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Hollywood for Saturday 15 December 2012

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Today's pick 6 sequence has massive sized fields with nothing remotely close to a reliable "single" so I believe there is a very good chance of a closing day carryover for Sunday which has a mandatory payout and that is often an exciting proposition.

Best of luck today as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Tasty Treat   jock upgrade especially considering the slump Pedroza has been in.......consistent sort on the sod (8 3 3 0) takes a logical drop to score

3  Lasso From El Passo   seems at best when she fresh......fresh today........1 for 1 at Hollywood and it was at today's 6F distance.......last win came the last time this filly was put up for tag

6  Your Special Day   nice improvement 1st out after the Hendricks claim in latest........reassuring drill since.......might move forward and be a major factor if the new trainer has the trump card for this filly

2  Rock U Up

 

 

race 2    average clarity

10  Wild Tony   rather sure this Mulhall 1st timer is ready to roll in his maiden debut off of a solid set of works especially considering the maiden claiming level

12  Monterey Tale   both lifetime races on the AW fit fine here.......jockey upgrade to 1st time Bejarano from the slumping Pedroza........should be motoring late

5  Get Heem   blinkers on and down a level is a dangerous thing for a Mitchell runner who has already showed he can run some at the mdn50K level......lack of a.m. activity is a concern or he would have been rated higher

3  Zippingaroundtown

Long-shot Possibilities:   4  Tribal Money   works are rather good for this 1st timer of Yakteen's who might be ignored at the windows.......seems fairly priced at 12 to 1 or higher

 

race 3   average clarity

9  Swift Eagle   sure seems like the controlling speed in this affair......I believe that Gomez will let the 3 have the lead and he will take his chances making a move somewhere past the 6F mark

5  Porfido   old timer (turns 11 in 2+ weeks) is like the Energizer Bunny.........and he seems at his best at today's 1 1/8th mile distance.....very smooth runner thru-out most of his 47 race career.....step up seems like a very good sign considering his age

7  Te Rapa   fell off a little in his last start.......back to Talamo who has fit this sometimes hard to handle gelding well.......should be in the hunt for the top prize with only a small rebound

3  Rock This Way

 

 race 4    slightly above average clarity

3  Eblouissante   obviously a solid much anticipated winning debut for this 1/2 sister to Zenyatta........visually it was more impressive than the figure that she earned........nice reassuring drill since

4  Include The Cat   in her latest she ran faster than the filly nw alw at 1 1/8th run on the same day.......so this might be a nice claim by Canani who often moves an animal forward 1st out after he snatches a horse.......capable of upsetting our top pick if she does move in the right direction for her new trainer

 

race 5    average clarity

7  Charm Catcher   home-bred 1st timer for McAnally is training as if she is meant and ready for her lifetime debut.......mom sure has been a terrific producer of grass winners tossing 4 grass winners from 5 starters

3  Devious Chic   another 1ster working up to snuff for her MSW debut.....Mulhall has put a solid foundation into her so I doubt she will be short.......like our top selection she is bred well for the green carpet

10  Iconic Spirit   nice MSW debut on the AW........three stout works since..........good grass pedigree.........should fire but she does need to overcome a tough post 

1  Escape Act

Longshot Posibilities:   8  Small Moves   horrid trip in MSW AW debut.........showed pleny of life but had little chance to compete with the trip she had........solid work since......so so grass pedigree for the turf but the trainer does awfully well in races run on the sod

 

race 6    slightly below average clarity

9  Axle   all his career races (5 to be exact) fit here and he is one of the few runners in this weak group with some running style versatility

5  Nate Dawg   checked hard in latest because of a riderless horse or might have visited the winners circle......strong 4F drill since on the SA training track.....might be sitting on lifetime best

1  Crown Over   fell off in last but I find it interesting that Kasparoff worked this gelding at Bhp last week instead of SA where he had been working.....change is usually good when a horse goes a little off form......and.....a positive sign Joe Talamo sticks around

13  Tiz Dynamic

Longshot Possibilities:   3  Ithoughtipaidyou    lead type only gets sizzling hot Maldonado who can work wonders on a cheap speed type.........and speed has been good the last couple of days

 

race 7    average clarity

4  Grandeur   very impressive race in the Hollywood Derby running wide and still flying late for 2nd......1st at 1 1/2 miles but bred and runs like the marathon distance will be right up his alley.....love the 4 lb weight break for a 3 year old this late in the year

10  Kindergarden Kid   has really become a top level turf runner since switching to marathon grass races......also gets the services of one of my favorite grass riders in Javier Castellano

3  Slim Shady   looks like the controlling speed here in what looks like a race that should have a reasonable pace........is capable of rating if need be......an obvious plus

7  Bourbon Bay    tie for 4th pick

2   Optimizer      tie for 4th pick

 

race 8    average clarity

12  Tiz the Truth    what's new?  Baffert with impressive drills for a 1st timer and Bob is winning at a 33 % clip for the meeting.....post is a concern

6  Battled   same as above with the concern for the post

9  Let Em Shine   a.m. work for this Adam Kitchingham 1st starter is as impressive as I can recall for one of his debuting runners in many a moon.......works hint he has some early gas

10  Footbridgerace

Longshot Possibilities:   2  Kochees   work regiment for this Pender 1st timer is showing hints that both speed and endurance has been put into this 2 year old.....should be a price and might be a runner that is ready to roll

 

race 9    slightly below average clarity

3  Dirt Swag   earned a par like adjusted for trouble fig in last with a very wide trip.......seems like every other year Cho has a very good 2 year that gets ignored at the windows......work tab has never been better....primed and ready for the big time

5  Fury Kapcori   very impressive works since a bad trip 2nd running in the same race as our top selection......Hollendorfer has been firing on all cylinders.....bred to be a good one

1  He's Had Enough    both lifetime route races fit well in this spot......and is one of only two runners in the field carrying less weight than his last start.....the other one is our 4th pick

9  Title Contender   owns powerful early speed.....connections will both hoping for Thursday's or Friday's speed favoring surfaces....very dangerous if the track remains the same today

 

race 10    average clarity

4  Wild Side Story   repeat of either one of his last two races make him the one to overcome in this lower level spot.......Puype has been rather hot lately......gelding should be in the hunt from the get go with a good start

9  Improviso   welcome back Clifford Sise Jr........he takes over this 2nd time starter that broke slowly and ran wide in debut and did fairly well to only get beat by 5 for the win.......better start and a small move forward and danger city here at a price

5  Prized Buck   big 2nd in mc debut (at 98 to 1 and we gave him out as a long-shot play) and then fell off some in last.....fits fine if he rebounds to his debut effort this afternoon

2  Bandini's Rogue

12  Bull Time

10  Stormin Arvin

Long-shot Possibilities:   3   Dynagain   awfully decent work tab for this 5 year old whose only races that fit fig wise are 2 turf route races......but as I said his works suggest he can run some and the meets leading jock (who has a very sharp agent)  sees fit to ride him

 

 

 

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Posted on December 15, 2012 at 9:43 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information