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Hollywood for Thursday 6 December 2012

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Average card today and average is fine by me. I am just glad that the moisture should be out of the synthetic and that we are back on the grass. Good chance the track plays even/fair and it won't be so ridiculously slow. 

Best of luck as always!


race 1    average clarity

1  Z Big Apple   won debut like a good thing and then moved forward in 2nd lifetime race in a 7F grade 3 affair.......cut back of 1 furlong seems like the perfect fit.....nice stalking style

5  Mico Margarita   done little wrong in 3 lifetime races at 3 different racetracks.....lone lifetime win came turf to dirt......turf to AW this afternoon

3  Kafister   bit short fig wise but has a shot to get the lead.......and a dried out Hollywood synthetic likely will eliminate the outside  off pace bias we had last weekend with all the rain

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Promiscuoussuances   already best early gas in the field adds blinkers today......good speed pilot and the trainer comes off a red hot week.....gate to wire shot

4  Hout Bay   Hendricks must have the trump card for this filly as he sure has turned her around......yet to hit the board in 3 grass races but 2 two of those grass races are decent

3  Nice Meidel    claim back by Carava who got the most out of this filly when he conditioned her in 2011......he needs to get a forward move out of her and might if he knows a few more quirks about her than the last two trainers did 

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Friends With Macy   very impressive works in August........took a little break and the work regiment isn't as impressive but getting better.......might be rebounding to her August fitness.......only cost 29K so starting her career at the mdn40K level makes sense

3  Senorita Cautelosa   copious 6F works for this 1st timer seemingly has given this Periban runner a solid foundation for her maiden debut.........very sharp drill to finish up her work tab as well......mom has tossed 2 winners from 2 starters and both were able to preciously win at 2

5  Sunflaremust   another O'Neill 1st timer training well enough to possibly be ready to roll in her maiden debut........sure like the last work and it was only 5 days ago.....hints she is sharp when it counts the most.....as in now

4  Consent   little chance to show what she's got in lone start way back in June......broke slow and ran wide in a 5F MSW turf race.......prolonged work tab and drops out of MSW racing.........somewhat dangerous sort

 

race 4    slightly above average clarity

3  Miles Heir   very strong route race at Hol last summer 7F to  1 1/16.........7 1/2 furlongs in last.......1 1/16 today........2 sharp preparatory drills as well

8  Power Series   could have won in last if he didn't have to finish on a dull rail in the stretch and have his jockey drop his whip......and he drops a notch

2  Coluda    looks loose and if he's feeling good he..............might..........go............all..........the.............way

5  Morganouska     fairly consistent sort needs to overcome his tendency to flatten out in the late stretch when it counts the most......maybe 2 months off will have his legs feeling fresh........a big maybe

 

race 5    average clarity

4  A Toe By Three   his worst figs on the grass fit here and his best would be extremely tough to beat unless of course he has a bad trip.......sure like the rise in claiming price as an indication he is doing well

8  D J Dave   laid up since 25 August but he is training as if Mitchell has him ready to roll fresh off of the bench.........3 year old likes the 6F turf configuration at Hollywood .......Talamo knows the gelding well having been on him for all 6 lifetime starts

6  Yes It's Snowing    only been on the sod once and in the 1 mile grass affair this gelding set some good fractions dueling thru 6F and then rightfully tired.......interesting here sprinting on the turf if he wanted no part of being a route runner.........Spawr is quite good 2nd out after claims and that is the case today

7  Eaton Hall   lead type only seemingly gets what he needs here if of course he takes to the grass in his 1st ever run on it......pedigree suggests he should handle it.........loose/Baffert/Martin......scary

 

race 6    slightly below average clarity

7  Swiss Emperor   bit of a dichotomy here........gelding really responded in his last two races with the blinkers on and the strength of the efforts are somewhat hidden.......those two races were on the conventional dirt at SA and would crush these.........on the other hand this Zucker runner has a dismal record on the AW.......1st blinkers AW.......tough call

1  Denny The Great   major awakening in latest.......1st time ever on the front end......most likely full throttle early to grab the front end once again.....seems dangerous if he gets it

9  Suancesong   solid move forward back in 7 days rest 3 races back.......back in micro-rest today.....5 days.....most trainers come up short whenever they attempt to run a horse in very short rest.......but not O"Neill......he scores at about a 25% clip

4  Become The Wind   showed plenty of life after a poor start in lifetime debut and he ran like a horse that should get a route of ground.......trainer is better with 2nd time starters......trainer A. C. Avila is good 1st time at a route

 

race 7    average clarity

6  Fast Bullet   scratched out of a Grade 3 Sunday (Baffert still had 3 others start) to run in this softer spot.......after producing 2 crushing wins in 2 lifetime starts this colt did not embarrass himself (and off of a 1 year layoff) in the B C Sprint.......obvious one to beat here

3  Bench Points   appreciates ample rest between starts and Yakteen shows patience and gives it to this gelding who ran a big effort in his latest...... and....... it rather well hidden in that he was caught wide pressing a strong pace

7  Morning Fog   4 wins and 1 2nd (by a neck) in 5 lifetime starts on main track surfaces........seems to be getting better with every start......stout works at GG......well proven as a successful shipper........dangerous sort

8  Sequoia Warrior   sure appreciates the Hollywood synthetic.....and.....most likely this is the last shot to run on it till spring.......also a good history when today's jock Bejarano has been aboard

Long-shot possibilities:   4  Mckenzies Way    54 furlongs of good looking workouts put in from October 5th to November 24th is a strong indication of a happy healthy horse for his new trainer Mulhall.......colt owns some strong back numbers at Hol at 2 and 3

 

race 8    slightly above average clarity

8  Majestic Jewel   bad trip in latest somewhat hides a solid 1st ever sprint turf run.........seems like Sadler has patiently waited for a route turf filly state-bred MSW race to be carded as she is bred to love going long on the grass.......work series says he has this filly primed and ready

1  Maddog Maddie   decent 1st ever on the grass and 1st ever going long in last......had a nice inside trip from the 2 post so the 1 post likely can produce another good trip by T C Baze who sure is making a great comeback

3  Van Dien Avenue   solid 2nd lifetime start in last.......the race was her 1st ever on the sod......that sprint turf race should prepare her well for her 1st ever turf route which her pedigree suggests she should handle

9  Qiaona   solid races in 2 of her last 3 starts.......1st ever long but she did show she can handle 2 turns when she put in a nice 2nd in a two turn sprint Stakes race at Fpx at 60 to 1......1st on the grass is a bit of a question mark......1st time Bejarano is a plus usually

4  Flaxen Maiden

10  Roust 'em Bertie

 

 

 

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Posted on December 6, 2012 at 8:15 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information