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Hollywood for Friday night 18 November 2011
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Yesterday I stated that I liked the grass races for Thursday and Friday. Good start yesterday winning the lone grass race carded. Our top pick won impressively and made for a COLD double of $31.40 with Kettle Corn.
This evening all 3 grass races look good. Hope the grass races carded tonight can bring home some more green.
race 1Â Â Â slightly below average clarity
9 Smokey Lake  bad trip in last hides a good forward move.......rider needs to get things going....good place to start right here
7 Miss Bold Topper  only race at Hol is fairly solid.......exits a very fast heat of bottom level maiden claimers in last....pedigree is good to get the 7F
8 Nana Beach  consistently tries hard but loves to hang in the stretch.......not sure will avoid flattening out some at 7F....but does face a soft looking bunch
5 Chaturunga  few signs of a rebound but way better on the AW.....that might be the catalyst for an awakening of sorts
Long-shot Possibilities:  4 Whole Enchilada  had about 7 lengths of trip trouble in last and got beat by 7 3/4 in last at 71 to 1
race 2Â Â Â average clarity
6 Girls Lacrosse  exits a fast heat versus better and only got beat by 6.......1 for 1 at today's distance.....showed she can handle the Hol surface last summer
7 Portfolio  likes the distance of 7F.......does well for Espinoza.......race 2 back is solid here if she can duplicate the effort
3 Benecia  7F appears to be a good fit.....so does Pedroza who seems to have gotten the most out of this filly.....lone race at Hollywood is better than appears in print
1 Magic Mama   sat too far off a soft pace and then checked on the turn hard......basically no chance to close after that considering the soft pace up front......continues to train like an animal in decent form
race 3Â Â Â slightly above average clarity
2 Global Domination  lone race on the sod was good and it was at Hol and at 6F........good 2nd to a very good horse in last which was on the AW.....brilliant works since....all set for another 6F turf run tonight
5 High Test  exits a very fast heat at SA on the dirt....good works since and good grass pedigree.....should be very formidable if fires as big on the sod as he did on the main track
4 St. Sincere  1ster is training as though he is ready at 1st asking........turf breeding is fairly good......better be a good one to compete with our top 2 selections
6 Vader  mom's tossed 4 grass winners....works seem to suggest he is debut ready......better be a good one to compete for the win here
race 4Â Â Â average clarity
2 Meter Me Gone   just fired best ever on conventional dirt......and now she gets to run on her favorite synthetic......(6 2 2 2) at Hol......love the step up in claiming price......horse is feeling good
5 Mama Jake  faced a key field 2 back and then faced a very key field in last earning a solid fig on the bullring at Fpx.......sharp series of works suggests she is ready fresh and has run fresh in the past at Dmr.... should be in the hunt early
7 Mizzen Donald  very consistent sort/record on main track surfaces........owns decent speed in this spot.....should be in it from the get go
3 Tribal Beauty  solid wake up win on the mud at SA in last......tough call how that translates to running back on a radically different surface today.......still dangerous
race 5Â Â Â slightly above average clarity
6 Celestial Kitten  very powerful figs here in this fnw.....last win came when not in a Stakes race.......1st time going 1 1/4 seems to be the only question mark
3 Thisismystage  did little wrong on the grass since the blinkers were taken off.........proven at the 1 1/4 distance which is 1/2 the battle
4 Skinny Genes  keeps stepping up the "class" ladder and does once again....good trainer and rider sure are getting high on the horse....dangerous
1 Born Lucky  consistent sort seems at her best with 5 to 6 weeks between races and gets it
race 6   below average clarity   wide wide openÂ
7 Siempre Esperanza  both races/efforts at Hollywood fit well versus today's field......won maiden debut at 1st asking and at Hol...so.....fresh off of the bench with a decent work tab seems like a good thing
4 Wild Cat Lore  good history with the blinkers on.....toss out last.....didn't care for the mud at SA
6 Russian Bayou  declining sort will need to rebound.....tough call......might be overbet
8 L'enchanteresse   consistent but hangs hangs hangs
Long-shot possibilities:    3 Fast Mobile  looks very loose so dangerous    2 Cookinthisorthat  looks set up for today....crushed by more then 5 last time saw the Hol synthetic
race 7Â Â slightly above average clarity
1 Al Insante  incredible amount of speed up front can set things up this 7 for 10 on the sod late running sprinter.....new jock Berrios sure rides late running sprinters well
7 Compari  5 for 8 on the sod and 1 for 1 at the distance on the grass....laid up but work tab and history says he will be ready fresh
8 Mr. Gruff  also 5 for 8 on the sod....and also proven fresh.......will need to avoid being caught wide in a nasty pace.....think best to take back like jock did in return to the races at SA in March of 2010
2 A Jealous Woman  4 for 5 on the sod and 2 for 2 at Hol and at tonight's distance.......can sit mid pack and fly late.....long layoff but training as if all set to roll fresh
race 8Â Â Â slightly below average clarity
7 Rockin Harbor  last looks like the gimme to drop to lowest level ever and be at a full throttle go for tonight's race
4 Centenario De Oro  best work tab of any of the 1sters and next exactly facing a field loaded with proven stout runners
2 Stubborn Streak  training up to snuff to possible be ready for his debut into the wonderful world of S California thoroughbred racing
6 King Of Rap  might be ready at 1st asking.....trainer/rider recently scored with a longshot
15 Lincecum  in OK form and best ever was his lone start on the HOl racing surface.......sharp sharp recent work.....far outside post but owns enough early speed a clear many and maybe all
8 Del Mar Johnny  not much endurance especially on the AW but might get loose and with P Val in control of things
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