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Del Mar for Wednesday 20 July 2011




Today is our 4th time we have given out a longshot on days that we have a price shot in a race where he did not qualify as one of our top 2, 3, or 4 selections. The 1st one ran 3rd at 41 to 1 and the 3rd one won Sunday at 68 to 1 making for a tremendous day for many of you. Starting today any such potential longshot will be listed under the race that he is entered.


race 1    average clarity

5  Big Business   definitely on the right end of the learning curve......only horse to wire on June 18th and the pace was fairly decent for the given since suggests he's feeling good

1  Eye On Jacob   has done little wrong in 5 lifetime starts.......should be on or near the lead from the get go with a ground saving trip

7  Price   exits a solid 7F fast heat in last loaded with talent so beaten by 5 was Ok.....1 for 1 on the Dmr synthetic is a big plus

4  Times Gone By   O'neill  can be very dangerous at Dmr on opening week.....claimed and now dropped and switches to the main track.....difficult horse to decipher


race 2    average clarity

1  One Nation   excuses in last 2 races (too far-bad trip) and now drops and faces softer......race lacks speed and he has some with a rider that likes to be up close in routes

8  Battle School   drops a significant notch and owns enough early speed to sit in a good up close position in an affair that seems set for front runners

5  Red Scare   good spot for blinkers on to sit closer.....sure like the way Sutherland has been riding

2  Isle Of Prado   long overdo drop to start earning his keep and pay a few bills....closer will need more pace than anticipated to put in his best late run


race 3    average clarity

7  Sir Ed   last sure appears to be a gimme for a full throttle go today....strong effort/fig 2 back the day O'Neill claimed

6  Regroup    clunker in last........needs effort 2 back......closer seemingly gets ample pace up front to flatter his late kick

1  Devour   late runner should receive the aforementioned solid pace he needs to possibly devour them in deep stretch

4  Giuseppe G   Emd invader might be the speed of the speed......trainer has a solid record with shippers


race 4    average clarity

7  Weemissfrankie   best set of works for a 1ster from Eurton in quite some time.....just paid $175K 2 months ago so they pretty much knew what they were getting

10  Cha Cha Latte   solid debut running 2nd in a fast heat.....Walsh is solid with 2nd timers

4  Lady Fairbanks   good MSW debut and Dollase is much better usually the 2nd time out of the box

1  Mia Isabel   another with a good MSW debut and few reasons not to believe she can't fire another good or perhaps better effort


race 5    slightly below average clarity

8  Correspondent   well proven on the lawn and it looks like the shorter 1 mile distance is a good fit.....filly has been a little flat past the 1 mile mark in her last 2 longer affairs

10  Simply Carina   also well proven on the sod and should appreciate the cut back in distance....not the easiest of posts but a clever rider aboard

6  Honey's Prize   good turf sprint in last and wheeled right back in 10 days in a one mile affair....bred just fine to handle the distance.....seems well meant

9  Born Lucky   showing some life sprinting on the well for 1st ever on the sod.......decent pedigree to handle it and the 1 mile distance.....3rd straight ride from Gomez is a plus

Longshot Possibilities:    3 California Heat   improving sort has the 10 lbs. off apprentice up who surprisingly has handled the grass fairly well so far...filly might sit close early and that combined with her recently improved endurance gives her some shot 


race 6    average clarity

6  Get My Fix   exits 2 consecutive solid lower level claiming races that fit fine fig/effort wise in this spot....trainer is doing fairly well breaking into the Cal racing scene in 2011

2  Domonation   seems like a logical overdo drop......has only earned 15K so far in 2011......should fit fine at today's level

3  Me Salty   improving sort just popped a solid 2nd best of 25 drill on the Dmr surface suggesting he likes his newest synthetic experience

9  Ominous Thomas   outstanding trainer in Pederson 1st out after a claim.....freshening up his new colt with a nice series of works...sure says all set to put in good showing


race 7    average clarity

4  Cayanna   race seemingly sets up for her closing style.....all 4 lifetime sprints on the AW fit well in this spot

9  Fullbridled's Sis   history with the blinkers on and 6F has yielded 2 wins and 1 2nd from 3 races

1  Queenie Marini   mid pack consistent sort seemingly gets ample pace up front

7  You Can Dream   another consistent late horse trainer has sure done a nice job managing his only horse


race 8    average clarity

3  Mr. Commons   faced better (albeit on the main track) in last couple races......lone turf race was a sprint and it was a stellar effort....excellent work series especially for Shirreffs who doesn't push them too hard in the mornings

2  Burns   strong forward move in latest for this improving gelding....that race fits fine and any better would make him as dangerous as our top choice

1  Akkadian   good post and a good rider.....colt has done little wrong in 4 lifetime grass races....1st time blinkers and that is usually a good thing for Canani

5  Moment Of Weakness   needed last and likely to move with a very good trip might get the job done at a big price


race 9    slightly below average clarity

2  Indy Ride   very solid forward move in last and proven on the Dmr AW....trainer and rider have teamed up for some nice recent wins

4  Whirling Thunder   1st time Mitchell is ever so dangerous especially on the drop down in rider/trainer combo as well

8  Gilligan   Mitchell charge is going for four in a row.....would have rated higher if this race was at Hollywood a track the 4 year old gelding loves

9  Racketeer   claimed in last and his new trainer runs him long......last 2 route races (one lat June and one last Oct) are much better then they appear on paper....does tend to hang but Rosario is the best I've ever seen at getting hangers to pass when it counts


race 10    slightly above average clarity

10  Ignited   showed strong pace on a suspect inside in last and still held on for 3rd......drops and in for 18K taking the 2 lbs off....big intent....same horse as last with a good trip wins

2  Omega Storm   clunker in last....layoff run 2 back is solid for today's mdn20K level

12  Don't Stop Ridin'   1st timer is working well enough to be ready into his debut into the wonderful world of thoroughbred racing

5  Gahnzo Bob   if this race was on the grass I'd say go to the windows.....but on the AW this MSW dropper has a little more to prove...still very dangerous as most Cal MSW drop downs into claiming are

3  Fairfax Lion   Palma is lousy with 1st timers usually but the works are too hard to ignore with this 1st starter

4  You Little Devil   1st out is decent....2nd out not so hot






Posted on July 20, 2011 at 10:34 am by brian · Permalink
In: Free Information