Printer Friendly View Printer Friendly View

Santa Anita for Thursday 18 March 2010

[private]

Handicappers Corner

Let's hope Jorge Gutierrrez has one heck of a day since we selected him on top in 3 races today.  In fact our top pick offers rather good value all day long.

 

race 1    average clarity

7  Word Association   only race on the SA surface was her best ever...very consistent sort for a maiden claimer

5  Royally Large   sizzling hot trainer the past week.....best ever was run fresh in maiden debut......fresh today with solid works

4  Dubai Macau Girl   goofy ride in last (z pattern).....solid maiden debut 2 back.....positive rider switch

6  Warren's Moon   best early speed in this spot unless one of the two 1st timers has speed.....tired late at today's distance in her last....may not today

race 2    average clarity

5   Brenthurst   earned a substantial fig (very bad trip) for this level on Top Turf Today in only grass race......nice works....shortening up from route races to a hill course race is usually a smart maneuver

2  Lamm   also shortens up from a route turf run......high percentage trainer/rider combo lately...closed nicely into a soft pace in only hill run  

4  Boyoboy   small barn is good 1st out after the claim and they sure have this colt training as though they have improved him....1st on the turf but bred OK for it  

 

race  3    average clarity

7  Warren's Tony R.   last sure appears as if it was the tune-up to be full throttle today with a significant jockey change for his 2nd out after the layoff

3  Bandeira Union   only race going long on the Pro-ride fits in this spot and it occurred 3rd out after the layoff coming off 2 grass races.....same scenario today 

2  Tiger Blitz   rounding into form and the 5 lbs off with the top apprentice should help

4  Oliver   drops to try and gain a competitive advantage...barn could use a win

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Lucks Mine   not much more to say than M Smith wired the field with this colt in his last 2 sprints and he looks loose in this spot

4  Kuro   learning the racing game with every start and never worked any better....think we will see best ever today

1  Keen Bidder   James Lloyd barn has been hot of late and he has had a good history with his overseas purchases for his barn and others...raced mostly at the better racetracks in GB

 

race 5    slightly above average clarity

8  Havens Lake   blocked badly in her last and sure ran like a fit horse when free.....previous race made a good showing in a key fast heat....2 reassuring works since her last

2  Global Inspiration  last looks like the obvious gimme for today's drop......good chance to get a nice chase position behind a suspect leader.....gets 7 lbs off with top apprentice up and in for 7K

1  Princess Susan M   wide trip in last versus slightly better and takes another drop.....seems healthy enough...good rider/trainer combo

5  Rockin Rose   last race wasn't too bad but what we want to see is the effort 3 back which was at today's 6 furlong distance

 

race 6    average clarity

5  Warrens Paddockguy   solid move forward in 2nd lifetime start for a barn that has been getting the job done...think we will see even more today

8  Cat Brando   decent breeding for this Cal bred 1ster....good trainer/rider team with 1st timers over the last couple of years....work series suggests he's pointed to be ready for his entry into the racing world

1  Camicory   50 to 1 in the morning line this 3rd time starter is hidden ....broke a little tardy and raced wide in debut and only got beat by 3 1/2....then dueled in substantial pace on a dull inside which would do anyone in....solid works since...come on Sutherland bust out of your slump

7  Speedy Marini   bred to be a decent sprinter....like the fact they shipped in from the desert after some decent drills training at Tup

 

race 7    slightly above average clarity

5  Welken   the epitome of consistency and especially at 1 mile...6 starts 3 wins and 3 seconds......2 excellent races since Mitchell claimed 

1  Damaniyat Girl   earned a better than par fig for this level with a bad trip in his 1st run in the good old U S of A......blinkers on and the 1 post should help him sit close up as he usually did running in GB

3  Eclair De Lune   French invader owned by the man that made Arlington Park into a palace seems like a dangerous invader  who liked to sit on or near the lead in France which seems like a good thing in this spot 

 

race 8    average clarity

4  Warren's Tommy Too   nice move forward in 2nd lifetime start.....caught solid fields in both lifetime races

9  Casa O   just missed in maiden debut at this level and the strong works since suggest he may really appreciate 1st time blinkers today

10  Serious Form   another who just missed in debut....that race was at 5 1/2 F......many in here have proven they can handle 7F he still needs to or I would have rated him higher

8  Who's Your Widady   poor start and ran wide in his return to the race wars...a smoother trip and any move forward and he would be as competitive as anyone in here

5  Nathaniel   decent return run after the long layoff...nice work tab since suggests we may see more in today's race

[/private]

 

Posted on March 18, 2010 at 10:53 am by brian · Permalink
In: Free Information