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Hollywood for Thursday 23 July 2011


Difficult card today. Friday's looks quite a bit better. Hope I'm wrong about today and right about Friday.


race 1    average clarity

6  Roar Bay Roar   after a cold week of riding Bejarano can start things off right with this 2nd time starter who worked well, ran well, and has worked well since his last....Hollendorfer has woken up

5  Molly's All Heart   solid move forward in 2nd lifetime start and now we get a rider switch to Gomez who once again is riding like the best jock in the good old U S of A.....solid rider trainer combo lately to boot

4  Platinum Rules   good work tab for this 1st timer and Heap is more then capable getting it done with a 2 year old making his first appearance in a race


race 2    slightly below average clarity

5  Meter Me Gone   filly has done little wrong on the AW.....Carava stepping this 3 year old up again is a positive sign she continues to do well for her new connections

4  Michailasheartlite   laid up since last Fall but training well and greatly appreciates the Hollywood synthetic.....makes sense to have this youngster ready off of the bench because Hollywood closes in mid July

3  Tuesdays With P   laid up awhile but training up to snuff.....can sit on or near the lead and that is a dangerous thing when the team of Baffert/Garcia is involved


race 3    slightly below average clarity

3  Super Candy    key rider switch especially for a 2 year old.......2 good races since the blinkers were added and now we get a top tier jock

8  Sunny Superstition   mom's tossed some runners and this O'Neill charge is training as if all systems are go for his debut

7  Swiss Game   bad start and a wide trip did this baby in in his maiden debut.....better trip and he should be able to compete for the top prize

2  Big Blaze   NM bred exits a sizzling fast heat at Sun that produced 2 next out winners....he was 17 to 1 that day so he may not have been all that cranked up for his 1st start....2 useful works the over the track at Hol should have him tuned to the surface


race 4    average clarity

3  Bold Type   last sure looked like a tune-up......switch to P Val who got more out of this gelding then anyone else in his lone mount on the horse....go go go today

8  Irish Coral   suspicious drop for this 3 year old considering he did nothing wrong in 2 lifetime starts.....but then again he does appear to be training like a sound horse.......toss a coin

1  Polly's Dancer   laid up for 1/2 of a year but training as if he might be ready fresh off of the bench.......race 2 back his 1st with blinkers off fits here


race 5    slightly below average clarity

1  Miles Rules   powerful runner on the main track is proven fresh....1st ever on the turf with an average pedigree to handle it

6  Lunch Time Diva   work tab strongly suggests this laid up runner is ready fresh.......race is loaded with early speed and that should flatter this girl's late kick

8  English Royal   blinkers on today and training great as if it is a good move.....seemingly sitting on a very solid effort.......but needs to avoid a suicidal speed duel

3  Queen Mariles   powerful (overwhelming) race on the AW in last and claimed....back to the turf....yet to run as strong an effort on the turf....tough call 


race 6    below average clarity

NOTE: impossible race to decipher....the only horse that I can toss out is the 1A.....all the rest seem to have a shot so I'm giving the horses that offer the best potential value as compared to their chances of winning

7  Fire In The Wind   price shot has good history 2nd out after the layoff like today....abbreviated 5F sprint distance seemingly is a good fit

5  Devoted Magic   long layoff but training as if he is ready....whole career fits here effort/fig wise......crushed his competition the only time he raced at this low a claiming level

9  Ribald   strong late kick in his last 4 races at 5 1/2 furlongs....right there usually at the 5F mark in those races....impressive bullet drill.....Sherman steps him up......a positive sign he is in top form

8  Ambassy   rocket will attempt to wire with a good speed rider aboard and a trainer who wins many a race with speed types


race 7    slightly above average clarity

4  Logical Smile   chased a nasty pace at today's distance and still held on for the win in her last....on or near the lead here in what looks like a good spot for a horse who seemingly has the controlling speed in the race....filly gets weight off and the fave gets weight on as compared to their last race

1  Norvsky   consistent sort is in top form but has to overcome a solid weight shift and a potential for an unfavorable pace scenario

5  Nahem   strong run 2 back....need that race today to compete against our top 2 picks


race 8    average clarity

6  Smil'n From Above   not the best of trips in debut last....cleaner trip with the same effort/energy and she should be tough

11  Favorable   claimed for 50K runs for 20K.....Mitchell/Garcia team has won 6 of their last 9 as a team

5  Wicked Trip   on the right end of the learning curve and has never worked faster...improving trend should continue

2  Warrens China Doll   new sire has been a bust so far but this 1ster is working awfully well for this bottom level maiden claimer....danger here

4  Love The Lioness   in debut race 2 back this mare got beat by less than 7 lengths which wasn't bad considering she had a brutal trip.....bombed in last but freshened up....might rebound and if she rebounds with a good trip she can compete at astronomical odds 

12  Rags For Ben   big awakening in last......can a very low percentage conditioner keep the filly in the same form ?





Posted on June 23, 2011 at 10:14 am by brian · Permalink
In: Free Information