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Santa Anita for Saturday 28 January 2012

Win or lose I never get tired of handicapping quality races. That is the case today at majestic Santa Anita. We also handicapped the 3 races at GP that are part of the $1 pick 6. Quite the exciting day of racing.



Here at the picks at Gulfstream for races 8 thru 10 which our part of the GP/SA $1 pick 6

GP race 8    average clarity

5  Romacaca

1  Speak Easy

4  Unbridled Humor

7  Trip For A. J.


GP race 9    average clarity

1  Slews Answer

5  Little Mike

3  Bad Debt

6  Beckham Bend


GP race 10     above average clarity

3  Adios Charlie

5  Turbo Compressor

1  Duke Of Windsor

6  Mucho Macho Man




Santa Anita Selections

race 1    above average clarity

3  Sway Away   laid up but working great......all 3 lifetime sprints suggest he will be solid in this spot

5  Capital Account   just ran 2nd to the sharpest sprinter on the grounds.....should be on the engine from the get go and there isn't a lot of speed in this affair

1  Luckarack   very consistent efforts in sprint races.......jockey upgrade.....hoping for more pace than anticipated


race 2    average clarity

3  Madeoftherightstuf   good chance to be feeling awfully good coming off a layoff run on the grass......fired a big effort turf to AW in 2nd lifetime start....1st on the conventional dirt but bred fine for it

1  Mary Helen's Storm   not sure why the barn made their MSW debut on the lawn because this colt trains exceptionally on the SA dirt....have to like that Bejarano sticks around after a dull race down the hill

8  Goodbye Charlie   showed he fits when last seen running......ran 2nd in a MSW affair in early impressively on the dirt at Tup......same or better seems likely today

9  Soi Phet   Gary Stute has a poor record with 1st timers but then again he has never flashed works like this for a MSW debuting horse


race 3    average clarity

2  Eden's Moon   outstanding 1st ever at a route........and she came trotting home.......thru the years I've noted many horses finishing with a hand ride but very few trotting home.......Baffert appears to have another special horse 

7  Charm The Maker   done things right in all 4 lifetime starts......gets a 5 lb swing in weights to her advantage over our 3rd choice

6  Killer Graces    very sharp right now but she has to give 5 lbs to all in the field and still needs to show she can handle conventional dirt in a race....she sure handles it in the a.m......still a dangerous contender


race 4    average clarity

4  Compari    easily best grass efforts/figs in this spot........should be prominent from the get go

6  MySummer Slew    some chance to have the race fall into his lap if the 2 and the 4 press each other to much.... shot to stalk the pace sitting pretty in 3rd

8  Red Defense   5 wins and 1 3rd in 6 lifetime races at 6 1/2 furlongs or less....still.....he will need lifetime best unless our top choice falters or has a bad trip  


race 5    average clarity

2  Bluegrass Reward   better horse on conventional dirt and just fired lifetime best on the seems logical she might fire best ever on the "dirt" today.....also like the 3 lbs off and that the red hot Talamo rides

5  Holladay Road   last 2 victories came with 6 weeks between races and that is what we have today.........seems pointed for this race which is usually a good thing with a Canani runner

4  Thirtyfirststreet   blinkers back on in last and it sure helped as this colt ran a big race.......that race repeated would most likely win this but Bejarano gets off the horse which hints the big effort might have made this colt fall off some....if not....he is the one to beat


race 6    average clarity

9  Halo Dolly   3 for 3 on firm general a very consistent filly on any surface.....will need to go backwards or have a bad trip not to be formidable versus this field

1  Secret Cove   best race ever was her race 3 back which was run at SA at 1 mile with the turf rails in like today and at 118lbs...repeat of that race with a good trip might upset here

 3  Antares World   has made 4 trips into S Cal for grass Stakes races and only one of those races fit at this level....but it fits well enough to possibly upset our top pick....toss a coin

5  Chokecherymary   just keeps getting better......and better....and better.....and 


race 7    average clarity

4  Jim's No Preacher   put away by a monster in last.......much softer spot here especially for a speed horse

5  RunFlatout   bombed as odds on choice in last 2 races but those efforts do fit here but at much better value

6  Thinking Of Girls   appears to appreciate conventional dirt surfaces....last race at 41 to 1 is very impressive especially considering Brueer claimed this gelding out of a 10K cond. claimer 4 races back 

1  Scofield Barracks   best of the off pace runners will have his fingers crossed that all the speed in this affair goes full bore for the front end


race 8    average clarity

4  Charm The Crowd   last 4 one mile turf efforts/figs are quite strong.....and now we get a rider upgrade....and 3 lbs off

3  Van Brit   laid up since July but Cerin has had this mare ready to roll fresh in the past and his stock has been firing on all cylinders lately....5 for 10 at today's distance

2  Bonita Star   didn't care for the SA hill in last.....back to route where she fits for the 25K level.....last win was the last time Talamo rode

5  Blue Grass Music   very competitive in last 6 for 8 weeks but is training well enough to possibly be ready off of the break in the action

Possible Longshot:  9  Solerina   on the improve with every start in 2011.....1st ever on the sod in last......that race looks like a sprint tune-up to tighten up and be fully ready at a route....1st long but bred to be a good router 


race 9    average clarity

6  Rumor   chased a nasty pace in last and still won going away......Mandella has showed great patience not running this quality horse above her head too early.....that says she should be at her best today for her 1st ever Graded race

 2  Big Tiz   has never missed the board on the main track.....needed layoff last......should be ready for best today 2nd out after the layoff

3  Teddy's Promise   major move forward in last to upset at 16 to 1....same track and same distance......does have to overcome 5 more lbs in the saddle

5  She's Cheeky   often outruns her odds and this laid up filly has never worked better....1st on the conventional dirt is a question mark but her pedigree suggests she should handle it


race 10    average clarity

5  Chickie Charms   3 awfully solid grass races not to have broken her maiden....definitely the one to overcome

6  Our Merv   nice grass race in only start a 3rd place finish at 33 to 1 in GB.....1st time Mitchell and the work pattern suggests she is well meant and ready for her U S of A debut

8  Fable Heaven    good grass pedigree and sizzling drills for this 1ster....trainer wins with about 1/3 his 1st timers

3  Risky Reward   very dangerous trainer with grass aren't too bad for a 1st timer....trainer is 2 for 2 at the meet

4  Declan   Kruljac is very dangerous with 2nd time the breeding to handle the sod

2  The Roan Ranger   1st turf was decent....will need to move forward....fits if he does




Posted on January 28, 2012 at 10:13 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information