle one.....that's good enough for me 

3  Sir Macho   Bill Spawr and friends have been a touch stubborn (reluctant) to drop this gelding as this is the 9th start since they claimed him and he has yet to visit the winners circle for them......drop should help this fellow who seems to find ways to lose

2  Big Swag    one-dimensional gelding seems to be a lead type only so the connections try a route to enhance her chances at getting a loose lead

 

race 2   above average clarity

4  Matriculate   very impressive winning MSW debut.......best back to back drills for a Spawr runner in many a moon since....stout conditioner with a good horse and he has one here

3  Tough Sunday   away since January where he likely was hurt......returns with works that say he is fit and ready....races 2 and 3 back are very powerful efforts with the one 3 back totally disguised by a brutal trip

6  London Legacy    improving sort retains the meets top gun......top two seem tough so this Sherlock runner likely needs the learning curve to continue today to have a shot at the top prize

 

race 3    average clarity

7  Hot Ore   best dirt effort/fig of anyone in the field and as far as I'm concerned the best turf route pedigree as well.....hard not to put on top

5  Jamie Said No   just bought in April by O'Neill and company so they pretty much knew what they were getting.......decent grass pedigree......O'Neill did well in turf route last year with two year old runners

8  Frac Candy   useful maiden special weight debut.......interesting potential pedigree wise to take to the grass....definitely bred to handle the distance

4  Mr. Game Seven   best of the rest.......OK pedigree for both the distance and surface

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Norastone   toss out last as it was run on an off track.....effort two back fits and it was at one level higher than today's race.......recent couple of works hint she has held her form

2  Galway Bay   laid up filly returns with a new trainer who has upset the apple cart a few times in 2015......works indicate that he might have the trump card for this cheap filly whole likely leave the gate at a big number

4  Nothing to Hide   powerful bullet 4F work one week ago seemingly out of nowhere......significant wake-up potential

3  Lil Cheyenne   last run off of a 14 month layoff was the gimme......go today with a switch in riders from a struggling one to the meets top gun

 

race 5   above average clarity

8  Perfectly Majestic   impressive race down the hill two back and today he gets a rider upgrade......a ton here if he is up to that effort this evening

1  Homer Matt   away from the game for 11 months but ran one big race in his debut which was a Stakes race that produced two next out winners.....yikes.....not bad in your 1st start......so he looks very formidable fresh once again.....and the works say that he is feeling great for his 1st ever on the sod which he should handle with a decent pedigree for it

3  Alamo   very strong effort/number 1st on the hill in last.......but.......so far in his 7 race career he has yet to put his nose in front......might be a hanger

4  Tirpitz    nice forward move in 2nd lifetime start.....in this if he manages another solid move in the desired direction

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Getoffmyback   Casse 1ster went for over $100K in March......works have a nice progressively improved pattern......relatively expensive Cal-bred seems ready to rock and roll

10  True Brillance   solid MSW debut in the slop........would easily have been top pick if he had run the solid effort on a fast track and/or didn't draw such a difficult post in a 5F race

7  Look Me in the Eye   work tab sure suggests he is ready to roll at 1st asking......and...... it seems significant Smith is ridding for Puype

6  Speedin With Eddie   just bought in March so Freeman and company got a good look at what they were getting.......seems dangerous in his MSW debut

 

race 7    average clarity  

(AE 12 Extant  has a shot if draws into the field)

3  Red Button   3 of 6 lifetime efforts (including 1 on the grass) fit well here.....laid up but Glatt is quite good at bringing back sprinters locked and loaded

1  Anytime Anyplace   best credentials on the SA hill grass course and is working lights out in preparation for today's race

8  Jazzy Josh    performs better in sprints and just won a turf route......so logic says he is sitting on a strong effort down the hill this afternoon

2  Rocket Heat   speed of the speed is solidly bred for the grass......might move forward in his 1st on it today.....he better as there is plenty of early heat in this race

Long-shot consideration:   6  Comanche Ruler   1st time running as a gelding and the way in which he has been training since his surgery suggest's he is now a vastly improved thoroughbred......dangerous

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Chicago Angel   blinkers off for today seems to have done quite a bit of good at least in the a.m.......now let us see if it transfers to the pm

1  West Coast Storm   woke up in last like we thought she would.......needs to avoid a speed duel with the filly to her outside.......should be a major player if she holds form and avoids a potential speed duel

7  Classy Chick   woke up some with 1st time blinkers in last........might have muscled up some off of a faster run.......fits if she has

5  Katy's Plum    ran an effort that fits very well here the last time she ran off of a layoff.........been away 5 1/2 months

3  Splendid Outcast   seems slightly better at a route.....subtle improved recent work.......trainer has had quite a few price shots in 2015

2  Valentine's Reward   turf tightener in last....dangerous speed if she can get the jump on our 2nd choice

 

Posted on June 26, 2015 at 5:51 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 25 June 2015

Decent card today to start off the last week of racing for the marathon meeting at Santa Anita. (I like Friday's card even more.) Very impressive card for Saturday quality wise. (Yet to have studied it.)

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  No Tricks for Jack   seems like a great spot as he sure appears to be the controlling speed and is 2 for 3 at the somewhat speciality distance of 7F

6  Salsita   turf muscled up and can handle the dirt just fine........should be coming into the picture in the late stages.......connections will be hoping for more pace up front than anticipated

2  Peppy Bolly   late runner often finds trouble in races but when she doesn't she can be very dangerous in the late stages

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Del Mar Dixie   on the improve and now drops one level.....finally Jeff Mullins is getting the winners circle........he seem to be in drop/go mode

7  Wild Caroline   2 for 3 and a close 3rd for the other on main track routes...... and one for one at Santa Anita.....just claimed by Stute.....and it might be a good one.

4  Private Marina   at her best at today's 1 1/16th distance.......step up is fine as her last sure fits winning with a wide trip and winning by plenty of daylight

6  Articulate   Ellis claimed in her last and drops his new shooter in claiming price......no problem for me as the crafty trainer is lured into to 16Knw3 condition

 

race 3    above average clarity

6  Gomo   exits a fast heat on the dirt and showed significant early speed for a two-year old filly in early June......turf and the two turns are ? marks......but.......she sure stands out here if she handles both

1  Do the Dance   useful debut on the dirt as this filly is bred for the grass and the distance and should move up on it........to what degree is the ? mark

3  Rich Girl   OK grass and route pedigree and Bejarano sticks around.......not impossible in this weak looking group

7  Joan of Arch    best of what is left and that isn't saying much......Tup trainer is good 1st time on the sod with a given horse

 

race 4    average clarity

7  Grace and Truth    Steven Myadi has had a decent go of it with 1st timers this year and he sure appears to have this three-year old gelding training as if he is meant and ready in his debut into the wonderful world of thoroughbred racing

10  Noble Hawk   trainer is often at his best 3rd out following long layoffs and the is the scenario here.......so that makes the drop out of MSW racing more significant than usual

3  Masters Circle   might be a need to lead type and was taken back in his last......seems loose and dangerous today 2nd out after the long layoff

8  Soul Crusher   Gus Headley runner has been a cash eater of late but the cut back of 1/2 furlong seems like a positive

Long-shot consideration:   5  Sharprado C S  1st start after the claim for Miller wasn't much.....but he stopped and re-worked his new shooter and the stout conditioner sure has his three-year gelding training as if he is markedly better 

 

race 5   average clarity

4  She Sings Along   solid debut as her final time running a 3L beaten 2nd was better than the other heat of filly state-bred MSW's.........solid 4F drill just 4 days ago.....same or better seems likely today

1  Miles Sister   Clifford Sise 1st timer finished up with 3 consecutive decent 5F works at Slr.......seems fit and ready for her MSW debut with plenty of endurance put into her to finish up well

3  Good Looking   no support at the windows whatsoever in MSW debut which wasn't that bad.....so the race appears to be a tightener and quite a bit more has the potential of occurring this after

10  Esmeralda Belle   decent races in both lifetime starts.....but.....I am afraid of this filly not clearing enough runners by the turn.....very tough post at 5F at Santa Anita and most tracks

 

race 6    average clarity

8  Shapely   very solid in 2014......tossed a clunker in her last which was off of an 11 month layoff but I'm ignoring the effort as she acted up prior to the race........lifetime best was her lone one mile turf race

7  Sweet as a Rose   blocked and checked 1/2 dozen lengths on the turn and stretch or would have won the May 30th version of this race......two reassuring works since.......Drayden Van Dyke will be out to make amends

