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Hollywood for Friday 23 November 2012

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After six consecutive solid days to start the Hollywood Fall meet we have stumbled the last three. Good chance to get back on track today with a good card. Also, I have studied 1/2 of Saturday's card and those 5 races look good as well.

Best of luck as always!

 

 

 race 1    average clarity

1  Over Africa   laid up for over a year but sure is training like a vastly improved animal 1st time as a gelding and with the blinkers off

6  Hodge   off since April but lone race on the Hol AW is solid.....like our top pick he has been gelded since his last and sure is working like the ultimate equipment change has done some good

5  Clear   only true deep closer in this field of six.......another laid up horse who is well placed to score and training well

 

race 2    slightly above average clarity

9  Sugar Spice   sure looks like a nice claim by Belvoir......filly flashed very solid pace in debut and since has trained exceptionally well for her new conditioner

5  Scary   Hollendorfer is stout with maiden claiming 1st timers and the works for this 4 year old 1ster are as good as I have seen for a mc 1st timer of Hollendorfer's in quite some time

3  Barely Been Kissed   not much in last on conventional dirt.......debut 2 back on the AW is better but still this Puype filly will need a strong forward move to win this

7  My Netanya   drills look good enough that this 1st timer of Miller's might be able to compete for the win in her debut into the wonderful world of thoroughbred racing

 

race 3    slightly above average clarity

4  Kindle   powerful fractions on the grass in latest which was her 1st time on the green stuff....cut back of 1/2 furlong seems very significant....wire to wire attempt here

3  Broken Dreams   Gomez gets the most out of this Proctor mare.......the Hollywood grass seems to be her favorite turf course....and she is ultra consistent at 6 to 6 1/2 furlongs

5  Journalist   Argentina invader is working well for Sadler and the early solid works suggest she was training elsewhere and sent to him rather fit......4 wins in last 5 races in ARG and 3 of those wins were by 4 lengths or more.....danger city

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Disarm   solid races 3 of 4 lifetime starts......continues to work like a happy healthy sort......Talamo has options as this Sadler runner can run on or off the pace

7  Warren's Rocky   seemingly a nice spot for a late runner as there is plenty of early heat in this affair

2  Romar Success   not much in last two endeavors but both races were at SA....might not have cared for the conventional dirt.....debut race 3 back was at Hollywood and it was solid......might be wake time today for this youngster

6  True Again   races on the synthetic are better than appear in print.....blinkers on and the  recent bullet gate drill suggests they have done some good

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Real Heat    big effort and adjusted for pace and trouble fig 2 races back 1st time at a route.....with that in mind this colt's 1st on the grass in last (in a sprint) seems like a test drive to go 1st long on the sod today....very good grass pedigree

5  Surfcup    Baffert sure has been good of late with debut runners attempting a route of ground on any surface.....works suggest that he means business here this well bred for the grass 1ster

6  Rob's Pal   exits a slow MSW turf route heat....... but....... he was blocked a very long time which  totally compromising his chances.....should have horse left in the tank for today being boxed up and all

4  Alydidit   two straight bad trips in a row hides this one's talent......bred fine to get a route.....1st on the grass is a ? mark.......fits here if he does handle the green carpet

 

race 6    slightly below average clarity

2  Roll Your Eyes   chased a solid pace in last and still won easily going away at the wire......and I sure like the step up in claiming despite being out of jail 1st out after the claim by Carava

3  Yuma Thurman   history for this filly on the AW with blinkers on:  (4 2 1 1).....blinkers on still today

4  Woebegon   drop did wonders for this filly in latest after running against a touch too tough for too long a time......remains at a level she can handle this afternoon

5  Hidden Passion    good work tab for this laid up Cecil filly.......and drops into claiming for the 1st time ever.......sure seems to say her connections mean business this afternoon

Long-shot possibilities:    7   Lia Juliana   solid 6 furlong turf split in a one mile grass race in latest....strong drill since.......back where belongs on the main track......not impossible here and at a price

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Readyforhercloseup   no pace to close into 2 races back.....blocked badly in stretch in last.....should have horse left in the tank for today for this somewhat hidden Richard Mandella runner

5  Corinthian Melody   very strong MSW sprint turf debut....broke a little slow and ran a little wide in a solid heat of MSW runners.....1st at a route obviously but bred just fine fine to handle one....Pender is stout 2nd time grass

3  Dime Piece   par like effort in latest.....4 reassuring works since.....good post and rider......fits fine with a good trip

2  Level Headed   negative......bit short on figs......positive.......a very smooth runner.......dangerous sort if Proctor has improved this level headed well behaved horse since in last

 

race 8    average clarity

1  Changethechannel   very big effort/fig sprint to route three races back.... sprint in last......  route today.......hmmm

6  Golden Production    done little wrong in 5 lifetime races although her conventional dirt races are somewhat better than her AW races or would have been top pick

2  Inner Groove   last 4 wins were the last 4 times that Bejarano rode this five year old.......yikes

 

race 9    average clarity

1  Ultimate Eagle   races lacks speed and speed is this colt's game.....should be loose and tough to catch if Pedroza (who is win-less for the meet) can set a reasonably pace up front

3  Data Link   stout East Coast invader is 3 for 5 at the distance.....and might be able to sit in a decent ground saving distance chase position sitting 2nd or 3rd

7  Temple's Door   on the improve since Mullins took over the training duties last May.......significant weight off today......also might be able to sit about 2nd or 3rd......might be sitting on lifetime best which he will need here

6  Jeranimo   believe the best grass cutter in the field but looks compromised by a lack off early pace......still not impossible here versus softer than he has seem in quite some time

 

race 10    average clarity

10  Ya Wanna Hug   easily best performance ever was her lone race on the AW ......albeit the Dmr AW.....very tough here if she handles the Hol Cushion Track as well

2  My Bashert   decent history with short rest....short rest today and drops.....can be in the hunt from the get go and only has to stick around for 5 1/2 furlongs

4  Raisin' Cain   decent wake in last in her 2nd lifetime start......and the works since suggest she will show even more ability today

1  Ghostly Fever   showed some ability in both lifetime races.....1st time back in short rest today.....shot for best ever this afternoon

6  Courageousandbold    yet to run as well as she trains......still seems dangerous with Sadler as her trainer

3  Ramona's Ride   noteworthy change in riders here to Maldonado who is 3 for 3 for West over the last couple of months........and West has only 5 wins for all of 2012............yikes

 

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Posted on November 23, 2012 at 10:51 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information