Sign up for our special pub for the Pegasus Cup on Saturday 26 January is now available. Or save a bundle and sign up for all five of Rich Santucci’s Top Five Race Days for 2019. Click on banner to the right to see the line-up.

Take note that starting today Jan. 19th and lasting for eight consecutive race days Santa Anita Park will guarantee a 20 cent Single Ticket Rainbow Pick Six Jackpot of $2 million. 

 

The Racing Digest is now available for Sunday's nice card

5 January 2019:   Not the kind of day that will go in our "highlights" section but still noteworthy. 2nd race pick 4 was 4th, 3rd, 2nd, 2nd pick for $4,012.80. (50 cent payoff $1,003.20). 4th race 2nd, 3rd pick exacta paid $37.20. 7th race exacta and double both hit COLD paying $30.60 and 23.80 respectively. 8th race top pick, 2nd pick double paid $39.40. 9th race 2nd pick, 4th pick exacta $90.40.

31 December 2018:   1st race pick 5 was 2nd, top, 3rd, top, 2nd pick for $7,527.80. 1st race 2nd pick, 4th pick exacta $141.00. 3rd race superfecta box of 4 given picks paid $301.20. 4th race superfecta hit ICE COLD (in perfect order) for $154.80. 4th race double was top pick, 2nd pick for 105.00.

16 December 2018:  After any scratches: 1st race exacta hit COLD $16.00. 1st race pick 5 was top, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 2nd $1,524.20. 4th race pick 4 was 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 2nd pick for $1,023.20. 3rd race exacta box of top 2 picks $40.00. 4th race trifecta box of top 3 picks $142.60. 4th race superfecta box of top 4 picks paid $372.20. 4th race pick 3 was 3rd, 2nd, top pick paying $216.60. 6th race exacta hit COLD $42.20. 6th race top, 2nd, 5th place trifecta paid $408.20. 10th race box of 5 given picks paid a trifecta of $936.60.

15 December 2018:   After any scratches:  1st race exacta hit COLD $7.20. 2nd race superfecta hit ICE COLD $298.00. 5th race trifecta hit COLD $25.20. 7th race trifecta hit ICE COLD $152.40. 7th race pick 4 was top, 4th, 4th, top pick for $2,895.80. 9th race 4th pick, top pick paid $50.40. 10th race top pick, 3rd pick exacta paid $32.20. (trifecta was top, 3rd, 5th pick for $184.40).

13 Decenber 2018:  Not the kind of day that will go in our "highlights" section but still noteworthy. After any scratches at Lrc:  1st race exacta hit COLD $13.20. 1st race pick 5 was top, 3rd, top, top, top, top pick for $482.20. 3rd race pick 3 hit COLD $34.60. 5th race trifecta hit COLD $47.60 (COLD exacta $20.60). 7th race trifecta box of 5 given picks paid $584.80. 8th race box of top 5 selections paid a superfecta of $647.20 with our pricey top choice running 2nd.

6 December 2018:   Not the kind of day that will go in our "highlights" section but still noteworthy. 1st race pick 5 was 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd pick for $2,599.00. 1st race pick 3 was 2nd, 2nd, 2nd pick $95.80. 2nd race pick 3 was 2nd, 2nd, 2nd pick for $185.60. 2nd race superfecta box of top 4 picks $227.80. 3rd race pick 3 was 2nd, 2nd, 3rd pick for $354.80. 4th race pick 3 was 2nd, 3rd, 3rd pick for $191.40. 8th race double hit COLD. 8th race exacta hit COLD $28.40.

2 December 2018:   2nd race pick 3 was 2nd, top, top pick for $162.80. 3rd race COLD double paid $16.80. 4th race pick 6 (5 of 6 mandatory payout for closing day) was top, miss, 3rd, 4th, top, 2nd pick for $22,731.20. 6th race 3rd pick, 2nd pick exacta paid $61.40. 5th race pick 4 was 3rd, 4th, top, 2nd pick for $15,382.60 (50 cents paid $3,845.65)

24 November 2018:   1st race pick 5 was 5th, top, 3rd, top, 3rd pick for $5,046.40. 2nd race exacta hit COLD $13.00. 3rd race superfecta box of 5 given picks $8,556.80. 3rd race 3rd choice, 2nd choice exacta $173.40. 9th race SUPERFECTA HIT ICE COLD for $1,216.40. And the $1 Super High Five was in near perfect order as in top pick, 2nd pick, 3rd pick, 4th pick, 6th pick for $1,817.30.

17 November 2018:  Just like last Saturday top pick won 5 of the 9 races. ($3.00, $11.40, $17.00, $3.60, $8.20). 3rd race trifecta HIT ICE COLD paying $853.20 (that is a 425 to 1 shot). 3rd race superfecta was top, 2nd, 3rd, 5th pick for $5,454.60. 7th race pick 3 HIT ICE COLD paying $150.40.

12 November 2018:   4th race pick 5 was 4th, 2nd, 3rd, top, 3rd pick for $74,454.20. (50 cent paid $18,613.55). 4th race pick 3 was 4th pick, 2nd pick, 3rd pick for $1,394.60. 5th race pick 4 was an unbelievable return: 2nd, 3rd, top, 3rd paid $15,103.60. 7th race top pick over our other 4 given picks paid a superfecta of $593.60.

10 November 2018:  Top pick won 5 of the 9 races. 1st race pick 5 was top, 4th, top, top, 2nd pick for $7,966.20. (50 cent paid $1,966.20) 3rd race double hit COLD for $46.00. 4th race pick 3 was top, 2nd, top pick for $80.20. 8th race exacta hit COLD $10.00.

9 November 2018:  Top pick won 3 of the 8 races. ($6.00, 8.60, $32.60) 1st race pick 5 was 4th, 2nd, top, 3rd, top pick for $3,413.20. 3rd race top pick over our other 4 given picks paid a superfecta of $1,333.80. 4th race pick 3 was 3rd, top, 3rd pick for $504.00. 5th race top pick over our other 4 given picks paid a superfecta of $748.60. 8th race $32.60 top choice over our other 4 picks paid a superfecta of $7,967.40. (trifecta was $2,951.80).

3 November 2018:  After any scratches at SA:  Top choice won 6 races and ran 2nd in 2 others. 1st race pick 3 was 3rd, top, top pick $213.00. 2nd race COLD double paid $39.00. 5 race pick 3 was 4th, top, 4th pick for $776.80. 5th race superfecta box of top 4 picks $273.00. 6th race pick 3 was top, 4th, top pick for $524.20. 7th race pick 5 was 4th, top, top, top, 4th pick for $2,830.60. 8th race COLD pick 3 was $50.80. 9th race exacta hit COLD for $50.20.

3 November 2018:  After any scratches at the Breeders Cup at CD:   4th race 3rd pick, top pick exacta $65.80. 4th race pick 3 was 3rd, top, 3rd pick for $301.60. 5th race top pick, 4th pick exacta $44.40. 5th race pick 3 was 3rd, top, 3rd pick for $1,013.00. 6th race pick 3 was 3rd, top, top pick for $285.40. 7th race double hit COLD for $50.60. 7th race top pick over the other 4 picks superfecta was $360.10. 7th race pick 5 was top, top, 2nd, 2nd, 2nd pick for $2,318.00.

 

Posted on December 18, 2013 at 5:24 pm by brian · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Uncategorized

Santa Anita for Saturday 19 January 2019

2019 Pegasus World Cup Day selections for the 9 Stakes races (which includes a new 7 million dollar turf race) at Gulfstream Park on January 27th are now available for purchase for $29.50. The selections will be sent to your email at about 4 p.m. pacific time on Friday night, January 26th. Please sign up as early as possible as logistically speaking it helps us out. 

Good looking race card today. Let's rate it a 7 on the 1 to 10 scale of things 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  George From Tahoe   trainer is often at his best 3rd out following layoffs and that is the case here......colt should get a nice close up or mid pack position......recent 10 Jan. bullet work is impressive..........hard not to like considering his best to date is his lone race on the hill

6  Blitzkreig   3 of his last 5 races (all on the grass) fit well in this spot and one of those was down the hill........back to Prat after being absent for a race..........both lifetime races with Prat are his best two efforts to date........very dangerous

1  Sunset Seven   trainer has been on fire with his 1st time starter at the new meeting........so.........why not be ready be with this laid up gelding........and the works for him just like the 1st timer starters suggest this fellow is ready as well

8  Point Guard

10  Implicitly

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Sierra Sunrise    MSW debut was a tune-up........second start dropping into MC was a go but was compromised by a trip with some subtle trouble.......climbing early and then wide on the turn.......need her debut trip with the energy displayed in her last race

2  Boolicious   not much on the grass at a route in her 2nd start.......but she showed plenty of run on the dirt following a horrendous start in her debut.......obviously she needs a better start but lookout if she breaks well

7  Derby Luck   2% trainer with his last 144 but this filly has not run too bad in two MSW races and now takes that ever magical drop from MSW to MC........not impossible but easy to place as our 3rd selection

6  Comegowithme

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Sweet Treat   seems like a great spot for a speed horse like this mare who sure appears loose as a goose in this spot......red hot ride/trainer at the helm in Figueroa/O'Neill

5  Tenthousandreasons   last time this five-year old mare had an opportunity to race in a one mile dirt race at SA she popped one strong number........that 12 Oct. race is quite a bit better than par for today's higher level.......trainer is quietly having a solid 2018/19

4  Mistressofthenight   after dropping this mare way down in claiming to 8K Baltas sees fit to move this gal up 4 claiming levels to 20K.......that hints she came out of the race in good shape and that a significant rebound can occur this afternoon.......and she owns back numbers that would crush this field

 

race 4    below average clarity

4  Jimmy the Juice   2 for 5 at SA on the dirt and 3 for 30 everywhere else..........N Cal trainer is one for two at the SA meeting and has won with 3 of his last 8 shippers.......nice preparatory 4F work at GG 6 days ago.......seems well meant and ready for a meaningful invasion

7  Tavasco Road   significant looking 6F sub 1:12 work at LA a week ago and drops to the lowest level of his career.........decent history at today's 6F distance and he won his only race to date on the SA dirt........danger city

2  Twirling Tiger   seems at his best on the SA dirt and not too shabby at today's six panels.......and another plus is that he has got along with jockey T C Baze quite well.......not out of the win picture.......pun intended

5  Stringent

 

race 5    above average clarity

4  Shining Through   nice stalking style which does awfully well on most grass courses including SA's.....that and I like the cut back in distance as his last at 9F should give him more endurance today finishing up with vigor in the late stages of this 8F grass affair

6  Mobou   Mike Smith is red-hot to start the meet and he is awfully tough with front (or close to the front) running route turf runners like colt........that and John Shirreffs who seemed to fall off of a cliff when Zenyatta retired is off to the hottest start in a S Cal meeting in a long time......as in 3 wins - two 2nd's - two  3rd's with 9 starters

3  Muralist   brutal trip in his MSW debut which was down the SA hill grass course........broke slow - ran wide - bumped - bore out for a total of about 8L of trip adjustment......he still finished well to only get beaten by 4L........tries a turf route for his 2nd start and his pedigree is very good to handle the added distance

8  Storms River

2  Mystical Moon

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Tanners Pride   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE Brian Koriner sure has had this gelding ready when placed in a claimer as in 2 wins and a second in 3 claiming races......that and back to Talamo who was aboard for the two wins which were also run on the SA dirt........hard not to like

1  Facts Matter   took a significant drop in claiming in his last and went off at 1 to 1 odds and did not disappoint his backers........like the way he won going away at the wire.......would have rated higher if it wasn't for the fact that the two times he had to break from the 1 post things didn't work out well

2  Mo Soul   2 for 3 racing "fresh" which includes the freshest you can be as in his debut..........3 1/2 months "fresh" today and for a trainer that is very dangerous with laid up sprinters......a.m. prowess supports the notion that he is meant and ready

4  Zippy Groom

 

race 7    below average clarity

2  Jumpin Thru Hoops   MSW debut is much better than appears in print as this Miller colt was loose setting a very fast quarter and a solid 1/2 but doing so on a dull inside........did well to only lose by 7 3/4L in a 6 1/2 furlong affair......if the two 1st timers don't have much early gas this colt should be loose and with 1/2 furlong less to run

5  Taos   three-year old has always worked very well including for his preparation for today.......his p.m. prowess has not matched his a.m. work.....but......he runs as a 1st time gelding today and as brilliantly bred as he is his world-class connections must really believe the surgery was necessary to bring the best out of him

7  Dessman   Baffert sure seems due to break out of a mini slump to start the SA meeting and that might begin here with this beautifully bred and expensive colt........big drills as you would expect for a Baffert MSW 1ster........might be rated to low

4  Norski

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Tigerbeach   popped his lifetime best in his latest 1st time running for trainer Bill Morey........the effort stands out here if he can handle the SA hill........and usually speed types cutting back from one mile to the hill do awfully well

8  Lil Milo   on the improve with each and every start and his latest is totally hidden by dueling in fast pace on a dull rail.......did extremely well to only get beat by 6 1/4L in a 7F affair.......1st on the grass but bred decently for it......trainer does really well in turf races

10  Lauren's Ladd   ran 2nd and 1st the last two times this gelding raced on the hill........and that was with very low percentage on the grass rider Conner up.......Pratt up today who is red-hot when teaming up with Baltas at this meet

7  More Honor

5  Jimmy Chila

 

race 9    above average clarity

7  Roy H   best dirt sprint credentials in the USA and maybe also in the world.....that'l do

6  Awesome Anywhere   loves SA (5 4 1 0) and his race two back fits which is somewhat obvious but his race 3 back also fits and that is rather disguised.........he ran 4 wide then 3 wide on the turn up on a solid set of fractions......should be a price and with the white-hot Mike Smith up

3  Kanthaka   another who is at his best at SA........appeared to need his latest.......he is a G3 & G2 winner both at 7F and at SA........not sure if he can run his best at 6F but if he can and gets a clean trip he is not impossible

2  Distinctive B  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

 

race 10    average clarity

1  Daybreak    Carava has hit the board 2 of his 3 last with individuals shipping in from overseas........most of this gals turf races in GB look awfully strong here.......and you have to like that Rosario is enticed to ride

8  Dearborn   away since 26 October but her a.m. work says ready..........her only race down the hill was the best of her career and she earned a Santucci fig that is 2 1/2 lengths better than par for today's lower level.......trainer is 33% win with the MSW to MC move

2  Cat's Desire   brutal trip down the hill in her latest where she earned a fig that is similar to the solid one earned for our 2nd selection........decent rider with long-shots in Fuentes

9  Baladera

5  Mela Jones

 

Posted on January 19, 2019 at 8:14 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 18 January 2019

2019 Pegasus World Cup Day selections for the 9 Stakes races (which includes a new 7 million dollar turf race) at Gulfstream Park on January 27th are now available for purchase for $29.50. The selections will be sent to your email at about 4 p.m. pacific time on Friday night, January 26th. Please sign up as early as possible as logistically speaking it helps us out. 

With all the rain this week the selections with comments are for the races being taken off of the turf in races 4 & 8 and moved to the main track. We do have selections if those two races stay on the turf but without comments

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Imminent   all three lifetime races with the blinkers on like today fit awfully well at today's lower maiden claiming level and drying out tracks at SA usually favor inside speed as the rail becomes a little quicker than the outside.......new sire is 3 for 7 with off track runners......drop of multiple levels is slightly suspicious

7  Meritocrazy   trainer somewhat appears in "drop to win" mode so with that in mind the move to MC20K after two decent efforts up for 50K bothers me a little less than it normally would

4  Reachreachreach   filly bobbled at the start and pulled up.........away since the 8 to 5 debacle 6 weeks ago and has only worked twice but one of them was a near bullet 59:4 2nd best of 28........suspect but dangerous

6  Noise Mandate

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Imperial Creed   one lifetime race fits nicely in this spot and it was run at SA in her lone endeavor at The Great Race Place and it was at today's one mile distance.....same jock up who rode the SA race and starts from a similar gate position........all that and by my book he owns the best pedigree in the field to handle an off track if that what we get

3  Vegas Strong Baby   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  should get a decent up close or on the lead position saving ground on a surface at SA that when drying out usually favors inside speed as the rail becomes a little tighter than the outside.........dynamite rider/combo of late in Pratt and Baltas

5  Divine Dharma    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  one effort/number stands out like a sore thumb and that was the only time she was able to get a loose lead.....that race was set up sprint to route off of 3 weeks rest.........sprint race 18 days ago......route today......hmmmm

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Weather Market   only sprint dirt race (and at SA in her debut) that this mare ever ran was a par like effort considering today's lower level.....claimed for today's 20K so the drop from 50K to 20K doesn't concern me much

4  Venice   lifetime best and better than it appears in print was run on a mud floated off track on 3 March 18 at SA.......if this filly is up for that effort with just an OK trip she should wind up in the winners circle.........obviously if the racing surface is void of much moisture at this point of the day her chances are diminished some but still not impossible as she still might get loose on the lead

5  Whata Flirt   seems quite sharp right now and often fires her best at 5 1/2 furlongs........she does tend to hang but might be quick enough to get loose early and thus not have anyone in front of her to hang

7  Tell My Fortune

 

race 4    below average clarity

(selections are for the races being taken off of the turf and moved to the main track)

4  The Daddy Factor   impressive prolonged work regiment the kind you don't give a MSW 1st timer to "give him a race"........trainer 17% win with his last 29 1st time starters

3  Arch Anthem   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  good time for blinkers on as this race sure seems to favor those who sit close up and with the addition of blinkers this Richard Mandella gelding might sit much closer to the lead today than he has in the past

2  Big Buzz    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE gets the "full monty" here.......rider upgrade - 1st time gelding - blinkers on........and the works are improved..........dangerous sort

1  Englander

7  Sellwood

(If the race stays on the turf the selections are:  4-6-2-7-5)

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Li'l Grazen   by far at her best competing at today's 6 furlong distance.......1st out following the claim today and that is a dangerous proposition for the opposition when the trainer is by Peter Miller who is a stellar 31% win with his last 169 "1st after a claim"........and with the change in trainers comes a rider upgrade......needs race two back.......recent a.m. works hints we will see it

5  Chasin Lucas    only one lifetime race on the SA dirt and it was a good one nearly breaking her MSW debut at 1st asking.......continues to train at SA in the a.m. like her p.m. effort will be strong

4  Shylock Eddie   3 for 5 on conventional dirt and 1 for 11 racing everywhere else.........Aaron Gryder has started out a little chilly at the new meeting but about 1/2 the mounts he has gotten from Koriner the last two mounts have been live ones

 

race 6    above average clarity

7  Cioppino Pasadino   last three races run in the afternoon S Cal circuit (2, 6 & 7 back) all fit and the one at SA is disguised by a very wide trip up near a decent set of fractions.  ....gave it 8L of trip adjustment and she was beaten by 8 1/4 at two levels higher........all that and her new trainer Rafael Deleon so far has a good handle on what she needs to succeed

5  Hero for Hire   seems like the best of the speed types in this spot and her latest which was at SA is better than it appears as she ran on a slightly dull inside in decent pace and predictably faded late some to 3rd.......cut back of 1/2 furlong should be a plus

1  Irish and Lucky    well proven on an off track and not too shabby on a fast track either.......ironically jock Edger Payeras is riding better these days since he lost his apprentice allowance........go figure

3  Lovely English

6  Ciao Luna

 

race 7    above average clarity

2  California Journey   two brutal trips in a row since switching to the dirt.......he shows much more effort/energy on it than the turf......just needs a good trip.......work tab says he is up for another strong run.......it likely is up to a cold jock today as not only is Mario Gutierrez 0 for 26 with only two 2nds to start the meeting but he has had plenty decent mounts.....he is in the biggest funk that I can remember.......good time to break out of it here with this "live" Hollendorfer runner

1  Ground Attack   easily seems best at SA and he has shown he can handle two turns.........away for two mounts but training like he is fit and ready......should make a good account of himself

6  Nap Lajoie   last win came sprint AW race at GG to conventional dirt route at Sac.......6 furlong AW race at GG.......ships on down to Arcadia for today's route on the dirt...........hmmmm

 

race 8    average clarity

(selections are for the races being taken off of the turf and moved to the main track)

8  Clear the Mine   connections were way too ambitious in this fellows latest but he is back where he belongs this afternoon........bug boy upgrade ..........Steve Knapp has been on a roll of late and might add to his win total here

1  Secret Touch   at his best racing on the dirt at today's one mile distance.....believe with all the rain in the forecast this week the connections might have entered hoping this race was moved to the main........is it?

4  Kristi's Copilot   Baltas unlike most trainers is so much better 2nd out after a claim than 1st out (44% win with his last 32 (yikes)...........and the 1st out after the Baltas claim was too shabby

2  North County Guy   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

3  Twentytwentytwenty   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE 

(f the race stays on the turf the selections are:  4-7-2-3-5)

 

 

 

Posted on January 18, 2019 at 9:48 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 11 January 2019

Decent chance of rain tonight so I will study for the races being on or off of the turf on Saturday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Encountress   lifetime best in latest and the effort is disguised by a slow start and a 3 wide trip........best number of her career and a solid fit if Baze gives her a better trip

1  Big Base   plenty of speed in this affair has a decent chance to flatter the late run of this Hollendorfer filly........and she might feel awfully good for her trainer to step her up one MC level

8  Gia Lula   quite consistent racing in sprints on the dirt or the turf........but.......she sure needs to get over her tendency to hang in the late stretch

4  Whata Flirt

2  Crackling Bread

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Copper Cowgirl   SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE  good history with top bug boy Figueroa in the saddle......youngster does well with route speed and this filly should be in the hunt from the get go

4  Proper Drink   obvious tune-up placed over her head in latest......drops today sprint to route and races at the lowest claiming level of her life........sure seems like a major player

7  Cee Sam's Girl   three year old makes a move and then lacks punch in the late stages of her route races.......jock upgrade might help overcome that

3  Reinahermosa

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Boujie Girl   won her maiden debut so I like her chances of appreciating 2 months off......ran well in her lone route race to date as she beat 9 of 13 foes in a Grade 1 route race despite a slow beginning....... and works are awfully good

3  Kookie Gal   double barrel action as Miller also trains our top pick........filly won a 100K Cal-bred Stakes race in her 1st ever in a dirt route.......leading rider Prat stays put

4  Call Moon Bay   Hollendorfer three year old filly won by 5L to break her MSW in her latest which was also run at today's one mile distance and over at Lrc........and her race two back at SA at one mile is much but than appears in print.......Van Dyke goes to Baffert's 2 horse......Smith will do just fine

 

race 4    average clarity

1  See That Kat   big awakening in her 3rd lifetime start and 1st on the grass.......away since the grass race but her a.m. work is decent........trainer is hot and he retains Prat.......should be tough

5  Sutro   consistent closer and a fairly smooth runner.....that should make Mike Smith's job easier with the late running four year old filly

6  Decorating   pedigree and her running lines both suggest she will love another 1/16 of sod to cover.......rather hot rider/trainer combo of late in Talamo/Proctor

10  Minute Mile    SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE

3  Confidentially

 

race 5    below average clarity

3  Crown the Kitten   decent history with bug boy Espinoza up and also runs well off of short rest which is the case today.........and this race seemingly has a chance to set up for a late runner and with the small field there shouldn't be a lot of traffic to negotiate late

1  Muchos Besos   best at SA and drops to a level that he handles very well.......also has a super history breaking from the one hole in route races

4  Moneydontspenditself   if number 5 Little Scotty is doing poorly as I obviously think he is this gelding might get the front end making him dangerous

 

race 6    average clarity

5  Asano   very out of the norm for Keith Desormeaux to wheel a horse back in 7 days.......that hints that his colt's poor race in his latest might not have taken much out of him......race two back is strong........that and this youngster ran well in his 2nd lifetime start off of 14 days rest

6  Moonoverthebayou   one of the best stats (and very impressive) for Hess is MSW to MC (27% win with his last 33)........so the fact that this gelding went off at 44 to 1 in his MSW hints the race was nothing more than dirty him up sprint gimme to drop and go in today's route race

7  Platinum Nights    SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE   rider is struggling looking for his 1st win at the meet and the trainer isn't exactly on fire........as for the horse he fits fine if he handles his 1st at a route.......both trainer and rider could use a win

2  Palaleo

 

race 7    average clarity

9  Vantastic   lone race on the SA hill was a solid MSW breaking win and better than par for today's level when adjusted for a pace factor of about 2 or 3 lengths.......and today's rider is oh so much better on the hill than the jock who rode in the race down the hill

2  Haydens Havoc    SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE  nice 5F grass MSW win in his latest run in mid November at Del Mar.......handled six furlongs quite well in a dirt race two back......so.....I doubt the 6 1/2 furlongs of turf will be a problem

8  Seven Scents   decent 1st on the grass and the strength of the effort is disguised by a wide trip ........cut back from one mile turf to 6 1/2F down the hill is usually a good thing for a given horse who owns some early speed which he does

3  Urban Light   SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE

6  Damiano

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Mo See Cal   2 for 2 at today's one mile distance and one of those races was at Santa Anita and just happens to be her lifetime best........Mike Smith wisely stays put.......very reliable trainer at the helm

3  Just a Smidge   quite the awakening for this filly when last seen in mid September at Lrc running a very strong race with bug boy Espinoza up for the 1st time........Baffert must have really liked what he saw as he has put copious furlongs of work into his filly since suggesting he feels this filly has improved in a big way.......bug boy gets the call once again

1  Fool's Paradise   believe the connections will want the jock to take back early like she did to break her maiden 6 races back as there is plenty of early speed in this race.......her chances of hitting pay-dirt seem enhanced if that is the plan

 

race 9    below average clarity

7  Lucky Lately    SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE   bet fairly hard in her MSW debut but ran up the track.........works since her disappointing debut are impressive switches to the grass for her 2nd lifetime start which she has a decent enough pedigree to handle it.....should go off a price

3  Bella Chica   1st time starter seemingly has a good spot to debut in as this group appears to be on the soft side.......pedigree for a grass sprint is quite good......as is her jock Van Dyke who rides well in turf races down the hill

11 AE  Silk From Heaven    SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE   decent MSW debut at Lrc on 9 December.......improved works since........decent shot at a move forward today if of course she handles the turf

2  Settle It   best race was her debut where she ran 2nd to the boys in a MSW affair..........tossed two dull races after that.....might be best "fresh" and she has a pedigree that fits for a turf race.......dangerous sort

6  Scarlet Heat

1  She's a Brewer

 

 

Posted on January 11, 2019 at 6:21 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 10 January 2019

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Seems like a fairly decent card this afternoon..

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Goseecal   last win came off of 3 months rest and was in a conditioned claiming race for 40K.........5 months rest today and running in a 35K nw3 affair.....only race run in 2018 at one mile on firm turf is very solid for today's level and hidden in it's strength......rather sure she is meant and ready

5  Quinnie   race lacks speed and this filly has some.......and the two times that Bejarano has sent her near the lead in a one mile grass race she ran 1st and 2nd........seems like a great spot

1  Mraseel   believe this filly is quite hidden with her ability to handle one mile of turf........weak number in last because of a snail's pace that made for a slow final time.......only other one mile was 4 back where she broke poorly and ran somewhat wide earning an adjusted for trouble Santucci fig that is about 3L better than par.......and the jock brings home price-shots quite often

2  Halo Darlin

 

race 2    above average clarity

4  Mantaray Island   appears that O'Neill has picked up a nice new colt who ran 2nd in his MSW debut at GP where he showed stellar early pace and still managed to stick around for 2nd.........away since the September race but trainer likely has ready.........speed jock up who has won two of his last three riding for O'Neill who happens to be tied for the most wins at the SA meeting

2  Victory Element   Baffert colt who has two 2nd's with two lifetime starts has been absent since May but shows a work regiment that spells ready........he ran a strong race in his debut not graduating because of a bad trip where he raced too wide

6  Candy Cornell   needs his MSW debut which is solid here but run at Del Mar at 6F........his two races at SA are about 5L less than the Dmr race but were run at 7F & 6 1/2F........so.......is it the distance or the SA dirt that made for those 5 lengths......might get the answer today

 

race 3    below average clarity

6  Soothing   ran 2nd in her MSW sprint debut but the time was a little dull ........but .........on the order hand 3rd place came back to win her next.......and the works since her debut on 14 Oct are improved and the kind that should prepare her for the challenge of coping with the 8F distance

3  Show Hostess   rather decent 1st at a route 4 weeks ago at Lrc.......should benefit endurance wise from the 2nd place finish.....trainer and the rider are both a little chilly but can help each other out here

1  Slewgoodtobetrue   both lifetime races are strong and easily would have been top selection if this was a sprint race........not too crazy about her pedigree to run as well at a route.....still she seems quite dangerous especially with Smith remaining up

5  Bev's Humor

 

race 4    above average clarity

1  Girl Downstairs   1st out after the Miller claim and I like that he gives his new shooter 2 months off as this mare is very consistent with 8 weeks or more between starts.........Prat rides thru the claim.......filly has been in the exacta 6 of 10 races on the turf at the distance........should be tough

3  Miss Boom Boom   most of her career fits well in this spot and her trainer is red-hot especially with his turf stock.......rider upgrade........mare has been in the exacta 8 of 12 on the turf at the distance

5  Indypendent Deputy   rather consistent on firm turf racing at 7 1/2F or one mile......still she will likely need her best ever to take down this race as our top two appear awfully strong

4  War Moccasin

8  Award It

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Drink   blinkers on and just what you want to see as in a vastly improved workout........went off 16 to 1 in his MSW debut which hints the race was a gimme which makes the ever dangerous drop from MSW to MC even more dangerous than it usually is and that is saying something.......trainer is (3 2 1 0) to start the meeting and we liked all three of like runners

6  Resident Liberal   so so works in town for this Proctor 1st time starter........solid works out of town.......maybe the connections did not want to show too much since arriving in S Cal to avoid being claimed?......we shall find out about 2:30 pacific today

2  Nice Work   similar scenario for our top selection as this Sadler colt went off at high odds in his MSW debut hinting that the race was a gimme which makes the drop from MSW to MC even more dangerous than it usually is........and like our top pick we get a rider upgrade

7  Dyf

8  Ohtani

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Sheza Chattykat   good history at 6 1/2 furlongs on the dirt and showed plenty of life in both of her sprint grass races at 5F.......that bodes well for her chances of running well at 6 1/2 down the hill.......should get a good up close position saving ground and with top turf jock Prat at the controls

8  Silken Spy   seems likely to snatch one of the top 3 positions in the race that seemingly favors those sitting close to the front early.......latest looks like a dirty her up gimme in a protected race to put some doubt into the minds of the claiming vultures lurking over head

5  Saburai   better on the SA hill grass course than her (4 1 0 0) record indicates.......seems long overdue for this drop into claiming........Cerin is 23% "1st time in claiming"........dangerous sort

4  Favorite Trip

7  Florista

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Kochees   nine-year old just keeps stepping up and competing at a high level.....steps up again and with a sharp work tab showing.......and quite the fit with Mario Gutierrez (5 3 2 0)........should be on or close to the front from the get go

4  Allaboutaction   by far at his best at SA (6 4 2 0) on the dirt.......and not too shabby at the distance overall (18 6 4 2).....over his head in last.......drops back to a level he fits well

5  Italiano   double barrel action for Hollendorfer as he also trains our top selection.......away since 11 Nov. but training as if he is returning to race wars fully fit and ready to roll.......good gate horse should be in the hunt from the opening bell

8  Market Sentiment

7  K Thirty Eight

 

race 8    above average clarity

4  S Y Sky  stands out in this spot especially racing at 6 1/2 furlongs at SA which appears to be a good fit......won her debut at the distance in a $200K Stakes on the SA dirt........the only other time she raced at 6 1/2 was down the hill and she also won that........jock knows her inside out having been up for all of her 7 lifetime starts

5  Show It N Moe It   seems like the best of the mid pack runners and quite a few of her races are better than appear in print including her latest where she faced our top pick

6  Barbara Beatrice   seems good off of layoffs and maybe the longer the layoff the better........8 months since her last.......should be motoring late

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Smoovie   nice 1st on the SA hill grass course in latest and the strength of the effort is disguised by wide trip up close to the pace........trainer is hot but the rider is not......but he has had a great relationship with the trainer over the years......filly has been away since 2 Nov but she just popped a best of 58 gate drill on the last day of 2018 indicating she is fit and ready

10  Into Rissa   one of three lifetime turf routes fits solidly here and this filly seems better suited to sprint races.......so her 1st down the hill has the potential to produce a very competitive race if she is up to a top effort........her work tab sure suggests that she is

5  Oh Pretty Woman   laid up filly has run well fresh in the past.......away since August so she is plenty "fresh" today.........Drayden Van Dyke stays aboard for a 4th straight time.......should be closing late

6  Radish

4  Smiling Annie

 

 

Posted on January 10, 2019 at 7:13 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 6 January 2019

Sorry for the lack of comments but with the significant rainfall last night I had to re-handicap for a drying out track at Santa Anita which going back in my files has led to a somewhat rail speed condition about 80% of the time. So take note that I am leaning that way with my selections.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Sir Eddie   drops to win and the only two times he has raced on the SA dirt he showed the best early speed of his life

2  Spicy Vibration   good works and 5 for 25 with MC 1st timers for Hofmans

3  Iron Curtain   improved in latest and two sharp works since......same or better seem likely

4  Midnight Bandit

 

race 2    below average clarity

1  Sweet Treat   filly is improving and likely will again because O'Neill (red-hot) steps her way up.......good early route speed and a good off track pedigree

4  Withholding Info   Baffert is quite chilly but this gal won her MSW debut impressively and has a good pedigree for an off track and a route

2  Starr of Quality   best at SA (9 4 0 2) which includes a 1 for 1 on an off track........(10 0 3 4) everywhere else

7  Mongolian Humor

3  Arctic Roll

 

race 3    average clarity

5  So Gucci   just missed graduating at 1st asking at Lrc at today's level.......works since (and at SA) hints at even better today

2  Miss Fia    like our 2nd choice in race 1 this filly shows good works and David Hofmans is 5 for 25 with MC 1st timers

7  Equal Measure    seems like a good claim by Sadler......good off track sire......obviously chances are enhanced if we don't get an inside condition

4  Acadia Fleet

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Depende de Ti   bad trips in last two including the starts.......if this filly breaks well today she has a shot to go wire to wire or stalk at worst

5  Thanks   blinkers off as her best so far was running from off of the pace at SA two races back......if that is where she races today her chances are enhanced if we don't get an inside condition

6  Reds Sacred Appeal   went off at 69 to 1 in last for her 1st at a route......and since the trainer is dismal 1st at a route this filly might really benefit from the endurance building effort

1  Had Enough K P

 

race 5    average clarity

1  Ayacara   lone off track race was run turf to dirt two back and was a solid number.....drops....blinkers on......speed rider Maldonado on......should sit closer to the front today

3  Builder   decent shot to snatch the front end......(5 1 1 1) at the distance looks awfully good vs. this group

6  Original Intent   lifetime best and a good fit here was his lone effort on an off track......and it was run at SA

9  Platinum Equity

8  Spend It

 

race 6    below average clarity

3  Tyfosha   solid race on a trying out "good" track at SA on 13 October.....same ditance today and maybe save type of surface........trainer's hot

8  No Wine Untasted   very sharp BREEZING 5F drill a week ago.......as good a shot to lead as anyone......likes ample time between starts and gets it

4  Bashful   strong 5F turf wining debut........good pedigree for an off track.......Mike Smith stays put

1  Trustini

9  Princess Roi

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Surfing Star   stellar races in last two both at today's distance.......good final times despite having to cope with very strong pace.......hope he can handle a drying out SA dirt

4  El Huerfano   plenty of speed in this affair and he might get a nice mid pack position.......has handled an off track OK.......rider and trainer are 7 for their last 13........yikes

8  Pepe Tono   only beaten by 7 3/4 lengths by a Triple Crown winner in an off track........dangerous deep closer especially if I am all wet of my prediction of a speed track

2  Super Sol

7  Vice Marshall

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Bellafina   handles brutal fractions......OK off pedigree.......capable on or just off of the pace......hard not to like

5  Reflect   lone off pace runner in the race loaded with speed......should be passing some tired horses down the stretch

1  Mother Mother   very dangerous trainer in Baffert when he takes the blinkers off (37% win last 43) especially with a horse that has down little wrong like this filly

 

race 9    average clarity

10  Miss Unusual   best ever was sprinting at SA and she also won her only other race sprinting at SA and it was her debut.....and she just won at Lrc in the off going.....such a deal

7  Baby Ice   claim back by Knapp and why not as the last two races run with Knapp as the trainer were 9L & 2L wins......decent "off track" pedigree

5  Rizzi's Honor   dangerous trainer in Glatt with laid up cheap sprinters.......mare seems best at today's distance

6  Just Be Held

4  Pied N True

 

 

 

 

Posted on January 6, 2019 at 10:15 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections