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Hollywood for Saturday 4 May 2013

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Very interesting card following today's 4th race. Salder has 7 entered as of Friday morning. Rather sure he means business on Saturday. 

Hope you have a very enjoyable day on the biggest day in North American racing by my book.

 

KY DERBY  race 11    average clarity (as Ky Derby's go)

5  Normandy Invasion   powerful late runs in all 4 lifetime route races.......and.......very impressive in the Wood. closing into a very lackluster pace.....working at CD as if she appreciates the surface.......off going is a ? mark as it is for most in this field of 19

8  Goldencents   best races by far of the Derby contenders were put in by this O'Neill runner.......sizzling unsustainable pace 2 back and only lost by 2 1/4 lengths.....and then won the SA Derby in the kind of pace that few can handle and still win at 3......so the question is can Krigger slow her down enough (she can sit off of it if he chooses) to last the 1 1/4.......and/or can she handle an off track if it arises

3  Revolutionary   on the right end of the learning curve and he did a John Henry imitation in the Withers in the way he maneuvered and split horses in late stretch....very game......and a like the pedigree to get the distance

16  Orb   3 for 3 since going on lasix......and 3 for 3 in two turn affairs......impressive wide run to win the Florida Derby.....and gets the red hot Rosario to ride

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Miss Pipa   all three grass races run in 2013 make this filly the one to overcome......good post and a reassuring work tab

5  Spring Bloom   just claimed by Becerra from a top barn.....and he is only 1 of his last 20 1st out after the claim......highly doubt he improves the horse but a repeat of his last would make a top contender......and......Hollywood might be home of the grass course this filly appreciates the most

6  La Zubia   improved steadily in 2012 in France.......so 2nd out after the layoff seems like a good thing for this Simon Callaghan runner......would have selected this filly higher if the race was longer......she has something to prove in races less than 1 1/8 miles on the sod

 

race 2    slightly below average clarity

5  Speedy Vixen   solid adjusted for trouble turf figs in last 2 races and both races were versus better competition............same effort on the AW today with a smoother trip makes her the one to beat

3  Beautiful Spirit   poor trip in mc debut as she did well to run a 5 beaten length 3rd......a ton if she moves forward and gets a clean trip......and of course handles the synthetic

4  Mint Twist   laid up Salder charge has a decent work regiment and takes the ever dangerous sometimes almost magical drop from MSW racing to maiden claiming

9  Sudden Kick

 

race 3    average clarity

6  Power Of Nine   GG invader was just claimed by John Martin who wins at a very high rate 1st out after the claim.....and he has a consistent sort in which to work with.....9 of 10 on the board at the distance and on the AW

1  Woebegon   another just snatched at the claiming box.....two months since she last raced but she seems to be working up to snuff and will be quite stout if she brings her "A game" as she did in her.....and she owns 3 wins....one 2nd.....and one 3rd in 5 races when running for 25K or less.....20K here

5  Tribalicious   Spawr is dangerous 3rd out after long layoffs......so with that in mind it might be: turf sprint......turf sprint....(all muscled up).......drop and go at full throttle on the drop in claiming

7  Cherry on the Cake   (tie for 4th selection)

8  Addendum   (tie for 4th selection)

 

race 4    slightly below average clarity

4  Lake Maracaibo    3 soild 2nd's in 3 lifetime races all on the grass and run last year.........and what an impressive multi-furlong work regiment to get ready of the layoff......6 - 6 - 6 - 7 -6 -7 furlongs put in in an average of 7 day intervals....spell ready

6  Hard Rockin Girl   seemingly tried to rate in last and it didn't work.....race two back set a strong pace and did well to only get beat 4.5L......should be full throttle early here....wire attempt with a top speed jock in the saddle

1  Perfect Package   had her sprint prep and now this Drysdale filly goes long on the grass which was where she most likely was pointed all along

7  Princess Of Pearl

 

race 5    slightly above average clarity

6  Comma To The Top    fits an abbreviated sprint of 5 furlongs ever so well...... and......he has won his last two small Stakes sprints

5  Italian Rules   another who I believe will appreciate 5F as he all seems to be right there at the 5 furlong races in the 6 and 6 1/2 furlong races that he has run

2  Centralinteligence   laid up Ellis 5 year old sure has been stout in races 6 1/2 furlongs or less.......seems dangerous if he is ready to roll fresh off of the bench

3  Ain't No Other

 

race 6    average clarity

7  Macho Dorado   off since Sadler claimed for 25K on 28 Feb. 2013 but he is working like the trainer is all bizz 1st under his guidance........and the horse seems to love the Hollywood AW

3  Toledo Eddie   consistent sort had 12 claims put in on him in last......Miller won the shake and should have this consistent lightly raced 4 year old ready and willing on the double step higher in claiming

1  Mensa Heat   wide trip in last hides a par like effort in last considering today's lower level......West drops claiming price in 1/2 off of a decent work series.....claimed for 32K in here for 20K......cut losses or claim me please?.......gelding sure has desire/talent when right

2  Stoneside

 

race 7   slightly above average clarity

3  Genius   stellar MSW debut 18 months ago and his 2nd start wasn't too shabby either.......training like he is returning as good as ever following the extended hiatus from the track.......and that is a very dangerous thing when the trainer is Mr. Baffert

6  Wild Media   nice bounce back to top form in last with the blinkers added.....handled his only start on the Bhp surface well............works are improved too......likely to move forward

9  Gonna Fly Now   powerful race 2nd out of career run in May of 2012.......2nd out after the long layoff here in May of 2013.......history has a decent shot of repeating here

1  Scorpion Warrior

 

race 8    slightly below average clarity

11  Rosie's Ready    only race on the AW and it was at Hol was easily her best and it was her MSW debut........so fresh off the bench bodes well for her chances today.....good work regiment supports this

3  Caribe d"Oro    very fast work tab for this Proctor 1st timer......would have been top pick if it wasn't for being a vet scratch on 28 March.....but then again 58:1 last work sure suggests she is feeling good once again

2  Fashion Secret    decent MSW debut last  and Ron Ellis is much more dangerous with 2nd time starters

10  Provenance

Long-shot possibilities:    5  Here's To Rose   not much in MSW debut and this Baffert runner went off at 28 to 1.....much improved works since her debut......Baff seems to be putting speed into her.....might be a different horse in 2nd lifetime start

 

race 9    average clarity   (14 fits fine as a contender if he draws in)

3  Lamm   sprint turf tightener and nice drills since.......all systems go running a route on the grass today 2nd out after the claim by Hollendorfer

4  Midnight Crooner   dropped significantly to win in his last.....decent figure........reassuring drills since.......believe this Baffert runner who has seen better days health wise has another race left in him

2  Te Rapa   reared badly in last.......adjusted for trouble fig/effort sure fits here and so does the cut back in distance......both lifetime races at 1 1/16 on the grass are solid

5  Sebastian Flyte

 

race 10    average clarity

2  Blueskiesnraibows   trainer is on fire......horse seemed to have plenty left in the tank in winning his last.....if so he should feel really good for today's step up

4  Liaison   what what I believe was nothing but a prep in latest.....should be fully fit today 2nd after the layoff....should be flying late on the surface he appears to like the most

7  Midnight Transfer   all 3 lifetime races at a route fit decently here and one of them is very hidden by poor trip

6  Kettle Corn

Long-shot possibilities:   5  Vagabond Shoes    training incredible well seemingly out of nowhere as if he loves the Hollywood synthetic......blistering 124:1 7F work just one week ago.....has won a Grade turf affair in France.....and has run OK on the AW in Uae in the past

 

race 11    slightly below average clarity

11  Lico    all 4 lifetime main track races when not wearing the blinkers fit well here and his best was his lone race run on the Hol AW

6  End Of Time   good forward move in last both in pace and final time......good speed jock up......stout here with another move in the right direction.....some shot with just a repeat of his last

2  Our Trooper   needed last off of the long hiatus from racing.......solid efforts when last seen on the AW.......2nd out after the layoff and change from dirt to synthetic both seem like positives

4  Public Defender

3  Wise Boss

8  Soul Saver

 

 

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Posted on May 4, 2013 at 6:15 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information