Last week of racing at Los Alamitos. The prestigious winter/spring meeting at Santa Anita starts a week from this Friday. We will be ready!

The Racing Digest selections are available for Thursday 

4 December 2014:  Bombs away opening day at Los Alamitos. 2nd race pick 4 was 3rd, 2nd, 4th, 2nd pick for $10,292.80. 2nd race 3rd pick, 2nd pick exacta $57.60. 3rd race pick 3 was 2nd, 4th, 2nd pick for $1,159.60. 3rd race pick 6 was 2nd, 4th, 2nd, 3rd, top, top pick $10,467.40 4th race pick 3 was 4th, 2nd, 3rd pick for $1,963.00. 5th race 2nd pick, top pick exacta $19.60. 6th race box of top 3 picks tri $115.60. 8th race exacta hit Cold $8.20.

Del Mar Meeting:   122 races run at Del Mar. Using a $2 base the cost if you wagered on our top choice each and every race would be $244. The return $281.20. That is a 15% profit. My guess is most of our competition wasn’t even profitable with their “best bet” or “best bets” or “fair value plays”. That is the 3rd meeting over the last 3 1/2 years that playing our top selection each and every race turned a profit of 14% or higher.

29 November 2014:  1st race pick 5 was 2nd, top, 4th, top. 3rd pick for a cool $35,372.60. 1st race tri box of 3 given picks $56.80. 2nd race pick 3 was top, 4th, top pick $574.40. 2nd race exacta hit COLD $15.80. 3rd race 4th, 2nd, top pick tri paid $1,316.00 (exacta $409.60). 3rd race pick 3 was 4th, 2nd, top pick for $1,237.00. 4th pace pick 3 was top, 2nd, top pick for $136.60. 6th race tri and double both hit COLD paying $24.60 and $19.80 respectively. Not too shabby of a day especially considering nobody hit the pick 6.

27 November 2014:  Bombs away on turkey day. 1st race pick 5 was 2nd, top, 4th, top. 3rd pick for $35,372.60. 1st race tri box of 3 given picks $56.80. 2nd race pick 3 was top, 4th, top pick $574.40. 2nd race exacta hit COLD $15.80. 3rd race 4th, 2nd, top pick tri paid $1,316.00. (exacta $409.60). 3rd race pick 3 was 4th, 2nd, top pick for $1,237.00. 4th race pick 3 was top, 2nd, top pick for $136.60. 6th race tri hit COLD for $24.60. 6th race double also hit COLD for $19.80. Not too shabby of a day especially considering nobody hit the pick 6.

9 November 2014:  2nd race double hit COLD $40.00. 2nd race exacta was top, 3rd pick $41.00. 5th race pick 3 was 4th, top, 3rd $481.20. 6th race pick 4 was top, 3rd, top, 3rd pick for $4,377.40. 6th race exacta was top pick, 4th pick for $56.20. 6th race double was top pick, 3rd pick $84.20. 6th race pick 3 was top, 3rd, top pick for $730.20. 7th race double was 3rd pick, top pick $129.60. I maybe a Midwest boy but I love Southern Cal. racing!!!

 

 

Posted on December 18, 2013 at 5:24 pm by brian · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Uncategorized

Los Alamitos for Thursday for 18 December 2014

OK card for Thursday. Let’s call it a right in the middle 5.5 of the 1 to 10 scale of things.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Brackendale   sure appears to be the best speed in this field of five…….highly likely to be loose on the lead……..and the only time this three year was loose it led to his lone win in four lifetime starts……and……..he ran a solid fig

1  Echo Zulu   a little more to prove on conventional dirt but drops 2nd out after the claim to one notch lower than Kitchingman and company claimed him for…….seems likely to sit in a desirable ground saving stalk position

2  Papa’s Paisley   claimed two months ago in a race in which this gelding had to ease……..ouch……….working OK so he might be back in relatively good health……fits fine in this group if he is

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Faith Proof   Glatt and friends might have been thrilled to drop from $25K to  $8K and not be claimed and have their filly win for fun……..and now they step her way up into a non-claiming affair which strongly suggests she is doing well……..last 3 races fit fine…….4 in a row might be in the cards

4  Rosewhitenblue    consistent sort was just snatched at the claiming box by Machowsky…….their new filly is 1 for 1 at Los Alamitos……….last was better than appears in print

5  Warren’s Gussie   deep closer does fine with ample time between starts and gets it……..might need more pace than anticipated to aid his late running style

 

race 3    average clarity

6  Mosso   not so hot in latest…..race two back is good and his recent back to back solid drills spaced 6 days apart suggest he is sharpening and will rebound to his 26 Oct effort

3  Luck Lasts   low percentage trainer…….but………his three year old gelding might be ultra sharp as he just popped an impressive best of 74 five furlong drill at GG and the trainer bothers to ship…….and the conditioer does OK when he ships…..Joseph Brook has hit the board with 4 of his last 6 shippers

4  End of Time   woke up some in last both in pace and final time with the blinkers taken off……might be able to shake free and shake free with an improving bug boy and his 7 lbs break up

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Forbidden City    N Cal bases trainer John Martin is stout when he ships and he ships a mare that is tough when she runs off of short rest……and 3 weeks qualifies as “short rest”………five year old mare is 3 for 8 at today’s distance

4  Goldilocks Planet   big wake up two races back…….race sure fits here………clunker in next out……..needs a rebound

1  It’s Aine   last off of an 8 week break in the action fits decently…….back in 6 days and her last win came off of micro rest of 6 days……would have rated higher if she didn’t switch jocks to a struggling one

 

race 5   below average clarity

1  Accelerant    just claimed by Kitchingman and a very impressive 5F drill since he made the claim on 28 Nov…..that suggests the trainer might own the trump card for this seven year old……..2 for 7 at today’s distance on main track surfaces…….0 for 8 on other main track distances

4  Unmatched Force   good chance to shake free and be loose on the lead here……1 for 1 at one mile winning his latest…….if fact would have been top pick if he had showed more in the a.m.

3  Smart Ellis   competitive horse in Grade 2 events (albeit in 2013) drops down from the clouds from alw racing to cheap condition claiming……..talk about a flip of the coin 

 

race 6    average clarity

5  Eight Spokes   Puype 1st timer sure looks dangerous……..tightly spaced drills and the last couple are solid and out of the gate…….and mom has tossed 3 winners from 3 starters

6  Dr. Suer   decent debut two back on conventional dirt……..not so hot on the AW at Del Mar in 2nd start…..back to conventional dirt today at Los Alamitos for 3rd start…..and recent works have never been better

4  Tough Sunday   decent debut on October 29th finishing strongly in the stretch…………was a vet scratch on 16 November but since has worked a strong 5F near bullet drill at SA…….should be motoring late

2  Price of Glory

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Incredible Journey   exits a fast heat and that might hide his layoff run some……..back quick today and he has been successful multiple times running off of short rest in the past

4  Gelila   best track surface for this mare is Lrc and this is her last shot to take advantage of her favorite dirt until next summer……..connections seem likely to pull out all stops to have her feeling good for today

1  Acute   needs the lead and has a shot at getting it here…….race two back is solid…….if this filly is up to that effort and gets loose…………she………….might………….go…………all………….the………….way

..

race 8    average clarity

4  Doubledeesonthetee    Golden Gate invader’s 3 of last 4 races (including one race on “real” dirt) fit and all of the races were at today’s one mile distance…..and I like the fact that the rider ships on down to Lrc to ride

1  Waitwaitdonttellme   wide trip in last hides a move in the right direction 3rd out following a layoff……likely fits today if the trend continues in his 4th race since mounting a comeback (seems to be running into shape as opposed to training into shape) which started in late October

9  Tama County   trainer was having one of his best years…………..but………. has turned rather cold the last couple of months………maybe he can get back in the wining mode here with this gelding who put in a decent layoff run and will fit OK with a logical move forward 2nd out after a six month layoff

6  Warren’s Tyler S.

5  Cole Cole

7  Green Tag

 

 

Posted on December 17, 2014 at 4:19 pm by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Los Alamitos for Sunday 14 December 2014

Good card today and I sure like the fact that our top selection is the morning line favorite in only 3 of the 9 races carded this afternoon.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Wildcat Sailor   solid winning debut 2 back on the conventional dirt at SA…..clunker on the AW at Dmr in next…..back on conventional dirt today

3  One More Roll   been competitive in all 3 lifetime races on conventional dirt……….jock Ramon Guce isn’t exactly knocking them dead at the meeting but he has done well on this youngster including a winning ride at Lrc 2 races back

2  Dr. Vincentstein   lead type only might get what he needs and hang on for dear life as 6F might be a challenge for him as he has been flattening out at 5 1/2F

 

race 2    average clarity

9  Slapshot Man   most likely leader here and one for one at Lrc……and back to Perez who brought home the win in his only mount ever on the gelding

8  Manila Customer   decent 53 to 1 debut 9 days ago closing on a speed day…..did well to snatch 4th only beaten by 3 1/2L…..jock upgrade

3  Donji   nowheresville in last two races both run at Dmr on the synthetic…….two prior races on the conventional dirt at SA fit OK here

5  Whenudon’t Know

 

race 3    above average clarity

4  Rusty Road   best at Lrc (most likely last chance to run on it’s surface until next summer) so the drop following a claim doesn’t bother as much as it usually would…….and this gelding sure looks loose on the lead here and with a tough to get by jock up in Pedroza

2  Fonz   1 1/16th is a plus and some in here might be better suited to a mile race…..and the small field is also a positive as this four year old likes to run wide and won’t be very wide in this affair of only five horses

5  Lassie’s Reward   5 of 6 lifetime route races (turf, dirt and AW) are competitive here and the best effort was his lone route race at Lrc

 

race 4    below average clarity

NOTE:   11 Anillo   has a shot if gets in from the AE list

2  Youonlyliveonce   improving ten year old (what else could you want)……..high % trainer……proven on the Lrc surface

8  Truco Latino   lone race at Lrc fits and Quinonez was aboard that day as well….sharp 4 1/2 win at LA in latest……..solid here if holds that winning form

10  Caliente Cat   very consistent sort seems to only be stopped (now and then) by bad trips…..would have rated higher if he didn’t have to start from the 10 post in a 5F race and with a relatively low % jock up

7  Late Night Sky

Long-shot consideration:   4  Aerial Artist   handles the Lrc surface and responds well with the bug boy in the saddle……last 3 races appear to be rather strong efforts and might be underrated

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Sixy Eddie   turf tightener in last sure appears to have muscled this filly up as her 7 Dec work if very impressive especially considering today’s level of racing……and the filly sure seems best at Lrc

6  Amina Perfect   good history sprinting on fast rated conventional dirt tracks including Lrc…….bad trips in last two races……….form is disguised to some degree

4  Yesterday Sings    last win came with the blinkers put on 8 races ago……..shaking things up once again today with the blinkers off……dangerous especially with a high percentage barn

2  Galehorn

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Afleet in Time    solid wide trip route win in latest in his 2nd lifetime start…….been away for 9+ weeks but has trained as if he is returning ready for Mora and company

6  Dynamite Ride   another with a wide trip maiden breaking win in his last……claimed in the race by Yakteen…….trainer/owners might have stole one…….although I am a bit concerned about the lack of a.m. prowess since the claim……..we shall see today

5  Tiz Jolis   yet another overcoming a wide trip in latest to graduate……good work regiment since……..more might be in the cards for today and if that is the case he seemingly has as good a shot as anyone in the field

7  Whoyougonnacall

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Peppy Bolly    handicapping 101 applies……best late runner in a field with too many speed types…..should come flying

9  Mon Petite   just claimed by Hollendorfer (low % trainer to high % trainer) and he makes a switch in bug boys to a more accomplished apprentice…….decent chance new connections improve this filly

1  Ina Mina   different runner in sprints since the blinkers were removed (4 2 1 1)……and jockey Fernando Perez sure has fit this Kenneth Nettles filly awfully well

2  Mahalo Princess

 

race 8    above average clarity

3  Acceptance   very impressive MSW debut…..and then fired a very special race in start no. 2……..works since are eye popping……Warren is not a high % trainer but he does handle a Stakes runner awfully well when he gets one

1  Kluszewski   on the right end of the learning curve…….good route breeding…….needs the development to continue and then some if the 3 horse runs his race

4  Mischief Clem    scenario is the following:  1 – 2 – 3- 6 push one another into a suicidal pace and this Hess colt mops up late

 

race 9    above average clarity

8  Takeit Tothe Limit   plenty of early gas but not much endurance.. …..so…….the cut back of one furlong should go a long way in enhancing his chances of hanging on

4  Indian Monkey   off since New Years Day 2014 but working as if he is ready to roll fresh off of the bench for Lloyd Wicker and company……..all three conventional dirt races when Wicker was the trainer fit well here

5  Cat One   dangerous looking set of drills for this 1ster timer…….and the trainer who makes the most of limited starts has won 2 of last 4 with mc 1sters…..seems dangerous

2  Hot As A Cat

9  What We Doing

3  Senor Pegasus

Posted on December 14, 2014 at 10:17 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Los Alamitos for Saturday 13 December 2014

OK card for Saturday 12/13/14 (that’s cool!). On the 1 to 10 scale of thinking let’s call it a 6.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Bob Consultation   seems best these days with ample time between starts and gets it……..nice a.m. work

4  W. Giles   very consistent……….good early speed in this spot………might be the one to beat if he is able to handle the stress of racing back in 7 days

5  When We Met   won this race condition and beat a decent field in his 1st start ever on the Lrc surface……..decent shot to make it 2 for 2 at Lrc if he is fully fit off of an 8 week break 

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Collateral   best to date was her debut 3 back in her only race at Lrc………that race fits quite well here and today we have a more accomplished jock up……away since 10 Oct but the works suggest she’s ready to roll

4  Clem Juice   trained at Lrc but debuted (as favorite) on the AW at Dmr……..ran so so……..gets to run on the Lrc synthetic today…..deserves another shot

2  May I Leave   plenty of foundation put into this 1st timer with copious 6F drills showing…..dangerous Karen Headley 1ster

1  Sweet Union  

Long-shot consideration:   6  Singapore Bid   decent maiden debut last and went off 39 to 1……..filly can fit here if she makes a logical move forward……bug boy Boulanger is improving fast and gaining confidence making his weight break more significant

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Rainbow North   lifetime best by far was her only race at Lrc…….and that race fits well here……….1st at a route but she owns a pedigree that should appreciate the added distance

5  Hold Everything   cut back of 1/16 in distance should help this gelding’s chances……..lead type only (so far) is training awfully well for a cheaper horse…..trainer is hot 

2  Mon Mousse   sharp 5F work at GG 8 days ago………different horse when loose and she might be loose here……1 for 1 on conventional dirt winning by 6L and at today’s 1 mile distance……..does show signs of being able to chase if the 5 beats her out for the front end

7  Qatar’s Pearl

 

race 4   above  average clarity

5  Froggy Fresh   big wake up in 2nd lifetime start….did extremely well to snatch 2nd as she wasn’t on the rail highway that existed on 13 Nov at Dmr……..1st on conventional dirt today but bred fine for it

1  Natalie’s Wonder   takes that ever dangerous drop from MSW racing to maiden claiming……….debut 2 back at Lrc is very strong and would be tough to beat……would have been top choice if I wasn’t a touch leery of this $100K May purchase dropping all the way down to maiden $30K

4  Dance Affair   Kory Owens is dangerous with 1st time starters and this filly is bred pretty well………and she is definitely bred to handle convention dirt racing surfaces

9  Oleanderpolarbear

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Goof Proof   filly sure has improved since trainer Santos Perez took over…….owns decent early speed and this affair is lacking it especially considering the abbreviated 5F sprint distance

2  Suicide Curves   blinkers back on and drop should help this off pace runner that should be closing fast

1  Wrinkle Room   only race ever at Lrc fits decently here…..like the last two drills at Bsr hinting a little bit of early speed has been put into this off pace runner……low % trainer but not at this meet where he is (3 1 1 1)

8  Ebo’s Love

 

race 6    average clarity

8  Apollo Ten   consistent sort……last on the AW at Dmr fits but what we want to see is his effort 2 back on the conventional dirt at SA which is very solid here…….nice reassuring 4F drill since his last……believe he has remained in good form

7  Luckbox Sam   improved since the blinkers became part of his arsenal 4 races back………big best of 62 4F work one week ago……sharp……likes the lead and that drill should help his chances of getting it today

3  McKenzies Way   trainer has been firing on all cylinders at the Lrc meeting and the work series for this fellow hints he has this six year old gelding ready for a top effort as well

4  Tiz Futurity

 

race 7    below average clarity

3  Roman Tizzy   much improved individual since the blinkers were removed 4 races back……1 for 1 at Lrc and the race was at today’s 6F distance……..off pace runner seemingly gets ample pace up front to flatter his late run 

4  Tannersmymuscle   turf tightener in last might have muscled him up as the two works since the grass race are improved……..cold trainer/rider team (0 for their last dozen) but they might break the mold here

8  Urban Hunter   1st for Julio Canani and that might be a good thing as the trainer’s new shooter sure is working vastly better……..as if the aging trainer has the trump card for the seven year old soon to turn eight

2  Inspired Wisdom

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Feathered   big effort in the BCJuvFil……….Todd Pletcher shipped back to New York to train and all the way back to L.A. for today’s prestigious Grade 1……..that seems significant………….and he gets Mr. Money Mike Smith to ride

3  Danette   plenty of speed in this affair seems likely to set things up for this late runner who sure has been out-running her odds in her last two races……stout brother team in Kent and Keith Desormeaux

6  Take Charge Brandi   Lucas Grade 1 winner needs to avoid a suicidal speed duel one way or another…….she was able to stalk and win in her last although versus easier 

7  Maybellene

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Grandma Connie   trainer Vann Belvoir seems to be awakening and he sure appears to have this 1st timer training well enough to be fully ready for her debut……..and it is usually an easier task to get a 1ster ready for 5F than more conventional sprint distances

6  Alyeska   another 1st timer working as if ready…….and her trainer Kathy Walsh has won 5 of her last 20 with mc 1sters

9  Irish And Lucky   away since May after two lackluster lifetime races but she returns with the blinkers off…….and she is training as if she is meant and ready taking to the equipment change

7  Southern Owah

2  Princess Brooklyn

1  Delmar Event

Posted on December 13, 2014 at 10:22 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Los Alamitos for Friday 12 December 2014

Sloppy track highly likely today.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Abets Abet   two year old filly is a consistent closer when sprinting and with the blinkers off………both of which is the case here………and that consistency sure seems significant versus such a horrendous looking group

1  Maid Easy   works are only so so for this debut runner but Kory Owens is a high percentage trainer with 1st timers and this filly is nicely bred…….and she sure doesn’t face too much in this weak looking field

6  Tamka    debut might have been a tune-up of sorts as this Kruljac two year old filly had little support at the windows…….been away for 3+ months and returns training a little better …….needs more horse today but maybe not that much more   

4  Racing Hope

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Harlington Night   last win came Dmr route to Lrc route (17 Aug to 7 Sept)…….last race Dmr route……..7F sprint today………the latest works are vastly improved seemingly out of nowhere…….smartly steps up a level……seems poised for a very strong effort

4  Faster Cat   best early gas in the field and a win machine (10 for 18)…..and doesn’t need the lead to win which hints this invader is quite capable of rating and slowing things down……seems to be a major speed factor in this spot……thus dangerous

3  Relentless Hope   drop makes sense to me as this soon to be eight year old hasn’t earned his keep the last year and one half……….and the gelding appreciates the Lrc surface…….so…….that is another catalyst for his connections to drop so as to take advantage of a surface he likely won’t see again until next summer

 

race 3    average clarity

1  South Texas    three lifetime starts for this filly and her lone start at Lrc is so much her best…….and the effort fits extremely well versus today’s foes…….so my guess is Pederson will pull out all stops to have her feeling good to take advantage of a surface she likely won’t see again for 7 months

5  Really a Princess   last was poor…..but she will be a major factor from start to finish in this spot if she manages a rebound……the fact that Bonde and company didn’t drop her suggests a rebound might be in the cards

3  Empress Wildcat   1st timer has flashed some decent drills now and then hinting she might have some ability………maybe the connections don’t want to show too much as the claiming vultures are always lurking

7  Gold Journey  

Long-shot consideration:   4  Cleverly Tuned    moved forward in last and ran lifetime best……..and since the effort her a.m. prowess has improved…….another (and necessary) move in the desired direction might be in the cards

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Meta Mu   solid forward move in 2nd lifetime start and has trained well since……and this filly draws Gary Stevens which is very reassuring as Stevens seems to be only accepting very live mounts……….mt guess is because he is still dealing with some issues following surgery

5  Show Stealer   lone race on conventional dirt albeit at SA is quite good and disguised by a wide trip…….and the filly sat too far off a lackluster pace and still finished up impressively…….showed she can handle two turns in last…….seems poised for a strong effort today back on the “real thing”

3  Madam Aamoura   believe the lead will go to this Baffert runner or our 4th choice…….and the lead on a sloppy day often is more dangerous than it normally is

7  One Gun

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Matzoh Ball Magic   on the right end of the learning curve and her latest improvement (and 1st at a route) was hidden by a wide trip on a rail bias and up on the pace to boot…….seems likely to be up on the pace once again but likely will be able to save some ground this time around

6  Jackson Showdown   given some time off following two straight dull races………lone race at Lrc is better than par………drops and draws top gun Bejarano……that hints the time off and some useful morning work has set him up for a necessary rebound

3  Kozani   last two races (albeit on the grass) fit fine for today’s level and that is rather hidden……..drops quite a bit for his 1st race ever on anything other than turf…….and bred quite well to handle a sloppy (or fast) track

2  Vavoom

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Fame and Power   cut back in distance seems like a plus as does the equipment change to blinkers off……..believe the trainer sees what I do ……that this colt preforms best from off of the pace 

1  New Summit  solid debut on 25 October……..three wide trip up on a decent pace and still managed a 3 1/4 length beaten 3rd………same effort with a cleaner trip and he can be a major factor today……likely the one to overcome if he moves forward and things go well trip wise

9  Bentley’s Gone   trainer has been in a prolonged slump but seems due to snap out of it……..maybe this well bred (mom has tossed 5 winners from 6 starters including a Stakes winner) and well worked two year old colt can jump start things for Marty Jones

8  Sir Samson    

 

race 7    average clarity

6  Silver Marquise    four year old filly has been improving one baby step at a time since mid summer……last two efforts which were on the AW at GG were solid races versus better……..seems to handle conventional dirt as well……shipper seems quite dangerous

5  Eltoninadress   rent a horse (seems to get claimed every time she runs) looks loose in this spot and she is very consistent……..that’ll do

3  Warren’s Assassin   doesn’t care for the grass much so that suggests her last was nothing but a turf tightener…….big drill since the grass race……..1 for 1 at Lrc and it was at today’s abbreviated 5 1/2 furlong sprint distance

2  It’s Aine

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Katerriffic    broke slowly in lone race way back in March…..showed plenty of early speed following the bad start of about four lengths….also this filly had a ton of support at the windows in her debut especially for a Leonard Powell first timer…….seems ready fresh once again…..bred decently for the off going

3  Beyond Lucky   broke about 8 or 9 lengths slow in her debut and then showed she can run some…….two smart drills since and wisely one of the works was out of the gate……..fits fine here if of course she breaks well and handles the gooo

7  Kahana   expensive purchase at sale is working well for Marty Jones and company in preparation for her debut into the wonderful world of thoroughbred racing……..well maybe not so wonderful on a raw windy rainy day

6  Keezheekoni

10  Go Get Em Babe

11  Enchanted Fortune

 

Posted on December 12, 2014 at 9:29 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Los Alamitos for Thursday 11 December 2014

Decent card to start the new week of racing at Los Alamitos. Plenty of rain in the forecast for tomorrow.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Fighting On   ultra consistent sort(17 3 7 3) pulls back one level to the price where Diodoro and company claimed him for……..last effort hides him some as he got caught wide up on the pace…….not a good position to be caught in unless it was a slow pace which it was not

6  Oligarch   tossed a clunker in last but continues to train like one happy healthy and sharp six year old…….big effort two back at SA at today’s 6 1/2 furlong distance……..pressed a nasty 2nd quarter and still was only beaten by 2L…..rebound city likely today

1  Brannaman    might be rated too low as his last five efforts all fit fine here…….placed 3rd as I am slightly concerned that he is up for $25K

 

race 2    average clarity

9  Sindy’s Luck   3rd place maiden debut was nothing to write home about fig wise but the works since indicate he benefited from the race and is likely to move forward today if of course he takes to the Lrc surface

10  Justonemorething   nice forward move in 2nd lifetime endeavor at Del Mar…….deservedly and wisely steps up a notch…..last fits……more and he might be the one to beat

8  Tomasino   large step in the right direction in last………will need another large step forward again today……..then he will be in the hunt for the winners circle

1  North Lake Tahoe

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Awe Ge   back to a sprint following a fairly dull 1st ever at a route in last……..never better in the a.m……….best ever was her only race at today’s 6F distance…….she has shown she can handle Lrc……rebound seems likely

7  City Ride   seems like this filly really appreciates racing at her home base which is Lrc……..all three races on the Lrc surface are par or better for today’s level…….and her last at Lrc run two back is very strong……would have been top choice if her endurance was a little better as she has something to prove racing further than 5 1/2F

6  Singing Kitty   both lifetime conventional dirt races fit fine here……and her best ever was her maiden debut……….so……….running “fresh” off of 52 days seems like a good thing

3  Yes She’s a Dancer

 

race 4   below  average clarity

2  Bernster   away from the game for three years following a strong MSW debut on 26 Dec 2011……..you don’t see too many like this from the Baffert barn……..so………..the fact he remains in the Baffert barn seems significant……..and the works hint this five year old soon to turn six he is sound and ready to re-start his racing career

6  Sum Midnight Star   decent (not great) work regiment for this Baffert first timer (what’s new?) and a soft looking field in which to debut in

4  Bellamy Concerto   away since his debut which was in April where he didn’t show too much……but……returns as a first time gelding and with a work regiment that makes him dangerous

8  Logan’s Moon

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Pursuitofparadise   fits race condition awfully well and seems sharp…….and likely to get a good close to the front position in a race lacking speed……..only lifetime race at Lrc is better than appears in print

3  To B a Noitted   very consistent sort since the blinkers were added 9 races back…….not at her best in her latest but claimed in the race by a capable trainer in Howey Quinn (including with shippers) and the works since indicate that a rebound can occur this afternoon

4  Addellusion    better history in sprint races than route races and might be at her best at 6 1/2F…….owns one win and one second at 6 1/2F in two starts……..might not be slipping as much as her running lines suggest as Bejarano sticks around for a 3rd straight time

2  Ten Minute Play

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Tension    two straight endurance building 6F gate works put in……then finished up work regiment with two impressive speed drills of 4F……Bob Baffert appears to once again have a 1st timer well prepared and ready for her MSW debut 

1  Dyna Star   toss out latest as this Hollendorfer two year old filly appeared to dislike the turf………back to the dirt where she preformed fairly well in her MSW debut two back…….and she went off 38 to 1 which suggests she surprised her connections and wasn’t all that cranked up…….she likely is now 

2  Canadian Exchange   trainer is only 1 for his last 15 with MSW 1st timers but the work regiment is solid for this filly……..seems dangerous

10  Penny N Mitzi  

Long-shot consideration:   9  Courting Mischief   might live up to her name today if she manages to fire today………..she was last or near last in two lifetime starts……..filly moved forward quite a bit in 2nd lifetime start and did it off of only one preparatory drill………6 drills since her last this time around…….doesn’t drop and a rider upgrade…..best ever seems likely today…..to what degree might be the ? mark 

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Unforgettable   MSW winning debut run 2 races back at Lrc was impressive…….filly made a powerful turn move and held off all challengers in the stretch……..failed at Fno in a small stakes race in next……since the dull effort she is training on the Lrc surface exceptionally well…..rebound sure seems highly likely

8  Lotta Attitude    consistent sort (8 2 2 2 2) and might be best on conventional dirt…..and she is 2 for 2 at today’s 5 1/2 furlong distance……claimed by the ever dangerous Ron Ellis who is stout 1st following a claim as well as with runners returning off of 2 or 3 months 

6  Margie’s Minute   rider upgrade………and lone race at Lrc fits fine here and is somewhat disguised as this filly was able wire inside in decent pace on a semi-dull rail

3  Shakeitupbetty

Long-shot consideration:   1  Big Break   ran well turf to dirt 2 races back……and arguably her best ever was the only time she ever raced at today’s 5 1/2 furlong distance (and it was her debut)………low percentage rider and trainer but not lately…….as a comb0 or as individuals 

 

race 8    above average clarity

4  Go Goldie Go   decent drills for this Jeff Mullins 1ster but “decent” sure seems good here as this is one soft looking group of maiden 20K claimers…..and why not debut for mdn20K as this three year old sold for chump change ($2.2K) at sale

7  Aperfectdaytofly    seems to be on a slightly declining slippery slope but he still should be a major factor here even with another small downward move……and if he breaks the trend and rebounds he would be ever so tough in this spot 

5  Cernobbio   toss out last……hates the Dmr AW…..race 2 back at SA is a par like effort albeit with a very beneficial pedestrian pace (or I would have selected higher)………recent preparatory 4F drill is one of the best drills he has ever worked……..rebound seems likely

3  Billy Mac

8  Preordained

9  Sevenintheseventh

 

 

Posted on December 10, 2014 at 4:55 pm by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections