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Hollywood for Sunday 16 December 2012

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Big day for Bejarano yesterday (he is now 3 wins behind Maldonado for the ring title) and he sure has many more quality mounts than Maldonado has this afternoon. Maldonado just 24 hours ago looked like a cinch to get the riders title. Can he hang on. I have a feeling he best win at least 1 race today. We shall see.

 

Enjoy the holiday break. I know I will.

Be back with you on the 26th.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    slightly average clarity

9  Annalili    solid effort/fig in latest routing on the grass.......catches a soft looking field.........coped with the outer-most 8 post in last so that enhances his chances with dealing with the outer-most 9 post today......same good turf jock T Baze up again today 

2  St. Malo's Gate   useful NSW turf route debut in last......good drills since......good post and rider......seems likely to move forward and get a good trip

8  Krazypapaya   good looking work regiment for this Kruljac 1st time starter.......Kruljac is not much with 1st timers on the main track but he is somewhat dangerous when they make their 1st start on the grass

5  Tanquerrey  

Long-shot Possibilities:   4  Little Unusual   horrid trip two back in a 6F turf sprint hides this fillies best (by far) ever.......has been a better sprinter than a router but if she bounces back to her effort 2 back she might be able to handle 1 mile especially if she gets a clean trip

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Streets of Heaven   ultra consistent sort smartly steps up after an improved run in latest........1st time Bejarano and Rafael will be all out to catch Maldonado for the training title today as he sure appears to have more quality mounts than Maldo has

4  Stacy's Hope   deep closer gets two important ingredients to bake today's win.......ample pace.......and a small field........which should thin out traffic troubles for his late kick

2  Urban Hunter   laid up gelding shows up in the Heap barn and Heap has had the best year of his career that I know of.........the a.m. work suggests this 5 year is doing awfully well for his new trainer and will come out firing fresh off of the bench

 

race 3     slightly above average clarity

5  Misdeed   nice 2nd in MSW debut 5 weeks ago......strong very reassuring work tab since........1st long sod race in 2nd lifetime start and that is historically a strong maneuver for Richard Mandella

7  Cinco de Mario   all 3 lifetime grass races are decent but still need a couple of lengths of improvement to be par efforts for an average winner of a MSW affair at Hollywood.......recent works are vastly improved so there is a decent chance we will see that needed couple of lengths today 

6  Gentleman Pete   on the right end of the learning curve and will need for the trend to continue......smooth looking run/stride (good ride by a low % jock too) in his 1st ever grass race and 1st ever route race

3  Dice Flavor

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Sweet Baguette   overdo drop down for this filly who has hasn't earned her keep in 2012.......both lifetime AW races (albeit at Dmr) are very strong for today's level

10  Fabulous Fit   sure is a fabulous fit if still in relatively good health.....but 2nd straight large drop in class is somewhat alarming

8  Twirlybird   back to a more realistic level for this Miller runner.......should be in the hunt from the get go

5  Babeneneau

Long-shot Possiblilities;    7 Taking Form    nowhere 1st out after the claim in last......but.......Cerin has won his 3 of 8 1st out after the claim and he is also very dangerous when he drops a level

 

race 5    slightly above average clarity

3  Mile High Magic   Baffert is stellar when he takes the blinkers off (37% over his last 70 starts) and that is the case here.....1st on the grass but has a decent pedigree for it.......gelding has been 1st or 2nd in 5 lifetime races 6 1/2 F or less

1  Starspangled Heat   terrific late running grass sprinter should be flying late once again......and we get a jockey upgrade to Gomez who has the highest win % at the meeting by a wide margin

7  Senor Rain   highly consistent sort especially in sprints.......awfully good on any surface for an Indiana bred

8  Passing Game

 

race 6    average clarity

12  Cavalla   solid wake up in 2nd lifetime race and now drops some and gets a very positive rider changeider........connections mean business today

4  Janes Ship   another who came to life in her latest in her 1st ever on synthetic........good reassuring works since........same or better seems likely this afternoon

13  Half Moon Gambler  (AE)    showed some life in lone lifetime start back in June.....off since but returns with a very strong work tab......rather sure this O'Neill charge is meant and ready fresh off of the bench if she manages to draw into the field

10  Magic Tux

8  Blazen All Star

 

race 7    slightly above average clarity

4  Corinthian Melody    powerful sprint on the grass in MSW debut 2 races back.......didn't fare so well routing on the turf in last.......back to a turf sprint today........impressive recent 5F drill......and a significant rider upgrade....that'll do

2  Sydney's Darling   laid up turf sprinter is training as if today is a go and not a tune-up.......cut back of 1/2 furlong looks like a good fit

7  Saturday's Girl   solid move forward in last on the synthetic....fits fine if this filly can duplicate the effort on the grass today.......owns a fairly decent pedigree for it

3  Miss Malibu

 

race 8    slightly below average clarity

2  Batti Man   very dangerous speed here if the inside is improved over yesterday.........drop into claiming seems logical as this gelding has yet to win in 6 starts in the USA.....trainer has been rather hot of late

4  Chapman's Peak    only other runner with early gas seems likely to sit in a nice outside stalking position.....should be all out today as this 5 year old horse is 3 for 6 on the Hol AW and 0 for 6 on other surfaces

10 Luckarack    runners with far outside posts circling the field did exceptionally well yesterday........so this often wide talented gelding would love to see the same track today

5  Relentless Heat  (tie for 4th pick)

7  Wall Dance  (tie for 4th pick)

 

race 9    average clarity

9  Surfcup     had a horrendous trip in turf MSW debut last (about 8 lengths of trip trouble) and still managed to break his maiden.....bred just fine to run on the Hollywood AW........should be nicely legged up coming off a grass race for Mr Bob Baffert

5  Fighting Hussar   caught wide and awfully close to the pace in latest and still managed to rattle off his 2nd consecutive AW win.....impressive 6F work since......retaining Bejarano seems significant considering this is a $200K Stakes race......also the trainer has had an outstanding meet

6  Monument   1st two races on the AW weren't all that stout figure wise here.....but the next two races he produced some solid figs on the conventional dirt......back to AW today........tough call if he just got better with time or prefers the "dirt"......we shall see

2  Hazardous

 

race 10    slightly below average clarity

2  Woebegon    just keeps on dropping and winning.......drops again today.......Peter Miller isn't afraid to lose a horse

10  Sea Of Desire   good return to the race wars in latest.......fits well if he builds on that winning effort which was at one claiming level lower

5  Lady Hokulea    new to the scene conditioner looks for his 1st win of the meet on closing day.......so.  ....he drops a couple of levels to get it........he has won 7 of his last 22 with such a move

3  Cupid's Bling

 

race 11    average clarity

1  Madelineispickin   was training well prior to his mc debut and had good support at the windows.......then disaster.....had a very poor trip-a-roo......see you Valdivia.....hello Gryder......hello blinkers.......just worked a very impressive 5F one week ago......might focus and run to his a.m. ability today

13  Hello Stormy   solid wake up in last.....1st time running with relatively short rest.....even shorter rest today.....fits solidly if he repeats his last and gets a decent trip

2  Bwanadada   diminishing with every start.......needs to at least repeat his last effort.....fits fine if he manages that.....and of course he would be quite formidable if he made any kind of a rebound

9  Tiz A Daisy

7  Zenbinetta

12  California Roll
 

 

 

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Posted on December 16, 2012 at 10:50 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information