6  Artistic Charm   all three lifetime efforts since arriving to the USA are par like efforts for today's alw level.......Bejarano knows this filly having been aboard for all three starts in the USA

5  Zanbo   9 for 9 in the money at today's one mile turf distance.....claimed in last by Miller and he has his new filly working as if her consistency will continue in this spot

 

race 7    average clarity

6  Anxious Times   vaulted forward in two races back with 1st time blinkers......and the effort was disguised by running wide and doing so up on a decent pace.....won next stalking an extremely hot pace......just worked 35 flat BREEZING a couple of days agoago.......feeling great

4  Cross the Line   two for two in non-Graded route races......back in one today......and....gets 1st time Bejarano

8  Kung Fu Mambo   been away for more than 2 1/2 years but when last seen this six-year-old won two straight Grade 1's in Peru by 6L and 9L......works put in by new trainer Miller are very impressive.....dangerous sort

7  Desert Dynamo   impressive 1st ever at a route in last.......pressed a hot pace  and still won going away.....stellar works since......has a shot to be involved early once again and like last time never succumb to the pressure of a predictably hot pace

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Qui Bear   last is very strong and was her 1st ever in a sprint albeit on the dirt....1st sprinting on the sod but owns a good pedigree for it.....sharp bullet 4F drill just worked 3 days ago

13 AE   Ya Ya Girl   drops to the lowest mc level of her career.......both lifetime races down the majestic SA hill grass course fit well in this spot........one of the top contenders is she draws into the field

3  Quality Chimes    away for 2 months but returns training better than she ever has.......1st on the turf but bred well for it

2  Yaffe   tightly spaced work series likely has this filly ready for her maiden debut.....and her trainer is decent with maiden 1st timers on the grass

12 AE    Canadian Exchange     small drop in claiming and small move forward 2nd time down the hill and she can be a player here

5  Miss Gifted   works are steadily improving for this 1ster for Abrams.......might be sharpening at the right time.....as in right before her debut

 

Posted on June 25, 2015 at 10:09 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 21 June 2015 – Happy Fathers Day to all you Dads!

I am saddened to inform you that my friend and assistant handicapper for The Racing Digest, David Gordon, passed away Wednesday. He was one great guy. My heart goes out to his family as 56 is far too young to leave this earth. David Gordon was a kind man who was an accomplished actuary by profession but also the best "part-time" handicapper I have ever known. I always felt as if he would easily surpass my handicapping prowess if he was able to put in as much time as I do. Dave was a state chess champion and competed with many successes at the national level in Bridge tournaments. He was one sharp guy to say the least. I will miss him dearly but I will always cherish the many discussions we had about Thoroughbred racing and other topics.

 

race 1    average clarity

7  Heat Du Jour   has been facing better and now finds a spot where her figs/efforts stand out........and we go from a cold jock to a hot one 

2  Jade With Envy   very consistent around two turns and best at one mile........ironically swaps jocks with our top choice........Nakatani is due to wake up

1  Chokecherry Mary   on a rebound of sorts.......she owns some back numbers that are as good as our top pick.....very dangerous if she continues to move forward today

3  Toppers Sunshine   best sitting close early but no shot to do that in last two with compromised starts.......dangerous speed if Perez breaks her cleanly today

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Ranulf   improving sort and today he gets to compete at his favorite distance (5 for 9)......just claimed by Glatt who is solid 1st following a claim and he seems to have lucked out getting a good spot for a late runner

1  Califo Cat   working terrifically at GG and like our top choice is at his best at 6 panels ( 5 for 11).......has something to prove on conventional dirt but his only race on it isn't bad......he stated above a good spot for a closer

2  Maximinus   major wake up in last and Baltas steps him up because of it......excellent histaory when loose on the lead (4 2 2 0) but he was also able to run 2nd pressing the pace 2 back

5  The Cleaners   need to lead type was just claimed and Palma sees fit to put the bug boy up in hopes that his 7 lbs off will aid him in grabbing a louse lead

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Lucky Views   not exactly bred well for the distance but sure runs like the 1 1/4 will be to his liking......2 for 2 at 1 1/8th and won both by daylight opening up even more passed the wire

5  Wanstead Gardens   runs all day long so the 10 furlongs is a plus.....should come roaring home late once again.....does tend to hang some

6  Neveradoubt   finally gets to run back in relatively short rest for the 1st time in his career.......likely feeling good.......the distance is a ? mark for this California bred

1  Alcott   tough to judge this overseas invader.....more of a defensive move than anything else placing him as our 4th pick......trainer has won with 1 his last 2 1st out shippers to the USA 

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Dubdubwatson   best early speed in the field and the most impressive preparatory work......ex-pinhooker Brocklebank sure is off to a great start as a trainer

4  Found Money   very strong debut running wide and doing so up on the pace........would have been top choice if that effort wasn't run on an off track   

5  Swiss Minister   decent MSW breaking win his debut.....works since hint the effort muscled him up like only a race can do sometimes.......and look who rides today

1  Mrazek   needs more than his MSW debut but he did win very easily.....might feel really good coming off such a stress free effort

 

race 5   average clarity

8  Causeway Carolyn   race lacks speed and she owns some.......bad trip in last or would graduated.....Carla Gaines is due to start finding the winners circle at a better rate

2  Arewehavingfunyet   very impressive late run in her MSW debut which was down the SA hill........sat way too far back for the given pace up front.......that race should set her up nicely for today's turf route........good pedigree to appreciate 2 turns on the turf

4  Jaycee's Humor   cut back in distance seems like a plus.....and she has some speed that lacks it........and Bejarano sticks around

5  Scandal   consistent sort would have been rated higher if there was more early speed in the race to help out her late running style.....but still very dangerous

Long-shot consideration:   3  Autumn Flower    working well enough to be ready "fresh" off of the bench........best career race and a fit here was the only time she went a turf route and the effort is somewhat disguised by a wide trip and sitting too far back

 

race 6    average clarity

4  When We Met   consistent sort......last two races are solid for today's level.....recent decent 4F drills hint he has held form

7  Bluegrass Reward   another consistent sort whose morning work suggests he has held his form.....major player here if my evaluation is correct

3  Fit To Rule   just snatched at the claiming box by Stute.....sharp bullet work put in by his new conditioer.....and a rider enhancement.......not out of this by any means

6  My Jealous   very dangerous back where he belongs following two spots versus tougher.....and he doesn't like grass or care much for sprinting

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Sweet   bad starts in both lifetime starts but she did show some ability in both races.....blinkers on today - a no brainer move......and the a.m. work hints it has really helped this filly focus....3rd time might be the charm for R Mandella and friends

6  Artisticdifference   good grass pedigree for this Robert Hess 1ster and the drills sure scream "ready"

4  Foolish Ways   best ever and a fit here is the only time this Harty runner ran at one mile with the blinkers on.......that is the case today

2  Marketplace   so so works prior to MSW turf sprint debut.....stout works since.....says the sprint was the gimme and a full throttle go can occur today

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Miss Gridley   powerful forward move in 2nd lifetime race....two maintenance works since...same or better seems likely today....and that would make her stout here

4  Faith Pacer   won like a good thing in MSW debut and had to overcome an off track.......very impressive morning prowess since.....jock upgrade.....should be a major player

7  Sambamzajammin   nice forward move in 2nd lifetime start to break her maiden........drills since hint at another move in the right direction.......sharp new trainer (so far)

6  Right There   showed ability in debut....likely needs to show more today but Keith Desormeaux is quite dangerous when he places a youngster seemingly over their head

 

race 9    average clarity

7   Rosicky   last with 1st time blinkers sure improved this colt significantly.....135:1 for a MSW runner (even on a fast day) is stellar and the gap of 7L to 3rd supports the effort/fig.......2 reassuring works since.........retains the meets top gun.......very tough unless he goes bad in the race

5  Nob Hill   crushed by top choice in last....but....his effort was off of a layoff.....Baffert likely gave him a tune-up.......if so........he might be up for his best and he better be if he wants to challenge our top pick-a-rooo

8  Volume    last was OK.....but what he needs is his effort 2 back if he wants a shot at upsetting the favorite 

3   Feynman   set nasty fractions in last in a race down the hill..........might get away early in today's route dirt race and be dangerous

4   Bellamy Concerto    back to Hall of Fame jock Stevens.....a wake-up call?

6  Poythress   best of the rest

Posted on June 21, 2015 at 10:24 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections