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Hollywood for Sunday 16 June 2013

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Happy Fathers Day to all the dads and if I am correct in my assessment that this is a good card (not one race rated any degree of clarity below average) today it will make for a very nice DAD's day this afternoon.

Best of luck as always even to those of you who aren't fathers!

 

race 1    above average clarity

5  Ranulf   bad news trip in MSW debut last.......broke a couple of lengths slow.....checked a couple more lengths and then ran wide......ran super to only lose to 1-2 barn mate by 1 1/4 lengths..........Baffert runner should be tough if he smooths the kinks out today

3  Kill Shot    Bruce Headley 1ster is training as if he is 100% ready to roll in his MSW debut.......very likely to compete for the top spot

1  Midnite View   nowhere in MSW debut in mid Jan and away since but working as if he is returning a much better horse

 

race 2    slightly above average clarity

4  Rosies Rascal   her 2nd lifetime start is a par like race for today's level but what we want is her effort 2 races back which is very strong and disguised by a bad trip.........rider upgrade for today is a plus 

3  Corinthian Melody   basically whole career fits here but this filly has never put her nose in front at any point of call in 8 lifetime races.......an obvious hanger..........but most hangers get awfully dangerous if they run at a low enough level and this filly has never raced lower

1  Salt Tequila Lime   horrid starts in both races since being laid up a long time off of a very good debut (with a good start) in Jan of 2012......claimed by O'Neill.......fits as well as anyone in here if O'Neill can get this filly to leave the gate in good order......no easy task considering Baffert couldn't

7  Lil Cheyenne

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Bio Pro   last two grass endeavors fit solidly here.........likely to get a ground saving stalk position through turn 1 and that is half the battle

4  This One's For Mel   done little wrong in 3 lifetime turf races run at Tampa and Golden Gate........should sit close up with light weight successful app up.......such a deal

6  Two Term Leader   toss out last as this 3 year old set a nasty 1/2 mile pace and he set it on a dull inside in a 1 1/16 race......rightly tired.....often solid speed on deep main track surfaces leg a horse up kind of like turf often does......back on the sod where he won his last.......jock upgrade

3  Warren's Jeff G.

 

race 4    average clarity

8  Big Note   Aguirre claimed a seemingly declining horse but he might have the trump card for this gelding as he just got him to drill 46:4H best of 82 and he steps him up 2 levels.........sure seems likely to fire an improved race today

5  Guidopanzani   Glatt stepped up off of the claim in last and this gelding responded and ran well......must be getting better because Glatt steps this fellow up again.......also 2 reassuring works since his last endeavor

4  Stoneside   never raced lower........should fit if this nine year old can muster a small rebound of sorts......trainer has quietly had a decent meet

1  Red Defense

 

race 5    slightly above average clarity

9  Quality Plan   always difficult to run a route of ground in your maiden debut and especially difficult when you duel in one of the fastest paces of the meet at 1 1/16th.......hasn't missed a beat in the a.m. since......should be in the hunt from the get go and be awfully tough to handle from start to finish

5  Red Tie Day   2 decent useful lifetime sprint races........but more importantly today he gets to go a route which he is bred to appreciate......excellent work tab.........and an excellent trainer 1st time at a route in Gaines

2  Airfoil   Cerin runner might not have liked running back in short rest in last as he fell off some.......gets more time off between starts for today......needs race 2 back and maybe a little more .

4  Rookie Sensation

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Truelee Supreme   laid up since 18 Dec 2011 (at Aqu) but sure is working well for his new connections.........and if he is 90% of his old self lookout because he was facing better in NY 

5  Chapman's Peak    good history with Garcia aboard and a good history racing at the 40K level.......race 2 back is very solid for this Sadler runner who also trains our top pick

8  Gutshot Straight   seems as if Mitchell claimed a runner on the improve and that is a dangerous thing 1st out for a conditioner who wins about 1/3rd of the time 1st run following a claim 

7  Thinking Of Girls   SCRATCHED OUT

 

race 7    average clarity

4  On The Fence   solid 1st at a route (turf route) in last and the effort is somewhat hidden by not the best of trips.........same effort with a smoother trip and he can be tough here

7  Pulpit's Express   just claimed by Sadler and it seems like a good sign that he is able to run this lead type only back in relatively short rest.........will need to put away the 2 and the 6 in the early stages and if he can in a reasonable pace he seems likely to wire.....good speed rider up to get that accomplished

6  Turn On The Pumps   owns good early speed but runs best chasing the leader and looks to be in this affair if that is what Pedroza elects to do

3  Somethings Unusual

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Teddy's Promise   bombed out in this race last year but caught a much tougher field.......just worked a solid 6F 6 days ago strongly suggesting this Ellis runner won't toss a dud this year

7  Winding Way   very nice filly last summer going 3 for 3 with solid figs.......then tossed a clunker off of a 2 month break in Oct.......off since.......fits here if fully ready to repeat her lone Hol AW race which was her ultra stout MSW debut....work regiment sure hints she is ready

6  Via Villaggio   another quality laid off runner training as if ready and pointed to today's race......1 for 1 at Hollywood sprinting on the AW and it was a Grade 3 win

8  Include Me Out

 

race 9    average clarity

3  Beast Of Bourbon    Ellis runner is 1 for 1 at the somewhat specialty sprint distance of 7F.......last looks like a route tune-up to drop and go back at 7F......trainer is looking to keep his win % above the double digits level

7  Just Irish   impressive maiden breaking win in last breaking slow and making what looked like too early of a turn move but it wasn't as this Sadler colt was able to still drive home past runners late......nice work tab since.......improvement seems likely today

1  Suances Candy   blinkers on for today seems like a good move for this Mitchell runner as this gelding appears to want the front end of things to run his best

10  Whipstock

9  Warren's Joe T.

5  Talk Of The Town

 

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Posted on June 16, 2013 at 8:19 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information