
Hollywood for Monday 4 July 2011
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I have been rather proud of this week's handicapping and feel rather good about finishing things off with some more fireworks.
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race1 average clarity
4 Alexandria Marie  last 4 races fit and that consistency and the fact she is trained by a top conditioner make her the one to beat
2 Takethemoneyandrun  not earning enough to pay the bills so takes a logical drop to starting earning her keep and live uo to her name
7 Warren's Peacock  very significant route speed.......turn back to one turn.....shot to wire for his new trainer
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race 2Â Â Â average clarity
2 Lorenbray  solid sprint breeding and a solid work series especially for the level....Muhall is quite good with mc 1sters
6 Roman Chic  filly has been laid up since Oct. but she is training great for her return to the race wars.......and the trainer wins quite often off of extended layoffs
5 Birthday Time  needed last off of a long hiatus from the track.....works since suggest she came out of the race in good shape and we will see more today
4 Huntington Harbour  lone race last Fall looks solid here but owns a work regiment that is somewhat suspect or would have been rated higher
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race 3Â Â Â average clarity
5 Sparkling Style  vet scratch in May but works suggest she has rebounded....controlling speed in this spot
3 Screaming Eagle  consistent sort fits solidly here and is route fit with is usually a good thing when trying to stay the extended 1 turn 7 1/2 furlongs
2 Bench Glory  won her debut into the world of racing and did it with a bad trip......shot if she builds off of that effort
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race 4Â Â Â average clarity
4 The Whammer  horrid trip in last and still won....better on the grass then she appears in print
5 Get Funky  sure appreciates the 6 furlong grass races at Hollywood.....should be prominent from the get go
6 Bradium  lost to toughie in last......same price and same connections....should also be prominent from the start
3 Cayambe   needs to make a rebound of sorts...last might have been a gimme for today's go.......hard to tell
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race 5Â Â Â average clarity
8 Naturalist  solid 2nd with a large gap to 3rd in a fast heat....5 furlongs looks like a good fit
7 Creston Cowboy  believe Rosario will try to sit off what looks like a solid pace......what we need to see is his debut run 3 races back
6 Papason   Mandella isn't exactly a mc 1ster type trainer but this colt sure is training well enough to be ready today.....trainer has won only 1 of his last 12 mc 1st timers but it was a big price and today's jock was aboard
5 Blind Magic  last was horrid but new trainer and a solid recent drill...might be poised for a rebound
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race 6Â Â Â average clarity
2 Samba School   should once again get the trip on or near the lead in what should be a very reasonable pace
5 Bab At The Bowster  once again looks loose with a soft pace and should stick around longer with a much more impressive work tab under his belt this time around
1 Attar Of Rose  deep closer is training sharply but will need more pace up front than anticipated to put in her best late kick
3 Elegant  best route turf effort ever in last but seemingly not the best of spots for a closer
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race 7Â Â Â slightly above average clarity
7 Izshelegal  finally spotted where she was impressive...sprints....and she is in a MSW not a Stakes race......powerful late kick in one turn affairs
3 Glamorista  works say all systems go for this expensive 4 year old 1ster of Mr. Bob Bafferts
8 Valeria  unimpressive work tab before MSW debut on the grass....OK run legging up on the muscle building sod....fast works since....hmmm.....you think we have a little more horse today?
2 Forever Nada  strong debut 3 back...acted up in the gate next out and ran a clunker.....solid run in 3rd out....training best ever....sitting on a good race if she behaves
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race 8Â Â Â slightly above average clarity
6 Celtic Princess  continues to train like Avila has the trump card for this mare....owns speed in a race that seems set to hold in favor of those near the front
4 Wild Mia  extremely consistent filly and the barn and the jock have been hot of late
5 Givine  good miler overseas and more importantly had the lead in many of those races.....only one other in here with speed....our top pick
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race 9Â Â Â average clarity
11 Shane Danield  good history with short rest both for the horse and trainer....takes a significant logical drop
8 Melo Laser  trainer is solid with maiden claimers.......blistering 5/8ths work at Slr seems to have this gelding all set for today's abbreviated 5F affair
9 Thunder Ali  work series (mostly away from Hollywood) is better then most players will realize
7 Brother Ernie  needed last and it was better than it looks......back quick for a little fireworks this afternoon
6 Another Bertrando  drills are good enough to make this first time starter dangerous
5 Onebadboy  debut race run in mid April is good but the work series since isn't or would have rated higher
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