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Santa Anita for Sat 15 Jan 2011


Track is back to being unbelievably fast. Another track record fell yesterday with our top pick winning the 7th in 113:11. Yikes! Maybe it is the temperature which has been warmer the last few days. 


race 1    slightly above average clarity

7  Pat Olcott    best early speed in this affair and very positive rider change...see ya

2  Angel Before Us   barn is in go mode...only race on conventional dirt is strong and so our the drills at SA

4  Kahlua Mast   fell off some in last but the recent drills (at SA ) hint of a rebound and an appreciation for his new surface

3  Girlwithegoldhoof   crushed in lone race on "real" dirt....laid up but works are up to snuff and trainer is good off of layoffs


race 2    average clarity

2  Arousal   all three lifetime starts which were on the AW are better then par for the MSW level.....1st on the sod but an adequate pedigree to handle it

5  Mr. Commons   useful debut on the main track andnow on the grass where with his stellar grass pedigree he most likely was always pointed for.....Shireffsis much better with 2nd time starters as well

6  Lula Talullah   good MSW debut on the grass sprinting and then a dull effort in a turf route.....back to a sprint today

1  Akkadian   Canani isn't much of a 1st starter trainer but works are too hard to ignore and leave him out of my selections


race 3    slightly above average clarity

1  Clubhouse Ride   2 solid races on conventional dirt and a strong 4F recent drill on the SA surface...seems sharp and easily has the most racing experience in this field of youngsters

4  Tapizar   long layoff but works suggest he is ready...when last seen (at CD) in late Nov this colt ran his eyeballs out...very tough here if he is as fit as he was that day


race 4    average clarity

4  Our Bellini Bikini   consistent city...4 wins and 3 2nd's in last 9 starts...great job of conditioning by O'Neill keeping this 8K claimer sharp...few reasons he can't keep it going

3  Irridescent Red   lead type only might get what he needs....a loose lead on a track that is kind to speed types

5  Miner Pic   15 out of 24 "place" finishes the last 2 years puts her in the ultra consistent category....but....she does tend to hang

8  Alphabet Cat   subtle positive switch in appr. riders for this late runner...good shot to move forward 2nd out after the layoff


race 5   slightly below average clarity

6  Screaming Destiny   on the improve with every start and now gets the grass for the 1st time with solid grass breeding...retains meets leading rider 

7  Le' Heat   loved him last time and the saddle slipped and that was that....tougher spot here but still is a major contender with his recent improvement in his races and his workouts

4  Kumiva   fired fresh in his last race which was run last Fall....and he is training as if he will once again

8  War Element   1st timer is beautifully bred for the grass (mom's tossed out 5 turf winners in 5 foals, 3 of which were SW's) and shows promise in her morning preparation


race 6    slightly above average clarity

3  Zazu   since I have been covering S Cal racing J Sadler has been outstanding with his young Stakes fillies going 7 furlongs....solid figs on AW..really tough if she handles the "real" dirt as well

1  California Nectar   last was better then par for today's level and it was at SA and at 7f....very consistent career so far so there is a good likelihood she can repeat the effort

4  Plum Pretty   very solid MSW winning debut way back in mid Fall....laid up but the works are good and Baffert is hot hot hot


race 7   slightly below clarity

11  Cherokee Heaven   owns some very strong figs/efforts down the SA hill which is 1/2 the battle...will need a clever trip from a difficult post

4  Red Alert Day   1 for 1 on the SA hill grass course and owns significant early speed with arguably the meets top speed rider aboard in P Val

10  Camp Victory   was on a steady impressive improvement when he had to be laid up last barn and he appears to appreciate his new surroundings flashing some very strong works

5  Smokey Lonesome   on the right end of the learning curve and gets 3 lbs off....can upset here with a good trip and as most of you know the trip down the hill is more significant than any race configuration anywhere in the good old U S of A


race 8    average clarity

6  Thikyhasnolimit   last was the extended sprint tune-up to be fit and ready for the challenge of getting it done in this Grade 2 affair....and Asmussen sure knows how to get it done

8  Make Music For Me   works indicate shes glad to get back to sandy dirt (4th in Ky Derby) and she should fly late if she gets the needed pace up front

1  Tweebster   got away with ridiculously slow pace in last and effortlessly wired.....basically the race was the perfect workout.....should have a ton of horse left for today

4  Hamish Hy   keeps outrunning his odds on multiple surfaces.....1st ever on the conventional dirt but bred to run fine on it


race 9    slightly below average clarity

3 My Pal Val   same team of rider trainer won with a 1st timer that wasn't training as well as this guy...bred and trains like he owns speed and that's a good thing at the speed friendly 5 1/2 F distance

7 Cabo San Lucas   owns plenty of early speed and gets a positive rider speed...Joe T can go all the way if able to slow things down early  

4  Ultimate Question   decent run off of the layoff and past history suggests he will move forward

10  High Valley Guy   trainer is seldom ready with 1st timers so....last was the gimme in a non-claiming event and today it's full throttle in a m c are good and suggest he has early speed

5  Brereton Park   works are good enough to consider ready for his debut into the racing world...and....seems significant that Rosario is up 



Posted on January 15, 2011 at 11:13 am by brian · Permalink
In: Free Information