Decent card on Monday, Next day of racing is on Friday.

The Racing Digest is now available for Monday

16 Feb 17:   After any scratches:  2nd race trifecta hit ICE COLD $21.60. 4th race 2nd pick, 3rd pick exacta $52.80. 4th race pick 3 was 2nd, 3rd, 2nd pick $169.20. 5th race pick 4 was 3rd, 2nd, top, top pick for $1,156.40. 7th race double hit ICE COLD $67.80. 7th race top pick over other two given picks paid a trifecta of $147.40. 8th race $1 Super High Five top selection over other five given picks paid $6,438.90.

12 Feb 17:   Great day at Santa Anita! After and scratches:  Top selection won 5 races ($12.40, $6.00, $14.40, $3.80, $4.40) and ran 2nd in 2 races. 1st race exacta was top pick, 3rd pick $116.60. 3rd race pick 3 was 2nd, top, top pick for $197.60. 4th race double hit ICE COLD $49.00. 4th race pick 6 was top, top, 2nd, top, top, 5th pick paying $148,205.80. 5th race exacta hit ICE COLD $46.00. 5th race pick 3 was top, 2nd, top pick for $83.40. 7th race double hit ICE COLD $9.80. 9th race 5th pick, top pick exacta paid $391.40. 9th race 10 cent superfecta box of 6 given selections ($36 cost) paid $501.99.  I may be a Midwest boy but I love S Cal racing.

16 Jan 17:  Bombs away at Santa Anita! After and scratches: In races 2 thru 9 the top selection won 3 races (including a 22 to 1 shot in the 4th) and the 2nd selection won the other 5 races. 2nd race pick 4 was 2nd, top, top, 2nd pick for $1,706.20. 3rd race top pick over our 3 other given picks paid a superfecta of $493.00. 3rd race double hit COLD for $122.20. 4th race pick 3 was top, 2nd, top pick for $357.20. 6th race pick 3 was top, 2nd, 2nd pick $56.20. 7th race pick 3 was all 2nd choices for $94.80. 9th race exacta box of top two picks paid $53.80. I may be a Midwest boy but I love S Cal racing.

Posted on December 18, 2013 at 5:24 pm by brian · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Uncategorized

Santa Anita for Thursday 16 February 2017

OK card this afternoon. Forecast for Friday is very bad with heavy rain and nasty winds. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

1  Principal Bob   broke slightly tardy and ran way too wide in an eventful MSW debut......he earned a strong adjusted for trouble fig and did so on a deep slow fast track........1st on the grass for his 2nd lifetime start and his pedigree for the sod is better than for the dirt

3  Chiksika   strong wake-up in latest earning basically the same adjusted for trouble fig competing on the same day as our top selection but in a MC50K rather than a MSW affair......wisely gets his fanny back in a MSW.......not as strong of a grass pedigree as our top pick but it is adequate

7  Klondike   tough to get a gauge on this fellow as his two grass races were pace-less affairs which produce false final time figs........he did run a 2nd and a 3rd in those races so he obviously has some ability on the sod........well prepared in the a.m. and retains top grass jock Prat for the 4th straight time........dangerous for sure

6  Conquest Sabre Cat

 

race 2    above average clarity

5  Canned Heat  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

4  Anita G.   steady diet of 5F works dating back to early November for this MC 1ster from the Molly Pearson barn........seems meant and ready for her debut and as stated above she faces a seemingly good soft spot in which to make her debut

1  Sapodilla   not much but did manage a distant 2nd in her last her 3rd lifetime start.......not impossible especially in a seemingly weak field .......but....... definitely easy to make as our 3rd selection

7  Paradise

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Pete's Play Call   nice recent history stalking the lead and he should be able to do that here.......last is very solid for today's level as he was caught pressing the lead while 3 wide.......seems likely to save ground today

2  Top Fortitude   last sure fits.....has some physical issues put sure fits fine if he feels good today........tough call......but.......quite dangerous if he is "right"

4  Hill Four Eleven   won for fun in both lifetime races gate to wire but he has been away from the game for over a year and returns with a rider who has struggled..... and now...... he is no longer an apprentice with his advantageous weight break......that hints the connections might not have the same horse following the layoff and might want to lose him before he shows "what he hasn't got".......but if he still is in good shape this is a decent spot to once again go gate to wire

 

race 4    below average clarity

4  Honor Maker   seems likely to sit either on the lead or in a stalk position which led to a 1st and a 2nd in his last two endeavors.......and it is quite reassuring that this Baltas runner has put in two solid preparatory drills for today's race

3  Star of Quality   just claimed by the ever dangerous Peter Miller and he has been able to work his new shooter 4 times since making his claim......only lifetime race for this filly run at a route on a fast rated dirt is her best to date

6  Road Test  well disguised bad trip 2nd by a head in her 2nd lifetime start and 1st at a route.....would have rated higher if she wasn't a vet scratch on January 15th

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Alsatian   not only did this colt win his last by 2 1/4 lengths but he did it breaking slowly and running very wide.......away since November but he ran awfully well with ample time off in his last.......rider upgrade.......should be flying late

9  Hot Smoke   first on the lawn but he owns a very good pedigree for it........tossed a clunker in his last..........blinkers on today hopefully to shake things up and wake him up........trainer is chilly.......maybe he can begin to get his mojo back here

1  Mr. Hinx   running lines in his two lifetime races hint he will be a better sprinter than router.......1st on the sod but his pedigree to handle it seems good enough.......like the change in riders to Baze especially for a grass race down the hill

2  Westmont

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Brainspin   ultra consistent (6 2 3 1) four-year old filly is working awfully well ......with all the bad weather Sadler sure did a great job of getting 4 works into her since her last which was run on 3o Dec.......believe she has a good chance to get loose on the lead but if not she still runs well without a loose lead

6  Skye Diamonds   filly is on fire (so is her trainer) as she has four wins and a 2nd competing in her last 5 races when not competing in a Stakes race.......and it sure appears that her jockey Tiago Pereira is a very good fit with 3 wins and a 2nd in 4 mounts on her

2  Lunar Express   actually had this girl on top off of her terrific recent drills but that was when Raffy had the call.....he's hurting and on the sidelines so now Pena is up.......Pena seems to be on the upswing but he is no Bejarano

7  Ponder Lea

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Northern Grey    SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

6  Tchula Sunset   Ed Moger is often at his most dangerous 3rd out following a layoff and that is the case here......this fellow's latest might do the trick and he might be up for even better today

4  We Go Now   definitely appears as if the cut back of one furlong is a plus.....another plus is retaining Baze as Baze is (4 1 0 3) on him and other riders have yet to hit the board with him...... and........that includes 2 with Prat as the rider

7  Amodei

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Doc Curlin   runs well fresh and he sure is working as if he is 100% ready to rock and roll in his return to the race wars following a 10 month hiatus.......Mulhall has been firing on all cylinders for the most part even better than her performance stat at the meeting (22 4 5 2) indicates

9  Geologist   on the right end of the learning curve and an impressive win 1st under the guidance of Valdimir Cerin in his latest......reassuring 5F work since.....solid grass race last summer at Woodbine......five year old gelding has tracked inside in all 4 of his lifetime races two of which where he had outside posts like today......usually you can't beat saving ground

8  Taima the Hawk   lifetime best was his only effort down the majestic Santa Anita hill grass course........would have rated higher if he wasn't away for 3 months......still his works are good enough......dangerous and rated too low if he is as fit as he was when he was last seen

1  River Hoss

5  Mercer Island

4  A New Trend

 

 

Posted on February 16, 2017 at 9:08 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 12 February 2017

Believe the races will be on the turf with sunny skies and a breezy day. I sure hope so as I have run out of time to makes picks for the dirt if they come off.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1   below average clarity

4  Tiz a Billy   consistent sort including competing on the SA hill........Koriner is solid 2nd out after layoffs and that is the case today........Sutherland sure could use a visit to the winners circle and might get one here

10  Incensed   very consistent 5F turf sprinter in the Midwest and Florida.......shows up in the stout Miller barn for his 1st in S Cal.......his pedigree agrees with today's further distance.......very dangerous new shooter for Miller

7  Lauren's Lad   claimed by Ellis in Oct. from Baffert for 50K........been away since but training well enough to be ready......likes the hill........should be a player if I am right about my assessment of his readiness

1  Street Vision

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Latino Mo   woke up with the blinkers put on and the drop in class two races back.......like the the cut back in distance for today as his endurance should be there to finish strong at 6 1/2F

4  Jeoffie   filly move forward in her latest and it is hidden somewhat as she broke slow and ran wide........and she might move forward again as this is only her 3rd out following a layoff

1  Avaudrey   10 lbs bug boy has a shot to get loose if he can manage to break well from the 1 hole........if he does lookout as he might be loose on the lead which is right where you want a very inexperienced rider to be

5  Seaquet

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Magic Miracle   sure like the way this colt who was compromised by a slow start finished up late in his MSW debut......nice set of preparatory drills since........solid pedigree to handle a route of ground......and the D'A wins about a 1/4 of the time when he sends a given horse long for the 1st time

2  Magical Mystery   owns multiple efforts that fit solidly here but they were with Mr. Baffert......can Scott Hansen who takes over the training duties get as much out of him 6 months later.....works suggest he might

3  Wise Curlin   big wake up in his last and it is somewhat hidden by a wide trip......would have rated higher if he had worked more than once since.....hopefully he has put in some strong gallops or swims

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Iliad   solid pace and final time to graduate on Dec 18th......good work regiment since.......and I sure like the switch in riders (with the change in trainers) from a struggling one to one of the best year in and year out in S Cal

4  Battle of Midway   hottest jock in town in Mike Smith and especially so for Hollendorfer......only needs to build slightly on his winning MSW debut.....rate it 75/25 that he will

2  Aquamarine   impressive MSW debut win and the strength of the race was supported as 2nd came back to win yesterday......solid reassuring a.m. work since.......NOTE: my 3 selections were split by hairs

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Miss Sunset   faltered on an off track.....no big deal......toss it out.......continues to train like a young horse with plenty of talent who displayed it winning by an average of 5L in two lifetime races on fast track.......owns an adequate pedigree for the turf......should be in the mix from the get go with a speed jock up who shows signs of breaking out of a slump

6  Miss Sugars   very consistent young filly who just won a small turf Stakes race like this one but at a route......but.....she ran well in sprint races overseas in GB last year........solid rider/trainer combo in Baze and Mullins......should be flying late

1  Hot in the City   good looking MSW 5F debut turf win at Del Mar in early December.....filly has trained like she has quite a bit of talent since.........Prat upw who is terrific with young grass horses..........stout pedigree for a turf sprints including one at 6 1/2 furlongs

8  Madam Dancealot  

Long-shot consideration:   3  Mo'vette   Blanc set too far back off of a lackluster pace in this girl's last.......rank and checked in her race 2 back in high winds that tossed large chunks of debris all over the place......enough to discourage any two-year old........very impressive on the grass three races back......two year old filly trained by Baltas overcame trip trouble and still made a strong 3 wide move on the 2nd turn.......hidden and might pop at a price today......jock owes The Racing Digest as we are hardly ever right about anything he ever rides

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Lady Believe   mom has tossed two winners from 2 starters including a Stakes winner.......one of the better looking work tabs for an O'Neill MSW 1st timer in many a moon.......can you spell R E A D Y

3  Sealcourt   work series for this Sadler 1st time starter sure has finished up solidly......right when it counts the most....... as in just prior to her MSW debut..........seems highly likely to be a major player

4  The Incident     Jamie Theriot originally named but Mike (on fire) Smith up on the Hollendorfer 1st timer........hmmmmm

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Aura Rose   last three races fit....... and she races for her lowest MC price of her young career.......two reassuring works since and Bejarano sticks around.....usually a good thing but especially so for a Truman runner as the trainer quite often means business when he uses Raffy

6  No Spin Zone   very strong better than appears in print race in latest and beat our top pick......so why not top choice.......another furlong to cope with might not be to her liking

8  Princess Bella   moved forward in 2nd lifetime start and might be able to again today.....bug boy has struggled but got a confidence boost yesterday with a win......dangerous sort

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Summer Lady   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

11  Flamingo Lane   obviously not a good claim by Baltas and company as this mare had to be laid up following the 27 Oct claim......but.......takes a significant drop in claiming and draws Bejarano.......very dangerous ability even with the difficult post if she is in decent physical condition

7  Lob City  SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

9  Conquest So True

 

race 9    average clarity

4  Goliath's Girl   filly runs best off of short rest........with that in mind it makes her latest which was run over her head appear to be a gimme......so as to drop back in only 7 days.......and....... go go go this afternoon

8  I'll Tell You What   five-year old mare has been absent since she was three but Gary Stute sure appears to have her ready fresh off of the bench for today......seems best at 5 1/2F......seems best at SA......dangerous laid off runner

6  Tough Annie   trainer Lorenzo Ruiz is often at his best off of layoffs of 3 months or more.......that is the case here.....and her work tab hints the rest has done her a world of good.....sure hope in has

2  Moonie

1  Gianis

10  Sooner Time

Posted on February 12, 2017 at 10:40 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 11 February 2017

Plenty of rain last night. The racing surface might be in drying out mode so pay attention to any bias that might develop. Hope they stay on the turf but I wouldn't bank on it. Be back with you Sunday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

(if the races are taken off of the turf:  6-2-5-7-1)

1  Fritz Johansen  2 mounts for Desormeaux led to the only 2 wins in 2016/17 for this gelding......trainer is hot and "Fritz" appears to be in good form.....good post to work a a decent trip

6  Force   work tab screams ready for his U S of A debut.....and his trainer Ed Freeman is 1 for his last 2 with Euro shippers in their 1st start in USA.......a grass course with some give in it shouldn't hurt him and it might for quite a few in here

3  Brandothebartender   does lose Dersormeaux to our top selection but gets Prat.......consistently tries hard and just ran a lifetime best in latest........and the grass was rated "good" that day

2  Indygo Holiday

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Individual Design   seemingly needs to run outside of horses to run well.....so I like her chances in a small field as the loss of ground won't cost her as much as it would in a sizable field......and she handles an off surface

1  Allthatnmore   trainer has a solid win percentage with limited starters........seems like a good spot 1st out following the claim as the one post has been dynamite in dirt routes at the meeting and........ especially with horses that sit one or two early as this mare should be able to do

3  Veronica Bay   nice to see a trainer that often struggles sitting on a 15% win % for 2016/17.......and lookout here with the multi- level drop in claiming as Polanco has scored with 3 of his last 8 with such a move

 

race 3    average clarity

6  Loud Stalker   just fired lifetime best in his 1st ever on an off track......that race and the cut back in distance make him the one to overcome in my eyes......but......I am concerned that he was gelded and makes an equipment change for today......obviously it might improve him but then again it might hurt his chances..... and......I am only hoping for a repeat of his last

3  First Class Boy   big wake up in last 1st ever on an off track in a race that appears to have been a gimme as he had no business racing in a MSW affair......back where he belongs and with a major league rider upgrade.....dangerous sort especially if the track is off again

2  That's How We Roll   best that can be said about his maiden debut is "useful" .........as his a.m. work since hint that he really benefited from the race......looking for a move forward........will it be enough.........we shall see

5  Never Doubt Dip

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Vale Dori   stout multi Grade race winner keeps catching soft Grade 2 fields in S Cal making life easy for Mike Smith........needs to slip some or have a bad trip not to win her 3rd straight Grade 2 race

1  Midnight Toast   2 for 2 on an off track and she likely feels good following and easy paced wire to wire win in her latest........recent best of 48 five furlong drill supports the notion

5  Show Stealer   connections will have their fingers and toes crossed hoping that the 1 and the 6 horse bang heads early and often setting a brutal set of fractions.......might be closing fast if that occurs

 

race 5    average clarity

Grade 2 so the race should stay on the grass

5  Conquest Enforcer   very powerful Grade 2 one mile grass win running for the 1st time in the D'Amato barn.......solid works since and top jock in Prat sticks around......Prat will likely let the 3 horse have the lead putting him a perfect stalk position......should be tough

2  Ring Weekend   consistent off pace grass runner appreciates some give to the turf......not impossible if he gets more pace up front than I anticipate.......rider upgrade

4  Ohio   seems best racing at one mile on the sod.....still........he will likely need his lifetime best today to take down this Grade 2 affair

 

race 6   above average clarity

6  Over Achiever   bad claim so the multi-level drop makes sense...... and..... Prat doesn't jump ship........should be on or close to the lead..............best back to back preparatory works in quite some time

3  Willing to Travel   repeat of his latest his 1st ever on conventional dirt would put him in the winners circle once again......but.......his claim was voided as he looked rather beat up following the effort......can he recover.....we shall see

5  Midnight Rambler   hasn't raced since August but he has a decent history racing fresh off of the bench.......ice cold rider.....ice cold trainer......they might melt the ice here if this gelding (not eligible to be claimed) is ready to roll

7  Roaring Rule

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Last One Standing   good history when Pena rides (6 2 3 0 1).......appreciates contact with the front end of things and seems likely to get that here......four year old was just claimed by O'Neill who could use a win

2  Lilly's Finale   last three races fit fine at today's lower level and his latest on an off track is quite a bit better than appears in print.....as in wide on a solid rail day following a slightly tardy start

6  Celebrated Talent   Miller is 27% 1st following a claim with his last 180.....yikes......last race fits.......handles an off surface just fine........retains Bejarano........seems highly likely to be a player here

1  Pray Hard

 

race 8    average clarity

7  Kimbear   only dirt race albeit over at Lrc stands out as his lifetime best and the effort is disguised by about 6 1/2 lengths of trip trouble.....doubt the SA surface will hurt as he has always trained impressively on it.......should be motoring late

9  Aristocratic   both lifetime races (and his latest being on an off track) fit fine for this expensive younster......and today he gets a major rider upgrade from one who is struggling in Garcia to Mr Bejarano

8  Psychedelicat   13 to 1 odds in his MSW debut over at Lrc suggests Hollendorfer didn't have him fully cranked up yet he ran a decent 3rd.......Smith jumps aboard for the first time hinting he might be fully fit for his 2nd lifetime endeavor

5  The Party Factor

 

race 9    average clarity

(if the races are taken off of the turf:  1-6-7-8-4)

4  Fortune of War   blinkers on.....1st time on Lasix........good looking work tab......and some decent looking races in Great Britain.......believe Eric Kruljac has his new shooter ready to roll in his U S of A debut

1  Troublewithatee   just fired lifetime best (par-like fig) and at today's distance but on the dirt.....1st on the turf but owns a pedigree that should handle it......two wins for Talamo yesterday is reassuring as he has been off to a somewhat dull start at the meeting

8  Ritzy A. P.   solid race down the hill in his MSW debut.......and his trainer Dan Blacker has won 3 off his last 5 2nd time on the grass with a given horse.......impressive

6  Calle Kingpin

7  Kitten's Royal

 

Posted on February 11, 2017 at 9:10 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 10 February 2017

Keep an eye on the sky! Nice card Saturday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

(if the races are taken off of the turf: 9-3-6-1-2)

6  Del Mar Ann   just claimed by Richard Baltas and the works since hint the sharp conditioner has a very good handle on his new addition to his barn.......rider upgrade back to Nakatani who owns both of this gal's lifetime wins.......late runner will need a solid pace up front and believe she gets it here

3  Nickname   Grade 1 winner runs off of a 9 month layoff and for the 1st time with Richard Mandella as the trainer.......1st on the sod but owns a very good pedigree for it.......Mandella does very well in prep races for even when he points to bigger and better things down the road......as in he likes to win them.......many top barns don't as they are just out for a spin around the track

9  Skye Diamonds   very good history when Pereira rides (5 4 1 0)......only grass race was dull but at a route which she might not have cared for......seems deserving of another shot in a turf sprint?

4  Latatico

 

race 2    above average clarity

3  Gato Dolce   obviously this colt has some physical liabilities but my guess is he is healthy enough to run at today's lowly level......latest race run 4 weeks ago fits well......race 2 back run in late 2015 (with a decent trip) would win this by a dozen lengths

7  Big Bad Jon   fell off in his latest......race two back is solid......should be able to snatch the lead and only has 5 1/2 furlongs to hold together.......dangerous especially if our top choice can't handle the rigors of a race anymore

1  Tremors Code   should be running late........has some ability but likely needs to win by default.......as in both of our top two picks falter

2  Fireball

 

race 3    below average clarity

2  Sudden Sam   best early gas in this spot and this four-year old gelding is 2 for 3 when snatching a loose lead........sharp speed rider in Baze.....1st at a route is a ? mark

1  Yoked   somewhat banking on some moisture in the track for this fellow who moved forward in a somewhat disguised run on an off track in his latest in the 13 Jan version of this race.....sharp drills since

5  Romar Success   great time to drop is off of long layoffs as there is plenty of doubts in the minds of the claiming vultures........and you have to appreciate that Prat/Eurton have won 6 of their last 9 as a team

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Hawk's Journey   trainer is off to one of his better starts at the tough SA winter/spring meeting and his top jock of late has been Contreras......just raced on the 21st but still has managed to put in two works since with her latest work being quite solid......rather sure this invader is feeling good

1  Merril Merrily   improving sort appears up for another move in the desired direction as has a.m. preparation has never been better......like our top selection she appears sharp

2  Fight to the Point   a few works hint this four-year old filly 1st timer can rune some......but I will say it is not very encouraging that Kruljac is 2 for his last 93 with MSW 1st timers

7  Apphia

 

race 5    average clarity

(if the races are taken off of the turf : 1-4-5-7-3 )

4  Unapologetic   seems like a sharp claim as this gelding is still eligible for this protected race and he owns quite a few races that would make him tough at today's level.....Spawr is on fire and has this one training as if he can keep the good times rolling

1  El Super   Mulhall is hotter than her record at the SA meeting indicates and her record's not bad.........she has been making many sharp moves so maybe the blinkers off for her five-year old will be a good change......and her horse owns some solid back numbers

2  Fishel   trainer is ice-cold but gets Prat to ride and Gaines has this one training as if she might jump-start her struggling barn with this fellow

6  Is Trevor Clever

 

race 6    below average clarity

2  Success Rate   last 4 races fit and back to the 12.5K level where Carava took him for two races back.........2 for 3 on off track tracks......sharp recent reassuring drill

3  Tribal Again   seems to be improving one baby step at a time........hot trainer/rider combo.......1 for 1 on an off track.........dangerous improving sort

5  Royal F J   fairly consistent sort even at the ripe age of 10.......and he likes an off track ( 2 1 1 0)......Pedroza seems to be a really good fit getting this elder statesman to sit closer early......maybe he's a good match because he can identify with this old guy with 92 races under his belt as Pedroza isn't exactly in his prime either.....but like F J rather amazing

1  Finallygotabentley

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Top of the Game   two for two at SA........both races were routes.........one at 1 1/16 and one at 1 1/8 with the average winning margin more than 4 1/2 lengths.........four year old gelding had the one post for both races and had Desormeaux for both races......yikes..... as in deja vue

5  Hoffenheim   another with a good history routing at SA (3 1 2 0) and all with today's rider aboard.....1st running for his new trainer Doug O"Neill who likely will be hoping to impress his new big time owner who took his stock away from Baffert

2  Semper Fortis   double barrel action for O'Neill as he also trains our top 2nd selection......this fellow has run some big efforts versus better but not so much on the SA dirt surface.....still this is the easiest spot he has competed in for 3 1/2 months

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Hard Arch   last two racing endeavors are disguised by wide trips especially his latest where he was wide on a strong rail day.......rider upgrade.......and the trainer is often at his best with the sprint-sprint-route maneuver preparing a young horse for his first at a route.........which is.........the scenario for today

1  Sharp Samurai   65 to 1 odds in MSW debut says gimme gimme gimme.......drills since hint it is go city 1st at a route in 2nd lifetime start.......thru last Sunday the 1 post in dirt routes has won 29% of the time.......dangerous and at a price

4  True Appeal   sprint-sprint-route maneuver is a strong one for the D'A........and  the two lifetime sprint running lines suggest this colt wants a route of ground......we shall see

10  Marchtothemusic

9  Passed by Paul

2  Tally Mo

 

Posted on February 10, 2017 at 9:38 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 9 February 2017

Not an easy card to decipher but at least some nice odds on our top two choices in five of the eight races. Rain is coming for Friday and Saturday. Just love the extra handicapping. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Pure Brightness   Tup invader appears to be on the right end of the learning curve and she handled her first at a route quite nicely coping with a decent pace up on the lead and drawing off........trainer is solid in all of the relevant categories that fit for today.......and last but not least this filly looks as if she can be loose once again today

1  Informant   three-year old filly is in need of a rebound and might provide one with the sprint-sprnit-route manuever in play and two recent (somewhat) subtle improved works

6  Very Hot   final time fits well here but she got away with an extremely slow pace on the lead to win.....don't see her leading our top choice so she will likely need to win without the lead today......not at all impossible but not as easy of a task

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Ceeme Run Wild   impressive win in her 1st down the SA hill......and......she accomplished the task off of a year hiatus from the game.......a.m. work combined with a race under her belt hint she is likely to move forward

4  Where's the D   it has been a long wait for Eurton and friends getting this girl back to the races following the claim they put in last summer.......returns in a great spot and she is not eligible to be claimed........she won the 13 May 16 version of this race .....and.....did so off of a similar layoff as she deals with today

7  Pearl de Vere   claim back by Miller really likes the SA hill and has a good history with today's rider aboard........she does seem to need a small rebound.......Miller is the right guy these days to get one out of her

3  Wealthy Shipman

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Unbridled Rocked   rather consistent performer although he tends to hang......but......he appears to be the best speed in the race and the best place to put a hanger is on the lead.......hope the connections are thinking the same thing

3  Sure Luck   toss out last as he might have not wanted any part of the off track......race two back is quite strong running wide close to a fast pace and yet still found the winners circle

5  Oh Marvelous Me   blinkers on and just what a handicapper wants to see as in an improved drill......five year old gelding needs a rebound and might provide one

 

race 4    below average clarity

6  Bolitar   all of his lifetime sprints fit in this spot especially those run on a fast track......he should welcome a return to one following two straight races on off going......just claimed by Knapp who is often at his most dangerous 1st run following a claim

2  Jimmy the Juice   cut back of one half furlong appears to be a plus,,,,,,,,should be able to get a good up close ground saving trip and do so at a track where he has 2 wins in 3 starts on the main track

3  Nuke Laloosh   won his latest but the claim was voided.......obviously has some major physical problems but he has been given 74 days off to recover.....tough call even with the hot Miller as the trainer

1  Louden's Gray

 

race 5    below average clarity

6  Warm Endowment   toss out her latest on a sloppy track easing up but walked off.........back on the SA grass today and her two races on the new SA turf fit well at today's level.......race shape seems to slightly favor off pace types like her

7  Generous Pour   vastly improved in her latest her 1st ever on the sod.......Prat sticks around for the drop in claiming which tells me the filly is still in good condition and that Carava and friends mean business as they realize that they might lose their four-year old

1  Salsita   tossed a clunker in her last but Baltas gives her plenty of time off to recover.......last two times she was put in a 40K claimer she won........seems likely to get a nice mid pack ground saving trip at least thru turn one

2  Hijra

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Cupid's Beau   last two races on a fast rated surfaces sure peg this young fellow as the one to overcome if he is up to a similar effort today......Baze and his agent think he is as they stay with the three-year old for the 5th time in a row

4  On the Rocks   Machowski is only average winning with maiden claiming 1st timers but he is fairly reliable when he shows a decent work regiment with a MC 1ster......big bullet work 3 works back.......and a good gate work just 6 days ago........seems sharp when it counts the most as in right before his debut

6  Edwards Going Left   also working as if he might be ready to compete at a high level in his maiden debut.....plenty of furlongs put into him so he likely will have some staying power if he is part on the mix late

7  Will Tell

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Bedeviled   Desormeaux has brought this colt around slowly and it seems to have paid off as he appears to be a legitimate allowance runner how despite taking 10 races to break his maiden.......and he runs and is bred as if the 10 furlongs will be to his liking in a big way

1  Ladwade Lad   bad start in his U S of A debut and after putting himself in a hole he showed plenty of life.......well proven at (or close to) the distance........2nd time Lasix and 2nd start with a new acquisition are both strong stats for Mark Glatt

10  Liam the Charmer   runs well fresh and it he ever manages a good trip he would win today's level of racing for fun.......but he has a tough post and a rider in Espinoza who is dynamite on the dirt but only winning at 9% over his last 162 with grass mounts........and many of those mounts were good ones.......still........ I could see him giving away 4 or 5 lengths do to trip and still win

5  Mission Drive

Long-shot consideration:  6  Cardiac   decent useful 1st out with Dollase as the trainer......and the works since hint the effort muscled his new shooter up nicely.......was entered in a 250K Stakes 12 days ago and instead choose this softer spot......that supports the notion he is sharp........should be in the mix from the get go

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Hot Paris Night   3 straight solid efforts run up north since switching to route racing......2 on the sod and one on the AW.........can he do as well on conventional dirt.......Hollendorfer must thinks so as he bothers to ship on down to SA from GG.......thats good enough for little old me

3  Son of the South   obvious gimme off of the layoff where he was placed way over his noggin in a protected MSW race.....the tune-up seems to have worked as his works since look improved......1st at a route is a concern but French has won with 2 of his last 8 1st at a route

5  Lucky Patrick   his last which was his 1st ever at a route is better than appears in print as he was caught wide up near the front.....blinkers on for today might help his early speed.........might clear all or most by turn one and maybe this time save some ground.......seems dangerous if that is what occurs

6  Sunny Dee

8  Johann's Command

 

 

Posted on February 9, 2017 at 8:21 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections