The Racing Digest    

2014 Del Mar Fall Meeting:   122 races run at Del Mar. Using a $2 base the cost if you wagered on our top choice each and every race would be $244. The return $281.20. That is a 15% profit. My guess is most of our competition wasn't even profitable with their "best bet" or "best bets" or "fair value plays". That is the 3rd meeting over the last 3 1/2 years that playing our top selection each and every race turned a profit of 14% or higher.

Posted on December 18, 2013 at 5:24 pm by brian · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Uncategorized

Santa Anita for Sunday March 29th 2015

Last day to save $5.00 when you purchase full card selections for the Kentucky Derby day. As in the past the selections will be sent in your email the night before at approximately 4 p.m Pacific time.

Different format for at least awhile as I want to give comments for every horse which means only the top two choices will have full comments and the rest of the runners will have abbreviated comments. After a full week like this I would appreciate any feedback you could give.

Thanks, your handicapper,

Rich Santucci

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  No Contingency   1st career mount for new bug boy Bruno Panicucci (ten pounds off) and if the kid breaks this freshened up Powell runner cleanly and we get yesterday's track (which was decent for speed types) he might never be caught

4  Traweek   so so race in last but ran a very solid race 2 back...........claimed by Mulhall in his latest and she got this gelding to work better than he has lately......so....that run 2 back might be in the cards this afternoon

2  Timeless Indy   Jose Periban is having a good SA meeting and is decent with "claim repeaters"......and this gelding won his last.....solid sprint 3 back at today's distance

6  Industry Leader    drops........not the best trainer with drop downs.......seems like a toss of the coin proposition

 

race 2    below average clarity

3  Dynamo Dixie   last looks like a little dirty up his form race to keep the claiming vultures at bay.......drops........gets Mr Bejarano to ride......and........go go go

4  Papa's Paisley   last fits well and would have been top pick if his a.m. prowess since the race at today's exact level was a little better

5  Sudden Rumor   drops and owns a good history competing at the somewhat "specialty" 7F distance

 

race 3    average clarity

3 Derby Glass   on the improve for the ever dangerous Ron Ellis.......blinkers on for today likely will put this gelding up closer today and/or help him sustain his stretch drive as he has flattened out a little in the late stages of his two route races

5  Bula Bula   likely needed his last to some degree.....what we want and believe we will get is his effort 3 back.......and a low % jock was up that day and a high % jock rides today.......seeemingly has a shot to fire lifetime best

1  Bentley's Gone    not the best of trips hides a solid 1st ever at a route in last.....can be in the mix from the get go

7  Larry Birdstone   blew an easy paced lead in last....but........3rd out after the layoff today.....a strong stat for D'Amato

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Saint Dermot    same post as his winning last.......same Hall of Fame jock still up........seems likely to get another nice ground saving trip again and if he doesn't get blocked (boxed) on the turn and stretch as he did in winning his last.....he has a shot at handling the step up and make it back to back wins

4  Brave Act   this time last year:   won (only to get disqualified) one mile turf to 1 1/16th on the dirt off of 21 days rest.........2015:  one mile grass race in latest........21 days later here he is competing at 1 1/16th on the dirt......hmmm 

5  Silent Ruler    very consistent deep deep closer in conventional dirt routes.........1 1/16th seems like his best distance

6  Lucky Views     dangerous looking speed in this spot and with a jock who likes to send early

 

race 5   average clarity

5  Jan's Spirit   like this Baltas claim......bred well to take to the sod and the hot trainer has put in some sharp drills into his new shooter since he took over.....especially like the 35:3 breezing worked just 5 days ago

6  Q' Viva   has fired to some degree in all four of her lifetime races down the majestic Santa Anita hill grass course.......and Bejarano sticks around with his record of (5 1 3 1) on her back

8  Birthday Song   needs to produce her lifetime best and in her 1st ever grass race this afternoon........stranger things have happened with the Cassidy/Gonzalez trainer/rider combo

2  Kantina Kowgirl    2 of her 4 lifetime races down the hill fit.......not out of this he she makes it 3 out of 5

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Sweet Silver   on the improve both in final time and early pace......cut back in distance sure looks like a plus.....should be in the hunt from the get go and with 1st time Bejarano........and the trainer sure has been firing on all cylinders for the majority of the SA meeting

3  Dixie Dame   done little wrong in two lifetime races (two 2nd place finishes) without blinkers and on fast rated tracks......gets both today

5  Haaay Sexy Lady   blinkers on for today and a vastly improved recent 5F work.....dangerous drop out of MSW racing

7  Powerful Girl    7F definitely seems too far for this filly maiden.....much better figs at 6 and 6 1/2F

Long-shot consideration:   4  Sparkling Peg    horrid green trip in maiden debut.......kind of doubt she can win with a low % jock up but a piece of the pie might be doable

 

race 7    average clarity

8  Thewandaofu    brutal trip in her last and a much-needed race off of the prolonged layoff since last seen in Ireland in Nov 2013.......major league rider upgrade and a better post.....seems like solid contender if she makes a logical forward move this afternoon

3  Nickels Way   not really a turf sprinter.....so.........that and going off at odds of 17 to 1 off of her layoff run in last says that the race was a gimme and that a full throttle go at a route can be expected today

7  Circling   lived up to her name in last with a wide trip.......would actually be my top pick if this race was longer but one mile is not her best distance.....still she is not impossible t0 come roaring home late

2  Gas Total   only 1 for 20 on the sod overseas.....but.....did work a strong 6F for R Mandella

 

race 8    below average clarity

6  Galicado   crushed his competition in all 3 lifetime races in Argentina and the last 2 races were Grade 1's..........away from the game 9 months but has put in copious furlongs of work for McAnally.......might be a special addition to the S Cal racing seen.....should find out today or maybe in her 2nd U S of A start if this is a tune-up......I obviously believe it is not

4  Appealing Tale   toss out last as he dueled on a dull rail and predictably tired......big race 2 back and showed he can rate if need be.....that can come in handy here

1  Secretsatmidnight   seems very sharp in the a.m. for today's layoff run.........2 wins and a 2nd the last 3 races Garcia has been aboard 

2  Majestic City    been awhile since this Ellis runner was impressive but he is a closer in a race loaded with speed.........and.......might feel really good 2nd out after the layoff

 

race 9    average clarity

10  Young And Hungry   par like efforts down the SA hill in both lifetime starts......and today I think he will move forward off of an improved recent drill.......and with a top team of Stevens/Proctor at the helm

4  Foreverly   no support at the windows in MSW debut which was down the SA hill like today and still he managed to run fairly well.......seems highly likely to show more this afternoon......mom has tossed 4 grass winners including a Grade 2 winner on the grass

9  Perfectly Majestic   bet hard to favoritism in MSW debut and just missed.....nice drill since....1st on the grass is the ? mark.......solid peidgree to handle it

2  Tizzling   debut last likely a gimme.....go today.......fits well here if that is the scenario

7  Top Floor   no shot in MSW debut as he sat too far back off of a somewhat easy pace in a race that was also down the hill.....Tom Proctor is very high % 2nd time on the grass

5  Ultra Sharp    1st time gelding and 1st time turf.....mom has tossed 3 grass winners........might be danger city here.....and overlooked

Posted on March 29, 2015 at 10:38 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Saturday 28 March 2015

Only 2 days left to save $5.00 when you purchase full card selections for the Kentucky Derby day. As in the past the selections will be sent in your email the night before at approximately 4 p.m Pacific time.

Different format for at least awhile as I want to give comments for every horse which means only the top two choices will have full comments and the rest of the runners will have abbreviated comments. After a full week like this I would appreciate any feedback you could give.

Thanks, your handicapper,

Rich Santucci

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  See Through   seems well prepared in the morning for her 1st ever in a maiden claimer.......has been in the money 5 of 8 in MSW racing so she sure seems to be good enough to be formidable in a maiden claimer.....1st on conventional dirt but bred well for it

5  Twinkle Toes   two straight decent sprint races in a row and she sure owns a pedigree that screams out "route racing".....we shall find out today if that is the case

7  Kristinite   drops out of MSW racing......might be on the front end of things here......dangerous

1  Atomicseventynine   no betting whatsoever in both lifetime MSW races......drops.....dangerous scenario 1st at a route

 

race 2    below average clarity

2  Take Back Spring   1 for 1 at a route......0 for 10 sprinting......seems like the right move to place her back in a two turn race......and likely the reason Mulhall claimed this filly for in her latest

6  Racing For Chasen   takes a logical and significant drop in claiming.......seems likely to be in a nice mid pack position position behind the 1, 4 and 5......Perez knows this filly well 

5  Aquacita   blinkers on and light weight bug boy up.......lone lifetime win was the only time this filly was loose (albeit in a sprint)..........decent shot to be loose in a route here

 

race 3    average clarity

6  Grandson At Last  SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE   little shot in either of his lifetime races.......one where the pace was quite nasty and the other stuck inside up on the pace on a dull rail.......good post here and Danny Velasquez is solid with maiden claimers.......historically by far one of his best trainer stats 

9  Player's Charm   prolonged tightly spaced work regiment strongly suggests Walter Solis means business here off of the long layoff with his three year old gelding who is up for the lowest claiming tag of his career........fits very well here if he is fit and ready

8  Coach John   decent maiden debut.......reassuring 5F work since.......jock struggles in S Cal or would have rated higher

3  Domingo Cat   suspicious looking drop of multiple levels....but then again he only went for $5K at sale as a yearling

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Anniversary Kitty   all three lifetime turf sprint endeavors are impressive......could have made it 3 for 3 in turf sprints if not for a very wide trip on the hill in her last.....switching jocks back to Garcia who has given decent rides on this filly in his two mounts on her

7  Artistic Charm   over the years when Simon Callagham uses top echelon riders with his 1st time overseas invaders they are ready.....when he doesn't it's a gimme.......and here he is using Bejarano....."top echelon" to say the least

8  Ameliatheaviator   deep closer made an impressive late turn of foot down the hill in her latest despite a semi-soft pace up front

3  Fantastic Mizz   no wins but 5 for 5 in the money down the hill.....decent history route to sprint

 

race 5   average clarity

8  Codacious   solid in both lifetime races and both of her races are better than appear in print........and we get a monumental rider upgrade (especially on a young developing horse) from Steiner to Bejarano......that'll do

9  Major Rager   decent work regiment for this Krujac 1st timer over at LA.......especailly like the back to back 5F gate works under one minute flat

6  Ain't She Pretty   Hollendorfer 1ster is also working well at LA..... and....... being ready with young fillies is right up his alley

11  Twentyfive To Life   might be muscled up running today off of a grass route.......especially with her setting a good pace 

 

race 6   above average clarity

10  Venetian Mask   powerful debut in at Prx in May of 2014......likely hurt in his 2nd lifetime race at Belmont......off since.......returns in the ever dangerous Hollendorfer barn and is working as if Jerry and company have picked up one nice colt....rather sure this fellow is ready to roll

7  Frensham   dropped in class and was up for a tag and he sure ran a strong race.....not so hot of a runner at repeating but he should be a major player here if he does.......Gutierrez knows this fellow inside and out

11  Bam Bam   very nice runner in Brazil in 2014.........finished the year beating 13 of 14 Grade 1 foes........dangerous 

12  Kafister   "A game" fits in this spot if our top choice doesn't bring his 

Long-shot consideration:   6  Kill Shot   tough trip in last so the jock wrapped up on him.......before his last he had a record of 2 wins and a 2nd in 3 SA races

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Handfull   just keeps getting better........and........ better ........and better...... and so Mr Hollendorfer ships her south to the big track..........loves the front end and has a good shot to get it here......1 to 2 odds at GG in a winning 40K.....most in here aren't winning for 25K

8  Grandiose Tactics   SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE  seems best on the dirt and would have easily been top pick if this was a dirt race.......but she sure has been facing better in her last two SA races and she has managed 2 2nd's & 2 3rd's in 5 lifetime grass races......and Sadler likely claimed her for this race 

2  Jade With Fury   just claimed by Baltas and he sends his new filly long and her running lines sure suggest that's a good move

1  Soresca   Cassidy/Gonzalez very dangerous team especially for an improving filly

 

race 8    above average clarity

4  Bronzo   sure is bred to run all day long and he has been facing markedly better......as in.....the best in the USA.......impressive 7F work one week ago...........should be tough in this much easier spot

8  Sky Kingdom    Baffert wisely pointed his six year old for this spot as he is by far at his most formidable going the 1 1/2 marathon distance....won the 2013 edition of this race 

1  Helm   that old overused saying applies here:  best of the rest

 

race 9    below average clarity  

9  Selection    just claimed and the new trainer appears to have the trump card for this gelding as he working as if he has really improved this three year old......tough post but top jock and weak looking field

10  Pretentious   best lifetime race and a race that fits well here versus a weak looking bunch was the only time Hall of Fame jock Mike Smith rode......and ........he is up today

2  Nakamoto   dangerous speed and a good post.........should be in the race from the get go and might not quit

6  Professor Burns    sprint - sprint - route scenario......bred fine for this grass......trainer is due to wake up (20 0 1 1) .....ouch

3  Rockin Robin   proven on grass but needs better....recent 6F drill hints he might give it

1  Volume   have doubts ready for a top effort in this MSW debut but trouble if he is

 

Posted on March 28, 2015 at 10:52 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Friday 27 March 2015

Only 3 days left to save $5.00 when you purchase full card selections for the Kentucky Derby day. As in the past the selections will be sent in your email the night before at approximately 4 p.m Pacific time.

Different format for at least awhile as I want to give comments for every horse which means only the top two choices will have full comments and the rest of the runners will have abbreviated comments. After a full week like this I would appreciate any feedback you could give.

Thanks, your handicapper,

Rich Santucci

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Lust for Life   solid history sprinting on main track surfaces (6 2 2 1).........in fact it's hard to find a dirt sprint that doesn't fit well in this spot.......hot trainer in Richard Baltas who is in Dubai with Big Macher but his crew continues to win races back home

1  Moscato Girl   needs his race 3 back.....might get it as the Spawr/Delgadillo trainer/rider combo are starting to heat things up (as they have often in the past)........and.........they just got a near bullet 4F work out of this filly one week ago.......definitely the one to beat if she does fire the effort 3 back

6  Sweetest Secret   been racing over her head far too long.........fits here if drop in claiming is not too late

4  Runningwiththelute    dangerous drop down who is two for two at today's distance.....trainer sure could use a winner

 

race 2    below average clarity

1  Midnight Lien    14 to 1 in maiden debut hints the race was needed.........and the works support the notion as they are vastly improved following his lone lifetime race........should be in the hunt from the get go with a clean break

2  L X Sunrise   the ultimate hanger with eight 2nd's in ten lifetime races at SA........most likely by far to hit the board but winning might be a different matter......but then again this is one weak looking group of Mdn20K claimers

6  Sweet Taboo   switch to a 41% trainer......blinkers on......and the trainer is using one of his "go to" jocks

5  Prevaricator   positive rider change.......needs a small move forward 2nd out after the layoff

Long-shot consideration:   8 Warrior Thatcher   8 lengths of trip trouble in last and beaten by 12L.....improved drill since the hidden effort

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Prohibition Repeal    very solid effort/fig 1st time at a route (albeit a grass route) and he has shown he can handle dirt in two sprint races........four year old faces a bunch of three year old runners at a route in March.......should be tough here

1  Howdy   monster effort (that would likely win this race) two back.......fell way off in last (bounced) - not crazy about the over used slang word as you must have concluded by now as I seldom use it.......but........it seems to apply more than usual here

8  Book Thirty Four   significant wake-up in 2nd lifetime start (at 43 to 1) which was his 1st at a route........tough post but might move forward again

4  Air Nashoba   1st time gelding today and improved works.....a dangerous combo

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Sizzlin' Joe   2 for 4 at today's 1 1/8th turf distance........2 for 18 at other turf distances.........and his last at 1 1/8th on the grass run 3 back (where in ran out of the money) is a good effort/fig hidden by a bad trip....good post and rider......should be tough here

4  Dr. Action   big 12 to 1 (in a 6 horse field) wake up in last on the dirt and handles the grass just fine..........and I like the switch to Baze as he has scored with 4 of his last 1/2 dozen mounts for Miller......seems likely to sit close up in an affair that likely will yield a reasonable pace

7  Jomelo   good race 3 back (and at 1 1/8th on the sod) and like our top choice it is disguised by a bad trip.....Bekarano will be out to make amends

5  Tigah    hard to ignore this consistent grass cutter that just keeps chugging along

 

race 5    below average clarity

4  A. P. Pepper   consistently seems to put forth some effort.........good history running for 16K or less........back to a route race following 5 straight sprints...........and.........I have always though that two turn racing fits her more than a sprint racing

6  Winninginfashion    finally runs at a mile on the main track where she is 2 for 4 lifetime (and with a 2nd to boot)........0 for 13 on other surface and or distances (it's not rocket science) ........loves the lead and has a decent shot at getting it here especially with an aggressive rider out of the gate in Martin (the Energizer Bunny) Pedroza 

1  Shy Rosa   sprint - sprint - route scenario.....and 2nd out after a claim.......makes this mare dangerous

2  Proud Vixen   keeps dropping and still not competing well at all.........drops again.......now or never

 

race 6    average clarity

7  Lucky J Lane   3 wins and 3 2nd's in 7 grass races and the only turf race where he managed to run out of the money her inferior barn mate got pounded at the windows and won.............hmmmm..........racing at it's best.....I wish S Cal would go back to entry format.......you know the 1 and 1A  format which helps keep the barn B.S. at bay 

1  Awesome Return   consistent sort likely will be flying late and with Mike Smith at the controls who has a win and a 2nd in two mounts aboard this colt who has only missed hitting the board one time in 10 starts on the grass.....and it also seems significant that this is the only mount for Smith today

4  Jules Journey   very much at his best at today's 1 1/8th turf distance.....ran 3rd in a key 1 1/8th race 3 back

5  Abbey Vail    bet hard and won fresh off of a long layoff in March of 2014.......repeat in 2015?

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Go First    there is that lone speed advantage.......but.....there is also a lone late runner advantage as well.....only true closer in this field of seven.....away for 1 1/2 years but training as if he is returning to the race wars as good as new

4  Head South   record with blinkers on and conventional dirt is (5 2 3 0)........very strong effort 2 races back......and his recent a.m. prowess hints he is about to rebound to it

2  Brando the Birdman   moved forward in last and the effort is hidden by running against an outside bias and doing it up on the pace

6  Off The Deep End   fresh speed can be quite dangerous speed and that is the case here for this Miler charge who won his maiden debut with ease

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Currency Exchange   takes a logical small drop out of MSW racing into high-priced maiden claiming and his races sure seem to stand out here versus this soft looking bunch.......and.......a jock upgrade to the meets leading rider and leading by a significant margin

7  Stellar Act   laid up since August but returns as a 1st time gelding and drops back into high-priced maiden claiming where he ran a solid 2nd two races back in his maiden debut.......1st on the green carpet but bred to handle......training as if he is meant and ready for one tough team in the Desormeaux brothers

2  Vicious   another 1st time gelding.........1st on the lawn as well but like our top choice he is bred to handle it......likely will be close to the lead with a good turf speed jock up

9  Dothraki   long overdue drop......but....in all likelihood he still will need his very best

10  Go Trumpy Go   poor race in last but it was at a route.......needs a rebound to his sprint turf effort two back and maybe a little more

3  Big Hat Charlie    6 lbs off and a cut back in turf distance both look like positves......hot trainer to boot

Posted on March 27, 2015 at 10:31 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Thursday 26 March 2015

Only 4 days left to save $5.00 when you purchase full card selections for the Kentucky Derby day. As in the past the selections will be sent in your email the night before at approximately 4 p.m Pacific time.

Different format for at least awhile as I want to give comments for every horse which means only the top two choices will have full comments and the rest of the runners will have abbreviated comments. After a full week like this I would appreciate any feedback you could give.

Thanks, your handicapper,

Rich Santucci

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Believe Too   Baltas barn is on fire especially when Bejarno and his agent accept a mount for the up and coming trainer.......so so run on the AW at GG but back to sunny S Cal today where his last two endeavors at SA fit solidly in this spot 

1  Great Lou   first time running as a gelding today and he takes a significant drop in claiming........works hint he is healthy and he started his career (and for a win) up for only $5K more so the drop doesn't bother me much........should be in the hunt from the get go

3  Top Estate    drops......back to the jock who won with him

 

race 2    average clarity

4  Fort Cady   strong race (quite a bit better than par) turf to dirt back on 20 December at Lrc.........same scenario today and for a trainer (Steve Knapp) having one of his better SA meets in a very long time

6  Vodka Texted You   toss out latest as he was stuck on a dull rail dueling.......maiden debut 2 back fits.......best speed in here to date and a good post to size up the field......clear........and be loose and lonely on the front end

3  Cowboys Don't Cry    turf route fitness.......nice drill at Slr.......doubt dirt will hamper him

 

race 3    average clarity

8  Honey Fever   away from the game for 21 months but Bill Spawr has put copious furlongs of work into his gelding which hints he means business with his returnee......as does the fact he puts him in a bottom level maiden claimer instead of a protected race where he could have given him a tune-up

4  Next Right   fell off in last following two races that would crush these.......drop isn't that encouraging as far as seeing a rebound is concerned........but........ Glatt of late has been placing his horse's way up or way down (with some success) more than I can ever remember

5  Eddie Would Go   1st timer with his last 2 gate works quite strong......Headley is dangerous with mc 1sters

7  Rare Punch   last 2 of 3 sprints both of which were at SA ......fit fine

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Mahalo Princess   suspicious drop to be sure for this Peter Miller runner but the crafty trainer is an impressive 27% win with his last 45 he has dropped multiple levels of claiming........six year old mare is (6 2 1 2) at SA on the dirt

5  Nothing to Hide   moved forward in her latest but found the rise to the $12.5K level a little too tough......back to the bottom $8K level and she sure fits if she repeats her last endeavor which was at today's same 6 panels

4  Monstro Ness   declining fast but her recent works suggest she might still be "ticking" .......but I doubt for long

2  Queen of the Hill   can't be claimed.....works suggest she feels good

 

race 5   average clarity

7  Mr. Itkins   might be able to sit in a nice stalk position behind a lively pace (likely with the 3 and 6 setting it)........seemingly working the best of his career this month for Mulhall and company......believe sitting on a good effort

1  This Time I Win   probably back a little too quick in his last.......not really a typical Ellis move......but getting horses ready off of 45 to 90 day breaks is.......and what a sizzling gate work put in for this fellow just 5 days ago (46:2 Hg bullet)

6  Rocket Heat   rail bias did aid his 9 length win but he sure finished up as if the effort was a piece of cake (without much stress).....and the work tab since is impressive for his new trainer/owner who snatched him up for $30K in his last

3  Surfing Angel   very strong in the a.m.......decent going eye to eye early and sticking around

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Five Palms   fabulous work tab for this Baffert returnee who was ultra impressive in 3 lifetime races way back late 2013.......and in his lone race at SA he managed to beat Big Macher (in a nw alw race) who sure turned out to be a good one eventually winning a Grade 1 sprint

2  Solid Wager    2 for 3 since Miller but the blinkers back on this nice four year old........and the gelding is 3 for 6 at SA on the dirt........and he sure is working as if a lifetime best might be doable this afternoon

1  Pulling G's   consistent sort for trainer Shirreffs who is waking up.......1st time M Smith.......up close good position seems likely if breaks better

6  Crimson Giant   back to reality today......impressive bullet drill at SA........59 flat on 15 March

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Little But Lucky   returns off of a 9 month hiatus with a new trainer in Mark Glatt........filly won here MSW debut for a trainer not that dangerous with 1st timers so it seems like a good spot for Glatt to bring her back ready to roll......work regiment supports the notion.......1st on the sod but owns an OK pedigree for it

2  Discatsonthesquare    heck of a nice meet for someone like Matt Chew who has the highest win percentage at the meeting of any trainer in this affair............his filly here is improving and continues to train as if the progression continues today

7  Gouyen   might be rated too low here but the works since her solid layoff win in her last aren't as impressive as they were before her last

1  Water Issues   might set up for a late run which is her style in sprints........top 3 picks all like to go early

 

race 8    average clarity   (only 5 horses given for super high 5 because of only 8 competitors)

6  Saturday Yodeler   away for 9 months but she is working as if she is ready to roll for Harrington fresh off of the bench.......her race 2 back her 2nd lifetime start is much better than par considering today's lower level........very dangerous if I am correct in my assessment of her being "ready fresh" 

2  Ticaboo   broke poorly and then showed some run in her lone lifetime start way back in August of last year.......trainer Kory Owens is stout with laid up runners and he has won 3 of his last 8 with 2nd time starters.....drop out of MSW doesn't hurt ant either

5  She Hums   dangerous trainer with 1st timers at this meet in Myadi despite his runners not showing much in the a.m.

4  Racing Hope   turf route muscled up run in last.....drops and does so seemingly on the improve

8  Really a Princess   29% trainer at the meet.......dangerous early speed especially at 5 1/2F

 

Posted on March 26, 2015 at 9:17 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections

Santa Anita for Sunday 22 March 2015

We got an even racing surface which I was crying out for and then disappointingly had a brutal day. In fact this has been one disgusting week of handicapping for yours truly. But my new computer equipment and set up is now complete so maybe I can get my head out of my you know what and select some winners.  Seems like a good card but my confidence level is low. We shall see. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Hearitforthegirls   tightly spaced work intervals hint that this Mullins layoff drop down is healthy and if she is it should be a gate to wire winner here......trainer needs a win

5  Lady Now     another layoff drop down here.......this one seems likely to stalk our top selection and if she falters will be in a good position to inherit the lead and try to hold off the calvary charge

6  Rock N Bunny   filly is improving and continues to train as though the trend can continue......low % jock but he has had success on this four year old and only has a small field to cope with

 

race 2    above average clarity

2  Atta Boy Pete   ineligible to be claimed off the 7 month layoff so it is a great spot for Hollendorfer to take advantage of the situation......sharp work regiment at GG......especially like that he worked 6F just 4 days ago.....rather sure Jerry means bizz here

1  Changing Karma   41 % win percentage trainer Tom Bazley vans on over from LA with an improving five year old who has put in 2 sharp drills in preparation for today's race.......come on Cheryl Charlton

5  Peacenik   decent return to the race wars in latest.....and I like that Bill Spawr steps his aging gelding up one notch......that suggests he likely came out of the race in good condition

4  Mosso

 

race 3    average clarity

1  The Man   not much in last which was a route race.......but not the case in his other two lifetime races which were sprints......in both races the times were solid and he was beaten by lee than 2L versus two next out winners......colt could easily have been named after his trainer......Mr Bob Baffert

4  Hook "Em Kurt   expensive Ron Ellis 1st time starter scratched the other day but likely no big deal as he came back to work 4 days later on March 6th and two times more after that.....seems well prepared for his debut.....especially like the 3F gate work just 3 days ago 

6  Ketos   broke tardy in his MSW debut from the 1 post as so many 1st timers do from the inner most or outer post positions.....rushed following the 2L slow break displaying significant early speed.....dangerous 2nd time starter especially if he breaks cleanly

 

race 4    average clarity

10  Stylistic   laid up mare is facing the boys but I sure like her pedigree for a race down the SA hill grass course and she seemingly is out working the opposite sex in a big way....... and she can be in the race from the get go

7  McHeat   two consecutive bad trips in a row for this Barry Abrams colt hides his ability on the grass..........tries blinkers off and a new jock and a sprint turf race in hopes to getting a better trip out of him

8  Hye I'm Jack   sprint turf tune-up in layoff last......full throttle go in a grass route this afternoon......and a change in riders to O'Neil'ls go to guy of late in Van Dyke

1  Hazardous Dreams

Long-shot consideration:  9  Cap Ferrat   Blake Heap really doesn't show strong works too much in the a.m. with his 1st time starters so I am willing to ignore the fact that this colt has only one work of merit (on Mar 5th) because tne trainer has won with 2 of his last 3 1sters that debut on the turf....and this colt sure owns a good pedigree for the green carpet

 

race 5   average clarity

4  Practical    tossed a clunker in last off of the layoff but the works since hint at a rebound.......but maybe more importantly he sure seems loose here and if Eswan Flores (1 for 3 for Pender) can slow things down early he should be tough

7  Mr. Pete Got Even   both lifetime races off of a similar rest in between races like today are decent and both are somewaht disguised by running wide on strong rail days.......recent 1:12 flat work at LA hints this colt has never felt better and felt better for a new trainer.......hopefully the trainer has tweaked something for the positive

6  Tester    deep closer drops again and  might be the only horse finishing OK at 7F which will likely be grueling for most in the weak looking group of maiden 20K claimers

8  Win Wish

 

race 6    average clarity

6  Kerrilynn   Cerin has been red hot the last couple of weeks..........his mare has set some nasty fractions in both lifetime races on the hill and fared rather well......there is other speed in here but they might peel off early and/or Bejarano might take back some

1  Nero's Pleasure   last route to sprint manuvuer (albeit on the AW) led to a win.......that is the scenario today and with a change in jocks to Vann Dyke who owns both lifetime wins for this mare

4  Always a chance   blocked badly in last on the turn and the stretch or might have won at today's level.........late runner in grass sprints seemingly gets the pace she needs to help her chances.......Mullins is overdo to wake up.....maybe it starts here  

3  Fast Moka Too

 

race 7    above average clarity

4  Sweet Marini   Baffert runner has been on quite a roll and her last is well hidden by dueling in solid pace on a dull rail which basically would do anyone in.......she did well to only get beat by 5 3/4 in a Grade 2 that was loaded with talent.........faces easier today

5  Wild in the Saddle   solid improvement in latest which was her 1st at one mile on the dirt........3rd place came back to beat a decent field on Saturday.........barn mate( number 3) might but sent to bother our top pick early......significant rider upgrade to boot

1  Anniversary Kitty     positive:  Dollase is at often at his best sprint-sprint-route which is the case here........negative: lone race on conventional dirt is only so so..........deserves another shot on it?

 

race 8   average clarity

3  Habibi   copious furlongs of a.m. work put into this R  Mandella (mostly) overseas invader hints that she is meant and ready.......she did fail in her only U S of A race last June but she likely injured herself in the race.....she owns quite a few Graded races in NZ and Australlia (many versus males) that would crush here

5  Indecise   another R Mandella runner.....this one scratched ot of a Graded race to run here......would have been top choice if the once red hot Prat hadn't turned from hot to cold.....down to 9% win after earning praise for bringing home many nice winners earlier in the meeting

1  Birdlover  was allowed to set a very slow pace and responded with a win off of the layoff.....that seemingly stress-less sprint race down the hill should have her feeling really good for today's one mile grass race versus better.....one post and Bejarano.....such a deal

6  Industrial Policy

 

race 9    average clarity

7  Just Bookin   showed she can finish strong at 6 1/2F and many in here look like they might be gasping for air late...........both races since Antonio Soto took over the training duties fit well here......away a liittle over 4 weeks but put in a decent work at LA one week from today......should be tough if she has held form

5  Coded Message    both lifetime races fit fine here.......would have made top pick if she had shown at least one work since her 27 Feb race especailly since she was a vet scratch on 13 Feb......and her trainer wasn't so cold for the SA meeting

8  Miserable Blue   bet to favorite in maiden debut which seems ironic in that the rider/trainer have brought home quite a few prices this meeting.....did flash solid speed for the 1st quarter......deserves another shot 

3  Gold Locket

6  Gold Journey

2  Fancy Brandi

Posted on March 22, 2015 at 10:29 am by richs · Permalink · Comments Closed
In: Free Information, Selections