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Santa Anita for Friday 27 December 2013

 

Decent looking race card today and with the excitement of a significant pick 6 carryover. Saturday's card also seems fairly nice at first glance.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  I'm No Patsy   best ever was her last which was her 1st ever at SA......likely to sit behind the 1 horse who so far lacks the endurance to stick the 7 panels

5  The Mothership   bombed in debut at Bhp but sure worked well at SA prior to the race and since the race.........so lookout 1st time on the conventional dirt today

2  Kylee's Star   wide trip in latest or she might have graduated in her first ever on the main track in an effort on the Bhp AW........conventional dirt today but her pedigree hints she will handle it

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Pretzel Logic   sure appears to hate the synthetic.......back on the dirt and appears to have a good shot at getting loose here......dangerous gate to wire speed with a tough speed jock up

1  Chili Ali   likes SA and would have been top pick if I wasn't a bit suspicious of $17.5K lower tag for a horse that graduated by over 7 lengths in her latest......flip a coin

2  Clearly Confused   declining sort fits fine if she has one more effort left in her.........tough call if she does......like our 2nd choice...... toss.......a.........coin  

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Cool Sunrise   56 to 1 at Belmont in his MSW debut hints Shirreffs and company did not have this two-year-old fully wound up and were surprised at how well he ran........ships X-country for 2nd lifetime start.......if my synopsis is correct he should be awfully tough today

1  Rough Passage   useful MSW debut back in early Nov.......and the work regiment since sure hints that we will see an improved runner this afternoon 1st time at a route......excellent pedigree to appreciate the longer distance

2  The Admiral   not much speed in this affair......might get loose and lonely on the lead......and that folks is a scary proposition when the trainer is Bob Baffert

 

race 4    average clarity

7  Half Dome Dude   seems at his best in the stalk or mid pack position......and.......it seems like that is possible here........owns multiple strong significant efforts/figs at SA for the $10K level 

1  Dunmore East   vastly improved since Bonde claimed 4 races back........drops down and gets reunited with Beajarano who won for fun on this six-year-old 2 races back

3  Macias   strong race at SA two back fig/effort wise and it was from being a little off of the lead......and this gelding is best on the lead......and the front end seems within his reach in this spot without much early gas

2  McKenzies Way

 

race 5     average clarity

3  Velvet Mesquite   trainer Blake Heap was an assistant to Wesley Ward who is stout with MSW sprint turf 1st timers and turf sprinters in general........and Heap has won with 1 of his last 2 turf 1st timers.......that combined with an impressive work regiment strongly suggests this 1ster is meant and ready to roll

8  Autumn View   unless one of the first timers own some significant early gas this Puype/Bejarano filly looks loose on the front end here.....very dangerous if she does get loose and top jock slows things down

6  Van Diem Avenue   lifetime best was her lone race down the SA hill turf course and the effort was in open company and the adjusted for trip fig was better than par for today's level

2  Hot And Pleasing

 

race 6    slightly above average clarity

5  Chitu   Baffert baby was bet hard in MSW debut and did not disappoint......displayed solid pace and final time that fits at today's higher level..........1st on the conventional dirt but works as if it won't be a problem........and his pedigree is also good for the "real thing"

2  Street Icon   off since mid June and returns in the Hollendorfer barn (Sadler previously)......impressive prolonged work regiment strongly suggests his new conditioner has improved this colt........like our top pick this is this runners 1st on conventional dirt but he is also bred to handle it just fine

1  Oh Daddy Oh   on the improve with every start and the latest improvement is hidden by a bad trip.........broke slow and rushed to the lead......blinkers off today hints that the connections want him to slow down some and save something in the tank for the late stretch.......and these days Peter Miller is making all the right moves

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Kathleen Rose   handicapping 101.....lack of speed except for one horse......and this seemingly loose on the lead filly has the services of one of Southern Cal's top guns in Raphael Bejarano who is riding her for the 1st time

2  Kraypapaya   consistent filly has a good post and rider.......now she just needs a little more pace than anticipated or a clunker of an effort and/or trip put in by our top pick 

4  Flaxen Maiden   recent two races aren't all that encouraging but it wouldn't be the 1st O'Neill runner to make a major form reversal and this filly is (2 1 1 0) on the grass at 1 mile at Santa Anita

7  Mangita

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Bluegrass Fox Trot   last two races fit well at today's lower level.........drop from MSW racing to Maiden $30K doesn't bother me much because this baby has only earned chump change to date since his June debut.......and..........he only cost $47K at sale.......I know I would drop him if I owned him......they aren't pets.....well at least most of the time as the one's that act so sweet and playful in the barn are easy to fall for

7  Still Unbroken   two nice dirt races to start his career at SA.......blinkers off and/or 1st on the synthetic stopped his progress in 3rd lifetime start at Bhp.....back to SA.....blinkers off.......learning process continues today  

1  Anythingtogeteven   improving sort tossed a predictable clunker in last on the lawn which he is poorly bred for.....back to the dirt today......1st time Bejarano who rode for Solis last weekend and won keeping Solis from having the dubious situation of having zero wins for the final meeting at Hollywood........trainer is due to get things going and maybe it started last weekend

6  Papa's Paisley

3  Runaway Que

2  Reps And Warrants

 

Posted on December 27, 2013 at 9:24 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections