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Santa Anita for Thursday 6 March 2014

I like the card to start Big Cap week. What an exciting Santa Anita Handicap this year with a great match up.  

Macho Macho Man 124 lbs   Will Take Charge 123 lbs -  Game on Dude 122 lbs

Note that early bird sign-up (where you can save a few bucks) for full card Ky Derby day selections will be available soon.

 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Seeking Asylum   both races at this meeting at 7F are par like for today's level.......only race at 6F this meeting is also par but par with a tough trip.......might be quite a bit better at 6F and that is the distance to be run here

5  Code of Pleasure   not much in debut last Sept.........nice improvement in 2nd lifetime race which was run 3 weeks ago......nice 5F drill since........cut back of one furlong looks like a plus

4  Baker Boys   1st timer is working fairly well.......dangerous rider/trainer combo the last couple of months........new sire is off to a good start.......mom has tossed 3 winners from 4 starters including a Stakes winner

 

race 2    slightly above average clarity

3  Candiz   very ambitious placement in latest following a winning debut mdn30K effort.........back to a more realistic level making this Kathy Walsh the one to overcome.......somewhat of a jock upgrade  

2  Oneandonlyloveman   2 of 5 lifetime starts for this three-year-old fit well at today's level.....but more importantly when Bonde has used Bejarano the last couple of months all 8 runners have been live winning 4 races and hitting the board in the other 4

1  Takem by Surprise   last 3 conventional dirt races fit fairly well and his latest is disguised by a bad trip.......step up of one claiming level hints that this three-year-old has remained in good form

 

race 3    slightly above average clarity

6  Just Dancing   massive forward move 1st out after the claim by Mitchell in last.........ran wide and still galloped home winning by a going away 6 3/4 lengths.........same fits well here and more would be icing on the cake

2  I'm No Patsy   not much in latest but seems to run best with ample time between starts and gets it here.........race lacks speed and she owns some.......looks loose and if she is she has a shot to go....................all..................the..................way

4  Incredible Journey   bet hard in last 2nd out after the layoff in a route grass affair........would have won if it wasn't for a bad trip......handled dirt OK last year at SA and returns at the same level as her last.......

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Northern Force   4 of the 6 in here are speed types and at least 3 of them appear to need the lead to win.......so it's an easy decision to look to the best closer and here he is.......and he gets in light with the bug boy who has become a very dangerous young man 

1  Oh Daddy Oh   might be feeling awfully good for a quality trainer like Peter Miller to wheel this three-year-old back in one week......might be speed of the speed here especially getting in light being a three year old versus older in early March.....never has been headed at the 1st two points of call in 5 lifetime races 

2  Crimson Giant   here's a stat for this mid pack runner:  1 for 1 at today's distance.........0 for 46 at other distances.......low % jock but he knows this fairly consistent gelding inside and out.......and........rides him with confidence

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Dothraki   SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE layoff last looks like a tune-up for today's race........back where belongs in a MSW race after getting a little too ambitious.......very strong race 3 back and the effort is somewhat hidden

3  Kozani   both lifetime races were on the grass and they are fairly decent........best ever seems likely today as hot as Sadler has been........and.......the stout conditioner sure has put the furlongs into this colt since his last which was back in late December

5  Number Five   not much to date so far but 1st time gelding this afternoon and solid recent works.......and a world class trainer in Mandella.........seems like wake up city today

8  Broadcaster

 

race 6    slightly above average clarity

8  Our Dream Queen   SCRATCHED OUT OF RACE  Jerry Hollendorfer 1st timer sure is working well enough to be ready and she seemingly has caught a weak field in which to compete for the right to visit the circle of joy

6  Copperopolis     bet very hard for a Marty Jones 1st timer way back in Nov. of 2012........flashed speed and tired in what had to be a disappointing effort for her connections.......bombed in 2nd lifetime (Dec 2012) race and laid up since.......solid work series and Jones is hot........might gets things right the 2nd time around

5  More Complexity   on the improve which each and every start........will the trend to continue this afternoon?........cut back in distance looks like a good thing especially for a three-old-year facing older this time a year

2  Warren's Tricia R.

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Artic North   five-year-old gelding has not embarrassed himself in 3 straight races versus tougher........but it is time to pay some bills so back in an allowance race he goes.......and he sure appreciates today's 1 1/8th mile distance on the turf (3 2 0 1)........(3 0 0 0) at other turf distances 

6  Monastic   likely to get a ground saving trip on or near the lead in reasonable pace........and that with a Proctor/Stevens runner is a scary proposition.........and the cut back from 1 1/4 to 1 1/8th sure appears to be a positive  

7  Spring Up   colt likes the 1 1/8th distance with his only blemish being in his last which was in a Stakes race at GP which might have been a bit over his head.......good works since returning to SA and you know Sadler means business when he is willing to drill his colt 4F two days prior to today's race

4  Niagara Falls

 

race 8    average clarity

10  Warrenspoweroflove   last 2 races at 5 1/2F are par like efforts......maiden debut 3 back at today's 6 1/2 furlong distance is very strong and somewhat disguised by a bad trip.......should finish strong while many in here will be gasping late

1  Yesterday Sings    solid improvement in 2nd lifetime race which was her 1st on conventional dirt........blinkers on today and D'Amato runners have won 2 of their last 1/2 dozen with the switch to blinkers on.......cut back of 1/2 furlong looks like a plus

2  Mon Petite    very wide trip in her debut or would have finished in the money instead of 6th.........reassuring 4F work since........rider and trainer are both cold and do not make for a very encouraging combo but they still seem dangerous with a logical forward move in 2nd lifetime race

6  She's Flush

9  Moonlight Stroll

5  Violate

 

 

Posted on March 6, 2014 at 10:18 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections