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Del Mar for Wednesday 20 August 2013

Hard to believe that our top pick returned a profit of 14.5% in 2013 at Del Mar in the 328 races that were run. Needless to say I'm not turning a profit this year so far.

The track has been funky on the grass as most brand new turf courses are and the main track hasn't played even enough. In general things have been more complex for yours truly. 

Seems like a 6 on the 1 to 10 scale for today's card.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    slightly below average clarity

8  Nueva Fortuna   on the right end of the learning curve.....latest was quite solid and somewhat hidden.......wide on a decent rail day...........Spawr has been in a funk and can get the ball rolling here

2  Rhodium   not Peter Miller like to race them where it might be a little too tough to get to the winners circle........finally drops this filly and down to level she is one of the runners to overcome.........like her chances to finish well coming off of a route race

3  Woebegon    she's a tiger when she is on the lead but isn't assured of getting it here..........Maldonado helps.......an OK inside condition would help

1  Fiesta Express

 

race 2    slightly below average clarity

3  Borealis Breeze   tightly spaced work regiment with a few drills of merit.......stout trainer Tom Proctor's forte isn't mc 1st timers but he sure appears to have this two year well prepared and dangerous for his debut

4  Dr. Vincentstein   1st time as a gelding.........first time for Peter Miller..........jock upgrade........improved recent gate work at Dmr........small drop

1  Slapshot Man   just purchased at sale  in June so O'Neill and company had a pretty good idea of what they were getting......solid work series since the buy..........finished up with a bullet gate drill.........sure seems ready for maiden debut

6  Oakta Litle Lou

Long-shot consideration:   7  Gnarly Harly   1st timer finished up his work regiment on the upswing with a good 6F drill at Bsr and then a good 5F work 1st time ever on the  Dmr AW.........seems sharp when it counts the most as in right before his maiden debut

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Hotaling Heart   Mike Puype is quite dangerous 2nd start after he takes over the training duties of a given horse......that is the case here......and the 1st out under his guidance wasn't bad

1  She's Flush   likes the Del Mar synthetic........2 for 2 with today's jock.........likes the distance of 6 1/2 furlong.......that's a trifecta of good stuff

3  Exclusive Girl   last which was her 1st ever at Dmr was solid.........but I'm a bit surprised and leery that the connections didn't protect her in a $40K starter.......she did work well since her last.........fits very well here if she is still in good shape

6  Faith Proof

 

race 4    slightly above average clarity

5  Droppin Buttons    MSW debut looked like a public work-out.........good a.m. work before his debut and since.......bred very nicely for the grass.........pointed for today........likely well meant this afternoon

8  Lucky J Lane   solid run in latest off of a long layoff running for the first time on the lawn.......good work series since........same or better seems likely today 

2  Smart Journey   seems best on the lead so blinkers on for the 1st time seems like a "no brainer" good move........1st time Rafael Bejarano too.......rather dangerous speed here 

6  Chaco

 

race 5    slightly above average clarity

2  Passionville    just keeps getting better.........and better..........and better..............and the way she ran 1st time on the Dmr AW for her new trainer you would expect she will be...........even better today

9  Grazenette   just fired lifetime best and it is somewhat disguised..........three year old filly ran wide on a good inside day and still managed to close well in the stretch.......double barrel action for D'Amato who trains this promising youngster and our top choice 

5  Winninginfashion   very dangerous when loose on the lead and might be able to shake free here........might feel really good to have stepped up multiple levels for today

1  Casey's Clem

 

race 6    average clarity

7  Battle of Evermore   good MSW debut.......stalked a hot pace and still closed well late for a one beaten length 3rd........Sadler is good first time at a route.......colt has plenty of early gas to get decent position by turn 1 and be in the hunt from the get go

1  Harmonic   colt had an eventful MSW debut.....broke poorly and ran somewhat wide on a good rail day........bred well for a route......and Hollendorfer sure is tough 1st time at a route.......Mike Smith (having a terrific Dmr meeting) will be out to make amends for that MSW debut ride

9  Texas Red   just missed in MSW at AP despite a poor trip.....then things gotten even more dreadful at Dmr in 2nd lifetime start breaking a little tardy and then running way too wide on a decent inside day.....1st at route and sure is bred well for one

5  Spin Forty

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Disregarded   three year old filly sure is improving with each and every grass race.....and her trainer has been hot of late......in fact it has been many a moon since Mulhall has strung so many wins together

3  Alexis Tangier   Richard Mandella runner won for fun in her lone grass race (albeit in a sprint) two races back........attempts a turf route here and she sure seems to have the most early speed in the race.....should be in control from the opening bell on or near the lead

4  Kukaluka   on the improve since the blinkers were taken off 3 races back.....toss out last on the AW as she seems to dislike it quite a bit......back to the sod......needs another move in the right direction........recent solid drill of 5F hints she ready for one

6  Gratification

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Veronica Bay   just popped lifetime best in her 1st ever on the Dmr AW......and she put in a very solid reassuring 5F work just 4 days ago......felling good and drops one notch......should be a major factor here

3  Madame Forbes   dangerous speed type in this spot and retains Bejarano which indicates she came out of her race in decent shape and might handle the quick turn around of 11 days

2  Italian Harmony   seems best running off of short rest and that in the case here.......cut back of 1/16th appears to be a plus

10  Vord Queen

4  Yodelmesomemagic

1  Full of Spice

Posted on August 20, 2014 at 9:17 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections