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Santa Anita for Sunday 16 October 2011



Very difficult card to decipher especially in the early going. Four of the first six races are rated less than "average clarity".


race 1    slightly below average clarity

5  Fog Alert   last win came turf to dirt on the drop.....same scenario here

4  Guiding Hand   on or near the lead here....speed continues to do well even with the drop in temperature

3  Balboa Bay   solid race run on the SA surface fresh off of the bench last Feb....fresh today and training well..... good shot to sit close up early


race 2    slightly above average clarity

2  Gatheratthealter   tons the best in last winning despite a very wide trip......hasn't missed a beat in the morning since....good shot to repeat

1  Best Logic   2 for 2 on conventional the fact this gelding won those races in 2 turn 7F races at Fpx....only 1 more furlong to get here

4  Rhythm   consistent sort was just claimed by Mitchell......nice works series...drops...should be tough once again


race 3    below average clarity

3  Fly Solo   no grass experience down the hill for a full field of 2 year old maiden fillies....yikes....tepid top pick has a decent run under her belt and is training well....good grass pedigree

5  She's A Minx   good move forward in 2nd lifetime run.......average breeding for the sod

1  Kilted Tilt   monster fractions on the synthetic in MSW debut........tough post but very fast....might be loose on the lead with OK turf pedigree

11  Bella's Fantasy   nasty post especially for a debuting MSW but she has sharp works and solid turf breeding and a great conditioner

Possible Longshot:  4  Willow Switch   full brother to this filly ran solidly back in 2008 for Abrams in his  Mdn80K pattern suggests this 1ster is ready as well


race 4    slightly below average clarity

4  Devils Afleet   great spot if this laid up invader is ready fresh off the bench because this looks like a soft bunch

6  Dee Dee's Legacy   wide trip in last to snatch 3rd.......faced 2 very stout individuals who went 1-2 in last....easier here

3  Joyful Success   finally back in shorter rest....might fire more today like he did on Apr 28th

5  Mark Of A Warrior   last 2 wins fit fig wise but not so crazy about 1 dull work since new trainer snatched at the claiming box


race 5    slightly below average clarity

6  Forever Nadia   solid run on the SA surface in MSW debut last March.....fresh once again and never trained better......barn has been very ready with it's laid up runners the last couple of months

4  Blazing Along   Steiner gets a "bone" from Baff just like Medina did......competitive sort can be prominent from the get go

8  Eula B.   very reliable trainer in Hofmans when he shows strong drills for a 1st timer like he does with this filly

1  Ava Pie   Mandella has put speed and endurance into this 1st timer which hints he is ready to roll 1st out of the box with this youngster


race 6    slightly below average clarity

3  Handsome Mike   useful MSW debut back in early much better now.....good sprint turf pedigree

12  Blueskiesnrainbows   nasty post but owns good early foot so has a shot to clear.......nicely bred to handle the sod

7  Exultant   solid works for this Sadler 1st timer who is bred just fine to handle the grass

9  Very Unusual   decent drills for this 1ster as well.......superior grass breeding......dangerous


race 7    average clarity

4  Quality Elusive   Knight takes over an improving youngster who should be able to get the mile........great shot to sit close up......positive rider switch

1  Senor Rain   last 3 races fit well in at today's lower level.....rank/unsettled early in last 2....blinkers off to try and cure the problem

5  Officer Jones   nice win in 2 turn sprint at Fpx........solid work since....1st long but is proven around 2 turns....that's half the battle

8  Warren's Clyde   only impressive race is with short rest.....short rest today


race 8    average clarity

8  Tales In Excess    doubt we get 20 to 1 but might be double digit odds............ran a solid mile turf race as a 2 year old....controlling speed here is possible....very sharp in the am....might be sitting on best ever

 1  Bauble Queen   good post for this improving sort.....last fits solidly at it was at today's distance.....can sit fairly close up and save ground

4  Celestial Kitten   very sharp recent grass drill....will be motoring late especially if we get more early pace than anticipated

2  Sarah's Secret   needs to rebound.....should get a good trip.......tough call


race 9    average clarity

7  Tap It Twice   big fig/efforts/energy with blinkers off....they are off today

3  Kvell   race lacks speed.....decent shot to get away early

2  Warren's Assassin   weak time in last but finished the 2 turn 7F well...that should help get the 1 turn 6 1/2 today....nice recent 5/8ths drill on the SA surface

8  Mollie's Wild Cat   not much in debut.....but solid drills at SA hint at a surprise wake-up today

9  Ansede   

5  Candy And Nuts


Posted on October 16, 2011 at 10:36 am by richs · Permalink
In: Members Area