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Santa Anita for Thursday 9 October 2014

One difficult card for yours truly to decipher as you can tell from the "clarity" ratings. Not one top choice morning line favorite today and four of our top choices are 6 to 1 or higher. Might only take "one" to have an OK day.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Artemisia   34 to 1 for a Carla Gaines 1ster strongly suggests the race was a sprint tune-up to tighten up and be all set 1st at a route in her 2nd lifetime endeavor........needs about 3 to 4 lengths of improvement today and likely will give it if she handles the conventional dirt

3  Appealing Lady   poor trip in latest hides a nice forward move.........1st at a route today with a so so pedigree for one.......if I was more enthralled by her pedigree she would be the top pick

5  Moonie   blinkers off in 2nd lifetime start was a good move as this filly improved quite a bit.............1st at a route today and she sure is bred to run all day long on one side of the equation (mom's side)

 

race 2    slightly below average clarity

5  Stuffed Animal   good looking work regiment for a mid priced two year old maiden claiming 1st timer trying a route race.......and his conditioner Adam Kitchingman is better than average with mc 1st timers

6  Jimbaran Bay   Saratoga drop down invader ends up in the Yakteen barn and adds blinkers for today........both races run out east seemingly fit well at today's lower level if of course his new lower % conditioner can get him to fire one of them and do it at a route of ground for the 1st time

7  Jet Trick   big wake in last in his 2nd lifetime start.........smartly steps up one claiming level.......1st "long" but his pedigree for it is decent

8  Momma Tried

 

race 3    slightly below average clarity

6  Royal F J   toss out last two as he sure appears to dislike AW surfaces.......late runner who is well proven on the SA hill turf course seemingly gets the pace up front to flatter his late kick

5  Monument    1st time running as a gelding and blinkers on today.........good work tab hint that both "equipment" changes have helped.......and his figs/efforts down the hill fit fine for today's 40K claiming level

3  Barry Knot   ultra consistent sort since John Martin claimed 9 races back.......runs well with ample time between starts so 60 days since his last might be a plus........of course 1st on the SA hill is always a ? mark

7  Giant Ego

 

race 4    sightly below average clarity

10  La Casadora   only seems to run well when T C Baze is aboard.......and only seems to handle conventional dirt........drops some and gets both today

4  Oeighter   seems like a suspect drop down but I can see two things that suggest he still is healthy enough to preform at today's much lower level..........only cost $47K as a yearling at sale......and........lone win came turf to dirt which is the case today

3  Madame Heat   off pace runner is improving with each and every race and continues to train as if she might make another forward move.......might come flying if she does 

7  Salsita

Long-shot consideration:   5  Spoiledandentitled   2 of 4 lifetime sprints fit OK here......likely will be motoring late from far back maybe along with our 3rd pick

 

race 5    below average clarity

4  Van Frassen   likes today's 7F distance and many in this field might not.........nice move forward in latest and it was with 1st time blinkers.........and..........the effort is a little disguised by a wide trip

1  Counting Days   just snatched at the claiming box by Cerin.........very sharp 4F drill since..........new trainer might have the trump card for this four year old gelding who owns some back numbers/efforts in 2013 that sure would make her tough here

8  Ebony Gold   needed layoff last and the race was better than appears to most.........sat too far off a pedestrian pace.........did well to pass a few and grab 4th......with that effort under his belt........and facing slightly easier today........he can be a major factor

5  Go Black Tie

 

race 6    below average clarity

10  Chicsdigtheshark   6 for 10 on the SA dirt.........1 for 10 on other surfaces............off for two months but his a.m. prowess suggests he is ready.......drops  once again and that is suspicious but if this Spawr runner is still in relatively good health he will be very tough here

7  Dress Code   very consistent and owns a nice and useful stalking style......trainer and the rider know this fellow well which of course is a plus..........would have been top choice if it wasn't for a slight tendency to flatten out late at today's 1 1/16th mile distance 

8  Street Serenade   very solid 1st out following the Paulo Lobo claim and the effort is disguised by stalking the leader on a slightly dull inside........would have rated higher if it wasn't for a tendency hang in the stretch the last two years

2  Welcome Home Ryan  

Long-shot consideration:    6  Accelerant   poor trips in last two races hides a runner that fits.........very solid work regiment preparing for today's race........and the trainer Don Warren is off to a good start at the Fall SA meeting

 

race 7    average clarity

2  Taste Like Candy   might not be at her best on the turf or the Dmr AW.......if that is true I believe she will make a solid move forward today back on the SA conventional dirt........definitely the one to overcome if that occurs

4  Baruta   crushed her competition by 14 lengths the only time this Mandella five year old mare ran on conventional dirt......albeit on a South American dirt course labeled "good" ..........might finally hit pay-dirt for Mandella and company this afternoon after 6 straight 2nd place finishes (all on the sod) since arriving from Brazil

5  Plaza de Indias   working vastly better of late and similarly to the way she worked prior to her last win which was 3 races back....and the works are on the SA dirt......should be in the hunt for the top prize racing at the 40K level 

6  Malibu Honey

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Hijra   consistent sort and seemingly on the right end of the learning curve....... the effort when last seen in May fits solidly and her work tab says she is likely fit and ready........and.........she has fired well fresh in the past

4  Loveintheshadows   ultra consistent GG invader won the only time she shipped into SA four races ago........seems razor sharp and owns record at today's turf distance of (7 5 0 1)........that'll do

5  Tiz the Key   Richard Mandella runner seems to need to sit close up to preform well and it appears she should be near the front end of things here

7  Winning Rhythm

 

race 9    average clarity

2  Southern Owah    Vann Belvoir is quite dangerous with maiden claiming 1st timers and he has this filly working (copious and decent tightly spaced drills) as if she is meant and ready to roll for her debut

8  She's Discreet   solid mc debut on the AW at Dmr...........recent 4F drill on the SA surface and her pedigree suggest the conventional dirt that SA has to offer won't be a hindrance and that the same or better can occur today

6  Sunday Stroll   last wasn't bad but her strongest race to date and quite tough here is her effort 2 back which was run at today's 5 1/2 furlong distance........as good a shot as anyone in here if she duplicates that effort 2 back

3  Galehorn

10  Here's Bella

1  Gisele's At Fonz's

Posted on October 9, 2014 at 10:12 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections