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Hollywood for Sunday 18 December 2011


As you can see I changed things up for today's race card because of the large carryovers and the mandatory payouts in both the pick 5 and the pick 6. It is a very tough card as well. I pretty much listed any horse with a reasonable shot in order of preference. We have both large and small players as customers and I hope this aids everyone.  Note:  5 and 6 look awfully tough in the 3rd. 1 looks tough in the 4th. 1 and 2 look very solid in the 7th. 2 and 7 might get you by the 8th. 3, 9, 11 might get you by the 10th.

Also, on a side note, for now races will have only above, below or average clarity


race 1    below average clarity

3  March Mary    2 straight powerful wins.......smartly claimed and steps up a notch.....needs to avoid a nasty speed duel with the 6 and possibly others....has won from just off the pace

5  For You My Heart  big effort 2 races back....blinkers off to take back most likely which should be a good thing here

2  Smokey Lake

6  Chocolate Caliente


race 2    below average clarity

5  Times Gone By   race 2 back is stellar......last wasn't too shabby either....but the strong run 2 back is what we want

2  Willyconker   never sharper and the iron is hot for O'Neill especially when Bejarano is up

3  Where's The Remote

1  Tamarack Smarty

4  Hog's Hollow


race 3    above average clarity

5  Eden's Moon   tremendous Hollywood works for a two year old filly 1st starter even for the likes of Mr. Bob Baffert

6  Chloe W   ran 2nd to Killer Graces in debut run which was in a 70K Stakes race....fresh once again and this time gets to face MSW's

2  Miss Communication

1  Flashy Dame


race 4    above average clarity

1  Russian River    whole career on the sod is solid in this spot....rider owns 3 wins and a 2nd in 4 lifetime rides on this mare.....and....that Mitchell guy trains

5  Entabeni   trainer has been putting speed into this mare and now sends her long in a race without much speed in it.....rather decent figs/efforts at 1 mile on the grass

2  Vikkilee

6  Party With Brando


race 5    average clarity

7  I Will Follow   done little wrong in 2 lifetime starts winning last and running 2nd in a key race at GG in maiden debut......trainer has had a nice summer and fall

6  Gotham Kinights   not that many true sprint closers in here but this colt is and gets a good rider on late running sprinters in Bejarano

4  Atta Boy Pete

1  Joyzey Billy


race 6    average clarity

6  Dot's Mark   very nice awakening in last 1st time with blinkers.....back to the grass where she has shown  she can handle it.......trainer is quite good 2nd out after the layoff which is today's scenario

1  Alala   trainer is hot and this filly is in good form but she has a tendency to hang in the stretch.....blinkers on today to help her focus straight ahead and maybe finish with gusto

4  Lucyvic  

8  Rolling Tide

10  Strawberry Bolt

7  Pretty Much


race 7    average clarity

1  His Boy Elroy   work tab strongly suggests  this 2+ years laid up individual is ready to roll and placed to win as Puype could have given him a race in a non-claiming event

2  Creston Cowboy   improved pace and final time in latest and a positive rider switch today...repeat of his last and he will be very solid here

5  Arresting Officer

3  Nuclear Missile

6  Bigbari

8  Wolgan Valley


race 8    below average clarity

7  High Test   won going away in last 1st ever on the sod....that race fits fine here...but his race 2 back run on the SA dirt was a stellar fig/effort....that effort transferred to the turf would make him difficult to beat

2  Industry Leader   3 of 4 lifetime sprints on the main track are quite brillintly for 1st ever on the sod.....pedigree for is is good

5  Mandated Bliss

3  Rauschenberg

6  Battle Lou

1  El Mirage King

4  Howmuchisit


race 9     below average clarity

1  Spud Spivens   gets 6 pounds off and retains Gomez....continues to train as if he is very sharp....route fit.....usually a good thing for these 7 1/2 extended 1 turn affairs

2  Red Defense   has done most everything right so far in his 6 race career......closes well at 6 1/2...... that might bode well for his first ever past the distance

6  Mensa Heat   

4  Mark The Bench

5  Legal Separation


race 10    average clarity

11  One Too Many   what a price shot to end the Hollywood meet if I'm right about this 1ster.......excellent drills at one of my favorite training centers Ttc (along with Fai) trainer Ewing has had her limited stock ready at this meeting

3  Never Shea Never   went off 1 to 1 in mc debut and got tangled up in the early going....Mitchell trainee might got it right the 2nd time around

9  Scream Queen

1  Warren's Morgan

4  Dustin's Magic

7  Silver Threat






Posted on December 18, 2011 at 10:57 am by richs · Permalink
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