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Oak Tree @ Hollywood for Friday 22 Oct 2010
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Rather surprised they took the races off the turf last night. I'd be shocked if they do same this evening.
Recommended pick 3 part wheel starts in the 4th race
4,5,6,9 with 1,3,5,7 with 2,4 32 wagers
race 1 slightly above avg clarity
4 Lone Justice brilliant early speed on the sod in last.....sizzling drill for his new trainer......lone listed mount of the night for Smith seems significant.....can be loose and lonely on the lead
1 Armenian Star last race on the AW was a solid bad trip 3rd...positive rider switch from the jock that rode that day
7 Absolutlypositivly blinkers off most likely to get the horse to run from out of it something he seems to respond to
race 2 average clarity
5 Sea Rascal last 3 races fit fine versus this group...runs well from the mid back to chase position and it looks like this gelding can get that position tonight
1 Irrefutable has had his troubles getting back to the track (somewhat sporadic training regiment) but lone race was impressive...on or near the lead from the get go
race 3 average clarity
5 Dime good move in the right direction in 2nd lifetime start.....stout trainer so odds are this colt can move forward again
4 Ultimate Question appears to be on the right end of the learning curve
1 Del Mar Dude 1ster is training well enough to possibly be ready and a factor in his mc debut
race 4 slightly above avg clarity
5 Swift Demand plenty of heat up front can set things up nicely for this late runner......positive rider switch should help get the job accomplished
9 Two Violins speed of the speed maybe and seemingly the only speedballthat might withstand in duel if one occurs
6 Get Off The Sugar last 3 of 4 races this gelding ran at 5 1/2 furlongs fit fine...good spot for his mid pack style
2 Quoted another closer who gets pace to run at
race 5 average clarity
3 Pack Your Bags par average on Top Turf Today in last 4 six furlong grass affairs...appreciates the Hol sod....top jock knows horse well
1 Sassou gelding has solid back numbers and the trainer is decent 3rd out after the layoff...today's scenario
5 Mr. Cacht laid up horse is 10 for 20 lifetime and sure trains as if he is all set to roll off his 3/4 year hiatus from the track
7 Brenthurst exits a very fast heat at Fpx where getting beat by 5 lengths was no embarrassment.....back to the grass....1 for 1 at the distance and it was at Hol
race 6 average clarity
4 Moondance seemingly loose on the lead for this sprinter running a route for the 1st time....bred to handle it...4 lbs off and P Val up...some solid positives
2 Tiz A Bud Girl only win in 5 races came from her only route race on the AW.....excellent work series says Sadler means business
1 L'enchanteresse very nice animal surely can run with these but she likes to hang/flatten late
race 7 average clarity
2 Meteore last 8 races all fit solidly here.....needs a confidence boost so running in an alw race makes sense...plus being a Cal bred she can earn some added money
3 No Inflation best on firm turf so California sod should be a nice fit....on or near the lead from the get go
1 Tiz West only seems to fire at today's 1 mile distance...both 1 mile grass runs in 2010 are better than they look on paper
5 Allegre very competitive sort on the grass albeit at a lessor circuit....new trainer has him dangerously sharp in the morning
race 8 average clarity
7 Real Obvious all 4 lifetime sprints on the AW fit solidly at today's mc level.....the race 2 back with today's jock up is quite strong
10 Magic Lantern 2 consecutive horrendous trips in a row......another new jock and rightfully so
4 Suitable Attire good speed and P Val...a dangerous combination
5 Bar Rock Omama only one lifetime race run over a year ago and it wasn't much....but a new barn and works that suggest the horse may come back as a different improved animal
1 Ride A Wave consistently tries hard but will will need 3 or 4 lengths of improvement to compete for the win
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