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Santa Anita for Saturday 26 March 2011


By now many of you might have guessed I dislike off track conditions. That is the main reason I have fallen in love with the sunny conditions that we usually have in the Southern California racing circuit. I have never met a handicapper (including one's that I respect) that does well on off tracks. Hope it is fast today. Only a 20 % chance of rain.


race 1    average clarity

1  Take A Yard    last looks like a tune-up....why....because well bred for the turf gelding went off 34 to 1 and was ridden by a very low percentage jock...solid drills since applying some speed...significant jockey upgrade....only beaten 3 in tune-up so.....

3  Causeithertz   on the improve with every start....should have plenty left late cutting back an 1/8 of a mile...bred to handle a good yielding turf which it should be

2  Squad   Proctor is a little cold but 2nd out after a layoff, blinkers off, and 2nd start under his auspicious are strong relevant trainer historical categories for him...lone turf effort fits fine


race 2    below average clarity

2  Tokubetsu   powerful effort/fig in 2nd lifetime race.....2 months off to recovery from such a hard race....repeat of last would win 85% of most MSW races run in S Cal.

3  Dominus   also ran a strong MSW debut way back in early Fall at are up to snuff to be ready fresh as he was in his these Asmussen/Baffert battles with thier young stock...good for Cal racing...lets hope Asmussensticks around


race 3    average clarity

4  Led Advantage   very strong late late stretch (maybe too much left) and back in 7 days suggests this filly will be able to come back and fire with only 7 days rest....solid fig earned in latest

 5  Imperatriz   race lacks speed and this filly appears to have the most......decent run off of the 4 month layoff with the right to move forward with that race under her belt

2  Kahlua Mist   exits a fast heat versus better......owns a touch of early speed and with P Val up and the lack of speed profiles here you can quess what he will try to do


race 4    average clarity

5  Nextdoorneighbor   ultra consistent mid pack runner gets pace to close into...a excellent rider for the hill......and just popped a strong 5/8ths with the dogs up on the turf...seems sharp

1  Vaundell   all 3 lifetime sprints were impressive efforts.....only has had 2 races in him per year so you know Gaines will want him ready...and the works sure do support this

4  Warning Song   3 wins and 2 3rds in last 6 races in GB including a win off of a 2 1/2 month guess Mitchell will have him ready for his U S of A debut......and once again the drill support this

6  Honour Family   last was very stout both in pace and final......can he repeat it with 6 weeks off or is this a gimme to drop back into claiming ?.....difficult to tell but dangerous


race 5    average clarity

3  Lordgivemealift   seemingly ships in in good form and is 2 for 2 lifetime on conventional dirt......speed of the speed can wire..claimed by Hess who had this horse last year...seems like a plus

5  Yes It's A Cat   turf legged up in last and a solid drill seemingly has this horse fit.....dirt race 2 back was good enough...beat by only 5 with a 4 wide trip

8  Brenthurst   moved forward some in last....consistent but has been hanging in the stretch or would have rated higher

2  Margarita Shot   big run fresh off the bench in last and rightfully steps up albeit quite a bit.....used to have competitive ability in alw races so there is the potential for a significant upside


race 6    slightly above average clarity

2  Our Nautique   has been facing better up north....loves the front end and should be able to get it here

3  Lease Of Life   last fits but it won't beat our top pick if he runs his race.....but.....does have some significant back numbers on Top Turf Today  that could handle the 2 horse....needs a forward move

5  Asperity   decent run off of the small layoff and claimed...might be a good claim as this 7 year old appears to be on the upswing and has a good history running off a couple of weeks rest


race 7    slightly above average clarity

4  Soul Candy   by far the most proven marathoner in this field...... should be running late when others might be gasping for air

2  Worth Repeating   marathon efforts have been decent....1st on conventional dirt but bred just fine to handle it

6  Spurrier   late runner has figs that fit fine for a Grade 3 performance but is unproven this far....tough call if he will like this 1 1/2 marathon or not


race 8    average clarity

3  Van Brit   5 of 8 on the SA turf course and 3 of 6 at the distance....also many figs that fit at the 40K level on Top Turf Today...

4  Samba School   on the improve with every grass start and Mitchell claimed right back after he had this one snatched away from him...very big work for this....Mitchell is all business

6  Rainbow Luck   big race 2 so last...put back in claiming....very solid if rebounds

7  Lady Alex    horse appears to be on the rebound....recent works and the big step up (Sadler knows where to place his horses) supports this


race 9    average clarity

1  Margo Verge   talk about a work tab for a 1ster that just keeps improving...most fit at the right time...rather sure ready roll in debut

2  Queenofcalifornia   good speed and P Val....blew a lead at 5F now needs 5 1/2 but jock sure knows how to hold a speed-ball together

7  Katelyn N' Jeanna   woke up in last and will need another forward move to compete for the win.....Mitchell is on a roll

6  She's All Yours   decent layoff run only beaten by 5 with a 3 wide trip...blinkers recent works...good shot moves forward

3  Shame On Lilly   tightly spaced work series seemingly has this 1st timer fit enough to be considered ready for her debut into the world of thoroughbred racing



Posted on March 26, 2011 at 11:06 am by brian · Permalink
In: Free Information