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Santa anita for Sunday 26 Juanuary 2014

Last chance to keep this week from being the worst week of results for our selections in many a moon.

Best of luck as always!

 

race  1    average clarity

1  Airfoil   sharper early speed and decent final time fig at one mile on the SA dirt in latest........telltale stout drill since.........seems best at SA and might be better suited to sprint races as he flattens out a little in his routes and not in his sprints.........believe this Cerin runner is sitting on a strong effort

5  Forest Boy   been best in sprint races and also appears to appreciate the SA main track the most........unless one of the 2 1st timers has early speed this gelding with a touch of early speed can stalk two questionable front runners......that would put him in a good postilion to score

2  Modern Empire   MSW debut was so bad for this Baffert runner that something probably went badly wrong and I am willing to toss out the race as the two works since indicate an individual with ability

3  Bench Press

 

race  2    slightly below average clarity

6  Melanistic   consistent sort gets a major league rider upgrade..............Mike Catalano runner has done little wrong in 4 of her last 5 route races.........she likely will attempt stalk our 3rd choice and avoid a speed duel

4  Branding   lone lifetime win came off of a 7+ month layoff in a race run on the SA main track.........running today off of a 5+ month layoff and her a.m. prowess hints she is ready fresh once again

5  Rhodium    one win and one 2nd in two lifetime races at today's distance........and seems to own the best early speed in the field......seems very dangerous if allowed to settle into a comfortable pace

 

race  3    slightly above average clarity

5  Exclude   mega bucks purchase sure hasn't panned out and has obvious health issues but he seems likely to have another race left in him off of a decent set of works following an effort that would very likely win this 

1  Murmansk   mom has tossed 3 winners from 3 starers...........and the works for this Kruljac 1ster suggest he is ready to roll in his maiden debut

6  Statman Jerry   almost anything Marty Jones puts on the track lately has been firing so this 1st timer might be ready to roll as well........if our top pick who might have health issues fails this race appears to be a good spot for a new shooter   

9  Karaiskakis

 

race  4    average clarity

3  Horizontalyspeakin   no shot whatsoever in last running a blistering 1/2 of 45 flat in a one mile grass race.........back to Bejarano who won quite easily on this Sadler four year old 3 races back......seems likely to get loose and dangerous with top jock up

5  Arctic North   been facing the big boys of late in Graded races and running fairly well..........but........Miller likely has put this gelding back in the allowance ranks for a confident builder and of course a win 

1  Black Spirit    decent 1st U S of A run in last which was off a 3 month layoff........Dean Greenman is better (quite often) 2nd time out after a layoff......and he gets Mike Smith to ride.........seems highly likely to move forward today.....and fits well if he does      

2  Den's Legacy

 

race  5    average clarity

1  Q' Viva    24 to 1 in mc debut hints that this Neil French filly wasn't fully "charged up" for her debut and that more can occur this afternoon in her 2nd lifetime start....solid here if it does

6  Writer Fever   hot trainer in Ron Ellis........and this filly takes that ever dangerous drop out of MSW racing to maiden claiming......would have been top choice if her only race on conventional dirt wasn't so dismal

9  Everheart   broke a length or 2 slow in both lifetime starts.........so drawing the outer-most post will be a challenge to keep her for breaking slowly again.....but...... she runs as if the extra 1/2 furlong today might be a plus......should be closing fast in the late stages

7  Warren's Salute 

Long-shot consideration:   3  Council Talk   improved quite a bit in latest with 1st time blinkers and the improvement is hidden by a bad trip......sat close to a quick 1/4....checked on the turn and ran wide.....small forward move and of course a better trip and this price shot might be a factor

 

race  6    average clarity

9  Diversy Harbor   Proctor 1st timer owns a stellar grass pedigree and sure has enough showing in the mornings to believe she is meant on ready in her debut into the wonderful world of thoroughbred racing.......well.....not so wonderful this week

11  Pragmatical   good grass pedigree.....and works that scream ready at 1st asking.......and Mike Smith is a perfect 2 for 2 riding for Puype the last couple of months......the fact that stat it is over a two month period tells me this is a very live 1st timer

2  Tizmiss   decently bred 1st timer for the sod........nice work regiment and I sure like that both of her gate works showing are bullets.......Mandella is better with 1st time starters on the grass than on the dirt......very rare and noteworthy

7  Bird In Love

 

race  7    average clarity

3  Rprettyboyfloyd   solid MSW debut breaking slowly and then showed plenty of run.....solid adjusted for trouble MSW effort/fig.........seems quite dangerous with a better start leaving the gate

9  Sawyer's Hill   bet hard and ran well losing because of an extremely wide trip.......... and.......... he sat close to the pace......that does just about anyone in yet he was only beaten by 2L for the win in his MSW debut.......off since his early Sept. debut be he is training as if meant and ready for his return

5  Surfer Moon    Ron Ellis isn't that tough with 1st timers usually but this 1ster is working too well to be ignored and draw the attention of the red hot Mike Smith and his agent.......very dangerous especially considering that almost everything out of the Ellis barn is firing at this meeting

1  Chelios

 

race  8    average clarity

7  Lakerville   seems like a dream spot for this off pace grass cutter with a phenomenal late kick........(6 4 2 0) lifetime record and they are all grass sprints........race seems highly likely to cut some fast fractions setting things up for this six-year-old.......off since mid August of 2012 but training super

6  El Commodore   very impressive run down the hill in latest........stalked the lead that day and seems likely to use the same strategy here

4  Boat Trip    another solid late runner who seemingly will get the pace that he needs up front to flatter his late kick

2  Sweep Swap  

Long-shot consideration:  8 Ankeny Hill   might be overlooked speed of the speed here......race two back he beat Rangi who came back to give one nice horse in Ambitious Brew all he could handle......and in Ankeny Hill's last he beat Weewinnin who came back to win the big state-bred grass race yesterday

 

race 9  average clarity

8  Tribal Smoke    bad trip in last including a bad start hides both his final time effort and his early speed.......gelding has been a good gate horse prior to his last so I expect him to break well today.....and if he does he can be loose and dangerous

1  Fit To Rule   vanned off in last yet the connections see fit to geld this fellow.......that tells me his health is OK enough to fire a decent effort today.......owns some back numbers that would crush his completion here.......and he has been vanned off in the past and then run two good efforts

6  World Famous Sam T   very nice mc debut win at 40 to 1.......bit surprised the connections haven't placed him a little higher but if he is still in the same shape he has a chance to make it 2 for 2

9  Warren's Tyler S.

3  Minister of Trade

4  On My Honor

 

 

Posted on January 26, 2014 at 10:39 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections