
Oak Tree @ Hollywood for Friday 22 Oct 2010
[private]
Rather surprised they took the races off the turf last night. I'd be shocked if they do same this evening.
Â
Recommended pick 3 part wheel starts in the 4th race
4,5,6,9 with 1,3,5,7 with 2,4Â Â Â 32 wagers
Â
race 1Â Â Â slightly above avg clarity
4  Lone Justice  brilliant early speed on the sod in last.....sizzling drill for his new trainer......lone listed mount of the night for Smith seems significant.....can be loose and lonely on the lead
1 Armenian Star  last race on the AW was a solid bad trip 3rd...positive rider switch from the jock that rode that day
7 Absolutlypositivly  blinkers off most likely to get the horse to run from out of it something he seems to respond to
Â
race 2Â Â Â average clarity
5 Sea Rascal  last 3 races fit fine versus this group...runs well from the mid back to chase position and it looks like this gelding can get that position tonight
1 Irrefutable  has had his troubles getting back to the track (somewhat sporadic training regiment) but lone race was impressive...on or near the lead from the get go
Â
race 3Â Â Â average clarity
5 Dime  good move in the right direction in 2nd lifetime start.....stout trainer so odds are this colt can move forward again
4 Ultimate Question  appears to be on the right end of the learning curve
1 Del Mar Dude  1ster is training well enough to possibly be ready and a factor in his mc debut
Â
race 4   slightly above avg clarity
5 Swift Demand  plenty of heat up front can set things up nicely for this late runner......positive rider switch should help get the job accomplished
9 Two Violins  speed of the speed maybe and seemingly the only speedballthat might withstand in duel if one occurs
6 Get Off The Sugar  last 3 of 4 races this gelding ran at 5 1/2 furlongs fit fine...good spot for his mid pack style
2 Quoted  another closer who gets pace to run at
Â
race 5Â Â Â average clarity
3 Pack Your Bags  par average on Top Turf Today in last 4 six furlong grass affairs...appreciates the Hol sod....top jock knows horse well
1 Sassou  gelding has solid back numbers and the trainer is decent 3rd out after the layoff...today's scenario
5 Mr. Cacht  laid up horse is 10 for 20 lifetime and sure trains as if he is all set to roll off his 3/4 year hiatus from the track
7 Brenthurst  exits a very fast heat at Fpx where getting beat by 5 lengths was no embarrassment.....back to the grass....1 for 1 at the distance and it was at Hol
Â
race 6Â Â Â average clarity
4 Moondance  seemingly loose on the lead for this sprinter running a route for the 1st time....bred to handle it...4 lbs off and P Val up...some solid positives
2 Tiz A Bud Girl  only win in 5 races came from her only route race on the AW.....excellent work series says Sadler means business
1 L'enchanteresse  very nice animal surely can run with these but she likes to hang/flatten late
Â
race 7Â Â Â average clarity
2 Meteore  last 8 races all fit solidly here.....needs a confidence boost so running in an alw race makes sense...plus being a Cal bred she can earn some added moneyÂ
3 No Inflation  best on firm turf so California sod should be a nice fit....on or near the lead from the get go
1 Tiz West  only seems to fire at today's 1 mile distance...both 1 mile grass runs in 2010 are better than they look on paper
5 Allegre   very competitive sort on the grass albeit at a lessor circuit....new trainer has him dangerously sharp in the morning
Â
race 8Â Â Â average clarity
7 Real Obvious  all 4 lifetime sprints on the AW fit solidly at today's mc level.....the race 2 back with today's jock up is quite strong
10 Magic Lantern  2 consecutive horrendous trips in a row......another new jock and rightfully so
4 Suitable Attire  good speed and P Val...a dangerous combination
5 Bar Rock Omama  only one lifetime race run over a year ago and it wasn't much....but a new barn and works that suggest the horse may come back as a different improved animal
1 Ride A Wave  consistently tries hard but will will need 3 or 4 lengths of improvement to compete for the win
[/private]
Â