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The Racing Digest picks are up for Saturday with a pick 6 carryover of $59K up for grabs!

7 June 14 at Belmont:  Helloooooo Belmont    1st race exacta was top pick, 3rd pick $65.00. 2nd race superfecta box of 4 given picks $259.00. 4th race pick 3 was 3rd pick, 2nd pick, top pick for $1,458.00. 5th race race double was 2nd pick, top pick $353.50. 5th race pick 3 was 2nd, top, 2nd pick for $1,058.00. 5th race (only suggested long-shot play of the day paid $22.40 to place). 5th race 2nd choice, long-shot play exacta $353.50. 6th race pick 3 was top, 2nd, 2nd pick for $437.50. 7th race pick 3 was 2nd, 2nd, top pick for $143.50. 8th race pick 3 was 2nd, top, 3rd pick for $200.50. 9th race exacta hit COLD for $29.60. 12th race superfecta box of top 4 picks $820.00. 12th race 3rd pick, top pick double paid $28.40.

Special publication full card Ky Derby day 2015:   2nd race top choice ($18.20) over our other 3 given picks paid a superfecta of $1,398.40. 2nd race double was top pick, 2nd pick $100.00. 7th race double hit ice cold $65.40. 8th race top pick ($20.20) over our next two picks trifecta $340.60 (exacta was $88.60) 8th race top pick, 2nd pick double $68.40. 11th race Ky Derby box of top 4 selections paid a superfecta of $1,268.20. 13th race top choice over our other 3 given picks $533.40. (exacta $91.40) A win bet on our top choice in every race made a profit of 111%. That is now an overall profit in the 4 years we have covered CD Derby day at 57% if you wagered on our top selection in all 52 races. 

Kentucky Derby Day Highlights 2012-2014:   After any scratches: 2012:  1st race pick 3 was top, top, 4th choice for $480.00. 1st race exacta hit cold $11.60. 2nd race pick 3 was top, 4th, top choice for $1,279.40.  3rd race 4th pick, 3rd pick exacta $112.60. 4th race exacta top pick, 3rd pick $161.60. 6th race exacta hit cold for $32.00. 6th race double was also hit cold $35.40. 9th race exacta was top pick, 4th pick $41.60. 11th race Ky Derby was 5th pick, top pick $306.60. 12th race top pick, 3rd pick exacta $25.20.  2013:  1st race exacta hit cold $14.60. 1st race double was top, 2nd pick $111.80. 1st race pick 3 was top, 2nd, 3rd picks $670.80. 2nd race exacta box of top two picks $142.60. 2nd race superfecta box of 4 given picks $1,320.00. 5th race 3rd pick, top pick exacta $54.80. 7th race exacta hit ice cold $95.60. 7th race top pick, 2nd pick double $51.40. 8th race exacta box of top two picks $28,00. 9th race 3rd pick, top pick exacta $50.20. 10th race exacta hit cold $10.80. 13th race 3rd pick, top pick exacta $83.20. 13th race superfecta box of 5 given picks $6,103.40.   2014:  Top selection won 6 of the 13 races for a 32% profit. That is just short of the 34% you would have made if you wagered on the top choice in all 39 races run since we offered full card selections on Ky Derby day starting in 2012. NOTE: We hit 6 COLD exactas for a 290% profit over the 3 years. 1st race pick 3 was 3rd, top, 3rd $187.20. 7th race double hit cold $31.80. 8th race trifecta hit ice cold $246.80 (cold exacta $63.00). 10th race pick 3 was top, top, 3rd pick for $164.40.

2014 Del Mar Fall Meeting:   122 races run at Del Mar. Using a $2 base the cost if you wagered on our top choice each and every race would be $244. The return $281.20. That is a 15% profit. My guess is most of our competition wasn't even profitable with their "best bet" or "best bets" or "fair value plays". That is the 3rd meeting over the last 3 1/2 years that playing our top selection each and every race turned a profit of 14% or higher.

24 May 15:   1st race pick 5 was 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, top, top pick $474.00. 4th race pick 3 was top, top, 2nd pick $69.40. 5th race pick 3 was top, 2nd, top pick $231.00. 6th race 2nd, top, 3rd pick paid $250.20. 7th race exacta hit COLD $74.40 

9 May 15:   1st race top pick over other 3 picks trifecta paid $44.20. 3rd race exacta and double both hit cold, $16.60 $ $15.40. 4th race top pick, 3rd pick exacta $16.60. 6th race top pick over our other 3 picks trifecta was $86.20. 6th race pick 4 was 2nd, 2nd, top, 2nd pick for $5,065.40. 7th race 2nd pick, 3rd pick exacta $142.00 8th race our top pick over our other 3 picks paid a superfecta of $293.00. 9th race 2nd pick, 3rd pick exacta $223.20.

7 May 15:   Top choice has won 8 of the last 12 races run at SA. Over that span we hit 3 cold doubles, one cold pick 3, and hit the 8th race superfecta cold on Thursday $316.20. In the 8th race on Sunday our top choice over our other five selections paid a superfecta of $4,126.80.

Posted on December 18, 2013 at 5:24 pm by brian · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Uncategorized

Santa Anita for Sunday 24 May 2015

Interesting decent card this afternoon. Be back with you for 9 more races tomorrow.

 

Best of luck as always!

race 1    average clarity

1  Dr Fager's Gal   impressive MSW win in last her 2nd lifetime start.....sharp work series to follow......NY bred but does have family members that suggest the two turns won't be a problem

5  All Star Bub   running line history suggests that today's 2nd out following a break will move her forward........Hollendorfer has double barrel action with the 1 and 5 horse here

3  L. A. Magic   on the improve........solid drills since her winning last......might try to wire the field

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Bluegrass Reward   very consistent in conventional dirt route races.......I know very little about the new trainer but I like that he has put two very tightly spaced 6F drills into his 1st out following the claim seven-year old

3  When We Met   another consistent sort who scored the last time he ran off of a 2 month break.........2+ months since his last a winning effort at SA at today's 1 1/16th distance

5  Fit To Rule   might have needed his layoff run.....if so he fits in the spot with a move forward of about 4 or 5 lengths

 

race 3    above average clarity

3  Ganesh   Grade 1 ARG winner is rounding into form for Mandella.....love his solid one mile drill put in just one week ago......and the 1 1/2 miles is right up his alley

5  Ashleyluvssuger   crushed a next out Grade 1 winner in his latest which was his 1st at the marathon distance of 1 1/2 miles.....does pick up 6 lbs off of the eye-opening win or might have made him top choice

1  Divine Oath   another who seems to cherish running a marathon........and Pletcher bothers to ship x-country......dangerous but I still prefer the locals

 

race 4    average clarity

10  Exposure    Baffert is very tough with these quality laid up drop down maidens.....the kind you can wager on but wouldn't want to claim as they usually have a "hole" in them and only one or two more races  left in them before once again going on the sidelines

2  Mackenzie's Moment   like the rider change and the cut back in distance.....pedigree suggests she should be slow early and run all day........but she has shown good early speed and not much endurance in two lifetime starts both at a route

7  Stella Moon   blinkers on for the 1st time......Bejarano on for the first time.....and a drop of one notch following an improved last......a trifecta of positives

3  Barbs Angel   layoff last which was run at a route on an off track is better than appears in print......needs race 3 back which was at today' 6F distance

 

race 5   average clarity

7  Super Majesty   beautifully bred Hollendorfer 1st time starter is training exceptionally well.......and the Hall of Fame trainer is dynamite at getting fillies ready to fire at a high level in their MSW debut

5  Lady Bull   Baffert filly 1st time starter has been in training forever and has really gotten sharp when it counts the most as in right before her MSW debut

8  Girl Downstairs   laid up Baffert runner ran fairly well in her MSW debut but likely will need to return slightly better unless I am all wet about my assessment of the top two choices

2  Tiz Josselyn   trainer Tom Proctor is due to break out......filly likely needed last and more can occur this afternoon

 

race 6    below average clarity

3  Johnny's Choice   decent SA history for this six-year old.......steps up multiple levels following a strong layoff win for $8K......Glatt has won with 2 of his last 5 stepping up more than one claiming level and for a handsome return

6  Ranulf   very good history when today's jock is up.........small drop helps.....new trainer is off to a promising start.....only endeavor at 7F is better than appears in print

1  North Pacific   claimed......rested.....returns as 1st time gelding for his new trainer Bob Hess.....dangerous especially with go to guy Desormeaux up   

4  Roman Tizzy   turf tightener in last.....full throttle go back on the dirt and facing easier today

Long-shot consideration:   9  Bob Consultation   broke slowly and rushed up in latest and rightfully tired near the wire........the race was 1st out following the claim and trainer Castaneda is much more prolific 2nd out following c a claim.....steps his new shooter way up today....might have the trump card for this gelding who showed promise early in his career

 

race 7    below average clarity

2  Lovenseek   away since Oct but training nicely (blinkers off) at Slr for Peter Miller........1st on the sod but owns a decent grass pedigree........seems wound up and ready fresh

4  Nakamoto   away two months but returns as a 1st time gelding and drops into maiden claiming (albeit high priced maiden claiming) for the 1st time in her career.....about 1/2 of her career grass races fit here....cut back from turf routes to a turf sprint looks like a plus

7  Larry Birdstone   best ever was the only time he ran off of short rest (2 races back)......hill race in latest wasn't bad and back in short rest.....hmmmm

8  Roth    dangerous turf pedigree and solid a.m. work........when is Mullins going to snap out of the doldrums........maybe here?

Long-shot consideration:    5  True Deja Vue    trainer has had a tough year but he has this 1st timer working as if he is ready and Marty Jones still has been very dangerous with runners down the hill despite an off year in 2015

 

race 8    average clarity

8  Guy Code   all 4 races when Espinoza was is up (4 2 2 0) fit solidly here and the rider in the National focus once again is back aboard today.....5 1/2F appears to be a good fit for the three year old gelding who has done little wrong on main track surfaces since the blinkers were taken off 7 races back

2  Field Report   16 of 18 lifetime on the board but only 2 wins.....a hanger for sure but gets Bejarano back aboard today who won on him 4 races back

6  Rule He Will   on the right end of the learning curve.....showed he can rate some in latest.........rule he might

5  Gutsy Ruler   strong par like run in last seemingly out of nowhere.......same jock......same assigned weight.....only 1/2 furlong more to travel

 

race 9    average clarity

1  Solomon Northup    very powerful grass race (and hidden to some degree) run off of 27 days rest.......24 days rest today.......trainer starts very few but is capable

2  Perfectly Majestic   very much on the improve and today we get a rider upgrade.....1st at a route but definitely owns a pedigree that should handle one

3  Architop  blew an easy lead with soft fractions in latest but never sharper in the a.m......poised for another move in the right direction.......R Mandella is firing on all cylinders these days

6  Air Pocket   1st on the sod but bred for.......likely will attempt to wire.....dangerous if he is a turf "move up"*

7  Malibu Wood   no pace up front to close into in last......might be today.....trainer is good 2nd time Lasix and 2nd time grass.....both of which are the case here

10  Seve's Road   claimed by the ever dangerous (especially on the grass) D'Amato.....smartly retains Bejarano

Posted on May 24, 2015 at 10:46 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 22 May 2015

Post on Friday's is now 4 p.m. pacific.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

7  Toomanytomatoes   placed a little over her head in last in what looked like a gimme of sorts........to.........drop and go turf to dirt at today's significantly lower level........trainer is 13 of his last 39 (33%) dropping 2 or more levels

5  Midnight Lady   major league jock upgrade......seems like a good spot for her mid pack style.......Julio Canani has won with 42% of his last dozen 2nd out after the claim runners

3  Winninginfashion    down.......down.........down..........way down for today.......one race left in her.......who knows.......flip a coin

2  Addendum   last win sure fits here but it was produced off of short rest of 7 days.......away 4 weeks today and only shows one dull work.....on the positive side Carava is good with repeating claimers

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Carlos Dangerous   prolonged work series for this Jeff Bonde 1ster with copious drills that suggest his baby has some significant early speed.......should be a factor from the get go with a clean break.....good gate jock up 

8  Benash   not an easy post for this debut runner but the last 3 works at Slr suggest she has talent........and Sadler and company pretty much knew what they were getting as she was bought just 2 months ago

2  Ralis   mom has yet to toss a winner from two starters but that might change today as this ONeill 1ster seems meant and ready.....and fairly new sire Square Eddie appears to be a good one

1  Dubdubwatson    good MSW debut........would have rated higher if he had shown a maintenance work since 

 

race 3    average clarity

6  Warrenspoweroflove   all four lifetime sprints fit well at today's bottom mc level and she appears to be facing a weak bunch.....been away for 14 months but works hint she is ready.......and her best ever was her maiden debut which is the ultimate "fresh" race

1  Zeekid   decent maiden debut........the kind of run that one can build upon and tighten up enough to move forward and be a top contender in start number two

3  Dulcemia   0 for 25 but by far at her best at today's 5 1/2 distance.......weak group.......might be the kind of field an 0 for 25 maiden can find the winners circle 

8  Stunning Taste   weak figs but might find the front end making her more dangerous

 

race 4    average clarity

1  I Heart You   consistently puts in a late run.......her finish in the late stages sure fits here as many in this field have much staying power......positive rider change with the change in trainers following the claim 

8  Private Mania   like the switch back to Garcia (3 1 1 1) who gets the most out of this filly.......should be a factor from the get go

2  Grey Girl Gone   2 of 4 sprint races fit very solidly here......so much so that if she didn't have such a suspect route pedigree she would be my top pick

7  Teasing Moment   best ever dirt race in last......and a rider upgrade today.....not out of this 

 

race 5   below average clarity

1  Ransom Canyon   six-year-old gelding appears to be in good form right now and he just put in his best work in quite some time.........and O'Neill runners for the most part have been firing on all cylinders 

6  Which Market   drops out of allowance racing (somewhat suspiciously) following two strong efforts that are disguised by not the best of trips.......better trip today with the same effort and........hello winners circle

2  My Jealous   toss out last as he is not really a one turn horse.....back to 2 turns and as the controlling speed in the race.....quite dangerous

8  Jomelo   needs best.....back to Bejarano should help get it out of him

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Papa Kade   gelding has won 3 of his last 5.......and possibly never trained any better..........3 for 5 at today's one mile distance.........relatively hot trainer in Doug O'Neill

6  Templar   might be a good claim of an improving three year old colt....has a good opportunity to get a nice ground saving stalk position at least thru turn one.....and that is 1/2 the battle

7  Afleet in Time   on the improve and retains Bejarano.......O'Neill might have double barrel action in the 1 an 7 horse

9  A Colt Following     needs effort two back and a creative ride from a difficult post at one mile on the dirt......fits as well anyone if he gets both

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Alexis Tangier   plenty of gas in this Stakes race can set this up nicely for this Mandella late running four-year old filly who is 3 for 4 on the sod and 2 for 2 down the majestic SA hill grass course

8  Home Journey   consistent sort mostly uses her high early speed to get the job done but has rated to win sprinting on the grass  in the past.....that comes in handy here in this race that likely will yield some nasty fractions

5  Birdlover   another speed horse that can rate a little if need be.........back to Smith who has been successful on the mare in the past

4  Camryn Kate   not impossible with very best.......sharp a.m. work

 

race 8    average clarity

9  Aaron Again   useful race in last off of the long hiatus from the game....appears to have benefitted greatly fron the run as his a.m. work since in markedly improved.......rider upgrade......should show much more this evening 2nd out after the layoff

7  Blame It On Tekela   two of his last four races fit well here and that includes his last.......trainer could use a win

1  Black Tie   nice wake-up with the blinkers taken off in last....fits fine if he builds on the race and can handle a route which he is bred OK for

6  Flexible   not impossible from far back.....trainer has been cold of late.....but he never is for very long

8  Sharpener   last looks like the gimme to drop and go this evening

5  Trash Talkin   morning-glory so far.......trains like a MSW runner....runs like a mdn20K  at best.......drops into one today

Posted on May 22, 2015 at 11:01 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 21 May 2015

Average card to start the new week. Don't forget there is racing this Monday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Alien Giant   solid work regiment for this Diodoro 1st timer......especially like the last drill of 48:2 B........very rare for a two-year old to earn a decent "Breezing" rating in S Cal.......might be a good one......mom sure was

4  Fast Escape    Jeff Bonde 1st time starter was just purchased in March so the connections had a good look at what they were getting.......filly has a solid set of gate works and worked 1/2 furlong longer than today's sprint distance......seems meant and ready

1  Rich Girl   two-year old filly 1st time starter is a May foal but she sure is drilling in the morning as if she is very precious and ready to compete versus those a few months older

7  She's On The Line   poor history for Knapp with 1st time starters but this recent purchase is training too well to be ignored

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Toppers Sunshine   little shot in latest sitting too far back off of a lackluster pace following a poor start.......her previous two efforts both of which were on the SA sod fit fine.......6 for 13 at the distance

1  Smart N Dreamy   consistent history on the turf at SA (8 3 0 3).......laid up five-year old mare has a prolonged work series that suggests she is more than ready to roll fresh off of the bench

7  Zanbo   back to Bejarano is a smart move as all three wins the last 2 years are with the future Hall of Fame rider aboard.......(8 3 3 2) at the distance on the sod

6  Fantastic Miz   consistently is in the mix but lately she has been flattening out near the wire........drop of one claiming level and a switch in jocks might help her hold together thru the wire

 

race 3    above average clarity

4  Rocket Heat   high early speed should put him on the lead with only 5 1/2F to cope with.......should be tough to catch if the track is fair to speed

1  Ultimate Luck   1st time blinkers on and graduated in latest despite a wide trip up on the pace.....solid 5F drill since........should sit within doable striking distance of our top selection

3  Mr. Count On Me   just claimed by a low % trainer from O'Neill......fits if she runs her last for her new trainer Marsha Schwizer

6  Willy Be Wild    on the right end of the learning curve......need the trend to continue

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Seeking the Sherif   great record at SA (12 7 2 0) on the dirt............training exceptionally well and gets a rider upgrade especially with a speed horse.......can be in control from the opening bell 

6  Caminetto   impressive layoff run in last and two bullet works since......seems best taking back just a little.....definitely can be a major player here if he does

2  Midnight Transfer   just claimed by the always dangerous Ron Ellis........strong dirt race 2 back following a turf race.......turf race in last - dirt race today

1  Head South    has done little wrong since Desormeaux has been aboard (4 3 1 0).....still....... likely needs very best in this spot

 

race 5   average clarity

6  Hobbits Hero   I like Jeff Mullins with laid up drop downs which is the case here.......four year old gelding is 1 for 1 on the SA hill and the effort is a couple of lengths better than par for today's level

7  Shakahari    1st on the grass but bred to love it.........seems sharp right now and he has a good chance to move up on the lawn......I am touch leery of his ability to get the 6 1/2 furlongs as he has lacked endurance on the dirt

2  Magna Warrior   only turf effort was a route which I believe she dislikes but her action on the grass was fine.......so she might handle a turf sprint much better.......dirt sprint races 2-3-4-5-6 back are solid

4  Sofast   form in France since arriving in the USA is totally missing.......drops precipitously.......still.....needs to wake up quite a bit.......now or maybe never 

Long-shot consideration:   1  Badasmywifeletsmbe   short fig wise but he can finish with some vigor when most in here will be tiring.....rider upgrade

 

race 6    below average clarity

11  Big Hat Charlie   all three lifetime conventional dirt races fit well in this spot and that is somewhat hidden......not to mention all 3 races were key races loaded with talent.......away 8 weeks but working well.....best be ready as I believe the claiming vultures are lurking 

9  Southern Loyalty   both MSW races run at SA fit quite well at today's mid priced maiden claiming level.......three year old gelding is a La bred and only went for $17K at sale so the drop is no big deal to me

5  Prince of Prague   1st timer seems ready to roll at 1st asking......trainer - rider - owner teamed up for a win with a 1st timer on 1 Jan 2013 for an 8 to 1 (impressive) win.............hmmm

1  Love On the Road   last two works for this Heap 1ster hint he is coming around at the right time.....as in right before he makes his debut

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Stole a Kiss   2 of 3 lifetime grass races (which includes her latest) without the blinkers fit solidly here......and the blinkers remain off for today

3  Chaulk O Lattey   Richard Baltas can be deadly sprint - sprint - route with a horse and that is the scenario here....and back to Bejarano who teams up with Baltas with great success and he won for fun the only other time he rode this filly

8  Tangelo  by far at her best at today's 1 mile turf distance.....capable jock knows this filly well having been aboard for all 9 lifetime starts

9  Tiz Classy Lass   needs a clever trip from a tough post with the turf rail in the 24 ft. position.........fits as well as anyone if she gets it

 

race 8    average clarity

11  Buckleberry Grey   been away from the game for over two years but returns as a 1st time gelding......drops......gets a rider uprade......and returns with a new much higher % trainer........that'll do

4  Hye I'm Jack   wise move for his connections to remain at the abbreviated sprint distance of 5 1/2 furlongs as he lacks endurance.......should be in the mix from the get go once again

5  Tiz All That   needs a rebound to races 3 or 4 back.....two months off to right the ship.......trainer is often at his best 7 to 12 weeks between starts

10  Matty's Tribal   lead type only to date has 3 other "speed" types to cope with.....cut back in distance should be a plus

1  Papa's Playboy   decent forward move in last.......works since are improved.......more seems likely today.....not impossible

2  Honey Fever   debut way back in 2013 fits......doubt either his two races in 2015 would do the trick......needs a wake up 

Posted on May 21, 2015 at 9:06 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 7 May 2015

OK card at Santa Anita to start the new week.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Timeless Indy   bug boy struggles somewhat but not on this five-year old gelding......small drop in claiming......and........five year old has some speed in a race that lacks it outside of the one horse ..........Periban has had a solid meeting 

5  Trelawny   trainer is quite dangerous when he drops multiple claiming levels which is the case here.......old timer has won on the conventional dirt once in three races on it

4  Warren's Rail Bird   decent run considering the 15 month hiatus.......sharp 5F work at Slr since....move forward seems likely

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Selection   solid move forward 1st time with the blinkers in last.....and it is somewhat disguised by a wide trip and sitting too far off of a lackluster pace.......top jock will be out to make amends

1  King of Jazz   on the improve with every start and that is hidden to som extent......only non-three year old in the field and he happens to be five

7  Paythebank   sat close to a hot pace 2 back at today's same one mile turf distance and still finished up well to nearly graduate.......rider is 5 for his last 8 for the trainer

4  Action Hero   last his 1st on the sod was decent....and today with get a rider upgrade......not at all impossible

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Miss Gridley   3 best works showing are her 3 gate works.......and they are rather solid......gate works hint she can run with others and be competitive......just bought at sale in March so Miller and company pretty much knew what they were paying for

1  Sambamzajammin   another just bought in March and for $10K more than our top pick.....two year old filly finished up her work series at SA with two impressive drills after having trained at Dxd.....mom has tossed 4 winners from 5 starters all of which preciously won at two

8  Decked Out   brothers have been cold as a team but they might jump-start things here with this two-year old filly sharpening up for her MSW debut with two nice gate drills

3  Mint Julep Taffy   works fit for this 1ster.......not sure Scott Stevens does versus the SA jockey colony

 

race 4    above average clarity

2  Havanna Belle   D'Amato is very dangerous with 1st time blinkers which is the case here for this promising filly who exits a key race where 2nd won a Grade 2 and 6th ran 3rd in a Grade 3 in their next outs.......that'll do 

6  Lookin for Money   owns good speed in this spot void of the commodity.....Doug O'Neill has patiently waited for this three-year old filly nw alw race......so.....you know the crafty trainer will in all likelihood have her primed and ready for today's race

7  Miss Double d'Oro   par like effort for today's higher level in a sprint down the hill to graduate in her last..........1st at a route but bred exceptionally well to handle one

1  Show Stealer   deep closer is improving but likely needs a significant move forward here to score the top prize

 

race 5   below average clarity

8  Hard Night's Day   moved forward some 2nd out after the long layoff in last........two very sharp 4F works since....hint that a necessary move in the desired direction can occur this afternoon....to what degree seems to be the ? mark

9  Conquest Curlgirl   good MSW sprint debut..........and owns a stellar pedigree to appreciate a route race.......might own enough early gas to clear most of the field from her outer-most post.......very tough if she does

2  Sweet Promises   dull works prior to her 2nd lifetime start which wasa disappointing 4th as favorite.......good works since.......rebound to her debut effort is a possibility 

5  Mahee   Kristin Mulhall is very dangerous sprint - sprint - route......and that is the scenario here for this three-year old filly

 

race 6    below average clarity

4  Jade With Envy   last win came the last time Bejarano rode and he is back aboard today......ran well versus better in latest.......sharper works of late......Baltas and company mean bizz back for the $25K they snatched this mare for and they best be "ready" as I imagine the claiming vultures will be lurking

5  Soresca   3 for 8 at the distance on the grass......0 for 6 at other distances on the grass.......good rider/trainer combo.......works since her latest are quite a bit better 

3  Prevaricator   Mullins historically is good 1st out following a claim..........and 1st time on the grass......and 1st time at a route.......you get all three here 

2  Miss Ellany   has tailed off but lookout if she rebounds as this six-year-old mare looks loose in this spot and when she is "right" she can be tough as nails loose on a lead

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Jeanna's Faith   very impressive winning MSW debut two back.....tossed a clunker in 2nd start.......rebound city today if her recent a.m. prowess is worth a hoot.....trainer is 3 for 10 in 2015

8  Time for Angie   no shot in latest placed over her head 1st out after the claim by Palma in last.........solid race two back and the recent very stout drills strongly suggest we will see the same effort this afternoon

4  Zulu Petals   seems best at 6F......6F today........only mount of the day for M Smith.....that is usually significant 

1  Made to Worship   lone race back in 2013 is solid and hidden by a bad trip.......training quite well for her return to the race wars

 

race 8    average clarity

9  Del Mar Dixie   sprint - sprint - route scenario here and her pedigree hints she should favor a route of ground.....and.....her last at 7F is decent......Mullins/Baze are showing signs of heating up some

5  Dixie Dame   obviously fits number wise and the conditioner has had a terrific year.........but.........not crazy about the additional 1/2 furlong as she blew a 2L lead late with a slow pace...... or .......I would have been top choice

7  Chicago Angel   seems capable if she can get the front end over our 2nd choice as she sure appears to be a need to lead type

8  Frannie'sspirittoo   liked her 2 turn race at 7F at Fairplex.......and has the pedigree to get a route.....might fly late 

3  Red Carrera   needs best ever and maybe a little more

1  Class Divine    needs a major league wake up 1st at a route

Posted on May 7, 2015 at 10:23 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 3 May 2015

Not the best of cards for a Sunday. Be back with you on Thursday following a much needed break.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Norastone   drop makes sense as it's only one notch below where Mulhall claimed.......needed last and she was entered over her head.......believe a total gimme/go situation

4  J and S Express   back where claimed 3 back.......drop back in claiming price makes sense to me......decent distance for the eight year old mare who is fairly consistent

3  Monstro Ness   obvious physical problems but likely has a race left in her for the barn to step up one notch

 

race 2    below average clarity (very difficult)

2  Larocco    wide open race so I placed the most consistent runner on top...........and the jock knows this filly well........rider/trainer have hit the board in their last 8 as a team over the last 2 months

6  Prettyhotprincess   might clear which would be a plus.........but.......can rate if need be

4  Myntz Connections   away 23 months but drops and his decent works hint this isn't a tune-up

 

race 3    below average clarity

3  Half Past Midnight   trainer has been very dangerous this year with 2nd time starters.........and her debut wasn't bad.......and the work tab since is improved........rather sure we will see more today......to what degree is the ? mark

5  Gentle Humor   mom has yet to produce a winner with 3 starters but the works suggest  this Mandella runner has some ability and might be meant and ready for her debut

2  Never Ends   fell way off in last.....needs a rebound to anyone of her previous 3 efforts

7  Two Steps   broke poorly and ran wide in an eventful MSW debut down the hill.....fits fine if she settles down in 2nd lifetime start and handles the dirt

Long-shot consideration:      4  Moyo Honey   trainer historically wins with very few MSW 1sters......but this one is working too well to totally ignore as I usually do for the trainer with 1st timers

 

race 4    below average clarity

5  Unusually Green    this fellow is best (and quite good) on the SA grass and when not wearing blinkers (3 0 2 1)........re-freshened with a nice work regiment........and gets 1st time Bejarano.........seems likely to be one of the major players here

7  Lindante   tough trip in last hides a good effort on the SA grass.....very sharp in the a.m. since........would easily have made him top choice if I wasn't concerned that 1 1/8th might not be his best distance

3  Turn On Pumps   efforts sure fit but he needs to overcome a tendency to hang in the stretch

4  Durango Flyer   runs OK with ample time between start.......needs very best......recent strong 6F work hints he might produce it

 

race 5   above average clarity

9  Pocketfullofgreen   improving one small step at a time.......good speed in this spot unless one of the 1st timers shows some.......like the switch to Baze who is 3 for his last 6 for the trainer.....gate to wire shot

4  Jazzed   decent mc debut on April 10th.......and 15 furlongs of work since including a 6F work just 3 days ago.......Hendricks means business

5  Zeekid   Periban has won with 3 of his last 10 maiden claiming 1sters.......and the works hint he has this one ready......not at all impossible

6  Charlotte   16 to 1 in 2nd lifetime start which was off of a layoff.....improved work since.....move forward seems likely

 

race 6    average clarity

5  Persuasive Paul   lifetime best by far was run 3 back at today's 1 1/8th turf distance......overcame a wide brutal trip to win.........will be very tough here with 90% of that effort and with just an OK trip

3  Sizzlin' Joe   by far at his best at 1 1/8th on the sod (5 2 0 2)......(19 2 1 3) at other turf distances...........should be motoring late

9  Ezio   both lifetime 1 1/8th turf races are quite solid ......would have rated higher if a wasn't a little leery by the weak work regiment since he was claimed

6  Indian Nate   might snatch a soft lead and steal the race

 

race 7   below  average clarity

4  My Monat    solid move forward with the blinkers taken off in her latest......bullet work since.......more might occur today and if it does she is the one to beat

5  Honey Ride   good history in routes at SA........ran 4th in a Grade 1 at SA last year.......solid work regiment and handles ample time between starts

1  Valiant Emilia    not much on the grass.....so......last likely was a turf tightener....full go today on the dirt....trainer could use a win.....hard not to root for nice guy Gary Mandella

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Spanish Queen   impressive in both lifetime races.......can sit in a nice mid pack ground saving position just as she did in her latest.....recent drills hint she has never been sharper

6  Prize Exhibit   not the best of trips in last and prior to that had a brutal trip and still somehow she still  managed to win........seems like a ton if Mike Smith can get her to settle down to get a smoother trip

10  Singing Kitty  has out run her odds in all three lifetime grass races.....and today she gets a solid rider upgrade .......two recent nice works on the grass hints she has held form

9  Spirit of Xian   solid wire to wire Grade 3 win in last......sharp works since......and she doesn't necessarily need the lead to win

8  Entrechat   beaten by the 2 and the 9 in her last....but it was her 1st at a route and the race likely has built up her endurance......might turn the tables

5  Sharla Ray   best of the rest.....doubt a winner.......small piece of the pie is more likely

Posted on May 3, 2015 at 7:54 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections