More than 1/2 of the Fall Santa Anita Meeting is on the books and so far a win bet on every top selection is yielding a 17% profit. 20 cent Pick 6 carryover is $190K and SHF carryover is $85K for Friday. See some of the highlights for the meeting below.

14 October 2019: 1st race exacta was 2nd, top pick $16.40. 3rd race 20 cent pick 6 was 2nd, top, top, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd pick for $792.42. 4th race top pick, 3rd pick exacta $36.80. 4th race pick 5 was top, top, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd pick for $3,005.60. 5th race exacta hit COLD $25.40. 5th race trifecta paying $120.20 was top, 2nd, 4th pick. 6th and 7th race box of top two picks paid $11.00 & $20.80 respectively.

10 October 2019:  After any scratches:  1st race 3rd pick, top pick exacta $259.40. 1st race pick 3 was 3rd, 5th, top pick for $1,763.20.  2nd race 20 cent pick 6 was 5th, top, 4th. 5th, 3rd, top pick for $18,116.10. 3rd race pick 5 was 3rd, 5th, top, 4th, 5th pick for $111,211.40. (50 cent paid $27,802.85). 3th race pick 5 was top, 4th, 5th, 3rd, top pick for $10,654.20. 3rd race top choice over the other 4 picks paid a superfecta of $7,160.00.    

5 October 2019:  2nd race pick 4 was top,3rd, top, 3rd pick for $3,449.40. 2nd race pick 3 was top, 3rd, top pick for $965.80. 3rd race 3rd pick, 2nd pick exacta $118.40. 4th race pick 3 was top, 3rd, top pick for $197.60. 4th race trifecta was top, 4th, 3rd pick for $197.60. 5th race 3rd pick, top pick exacta $20.20. 6th race top pick, 3rd pick exacta $22.60. 9th race 2nd pick, top pick exacta paid $12.00. 9th race 2nd pick, top pick double paid $17.20.

3 October 2019:  After any scratches:  1st race pick pick 3 was 2nd, 3rd, 4th pick for $2,604.60. 1st race 2nd pick, top pick exacta $60.60. 1st race trifecta box of top 3 selections $182.20. 2nd race pick 3 was 3rd, 4th, top pick for $369.60. 3rd race box of top 4 pick paid a trifecta of $1,768.40. 3rd race 4th pick, top pick double paid $174.00. 4th race exacta hit COLD $13.60. 7th race exacta hit COLD $42.80.

29 September 2019:  Top selection won 4 of the 8 races and ran 2nd in 2 others. 2nd race pick 4 was 2nd, 2nd, top, top pick for $178.80. 4th race double hit COLD $16.60. 4th race trifecta hit COLD $185.80. 5th race trifecta also hit COLD $53.20. 7th race double hit COLD $35.00.

28 September 2019:  Very nice day at SA with the top selection winning 6 races, 2nd pick 1 race, 3rd pick 2 races, 4th pick 1 race. 1st race pick 5 was top, 3rd, 3rd, 2nd, top pick for $3,390.40. 1st race exacta hit COLD $15.20. 2nd race 3rd pick, top pick exacta $33.60. 3rd race 3rd pick top pick exacta $66.80. 3rd race trifecta box of top 4 picks $339.40. 5th race double hit COLD $32.80. 5th race pick 3 was top, top, 4th pick for $283.60. 7th race pick 3 was 4th, top, top pick for $329.60. 50 cent SHF box of our 5 given picks paid $1,114.50. 8th race double hit COLD $33.00. 8th race top pick over other 4 picks $521.80. 9th race exacta hit COLD $34.20. 11 race exacta hit COLD $36.00. 11th race top pick over other given picks paid a superfecta of $763.80

27 September 2019:  Not the kind of day that will go into our "highlights" section but noteworthy. 3rd race trifecta box of top 3 picks $210.40. 4th race trifecta box of top 3 picks $61.80. 5th race pick 5 was top, top, 5th, 2nd, 5th pick for $6,369.60. 6th race exacta hit COLD $18.60.

7 September 2019:  After any scratches:  1st race pick 5 was top, 2nd 3rd, 5th, 2nd pick for $9,701.80. 1st race exacta hit COLD (with only two selections given) $7.60. 2nd race trifecta box of top 3 picks $58.00. 3rd race pick 3 was 3rd, 5th, 2nd $1,120.80. 4th race pick 3 was 5th, 2nd, 2nd $1,397.40. 5th race double was 2nd pick, 2nd pick $126.00. 5th race trifecta box of 3 given picks $115.40.

6 September 2019:  After and scratches: 2nd race double was 2nd pick, 2nd pick for $139.60. 3rd race 2nd choice won and paid $45.00 to win. 3rd race exacta was 2nd pic, 3rd pick $213.60. 3rd race trifecta box of top 3 picks $619.80. 3rd race superfecta box of 4 given picks $1,325.60. 5th race double hit COLD $17.00. 8th race 3rd pick, top pick Exacta $46.80.

2 September 2019:  After and scratches on closing day Del Mar:  Top pick won 5 races, 2nd choice won 2 races and a 3rd choice won one race. 3rd race pick 3 was 2nd, top, top pick for $114.60. 4th race double hit COLD paying $46.00. 4th race pick 3 was top, top, 2nd choice paying $584.00. 5th race double was top pick, 2nd pick for $102.40. 6th race pick 3 was 2nd, 3rd, top pick for $224.80. 8th race top pick over our 4 other picks paid a superfecta of $307.40.

1 September 2019:  After any scratches:  1st race pick 5 was top, 4th, top, top, 5th pick for $1,984.00. 5th race pick 3 was 5th, 2nd, top for $673.20. 6th race pick 3 was 2nd, top, 4th pick for $564.40. 7th race top choice over the other 4 picks paid a superfecta of $787.00. 9th race trifecta box of top 4 picks paid $246.80.

31 August 2019:  Not the kind of day that will go into our "highlights" section but noteworthy. 7th race pick 4 was top, 2nd, top, top pick for $474.20. 8th race trifecta box of top 4 picks paid $249.60. 9th race exacta hot COLD $19.20. 9th race double also hit COLD $35.80. 10th race top pick, 3rd pick exacta $30.80

30 August 2019:  Not the kind of day that will go into our "highlights" section but noteworthy. Our 3rd ICE COLD superfecta in the last 5 days at Del Mar in race 1 paid $484.60. (other two paid $277.60 & $407.80). COLD trifecta was $147.0 Two nice top choice winners in the 7 race card paid $9.00 & $16.00. 1st race pick 3 was top, 4th, top pick for $246.00.

29 August 2019:   After any scratches:  1st race pick 5 was 3rd, top, 2nd, 5th, top pick for $2,977.60. 1st race pick 3 was 3rd, top, 2nd pick for $381.00. 1st race 3rd pick, 2nd pick exacta was $60.40. 2nd race exacta hit COLD $30.60. 3rd race pick 6 was 2nd, 5th, top, 4th, top, 3rd $12,906.80. 3rd race trifecta box of 4 given picks $236.60. 4th race pick 5 was 5th, top, 4th, top, 3rd pick $4,291.36. 7th race exacta hit COLD for $21.20.

28 August 2019:  Our fifth COLD trifecta $80.80 and second COLD superfecta $277.60 in the last 6 race days in race 1 today.

25 August 2019:  4th COLD trifecta this week in race 6 paid $170.60 to go along with $76.40, $163.60 & $28.40 earlier in the week.

24 August 2019:  3rd race superfecta hit ICE COLD for $407.80. 6th race 5th pick, top pick exacta $73.60. 6th race pick 5 was 5th, 4th, top, top, 5th pick $12,7960.30. 8th race double hit COLD $20.20. 9th race 5th pick, top pick exacta $162.60. 9th race 5th, top, 3rd pick trifecta $642.00.

22 August 2019:  3rd race pick 5 was top, 4th, top, top, 2nd pick paying $6,366.20. 3rd race top pick, 3rd pick exacta was $17.20. 4th race trifecta box of top 4 picks $380.20. 5th race double hit COLD $19.20. 6th race trifecta hit COLD $28.40. (that's 3 COLD trifecta's in 2 days or 15 races: $76.40, $163.60 & $28.40) 7th race 2nd pick, top pick exacta $45.20.

16 August 2019:  After any scratches: 1st race pick 5 was 2nd, top, 5th, top, 3rd pick for $12,524. (pick 3 was $1,041.40 and the double was $99.20). 1st race trifecta box of top 4 picks $245.80. 3rd race superfecta box of 5 given picks paid $6,340.60 (10 cent super was $317.03) 4th race pick 5 was top, 3rd, 3rd, 3rd, 4th pick for $3,186.40. 6th race trifecta box of top 4 picks paid $398.80.

14 August 2019:  After any scratches: 1st race 2nd pick, top pick exacta $33.40. 1st race 2nd pick, 2nd pick double $44.20. 4th race superfecta box of 4 given picks paid $873.00. 5th race 2nd pick, top pick exacta $24.80. 6th race trifecta hit ICE COLD $85.40.

9 August 2019:  1st race pick 5 was 4th, top, 3rd, 3rd, top pick for $1,975.60. 2nd race top pick over our other 3 picks paid a trifecta of $531.20. (exacta $117.00). 3rd race trifecta box of top 3 picks paid $47.60. 4th race 3rd pick, top pick exacta $21.60. 5th race top pick, 2nd pick exacta $18.00.

4 August 2019:  After and scratches:  1st race pick 5 was 2nd, 2nd, top, top, 2nd pick for $1,484.60. 1st race trifecta box of three given picks paid $200.20 (only a $12 investment). 1st race 2nd pick, 2nd pick double paid $83.20. 2nd race 2nd pick, top pick exacta $42.20. 3rd race superfecta box of 4 given picks $152.20. 4th race pick 3 was top, 2nd, top pick for $57.40. 5th race trifecta box of top 3 picks $43.40. 6th race exacta hit COLD $19.80.

2 August 2019:  After and scratches:  1st race superfecta hit COLD $73.40. 1st race pick 5 was top, 3rd, top, top, 4th pick $1,138.40. 2nd race trifecta box of 3 given picks $49.00. 3rd race double hit COLD $26.00. 3rd race top choice over other 3 given picks paid a superfecta of $328.60. 5th race superfecta box of 4 given picks was $269.00. 6th race exacta hit COLD $33.20. 6th race top pick over next 3 given picks paid a superfecta of $306.60. 7th race top two picks quinella paid $10.40.

1 August 2019:  After and scratches:  1st race top pick over other 4 picks trifecta $105.20. 3rd race pick 5 was top, 2nd, 3rd, 2nd, 3rd pick paying $1,831.80. 6th race 2nd pick, top pick exacta $19.40. 7th race trifecta box of 4 given picks $209.40.

28 July 2019:   Top choice won 4 of the 8 races carded and ran 2nd in 3 others. 4th race pick 5 was top, top, 5th, 4th, top pick for $5,012.00. 6th race 5th pick, top pick exacta was $150.20. 7th race superfecta box of 4 given picks $175.00. 8th race top pick, 3rd pick exacta paid $32.60.

26 July 2019:   2nd race pick 3 was 3rd, 5th, 2nd pick for $894.80. 2nd race trifecta box of 3 given picks $53.40. 3rd race pick 6 was 5th, 2nd, 4th, 3rd, top, top pick for $12,421.00. 5th race trifecta box of 5 given picks $329.40. 7th race double hit COLD for $28.70.

25 July 2019:  After any scratches: 1st race pick 5 was 2nd, 4th, top, 4th, top pick for $6,260.60. 2nd race pick 6 was 4th, top, 4th, top, 2nd, 3rd pick for $7,280.00. 4th race box of top four picks trifecta paid $202.40. 5th race top pick over our other 3 picks trifecta was $324.00. 5th race top pick, 2nd pick double paid $25.20.

 

Posted on December 18, 2013 at 5:24 pm by brian · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Uncategorized

Santa Anita for Monday 14 October 2019

Decent card handicapping wise to finish the Holiday weekend. Be back in action next Friday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Morning Cynn   seems like a good time to risk a drop in claiming coming off a dismal effort......barn is in win mode........only race on the SA dirt fits very well.......unreal 8 for their last 16 rider/trainer combo......two reassuring works showing since her latest run which was on 21 Sept.

4  Bellazano   decent rebound in her latest off of a 52 days break.......and she has run well off of short rest the only 2 times she had the opportunity to do so......short rest today and I like the rider change........dangerous sort

6  Gotta Be Lucky   ran well off of a 2 1/2 month layoff 3 races back where she dropped in MC for the 1st time.......that might bode well for today's drop to the lowest available MC level off of a 5 1/2 month layoff........we shall see about 12:30 pm pacific time

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Pivo   not the best of trips in his debut on 22 Sept. at Lrc.......Roman stays aboard and right now that is most likely a plus as he has been getting on live horses at the SA meeting and for the most part getting the job done

2  Dream Palace   cut back in distance appears to be a plus as does the fact he has shown the best speed of anyone in the field.......so if the 1 horse (a first time starter) doesn't have early speed he should be loose of the lead for the 1st time in his career.......thus........quite dangerous

3  Campagne's On Ice   lone lifetime race fits fine in this spot provided he breaks better.........mostly placed as low as 3rd pick because the rider is only 1 for his last 50 in sprint races.......ouch

 

race 3    average clarity

1  More Honor   all 3 lifetime grass sprints on firm turf were solid efforts leading to two wins and a second.........seems destined to get a nice mid pack position in a race that should yield a lively pace........good grass jock in Cedillo gets the call from Glatt who is very good at getting laid up runners like this gelding to run "big" off of long layoffs

2  Restless Rambler   speed of the speed but at what cost with his main speed challenger ridden by Maldonado who exits the metal monster as well as anyone........but than again hot apprentice rider Velez is not too shabby out of a gate jock either

5  Awesome Heights   appears as if he is capable of rating some and if that is what the connections see fit to try and have the jock attempt I like his chances some

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Road Rager   very good spot for a speed horse like this filly happens to be........lifetime best and a strong number here was run turf to dirt and that is also today's scenario......regular rider Gryder wisely stays put

3  Gold Arrow   could have won either of her two lifetime races with better trips.......away since Feb. and returns with a new trainer in Drysdale.........Neil has had quite the rebound year and can keep the good times rolling with this four year old who has trained well enough to fire a strong race fresh off the bench just as she did in her debut

4  Saving Sophia   no action on the board whatsoever in this girl's lone start which was a MSW 5F grass race at SA in May.......the effort was likely a turf tightener........work regiment this time around hints this is not a tune-up.......dangerous sort

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Three Ay Em   ultra impressive 1st in a turf route as this three year old colt pressed and then closely stalked a strong pace and was still able to run 2nd beaten one length for the win......O'Neill gave him a little more time off following the race and during that time put into him some solid works hinting he is enthusiastic about this fellows chances of being a good turf route runner

1  Cono   gelded since his last race which was on the 1st day of June and just what you want to see as in a vastly improved series of drills.........that and I like when Smith rides for McCarthy which is the case here

7  Jamming Eddy   another who has been giving a small break and in the interim worked better than he has in the past.......believe he is sitting on a top effort.....and with a jock upgrade .......and a cut back in distance.......both of which should help his endurance when push comes to shove in the late stretch

2  Perfect Wager

4  Asaro

 

race 6    below average clarity

3  Baby Gronk   (4 1 3 0) at SA on the main track.......(4 0 0 2) racing anywhere else........seems likely to sit inside for a good portion of the race on or near the lead........and so far at the SA meeting that position has led to good things in the sprint races

6  Truck Salesman   the 3 and the 4 both have early speed but he appears to have the most........last three racing endeavors all fit fine......never easy for a trainer to get a 3rd straight solid effort out of a given horse but the way the trainer has been going a 4th seems doable

5  Platinum Nights   one lifetime race really stands out and it was the only time he raced at 6F on a fast track at SA.....and in general six furlongs appears to fit this colt the best

4  High Five

 

race 7    above average clarity

1  Storming Lady    there are horses for courses and sometimes there are riders for horses......that appears to be the case here as Espinoza is (4 3 1 0) on this filly and that is not too shabby considering this gal's overall record is (14 3 4 3)......and......the trainer is very reliable with his turf runners

5  Travieza   might have the best early speed in the field but what I really like is the endurance that Doug O'Neill has put into this filly since her 14 August race......she has been flattening out but I doubt she does today

2  Stylishly   short on numbers but she makes up for it by being an awfully fluid/smooth runner......and it shows in her record when she competes in firm turf sprints (4 2 1 1).......and those two wins were the only two times today's rider Drayden Van Dyke has been up

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Big Barrel   bad races everywhere but at SA........so that might be why Powell and company are willing to risk their filly for $12.5K so as to enhance their chances to grab the top prize as it might not be until 2020 that they can once again race at SA.......decent preparatory drills.....distance should fit fine

5  R B Eye   best at SA and 1 for 1 at 7F and 0 for 12 at other distances.......Roman remains up and with the way he has gotten his act together of late that should be a plus

7  Imagineiamfastest   big awakening in his latest to break his maiden with a 5L win in start number 13.......often these kind win right back when placed realistically which this MC20K is a the 12.5K non-winners of two level

6  Topgallant

4  Buck Duane

 

 

 

 

 

 

Posted on October 14, 2019 at 8:04 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 13 October 2019

10 days into the Fall Santa Anita Meeting and a win bet on every top selection is yielding a 24% profit. Not too shabby. Be back with you tomorrow.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Malibu Star   Baffert MSW 1st time starter has hit the track every 6, 7 or 8 days going back mid July and maybe more.......rather sure that he owns some talent but it is hard to tell how much early speed he has.......if he has little he might have too much to do to get up in time in a 5 1/2F.......if he does he should have the endurance to go along with the speed

5  High Velocity   double barrel action form Baffert as he also trains out top pick........another making his MSW debut today that appears well prepared to be tough at 1st asking......and unlike our top choice I believe he has some early gas

1  Prince Magician   so so efforts in both lifetime races but he is now working vastly better as though Palma has found the "trump card" for this colt which in part or all is "blinkers on" for today.........dangerous sort

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Lincoln City   three year old was our 18 to 1 top pick and could have won if not for a bad trip........colt sure appears to want more ground to cover and gets it today in his 1st race on the turf racing as far as 5 1/2 furlongs........lifetime best was in his lone start at SA where he had a much less successful rider up than he has today especially for the lawn

1  Big Runnuer   trainer's bag is not at getting 1ster's ready to roll at first asking but the a.m. work for this V Garcia debut runner is too good to ignore.......and he sure appears to have some early speed when examining his preparatory drills

4  Shandling   another MSW 1st time starter training as if he is well meant in his debut run..........and the trainer Philip D'Amato is on fire to start the 2019 SA Fall meeting.......dangerous sort

3  Duece

10  Awesome Score

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Honor A. P.   very powerful stretch drive in his MSW debut........that and Shirreffs is much more dangerous with 2nd time starters......1st at a route today but owns a good pedigree to get the two turns.........Smith's lone mount of the today and that is usually a big positive......good a.m. prep......good post........hard not to like

4  Royal Thunder   pressed a brutal set of fractions in his 2nd lifetime race in a 6 1/2F affair and rightfully tired........1st long today and with a pedigree that is decent for one.......sure looks loose........good jock in routes in Fuentes

6  Special Day   showed he can handle a route race with a solid 2nd in his 2nd lifetime start in a race at Lrc at today's one mile distance.........sharp 5F work on 6 October says he's doing well......not out of the win picture by any means.......pun intended

5  Eel Point

9  Eddy Forever

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Lucky Ms Jones   lone win came in her 2nd lifetime start turf sprint to turf route........this time around it is turf route - turf sprint - turf route and a return to SA where this filly broke her maiden and earned an adjusted Santucci fig (7L of trip adjustment) that is par for today's higher level

3  Whoa Nessie  strong dirt race in her latest pressing the pace for about 1/2 of the race and then pulling away by 11 lengths by the time the wire came up.........that effort was her career best fig..........lone one mile grass race at SA for this gal was a win and her 2nd best lifetime number.......Cedillo wisely stays put

7  Absolutely Perfect  lone win came in her 2nd lifetime start dirt sprint to turf route........scenario today is turf sprint to turf route for her 2nd out after a 9 month layoff.......sure seems well meant

1  Brahms Command

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Love of Art   better early speed and final time in her latest winning at one level higher........and since her win at Lrc on 20 Sept. she put in an improved 3F speed work and on the SA surface which she is seeing for the first time.......and retains the red hot bug boy who sure put on a show yesterday

5  Princess Dorian   claimed for $20K and drops to $10K for her 1st start for his trainer who has been a little chilly of late.........as I have stated many times before I hate these "flip a coin" types

1  Majestic Diva   yes the track was an outside bias at Lrc on 20 September but this mare was placed a bit too wide by Pereira in the race and still managed 3rd and earned a decent Santucci fig.........that and I like the switch to the 7 lbs bug boy Diaz who does well in dirt routes

4  Buttie

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Grinningeartoear   looked like a winner loose on the lead in her MSW debut on 6 July but bled so bad she had to be vanned off.......Lasix today and she is training like she will flash speed and run a big effort......that and Koriner is night and day better with 2nd time starters than 1st time starters........turf pedigree is good

2  Stick Up   MSW debut run at Lrc is better than it appears on paper.......that and the filly had little support at the windows hinting she wasn't all that cranked up........if that is so she should be today.......blinkers on so look for her to sit closer........decent turf breeding

3  Love Not War   double barrel action from the D'Amato as he also trains our 2nd pick.......and like his other filly this girl's MSW debut effort at Lrc is better than it appears on paper.......that and the filly had zero support support at the windows hinting she wasn't all that cranked up........turf pedigree is  a ? mark

7  Remember to Smile

8  Goddess Aphrodite

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Leucothea   best early gas in this field.......and........possibly no one is capable of pressing her early.........which........bodes well for her chances as the only time she was loose on the lead she won by 14 lengths earning a number that is quite a bit better than anyone in this field has produced

1  Shedaresthedevil    very capable of running well from off of the pace and she should have plenty of speed to flatter her late run......trainer Callaghan is 4 for his last 9 with the sprint-route-sprint maneuver which is the case here

2  Pure Xena   blinkers on might be bad timing today because if they want the lead it may be very costly as she will likely go too fast early attempting to keep up with our top choice and the 6 Horse.......but my guess is Gryder will try to stalk.......like her chances more if he does

 

race 8    average clarity

2  South West Bay   private purchase so the connections got a very good idea of what they were getting........and O'Neill really seems to have a handle on his new acquisition as his a.m. work over at Slr is dynamite

6  Tartini   last 3 grass races sure fit and a couple of them are disguised in their strength......but more importantly we get one significant upgrade in jocks for a turf route

10  Reedley   not much speed in this affair outside of our top choice and this colt who has plenty of turf route speed.......so despite his nasty post he should be able to clear most or maybe all by the back-stretch.......thus.......making him dangerous

1  River God

4  Mongolian Hero

 

 

Posted on October 13, 2019 at 9:26 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 12 October 2019

Decent race card today. Be back with you tomorrow and don't forget that there is racing on Monday. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Coilettte   5 1/2 furlongs (3 1 1 1) really fits this filly who just put in would might be her lifetime best drill in preparation for today's race and did it on the SA surface hinting that her first race on it will be a positive thing

3  Staythirstymyamigo   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE  last three races for this Freeman filly all fit fine here and the rider that was up for those races wisely stays in the saddle for today's race.......connections will likely have their fingers crossed that the 1 - 2 - 4 all go after the lead thus aiding her late running style

4  Marrazano   rider upgrade and drops a couple of racing levels.......blinkers off which hints they might want their filly to take back some which might be wise

 

race 2   below  average clarity

2  Smokin B   good stats for Carava both taking the blinkers off and dropping multiple training levels........and add to that he has won 3 of his last 5 over the last 2 months when he has legged up Mr. Cedillo

3  Top of Game   very dangerous sort when able to get loose on the lead like he has in his last two races........and he retains bug boy Velez who is well worth his 5 lbs weight break and he also draws a good post to break from for the 3rd straight race

7  Bitter Ring Home   last two times the connections dropped this gelding multiple levels he ran big efforts (last race and 3 back) with his last race somewhat disguised in it's strength........cutting claiming price in half today.......hmmm

 

race 3    above average clarity

5  Go for a Ride   race sets for a speed horse which he is and he also owns the top numbers in the field........that is usually one tough nut to crack for the opposition..........takes the seemingly magical drop from MSW racing to MC.......solid rider/trainer combo

2  Camps Bay  very wide trip in his latest somewhat disguises the strength of the effort.......decent history racing on the SA turf.......good post and rider

3  Rightful   strange 3 level rise in maiden claiming for this colt who did show some life in his two route turf races.......training better of late........and catch this - Cerin has won 4 straight when he moves a horse up 2 or more levels.........yikes-o-rama

4  Speakerofthehouse

1  Chase and Colorado

 

race 4    above average clarity

3  Claudelle   popped an 11 length winning effort to graduate in her last which was her 10th career start.......it happened to be her only dirt race on a fast rated surface with the blinkers on......number earned stands out here........sunny forecast.......and like last time she should be the controlling speed

1  Jaccat   very consistent since Powell took over the training duties.......last two races are arguably her two best to date........Prat stays put.........trainer has had a good 2019 and has some shot at adding to his 22% win percentage

6  Diamond of Value   seems best on the SA main track........just fired her best Del Mar effort......so logic says that if she has held form she might be up for her lifetime best getting back to her favorite surface

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Majestic Girl   off slow and rushed into a solid quarter mile and a par like half in her MSW debut on 28 July.......predictably tired badly..........away since and returns with a night and day better work regiment that suggests she has built up her endurance......and we know she is fast early.......needs to break cleanly and if she does she has a decent chance to be tough from start to finish.....should be a big price

1  Richies Noble Girl   getting 1st time starters to win at 1st asking is not the trainer's forte but Baltas sure has put copious works into his filly 1st time starter.........and she shows hints that she may have early speed........mom has tossed 3 winners from 3 starters.........dangerous sort

3  Well Done Sally  rider/trainer teamed up yesterday for a win (our top pick paying $10.80) and might have a shot at another visit to the winners circle here........inside speed has been doing well and this two year old filly has decent early gas........3 reassuring works put in since her 13 Sept race.......dangerous sort

9  Roadrunner's Honor

10  Drama for Mama

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Overjoyed   solid stretch drive in her MSW debut which was in a $100K one mile turf Stakes race......not too shabby of an effort to beat 6 of 10 foes debuting in a route.........excellent a.m. work since.........Smith wisely stays up.......nasty 10 post in last - likely overjoyed to draw the 2 post today.........pedigree for the dirt is dynamite........hard not to like

1  Gingham   two straight 2nd place finishes which also were in one mile dirt routes to start her career........solid speed drill put in and switches riders to the 7 lbs bug boy who just happens to be 5 for his last 9 riding for Mr Baffert........should fly early and be tough to wheel if she cuts out some reasonable fractions

5  Matera   like the sprint-sprint-route maneuver especially for a filly who has a pedigree that screams "route".........very expensive purchase trains terrifically but has yet to show it very much in the p.m.......maybe her 1st two turn race will change that

3  Paige Anne

8  Dipping In

 

race 7    above average clarity

5  Don't Sell   three year old filly is a perfect 4 for 4 racing at 5 or 5 1/2 furlongs (3 on the turf and one on the AW).......her last race is her best to date and on the SA turf at today's 5 1/2F distance......if she repeats the effort she should win........hot owner/trainer/rider trio at the helm

1  S Y Sky  extremely consistent five year old mare and that includes the grass where she owns 3 wins and 3 seconds from 6 starts........should be in the mix from the get go.........impossible not to like

6  Just Grazed Me   double barrel action from the D'A as he also conditions our 2nd selection and like her barn mate she shows up every race (8 4 3 1)........only negative I can see is there is a small chance she isn't as good on the sod as the dirt.....but still dangerous

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Shear Class   big MSW sprint debut running better than par and doing so from far back following a tardy start......that and she owns a super pedigree to handle the two turns and her trainer is strong when he races 1st time at a route with a 2nd time starter.........no brainer for Smith to stick with the Shirreffs horse

6  Unicorn   very big turf route numbers and bred fine for the dirt led to her being 2-5 in her last which was her 1st on the dirt.......jock fell off.......doubt that happens today

7  Cover Version   very good sprint dirt race tune-up of sorts for this Cassidy invader from France in her first in the USA......raced well in turf marathons in France......so.......one mile seems much better for her than the 6F she just competed at

4  Surreptitious

 

race 9    average clarity

1  Nolo Contesto   very strong efforts/figs in his last two races which were his 1st two ever on the sod........switch in jocks to Baze who gets to work a better post than the riders of his two previous races had to deal with........hard not to like

8  Moody Jim   on the improve with each and every lifetime race.......last fits well here and if he is up for even more he has as good a shot as anyone to take down this one mile grass race

3  Wound Tight   trip play here - gelding seems likely to get a nice ground saving trip thru turn one sitting 2 to 4 lengths behind what should be a lively pace.......if that comes to fruition he becomes a very dangerous competitor in this spot

9  North County Guy

7  Big Buzz

 

 

 

 

Posted on October 12, 2019 at 8:28 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 11 October 2019

Average card at best today. Saturday's looks good. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

2  Brickyard Ride   5 Oct trainer scratch out of a MSW race for today's MC50K.........flashed speed and then fell apart in his debut........endurance building works since his 16 Aug MSW debut.......banking on speed with staying power this time around

5  Grovenor Cinch   late runner appears to be screaming out for a race further than 5 1/2F and gets it today in his 3rd lifetime start.......Ruben Fuentes wisely stays put

3  Carnelian Hero   decent a.m work for this Jeff Bonde 1ster........trainer is rather good with MC's and gets Bejarano to ride......and mom has tossed 5 winners from 6 starters and one of them was Stakes winner.......seems dangerous

7  Mahi Mahi

6  You'reright Again

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Smiling to Excess   significant awakening for this two year old filly in her latest.......back in only 3 weeks since her 9L graduating run and with a work in the interim........feeling good........decent shot for back to back wins

3  Vegan   obvious gimme placed way over her noggin in her latest to put some doubt into the minds of those interested in putting in a claim........and note she gets eligible for the sa50kn2 races by entering for $40K

2  Freedom Ride   on the improve with each and every race and if the trend continues today she has as good a shot of taking down this race as anyone in the field

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Jetovator   both lifetime races on the grass fit well versus this semi-soft looking group.........that and this Eurton three year old gelding should be on or just off of what should be a doable pace.......that is one dangerous proposition for the opposition when the rider happens to be Pratt

5  Cool Your Jets   four year old is at his best racing at today's one mile turf distance (4 0 2 2).....that and it seems like a good spot for 1st time blinkers because as mentioned above the fractions set in this affair should be reasonable and with the new equipment he is likely to sit closer up early

4  Bud Knight   not much of a number in his MSW debut which was a MSW one mile turf race like today but it turned out to be a very key race........moved forward in his 2nd lifetime start........then not much doing in two turf races at Dmr.....back on the SA turf and with vastly improved a.m. work hinting Powell has tweaked something for the better......we shall see about 2 pm pacific

1  Fravel

 

race 4   below  average clarity

5  Harliss   should sit on or near the lead in this spot that should yield anywhere from a soft set of fractions at best and average set at worst........potential for better this afternoon racing as a 1st time gelding........drops to the lowest MC level of his career.......and it sure seems to be a good sign that Van Dyke stays up following a race that wasn't anything special

6  U S Hero   if our top pick doesn't lead I believe this Sherlock three year old will especially with a sharp bullet 3F speed drill since his last race on 14 September

3  Rineshaft   MC40K debut fits and the effort is somewhat disguised by a poor start in a very fast time/heat for the given level.....believe 2nd race was a dirty up his form to get away with a drop down to MC20K and not get snatched up by way of a claim

1  Truest Reward

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Top Brass   good efforts last 3 of 4 races when racing on SA fast tracks.......trainer Glatt is doing better than his overall record indicates at the fall SA meeting......and his go to guy these days is definitely Talamo as in 12 wins in their last 26 starts as a team

8  Rocko's Wheel   seven year old might be slightly better in sprint races than route races and that really doesn't show in print........last three fast rated sprints look like a fit here.......rider & trainer our 4 for their last 7 as a team over the last couple of months

5  Getaloadofthis   so so works prior to this fellow's two races since Sadler took over the training duties.......preparatory works for today's race are vastly better hinting Sadler has discover something for the better.........rider is struggling especially considering the quality of mounts he has been getting.......might get some of his mojo back here

2  Concur

7  Shane Zain

 

race 6    average clarity

5  Moonlight Drive   needs plenty of time between races and Mulhall shows patience and gives it to her six year old........these kind are quite reliable when they race as the trainer has to have them very ready as it likely be a couple of months before they can race again.......and last but not least this filly is always in the thick of things when racing at 8 of 8 1/2 furlong on the sod

10 AE  Forever Juanito   ran wide for a good portion of the race in the 29 August version of this 25K turf race albeit at Dmr......trainer is having a good 2nd half of 2019 and might keep the ball rolling here if his eight year old can hold form

3  Offshore   (4 2 0 1) in turf routes since Richard Baltas took over the training duties........and back to Prat who won the 4 August version of this race albeit over at Del Mar.....dangerous sort

6  Kylemore

2  Zip the Monkey

7  Impression

 

race 7    below average clarity

4  It's Fitting   good debut for this Cassidy 2nd time starter winning despite some trouble.........five decent works since his 18 August race hints he has remained sharp and might take a logical forward move.......he can make it back to back scores to start his career if he does

3   Tiger Strike   solid turf to dirt run/win .......nice little 3F speed drill since his 22 September graduation day........speed jock Maldonado stays put giving this gelding with some speed the best shot of getting the early lead.....and speed has been better than average to start the fall SA meeting

7  Minoso   lookout here as the works are improved and Talamo stays put........gelding seems best racing at today's 6F distance.......four year old tends to hang in the stretch or would have rated higher

8  Ishi   SCRATCHED OUT

5  Satanta

 

race 8   above average clarity

4  Kittyhawk Lass   monumental rider upgrade for a grass race.......filly is only a couple of lengths short of par for what it takes to win today's racing level........the vastly better turf rider should help get needed "lengths" out of her

7  Posh Holly   filly has much more early speed than most will surmise.......T C Baze hopefully will send her hard early to clear all or most by the start of the back stretch.........like his chances if that is what occurs

2  Coldwater   5 of 6 lifetime distance grass races all fit solidly in this spot........improved a.m. work of late hinting she might be up for her lifetime strongest run to date......Smith wisely sticks around and sticks around for his only mount on the Friday card.....she should be flying late

9  Heathers Grey

5  Red Bunting

 

 

 

Posted on October 11, 2019 at 8:17 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 10 October 2019

Today starts five straight days of racing as Monday is Columbus Day.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    below average clarity

7  My S V R  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   tepid top selection seemingly has a decent chance to grab the lead in her 1st at a route........pedigree to handle the two turns is decent.......trainer/jock have only teamed up twice in the last couple of months with a win and a 3rd

5  Probable   sprint-sprint-route scenario for this Matt Chew filly and with 1st time blinkers hinting the connections want their youngster to be forwardly placed early.......good pedigree for a route........rider upgrade and with a 5 lbs weight break to boot

3  Alicia's Pride   disappointed in her 2nd lifetime start which was her 1st on the dirt and 1st in a sprint.......earned a number in her turf route debut that is better than par for today's level and somewhat disguised in its strength..........working awfully well on the dirt for today's route on the main track.......very dangerous potential

8  Reds Sacred Appeal

9  Ancona

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Don'tteasethetiger   12% trainer is more than twice that 1st out following a claim which is the case here........that and it is good to see Maldonado ride thru the claim as he gets this gelding forwardly placed early which he seems to respond to........nice speed 3F bullet work put in since the 2 Sept. purchase........three year old has been improving and might again today

1  I Belong to Becky   gelding likes to hang but might not today racing at the lowest level of his career.......2 of this fellow's last 3 races sure fit solidly at today's lower level........dynamite trainer/rider combo over the last 2 months as in 42% win

2  Verynsky   just claimed by Bob Hess who is looking for his 1st win at the new meeting following a solid Dmr for the veteran trainer........three year old needs his race 4 back (also run at 5 1/2 furlongs) and if Hess finds a way to get it out of him he has a shot at the circle of joy

9  Thin Line

7  Prayer Warrior

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Billy K   solid bug boy is at his very best in dirt routes and especially so when he can sit close up early........not that much gas in this field so this mid pack runner like last time looks like she will sit about 2 or 3 lengths off the lead down the back stretch and saving ground......like her chances if that occurs

2  Text Don't Call   drop seems alarming to some degree but if this filly is doing OK health wise and handles her 1st on the dirt in a route she will have as good an opportunity to take down this race as anyone..........tough call - flip a coin type

5  Circleofcolor   filly likely boosted her endurance in her latest racing in a one mile turf route.......sprint race on the dirt 3 back fits fine and today we have a significantly better jock up.......pedigree to get a dirt route is decent enough.........should be a price

4  Sharp Turn

7  Vannavanna Bo Bana

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Lighthouse   Simon Callaghan knows how to get a two year old 1st time starter ready to preform at a high level and the 46:4 Hg 2/91 work he got out of this filly indicates he has her meant and ready

6  Connection   good grass pedigree for this Sadler MSW 1st time starter........a.m. work is up to snuff.......was an early scratch on 5 Oct (also a 5F MSW turf race) for this spot ..........it is uncanny how well horses do in S Cal when they elect to re-enter for a race a couple of race cards later

3  Kadesh   inexpensive purchase is not training like one......that and he is bred decently to handle the sod and the two turns......should go off at a decent price likely higher than his ML

10 AE  Much More Halo    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE   

4  Party Town

8  Vodka Twist

 

race 5    below average clarity

2  Vastly Deep   went off at 21 to 1 in only a 6 horse field at Lrc in his MC debut and won fairly easily and with 2nd coming back to win his next race.......might have surprised his barn some as they might not have had him all that cranked up.......if that is the case expect much more from him this afternoon......race shape sure appears to favor off pace runners like himself

8  Drippin Sauce   as mentioned above the race shape sure appears to favor off pace runners which he surely is.........2 of 4 lifetime races for this two year old are solid here.......races as a 1st time gelding today so there is some potential for even better today

4  Riding With Dino   seems like the most dangerous of the many speed horses lined up for this 6F affair.......that and he gets a rider upgrade.......like his chances more if Cedillo attempts to take him back (if that's possible) a little in the early stages

5  Mainframe Judy

9  Howbeit

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Flor de La Mar   3 of 5 lifetime races on fast rated dirt fit solidly in this spot and that includes her last race........Smith remains up and it is his lone mount on the card.......that strongly suggests this Baffert filly exited her last in good condition and should produce similar or better today

1  Starr of Quality   6 for 13 at SA while 0 for 10 racing elsewhere......and she is one consistent five year old mare racing at one mile (15 6 4 4).......not out of the win picture by any means......pun intended

5  Mo See Cal   equipment change (to blinkers off) and just what you want to see as in improved a.m. work which has mostly been endurance building drills......good history racing at one mile on fast rated dirt...........as in two wins and a second with three starts .......and.........when Miller legs up Cedillo his horses have been very "live" for the most part

 

race 7    average clarity

8  Doc Yco Cheeks   solid MSW debut way back in October nearly winning despite not the best of trips......very strong preparatory works.........tough post with the rails out thirty feet but it might not matter if this filly gets caught a little wide if she runs as big as she did in lone lifetime start

1  Y Not Sizzle   smooth looking runner changes riders today even though Gryder has done little wrong riding this Mullins filly.......lifetime best for this youngster was run off of 7 weeks rest and it also was a one mile grass race at SA and had a rider change.........7 weeks since her last with a jock change........hmmm

3  Too Hot for Curlin   pounded at the windows in both lifetime starts but really didn't run all that impressively........but Mr Pratt stays put........3rd times the charm?........we shall see

6  Slew South

2  Our Romance

 

 

Posted on October 10, 2019 at 9:22 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections