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Hollywood for Thursday 11 November 2010

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1st race pick 3 part wheels that have a potential to yield a solid return

1,2,3,4,5  with  1.2.3.5.6  with  3

1,2,3,4,5  with  2,3  with  1,5,6                   55 bets total

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Miles Long Gone   just claimed for 50K off of a strong (bad trip) debut 2 back......that effort with a decent journey would make him difficult to beat

2  Call Me Later   fig improving with every start....smooth runner so far in career and Rosario up....that's a nice combination and a big plus

5  Air Union   Baffert horse's just don't fire 2 consecutive uncompetitive efforts in a row lately...may have been a tune-up in a MSW to drop into claiming and fire a big one

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Dubai You X Y Z   we had this 52 to 1 debut winner in our selections 8 months ago.....solid 115:4 for a March 3 year old......long hiatus from the track but drills are up to snuff and we have a rider upgrade...can be prominent from the get go

5  Lone Justice   somewhat short on figs but looks loose here with Bejarano in control

2  Crafter Hedger   tough trip in last and still managed to get up for the win....will need cleaner trip today to handle the class rise

 

race 3     average clarity

3  Resplendently   powerful run in last 1st time with the blinkers on....believe that was the needed MSW affair and it surprised the barn a bit with the big effort....but they still drop as intended because the gelding only has 7 starts in 3 years...2 good reassuring drills

6  Jakey Boy   2 years off but was only beaten by 10 lengths by Rail Trip and flashed big early speed......drops to the bottom in 2nd lifetime start...very high win % for the trainer/rider combo in 2010 

1  Coffee Gossip   blocked on turn in debut last or much closer at the finish....blinkers on.....solid drill since.....forward move likely

 5  Logical Habit   broke poorly in mc debut last...showed some life after the compromising start

 

race 4    slightly above average clarity

5  Milty Way   unlucky in last 2 races in that this gelding was involved in suicidal paces....drops and back to Rosario....very short rest but trainer is one of the few with a good history with abbreviated time between races

2  Luv Dragon   big fig for this O'Neill charge (top pick is also O'Neill).....my guess is the apprentice will be told to take back or at least avoid a duel with our top pick..well proven at a route

4  Courtside Action   shocking out of nowhere 128 to 1 winner 3 length winner in last....may feel great because he's back in 5 days

 

race 5     slightly below average clarity

2  Americas Dreaming   needed last and the drills since indicate he benefited fro the race......I expect a solid run but am somewhat leary of the 1 win and 6 2nd's

4  Kayce Ace   shipper from Kee is proven on the Hol surface....good speed in this spot with the ever dangerous Rosario in control of things  

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Sammy Choi   seemingly all 5 lifetime starts fit at today's level....Cavara is tough for after a claim

3  Winning Desire   faced better in last 2 races....much better placed to score at today's level........barn has had a nice Fall 

4  Edgewick Road    nice improvement running lines lately...seems to appreciate the Hol synthetic surface

 

race 7    average clarity

1  Caracortado   won 1st 5 lifetime races with a low win % rider in the saddle.....laid up but very strong drills...positive rider switch...and OK grass breeding

4  Dance With Cable  4 turf sprints with Bejarano up....3 wins and a 2nd....also coming off a layoff but training up to snuff and proven fresh 

7  Amazombie   4 for 4 with M Smith up on this 4 year old....and 2 for 2 at Hol with both races at today's distance

8  Cherokee Heaven   deep closer is well proven fresh off of the bench...he'll be hoping for a lively pace up front

 

race 8     slightly below average clarity

8  Church Avenue   last 3 AW races this filly has run fit fine in this spot....Flores knows the horse well

3  Miss Seamless   vanned off in last but recent work says she maybe OK health wise.....race 3 back her last sprint on the AW would most likely win this affair

6  Rev Her Up   crushed in last and earned a fig that is par like for today's higher level

7  Popular Date   claimed for 5K and rattled off 2 straight wins at 8K....rightfully steps up again with a perfect 3 for 3 record at Hollywood

2  Ultra Awesome   consistent sort drops back to a level where she is reliably competitive

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Posted on November 11, 2010 at 10:06 am by brian · Permalink
In: Free Information