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Belmont for Saturday 7 June 2014

One of the best cards of quality any USA track has ever presented. Way to go Belmont. What a thrill it will be if the runners stay sound and California Chrome is a Triple Crown Winner!

Hope you enjoy this special day in racing!

 

race 1    average clarity

8  Wabbajack   best ever (and the effort fits here) was his only start at Belmont on a "fast" track in race run off of 2 1/2 months rest.......4 months rest this time around.........same distance and sunny skies......work tab says ready

9  Jimmy Conners   seems likely to sit 1st or 2nd (especially with 1st time blinkers) in an affair without that much early speed......proven at Belmont.......and really hasn't run a bad one turn race in his career

4  Lieutenant Seany O   solid race 2 back run off of nine days rest........eight days rest for today......trainer his been hot the last couple of weeks.....ignore weak final time in last as the slow fractions made a realistic final time unlikely

6  Catholic Cowboy   slowly developing sort seems to set for another improvement.......nice recent works support the notion

 

race 2    slightly above average clarity

7  Legend   on the right end of the learning curve and just worked a reassuring bullet drill over at Saratoga.........seems poised for lifetime best

1  Life in Shambles   3 lbs less to carry and retains Rosario.........2 for 2 in one turn route races...........one turn route today..........continues to work like a happy healthy individual

5  Misconnect   done little wrong in 3 lifetime races two of which were at Bel........1st at a route but owns a pedigree the suggests the added distance will be a plus

4  Kid Cruz   will need very best (race 3 or 4 back fit) and it is difficult to judge if we will see..........fits fine though if he is ready to give it

 

race 3    slightly below average clarity

4  Cat Burglar   Baffert charge has never run a bad conventional dirt race......last two races fit........pedigree seems fine to get the marathon 12 furlong distance......Belmont jocks and handicappers will be watching this race closely 

3  Micromanage   runs as if the added distance will be to his liking......stout trainer/rider team to get the job accomplished.........nicely improved efforts with the blinkers added 2 races back

2  Ground Transport   3 wins and 2 2nd's the last 5 times this colt opened up the lead..........and a good speed rider in Johnny V..........not crazy about the breeding to get the marathon distance but if he slows it down he can overcome it 

1  Eriugena   new home and it is called conventional dirt.........and this Mike Maker four year old is bred to run all day long

 

race 4    average clarity

10  Marchman   seemingly never sharper in the p.m. and just worked a bullet 4F best of 48.........not that much speed for a Grade 3 sprint grass race and he has some 

8  Ben's Cat   King Leatherbury doesn't start in that many Graded races but you best take notice when he does......3 for his last 6 have won in Graded races.......eight year old is 16 of 25 lifetime on the grass and (3 2 1 0) at 6F on the sod

3  Marriedtothemusic  SCRATCHED 

6  Undrafted    Wesley Ward wins sprint grass races all over the world and he ships in a sharp runner from CD......1st at 6F looks like a better fit than 5F and he ran well in his latest at 5F

9  Positive Side   six year old has found his forte and that forte is turf sprints......trainer is fairly tough with shippers

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Havana   last sure looks like the tune-up to be at full throttle today in this prestigious Grade 2........proven at Belmont and.....the 7F distance seems like it will be a very good fit

1  Bayern   Napravnik took it easy following a trouble trip in the early stages of the Preakness.......and it seems to have left plenty in the tank for today........back to back (only 5 days part) impressive works at CD since.......wound up and feeling good

5  Coup de Grace   3 for 3 with today's jock up........very impressive a.m. work......3 for 3 in one turn races including one of which was at 7F

7  Tonita M.   ran like an invader that needed a race....and the effort fig wasn't bad.......a player here if this Hollendorfer colt makes a logical forward move in his 2nd USA start

11  Social Inclusion   acting like a good in preparation for today......but lookout if he behaves himself which won't be an easy task in front of one of the largest crowds in Belmont history

Long-shot consideration:   12  Top Fortitude   difficult post but the fig/effort in his last fits fine and today we get a significant rider upgrade.......not impossible if Smith gives this fellow a clever ride from post 12

 

race 6   average clarity

5  Sweet Reason   plenty of early gas in this affair can set thinks up nicely for this late running filly who is training brilliantly in preparation for today's big Grade 1......works hint she is ready for lifetime best

8  My Miss Sophia   improving filly and improving for Mr. Todd Pletcher........morning line seems to be too low especially since this is her 1st ever at Belmont

9  Artemis Agrotera   trainer is stout with fresh stock..........7 months fresh today for this filly who won her debut by 11 lengths at Saratoga.....hard to be fresher than your debut.....1 for 1 at Belmont and it was a Grade 1 

3  Fiftyshadesofgold   4 for 5 lifetime in one turn races and the only blemish was caused by a bad trip......not out of this

 

race 7    slightly above average clarity

5  Beholder   now that Beholder rates kindly with Mr. Stevens how do you beat her?.........maybe the one turn route will be to her disliking......she sure can take nasty pace and still go on with it around two turns......few can

1  Close Hatches   5 for 5 at the distance ( 2 for 5 at other distances) one of which was at Belmont where she won a grade 1 by seven lengths......excellent work regiment and Mott is as reliable as it comes when he shows good works 

6  Princess of Sylmar   likes extended one turn races like this one.....runs well with ample time between starts.....definitely not out of this but definitely my 3rd choice

 

race 8    slightly above average clarity

9  Discreet Marq   likes to lead or stalk to get the job done and it seems highly likely she can get the position here......solid history at Belmont and at the distance

5  Coffee Clique   never sharper in the p.m. and just worked an impressive 5/8ths on the sod at WO.....and out of town trainer gets Castellano to ride once again.....very reassuring this CD Grade 1 winner has held form

10  Better Lucky   doubt luck will do it from the 10 post but having clever rider Rosario at the controls might put this stout grass runner in the hunt for the circle of joy despite his difficult post 

8  Waterway Run   improving sort since Chad Brown took over the training duties of the former GB runner......needs the trend to continue 

 

race 9    slightly above average clarity

1  Palace Malice   our top pick in last years Belmont sure paid great......seems best at Belmont and appears to be in top form in the spring once again.......won't be 13 to 1 today

4  Goldencents   best set of drills for a laid up O'Neill runner in many many a moon.....colt can stick around even when he has to cope with nasty fractions.......fresh......ready......and at a handsome morning line of 10 to 1

9  Normandy Invasion   impressive in both lifetime one turn one mile races......won by an average of 8 1/2 lengths........yikes......seems like the right spot for 1st ever Graded race win

10  Clearly Now   another Peter Lynch invader who is well prepared in the mornings......will need best ever or will be running for a piece of the pie only 

 

race 10    slightly below average clarity

6  Seek Again   done little wrong since arriving in the U S of A for Bill Mott.........two solid Grade one races and today gets 4 lbs off .....retains Rosario.....fairly decent post.....highly likely to be a major player here

1  Imagining   vastly improved runner since the blinkers were added 6 races back........and lately he has learned to run on or off the pace.......believe he will stalk our 4th choice.....and if the pace is reasonable he ought to be especially stout

8  Real Solutions   Chad Brown late runner will need some pace to close into........seems like a 50/50 proposition.........has the right jock for turf in Castellano to help cope with a difficult post at 1 1/4 at Bel

7  Five Iron   looks loose here and if he is considered the fellow not to be concerned with..........he........... might............go............all................the...............way

3  Rookie Sensation   hidden SA invader.......no pace in last so no chance for a good final time fig.......race two back blocked badly or would have won for fun........he exploded as fast as you will ever see when he got free

 

race 11    average clarity

2  California Chrome   so much the best credentials in this race and I believe he is sharper now than what he was for the Preakness.....his best to date by my book is in the Santa Anita Derby and if he is rebounding to that form he might overcome any lack of ability to get the difficult 12 panels........he might tire but than again if he stalks or sets a slow pace he might blow them away by many

1  Medal Count   sure like his pedigree to appreciate the marathon distance.......can't ask a colt to train any better.......1:10:3 breezing......yikes......bad trip in Derby yet his trip hasn't been talked about much......and lastly he must feel really good for Romans to go against the "Chrome" after being so complementary about his Derby performance

9  Wicked Strong   very bad trip in Derby as Gary I got creamed Stevens can attest to (no DQ?)..........horse likes to run wide and has the 9 post with a jock up who has had trouble controlling the late runner in 2 of his 3 races on him.......but he sure looks well prepared to run the race of his life and he owns a decent pedigree to get the 12 furlongs

4  Commanding Curve   seems to fit Bridgmohan very well.........had a good trip in the Derby and might be a major factor late if he gets another nice ride from same jockey.....might sit closer with a better post in which to start from

5  Ride On Curlin   losing Rosario on a deep closer isn't a plus but even though Johnny V is at his best sitting close up he obviously has won with many late runners over his illustrious career

 

race 12    slightly below average clarity

4  North Star Boy   very sharp right now......ultra impressive work just 4 days ago........not the best of trips in last......cut back of 1/8th seems like a plus

6  Red Vine   consistent sort and might be at his very best on the Bel grass.....1st running as far as 1 1/8th but his running lines hint he will appreciate the added distance

7  Ghurair   has been facing better but I sure don't like the morning line price.........still it is hard to argue with 2 wins and a close 3rd in non-Graded races

11  Shining Copper   blinkers off seems like a good move.....1st time Lasix seems like a good move.......but he will need a clever ride from a nasty post.......one of the top turf jocks up to get it done

2  Artic North   SA Anita invader fits well if he brings his "A Game" you would think he will bring it today seeing that he shipped x-country for today's race 

 

race 13    average clarity

8  Pazolini   improving with each and every start.....last fits........more would be icing on the already sweet cake.........stout connections

5  In Trouble   rider upgrade for today following a bad trip in his last........fits solidly if he brings either one of his efforts 2 or 3 races back.......good recent works say that he will

9  Slan Abhaile   last looked like a public work-out.....and the work tab since at CD is stellar.......owns some back numbers/efforts the fit......should go off at a handsome price

1  Kingsford Drive   loves Belmont (5 3 2 0)........impressive Belmont win in last both in pace and final time......might have come out of the race in good shape as his 27% trainer at the meeting sees fit to step him up quite a bit

6  Confrontation   much better work tab since his latest.....rather sure more horse today.....how much is the ? mark

 

Posted on June 6, 2014 at 12:39 pm by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections