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Oak Tree @ Hollywood for Friday 22 Oct 2010

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Rather surprised they took the races off the turf last night. I'd be shocked if they do same this evening.

 

Recommended pick 3 part wheel starts in the 4th race

4,5,6,9 with 1,3,5,7 with 2,4    32 wagers

 

race 1    slightly above avg clarity

4  Lone Justice   brilliant early speed on the sod in last.....sizzling drill for his new trainer......lone listed mount of the night for Smith seems significant.....can be loose and lonely on the lead

1  Armenian Star   last race on the AW was a solid bad trip 3rd...positive rider switch from the jock that rode that day

7  Absolutlypositivly   blinkers off most likely to get the horse to run from out of it something he seems to respond to

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Sea Rascal   last 3 races fit fine versus this group...runs well from the mid back to chase position and it looks like this gelding can get that position tonight

1  Irrefutable   has had his troubles getting back to the track (somewhat sporadic training regiment) but lone race was impressive...on or near the lead from the get go

 

race 3    average clarity

5  Dime   good move in the right direction in 2nd lifetime start.....stout trainer so odds are this colt can move forward again

4  Ultimate Question   appears to be on the right end of the learning curve

1  Del Mar Dude   1ster is training well enough to possibly be ready and a factor in his mc debut

 

race 4    slightly above avg clarity

5  Swift Demand   plenty of heat up front can set things up nicely for this late runner......positive rider switch should help get the job accomplished

9  Two Violins   speed of the speed maybe and seemingly the only speedballthat might withstand in duel if one occurs

6  Get Off The Sugar   last 3 of 4 races this gelding ran at 5 1/2 furlongs fit fine...good spot for his mid pack style

2  Quoted   another closer who gets pace to run at

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Pack Your Bags   par average on Top Turf Today in last 4 six furlong grass affairs...appreciates the Hol sod....top jock knows horse well

1  Sassou   gelding has solid back numbers and the trainer is decent 3rd out after the layoff...today's scenario

5  Mr. Cacht   laid up horse is 10 for 20 lifetime and sure trains as if he is all set to roll off his 3/4 year hiatus from the track

7  Brenthurst   exits a very fast heat at Fpx where getting beat by 5 lengths was no embarrassment.....back to the grass....1 for 1 at the distance and it was at Hol

 

race 6    average clarity

4  Moondance   seemingly loose on the lead for this sprinter running a route for the 1st time....bred to handle it...4 lbs off and P Val up...some solid positives

2  Tiz A Bud Girl   only win in 5 races came from her only route race on the AW.....excellent work series says Sadler means business

1  L'enchanteresse   very nice animal surely can run with these but she likes to hang/flatten late

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Meteore   last 8 races all fit solidly here.....needs a confidence boost so running in an alw race makes sense...plus being a Cal bred she can earn some added money 

3  No Inflation   best on firm turf so California sod should be a nice fit....on or near the lead from the get go

1  Tiz West   only seems to fire at today's 1 mile distance...both 1 mile grass runs in 2010 are better than they look on paper

5  Allegre    very competitive sort on the grass albeit at a lessor circuit....new trainer has  him dangerously sharp in the morning

 

race 8    average clarity

7  Real Obvious   all 4 lifetime sprints on the AW fit solidly at today's mc level.....the race 2 back with today's jock up is quite strong

10  Magic Lantern   2 consecutive horrendous trips in a row......another new jock and rightfully so

4  Suitable Attire   good speed and P Val...a dangerous combination

5  Bar Rock Omama   only one lifetime race run over a year ago and it wasn't much....but a new barn and works that suggest the horse may come back as a different improved animal

1  Ride A Wave   consistently tries hard but will will need 3 or 4 lengths of improvement to compete for the win

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Posted on October 22, 2010 at 7:46 am by brian · Permalink
In: Free Information