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Los Alamitos for Saturday 5 July 2014

Decent card today. On the 1 to 10 scale I would rate it a 6.5

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Oeighter   both lifetime grass races are par like efforts and her last at a route is disguised by a very wide trip......tries the dirt in 3rd lifetime start and her a.m. work at SA on it hints she will handle the surface change

6  Cravin' the Heat   decent layoff last and this Abrams filly ran well sprint to route (albeit on the grass) 3 races back (blocked 1/2 dozen lengths and was beaten by 5 1/4L).......stout 29 June drill at SA hints the prep turf sprint did it's job

1  Desert Madam   improving sort and the trainer is likely "sky high" following the win of his life last weekend......his enthusiasm will be plus to his work ethic and his renewed (boosted) positive attitude can carryover to his thoroughbreds

5  Super Defence

 

race 2    average clarity

9  Queen of the Hill   last four dirt races fit very solidly here and her last is hidden by a brutal trip (broke bad - wide on an inside track).......somewhat suspicious drop but $8K is where O'Neill claimed her for

8  Courageousandbold   consistent sort was compromised in her last as she was caught wise on a good rail day.....claimed by Lopez and he puts Maldonado up.....a significant jock upgrade from the 4 jocks that rode in her last 4 races

3  It's Aine   woke up some in last and like our top two choices the last race wasn't the best of trips.......5 lbs less to carry today with the switch to Van Dyke......better trip today and she has a shot 

2  Warren's Assassin

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Got Even   as I have stated in the past I believe Got Even is at his best running "long"...........he loves being loose and he sure appears loose in this spot.......4 of his 5 lifetime route races fit well at today's level 

1  I Don't Care Who   ran some very strong races in winter..........made a small rebound in form in his last........fits solidly if he rebounds a little more today.........can get what he thrives on.....a nice stalking or mid pack position  

4  Arkenstone   been headed south the last couple of races......needs to bounce back to his effort run 3 back.......seems like a good sign that Joe Talamo sticks around

 

race 4    slightly below average clarity

1  Sooner Born   nice awakening in 2nd lifetime start with the addition of the blinkers.......very aggressive tightly spaced work tab since......believe it is more likely than not that he improves again.....one tough cookie if he does

3  Sun Spots   plenty to prove on the dirt but the race sure seems to set up for his late running style.....only race on dirt was poor but it was his debut and he went off 63 to 1 suggesting he wasn't exactly wound up for his 1st lifetime start

6  Johns Journey   seems best with ample time between starts and seems best at 5 1/2 furlongs........gets both today

7  Grand Humor

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Tiznow Or Then    improving sort and now we get a major league rider upgrade.......believe this Ellis runner is a ton here if he handles the dirt......his ability on it is somewhat questionable

1  Mysterious Promise   lone route on the dirt which was run at OP fits in this spot......trainer is stout running a horse turf to dirt ........10 of his last 30 have won and 10 more ran 2nd or 3rd............turf in last

5  Sudden Rumor   barn is quite hot of late.........nice move forward for this three year old gelding in latest........back quick.......same or better seems likely today

3  Take a Risk

 

race 6   slightly above average clarity

9  Radiant Dancer   best set of drills for a Jeff Bonde 1st timer in quite some time.......and that is a very dangerous scernio.........rather sure a good one.......not the easiest of posts......which is the only negative I can see

3 Opsec   Baffert 1st timer also is training as if he is meant and ready to roll......hasn't missed a beat in the a.m. since mid April........and I love the 3 straight gate works following 2 solid 6F works

2  Prontezzo   decent works for this 1st timer trained by Philip D'Amato whose barn seems to be heating up.......dangerous

5  Raspberry Ala Mode

 

race 7   average clarity

2  Rhodium   13 to 1 in last off of the two month layoff ...........and now back in 9 days.......... says the last was a turf tightener and it will likely be full throttle this afternoon running on the dirt.......nice fig/effort 2 races back on the dirt at 6F at SA

4 Tough Business   on the improve with every start.....new trainer off of the $25K claim and it will be his job to keep the trend intact.....sure fits if he can

7  Appealing Resume   1st after the Aguirre claim wasn't exactly encouraging.........needs a rebound to any of her 3 previous efforts......given enough time off to possible correct what was ailing this seven year old mare........I give it a 50/50 chance that she can rebound

5  Creditcardroulette

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Shared Belief   Kentucky Derby favorite (and my pick too) before having to go on the sideline..........done nothing wrong in 4 lifetime races winning by an average of of six lengths........who does that remind you of?..........1st on the dirt but his pedigree says he is likely to handle it

7  Candy Boy   horrid trip in the Ky Derby........did well till only get beat by by a dozen lengths.........nice work regiment......should fit well here and might upset if the top pick has an off day or doesn't take to the conventional dirt

4  Friendswith K Mill   very impressive stretch run in last despite a weak pedestrian like pace being set up front........did extremely well to snatch 2nd.........colt might love the longest stretch run in the USA and the 1 1/8th distance

3  Can The Man

 

race 9    slightly below average clarity

7  Our Love Affair   don't think much of those that have raced so far so likely this is a good spot to be a 1st timer and this filly has been the most impressive newcomer in the a.m.

1  Lucky S. J.   another 1ster training as if she is meant and ready and from a barn that has been firing on all cylinders the last month or so

9  Grace Victoria   O"Neill 2nd timer starter gave it up badly after setting a strong early pace........new jock today and Trujillo seems to now be the barn's go to guy.......dangerous if he relaxes better thus carrying his early speed further

8  Yodelmesomemagic

2  Inflamed

3  Swiss Intrigue

Posted on July 5, 2014 at 6:46 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections