Printer Friendly View Printer Friendly View

Hollywood for Saturday 8 December 2012

[private]

In an effort to gain a little more studying time I will only be giving comments on the 1st 3 selections with one exception and that being any long-shot picks. Not sure if I will stay with this format but I it will exist at least through the Hollywood meeting.

Best of luck as always!


race 1    average clarity

2  Fire In The Wind   solid on the Hol AW between 5 1/2 to 6F.......powerful race in last.....smartly steps up.....a ton if repeats it with only 7 days rest

4  Vaundell   didn't care for dirt in last.......solid hidden effort in previous on the Dmr AW.......in fact all career sprint races on the AW and turf fit here

1  The Whammer   turf tightener and takes a significant overdo drop......dangerous sort

6  My Last Tycoon

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Unsinkable Sam   very solid works especially considering the mdn claiming level for this O'Neill 1st timer.......good rider trainer team is awakening

4  Russel's Run   another training exceptionally well considering the level......trainer isn't very good with 1sters but most of them don't train well.......shot for Oscar Garcia to break the mold here and help forget a tough 2012 where he is still lo0king for his 2nd win

5  Bringon The Wain   Sherlock is only 1 of his last 16 dropping from MSW to maiden claiming.........but other the other hand this gelding ran a very solid significant fig in his only effort at Hol and it was at today's distance

6  Midnight Raven (tie for 4th)

3  Fatboyfrankie (tie for 4th)

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Lamm   ultra consistent sort and he drops a couple of notches which doesn't bother me much as he still is up for $9K more than Hendrick's claimed him for in early August

3  Dynamic Host   seems like a good time to drop this gelding as he is coming off a bad trip effort where he broke slowly and ran wide on an inside day......might score and not be claimed

1  So Elite   finally gets off the grass where he really never showed very much.......and like our top two selections he drops out of 40K to 25K

2  God Of War

 

race 4    slightly above average clarity

7  Willyconker   solid turf sprint prep in latest which was off of the layoff should have this quality 2 turn grass runner primed and fully ready for today.......should get a good mid pack position behind what looks like it will be a very lively pace

3  Akkadian   another who looks to move forward 2nd out after a layoff after a solid fresh effort........fits well he he does 

4  Calimonco   last two times this Sadler charge ran with ample time between starts he fired efforts that fit well at today's level........training well and 10 weeks off qualifies as "ample time"

2  Key Decision

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Tough 'n Dangerous   classic running lines of a horse learning what racing is all about with each and every start.....and latest is better than appears in print........name says it all

5  Master Chef   won 4 of last 5 since the blinkers were put on.........all 5 races were with Talamo up but today he is riding our top choice........but the gelding gets a solid replacement in Leparoux

8  Husband's Folly   laid up Puype runner seems wound up and ready to roll off of a tightly spaced work series.....will be motoring late

1  Arresting Officer  

 

race 6    slightly below average clarity

3  Lady Of Fifty   steadily progressing as a race horse and the recent works are improved over what she has been showing the last 3 or 4 months......believe she is sitting on her lifetime best

6  Charm The Maker   significant rider upgrade back to Gomez who is (4 2 1 1) on this Mac. filly.......also the filly appears to appreciate the AW with 2 wins and one 2nd in 3 lifetime starts on it.......two of which were at Bhp

5  Changethechannel   got away with a soft pace in last loose on the lead on a good speed rail day.......I doubt the race took much out of her.......might have plenty left in the tank for today's significant step up

8  Inglorious

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Appealing Tale   bad trip in MSW debut last.....breaking slow and running wide......earned a strong adjusted for misfortune fig........new jock gets a chance today to smooth her out and get to the circle of joy

9  Flashback   Baffert 1st timer showed a liking to the Hol AW before shipping to SA for the rest of his preparation for today's big day.....works are strong even by Baffert standards......would have been top pick if it wasn't for drawing the outer-most post which is often difficult to break from especially for 1st timers

2  Mentor Cane   very strong works for the likes of John Shirreffs who doesn't often push his youngsters too hard in the a.m.......dangerous sort with a good post

6  Betweenhereandcool

 

race 8    average clarity

2  Klisz   powerful turn move in mc debut win at Kee.........excellent grass breeding.....and just worked a bullet.......new to the scene trainer is good off of layoffs

10  Baby Blake  strong turf route 2 races back and with a much lower % rider on the grass........believe better suited for turf sprints.......6 furlongs on the carpet here

7  Rock Off   poor trip in last getting blocked badly on the turn.....should have plenty in the tank today.......does have to overcome a tendency to hang and a slumping 1 for 53 jock

9  Coyote Road

Longshot:    1  Eric the Ram   jockey upgrade.......good post to pull an upset.....and mid pack runner might get ample pace here to flatter his late run

 

race 9    average clarity

1  Pure Fun   should have won 3 straight if she didn't receive a couple of poor rides on the grass.....powerful one turn mile at CD in last.....sharp trainer ships a long distance.....major rider improvement

6  Executiveprivilege   done nothing wrong in 6 lifetime starts but I'm not crazy about equipment changes for heavy favorites even with a Hall of Fame trainer and my favorite trainer at the controls.....would have been top pick if there wasn't an equipment change

4  Blonde Fog   dangerous Baffert runner crushed the competition by doubt digits in her MSW debut and it was at today's distance....that is quite the feat

5  Midnight Ballet

Longshot:   7  Renee's Titan   vaulted forward in latest her 1st ever running a route of ground......doesn't need too much more today to fit with the top contenders here today

 

race 10    slightly below average clarity

7  Raven's Honor   first time starter is training up to snuff for Asmussen who is quite good with young horse's on the turf

1  Thunder's Rollin'   same as above minus his no. one jock Nakatani who is on our top pick

3  Wind Of Bosphorous    O'Neill 1st time starter is showing hints of some early gas in is work-outs......4 straight gate works to finish work regiment suggest to me he is well meant in his MSW debut

10  Say Oh   strong late run in last his 1st on the grass.....decent drills since.......should show more......not an easy post at 6F on the sod at Hollywood so the jock will need to be clever

2  Cosmic Heat

9  Will True Up

 

 

 

 

 

 

[/private]

Posted on December 8, 2012 at 10:58 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information