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Del Mar for Saturday 8 November 2014

NOTE:   Change in clarity ratings. Only going to use 3 levels of clarity from now on. They are as follows:    

Average card today but I like that our top choice has a morning line of 5 to 1 or higher in four of today's nine races. Be back with you tomorrow.

 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

4  Love Blind   drop makes sense (40K to 25K) as this filly hasn't earned her keep for her new connections.......and Art Sherman seemingly got his disappointing filly to work the best she has (just 5 days ago) since he took over the training duties......filly should fit here if she has remained in decent health

8  Silver Hustler   decent layoff run in last........very sharp a.m. work since.........and 4 lbs off for today.........seems poised for more 2nd out after the layoff and more should make her formidable here

2  Burns Turn   four year old filly has consistently been in the mix when entered for 25K.........25K today and a good post for Mike Smith to work with

7  Tebowing

 

race 2    average clarity

6  Holiday Maker   just snatched at the claiming box by Canani who is good 1st out following a claim.........his new shooter has done little wrong in 4 lifetime races that fit decently at today's higher level........... and she just worked sharply (seems like her best drill ever) for her new connections

1  Racing For Chasen   should welcome a return to the Dmr synthetic as her two best lifetime races were run the only two times she has been on the Dmr AW.......trainer/rider teamed up for an upset winner yesterday

4  Do The Danse   3 of 4 lifetime races fit for this Jerry Hollendorfer baby.........1st on the AW but her pedigree for it seems OK.........likely to get a nice stalk position behind the 2 and 3 horse 

 

race 3    above average clarity

6  Tribal Dude   lone lifetime win came turf to Dmr AW 4 races back........turf in latest.......Dmr AW once again today.......good rider/trainer team during the summer Del Mar meeting

3  Deer Decarchy   off for 7 weeks but seemingly never trained better.......well placed to win off a mdn20K win.........in for 14K to get 2 lbs less......sure seems well meant this afternoon.......1st on the AW is a ? mark

5  Elle Street   won his debut at GG in a mdn25K affair and won by 5L.........so it seems rather suspicious to be up for 16K here but the barn is a bit goofy at times..........and most that run well on the AW at GG run well on the AW at Dmr 

7  Red Man Run

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Ethnic Dance    basically has fired in every lifetime grass race........and he seems highly likely to get a good ground saving near the front trip........hasn't missed a beat in the a.m. since his last.......feeling good

5  Setsuko   owns a ton of talent when right and he sure is training as if he is "right" for today's layoff run............and the last time this R Mandella gelding ran in an alw. race off of  layoff he won for fun

2  Baccelo    tossed a clunker in lone race in the good old U S of A........but his races in Brz sure fit and his work tab hints he might rebound......trouble if he does 

8  Pure Loyalty   

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Perfect Set   best on the Del Mar synthetic........drops two levels......and working sharply.........jock could use a win or two and might build his confidence here with this gelding who appears poised for a sold effort

8  Dress Code    loves the distance (15 5 5 3) and sure is working markedly better for his new conditioner........and he handled the Del Mar AW quite well during the summer meeting

1  River Lemon    Peter Miller picks up a new shooter (previously trained by a very successful Midwest trainer in Wayne Catalano) and has him well placed to compete at a high level off of the 10 month hiatus from the track.........six year old does tend to hang some

3  Dreamy Kid

Long-shot consideration:   7  Accelerant    better runner since the blinkers were added 3 races back.......likes today's distance and seems best on the Dmr synthetic........a trifecta of good stuff for this late charging price shot

 

race 6    below average clarity

6  Sweeter Thancandy   very bad trip in 2nd lifetime start which was down the majestic SA hill grass course.........had about 6 or 7 lengths of trip trouble and only lost by 1 3/4 lengths.......sure took to the grass in a big way and has a pedigree that should be solid for today's 1 mile turf distance

8  Pure   big awakening in latest which was her 3rd lifetime start.........same distance but a new surface for today........but her breeding for the green carpet seems quite good........and........Cassidy runners have been firing rather well the last 2 or 3 months

9  Dyna Star   38 to 1 for a Hollendorfer 1st timer and only lost by 1 1/4L.........semi dull works before debut..........works since are much improved........you think the barn was surprised a bit?.........should be very cranked up for her 1st long and 1st on the grass........bred fine for both

12  Suva Harbor

Long-shot consideration:    2  Miz Gratcee   definitely seems to be running into shape and her latest at one mile on the grass sure appears to have muscled her up as her a.m. work since is improved...........more seems likely today.........and has a good post to get a needed good trip to spring the upset

 

race 7    below average clarity

9  Grazenette   bad trip on the grass in latest hides a solid effort at today's one mile distance......and this three year old filly appreciates the Dmr AW.......does well with ample time between starts and gets it 

1  Fleet Of Gold   good speed in this spot but I hope Solis stalks the leaders as this filly seemingly needs a target to run at.......believe she should be tough here if she does take back a little

5  Proud Vixen   drop obviously helps but probably more importantly her trainer Vladimir Cerin is often quite stout 3rd out following a layoff which is the case here

4  Prettypriceygirl

 

race 8    average clarity

6  Awesome Return    ultra consistent sort when running on the sod (6 3 1 2) has been away since mid July but is training as if she is fully ready to rock and roll.......1st time Smith and you know the Hall of Fame rider would like to have this mount in the future

1  Forever Juanito    Victor Garcia is very dangerous 3rd out after a layoff.......combine that with the sprint-sprint-route scenario (which often works so well) and you have a dangerous runner breaking from a good post and with a decent grass rider aboard in T C Baze

8  Maibaby   very nice three year old filly invades from France and is training for Drysdale and company as if she is ready and up to the task of competing against males

7  Cabral

 

race 9   below average clarity

5  Ace Deuce   rider upgrade........so so debut on 1 August but the work regiment since his debut is vastly better........rather convinced quite a bit more will occur for this Belvoir runner than what he showed in his mc debut

4  Intaxication   good early speed in mdn 50K debut but will need to avoid a suicidal speed duel with our 3rd pick........somewhat concerned with the significant drop in claiming as his debut wasn't that bad......but then again Peter Miller isn't afraid to lose a horse as so many trainers/owners are for a variety of reasons

6  Warren's Sunny Boy   improving sort and would have rated higher if he was more proven over the AW surface at Del Mar......but if he handles the surface he should be motoring late for a semi-hot trainer/rider team.......and........with most of their strong races as a team coming with late runners like this fellow

3  Takeit Tothe Limit

1  A Black Tie Crypto

11  Bigley

 

Posted on November 8, 2014 at 10:37 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections