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Santa Anita for Monday 10 October 2011

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Rather difficult card to decipher but as I stated on October 2nd (which turned out to be a great day) I put in plenty of effort into breaking the races down. In fact the study time on cards like this is often much longer. Good luck, we may need it. Be back with you on Thursday.

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Tiz Gianni   trainer has been fairly hot and so has the jock.......all signs point to this colt appreciating the 1 1/8 mile distance

2  Maestro   strong stretch runner likes ample time between starts and Shirreffs shows patience and gives it to her

4  Cook Inlet   solid 1st ever on the sod in latest.......can sit close to the front in an affair without a lot of speed in it

5  Channel Surf   improving sort hasn't run since late July but is training as if he is returning ready...retains Bejarano

 

race 2    slightly below average clarity

9  Lady Sweetness   OK runner fresh and takes a logical drop to get back to the winners circle

1  Sixtysix Margaux   invader was on the improve before being laid up for awhile....returning with a very sharp work tab...sure seems ready

7  All The Love   gimme last and drop and go go go for a hot trainer of late

8  Stormy Linda   dangerous speed type hoping to move forward 2nd out after the layoff

 

race 3    slightly above average clarity

4  Secret Circle   very impressive hand ride to break MSW at 1st asking....training as if the switch in surfaces won't be a problem......Baffert appears to have another good youngster

3  Panettone   overcame a lousy trip to still break his MSW in his lifetime debut.....lot's of speed in this and he proved he can close......dangerous

2  A Toe By Three   after catching 2 stellar fields this colt won for fun in a fast run Mdn80K claiming affair......needs to avoid a possible nasty early duel

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Long Face   lost about 7 lengths in a rough journey in a Stakes race at Mth...it was her debut run....back versus maidens and training sharply for his 1st endeavor in sunny Cal

3  Special Charm   solid 1st ever on the grass in 2nd lifetime race....positive rider switch to Mr. Garret Gomez

4  Hannah G   good tune-up on the AW in debut last.....trainer is significantly better with 2nd time starters.....pedigree is fine to handle a mile on the sod

8  Cascina   improving sort....good spot for jock to wake up as he has the controlling speed in the race if he can break and get over some by turn 1

 

race 5    below average clarity

6  Roman Charity    tepid top selection in a seemingly wide open affair.....hidden sort just had 2 straight impossible trips on the bullring at Fpx....has tactical speed and this race lack front runners

4  Dave's Revenge   bit of a goof but I think she prefers 1 turn races and seldom gets to run in them....good recent work tab

1  Indiara   doesn't set up too well for her late running style but the works for her new trainer are way too good to ignore....might fire best in quite some time

7  Lauren C   mare has only missed the board once in 8 starts on conventional dirt......good history fresh and good preparatory works

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Welcome Home Ryan   runs well when up close and he should be here.......sharp work tab especially for Carava

1  Fifth Dimension   my guess is this gelding is ready off of the 2 month layoff...if so his post and ability should make him a factor for the top prize

7  Nahem   believe Gomez is up in a positive rider switch to take back so that this gelding doesn't flatten out late as he so often does sitting close up

9  Bronster   solid wake up in last.....will need same effort/energy and a clever ride from Rosario who has a solid history with this 3 year old

Possible longshot:  5 E Z Led   live longshot is 2 for 2 when Quinonez has ridden winning by 5 and 7 lengths......yikes......lone grass race which was his last race was better than appears on paper

 

race 7    average clarity

11  Teddy's Promise   solid runner with ample time between starts and gets it.....only race she ran at 6 1/2 furlongs was a 7 length victory

6  Technicality   Mth invader did little wrong in lifetime races.......sharp 5/8ths bullet drill on the SA surface just 5 days ago says all systems are go

7  Liam   good move forward in 2nd lifetime start....4 lbs off today and Bejarano sticks around

5  Judicious   Knapp has done a nice job with this filly since he claimed her......P Val/Knapp have made for a good combo the last few months....dangerous and probably at a price

 

race 8    average clarity

4  El Gato Malo   in very similar form when this gelding ran a solid 4 1/2 beaten lengths down the hill in the 2009 BC turf sprint....effort was better than it looks...shot to upset at a price

6  California Flag   looks loose here and this horse who would have clobbered this field a few years ago is showing hints that he might be on the rebound

7  Camp Victory   mid pack runner is very sharp but is high weight giving all 5 lbs or more....still very dangerous especially if the slumping Talamo finds his old self today...sure didn't yesterday

1  Al Instante   6 of 8 lifetime on the grass and 6 lbs off....jock likes to save ground and if he does here then this one's chances increase

 

race 9    average clarity

2  Got Even    no shot in last, bad trip.....previous 3 very solid for today's lower level

6  Gannicus   solid awakening in last for time ever on conventional dirt.....takes a logical drop as he has run for m40K two races back

8  Tropiluk   last looks like a needed MSW debut run to tighten up and drop into maiden claiming affair and be competitive

3  Captain Magic   small but capable barn sends out a 1ster who is training up to snuff to possibly be ready in his debut into the wonderful world on thoroughbred racing

13  Jeffery's Pride   horse fits fine at this level and would have been 2nd pick if not for such a difficult post

5  Mustache Charlie   bet hard in mc debut last and bombed.....gets another shot with blinkers off and a couple of decent drills on the SA surface

 

 

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