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Del Mar for Friday 14 November 2014

Inside speed bias yesterday seemingly out of nowhere once again. The same thing occurred last Saturday. I can't imagine how unpredictable the racing surface would be if the maintenance crew had to deal with the Nov.weather in the Midwest or the East Coast. Maybe the conventional dirt surface next year will be easier to maintain. I hope so or I might have to be my selections "live" in a podcast or something to adjust to the track as we go.

Seems like a decent card for today. Let's call it a 7 on the 1 to 10 scale.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Shared Image   lead type only seems capable of getting loose here and if she does she might not get caught as fig wise and pace wise her best ever was her lone start on the Del Mar main track.......and it was a great day for speed yesterday

1  Salsita   very solid races in all three lifetime races at Dmr.......should welcome a return to it's AW surface..........does need to overcome a tendency to hang in the stretch

4  Bunuska   very suspicious drop in last and we made the right call as this filly didn't make our top 3 selections as a 2-5 shot and she ran badly.........so why pick her 1st off of a seemingly bad claim and with a step up of one level.......because she might make enough of a rebound (on a surface she obviously liked when she was healthy) to compete versus these

7  New Nature

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Bahamian    3 - 4 - 5 all want the front end which obviously plays into the hands of this mid pack runner who is very well bred to handle the green carpet

2  Sweet Swap    very consistent grass sprinter likely will be in the drivers seat like our top pick........sitting back off of what likely will be a hot pace up front.......and with such a small field to negotiate he should easily find a lane to run in

4  Distinctly Passion   speed of the speed and well proven at 5 panels on the grass at Del Mar.......trainer has had a cold 2nd half of 2014 in S Cal and is due to snap out of it as most successful operations do

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Aguacita   1st time running for Machowsky and the way in which this two year old filly is working hints he has the trump card for his new shooter......filly has displayed good early seed and stopped.........believe she's sticking around today off of some endurance building works and a drop down into maiden claiming

4  Counting Queens   Leandro Mora 1st timer is working quite well and his two year old filly had some drills with a Mora runner that won his debut for for fun and with speed.......and.........Mora won 3 races yesterday

1  Victoria Falls   another Mora 1ster that seems ready to roll........very prolonged work series for a low level maiden claimer .........I doubt this filly would have so many drills and then use this race as a tune-up

9  Discreet Flirt  

Long-shot consideration:   5  I Am Going Global   very stout quarter horse trainer is 2 for 6 with 2 others in the money in thoroughbred races in 2014.........he might be bringing some of his magic to Del Mar this afternoon.......and as I recall didn't  Lucas and Baffert start out as Q-horse trainers

 

race 4    below average clarity

11  Zip Cat   pedal to the floor when the bell rings for this Miller/Maldonado speedster who will want to clear all from the far outside post.....and if he does he should be tough

1  Let's Get Crackin   don't like to chase significant drop downs in claiming (25K to 10K) but Spawr has had a good handle on this gelding since he claimed him 9 races back.........off since June but training well.......dangerous

2  Valentine Boy    last sure looks like a muscle him up turf tightener to be at his best back  at a level in which he can be highly competitive.......and a hat trick for his trainer yesterday

4  Courtside

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Flexible    nice 1st at a route in last on the dirt and the effort is somewhat disguised by running a bit wide on a good inside day........plenty of endurance in this colt now for his 1st on the sod which he is bred to handle

4  Air Nashoba   Gaines is as good as anyone in S Cal at getting grass horses to preform well in their MSW debut in route grass races........works say ready

11  Conquest Dreaimin    showed very good speed sprinting on the dirt main track in his debut and tired in stretch........bad pedigree for for dirt......very good pedigree for the turf........might be able to fly early and clear enough of the field to find the 1 or 2 path on the first turn......believe he will in the race from start to finish if he does

10  Royal Journey 

 

race 6    above average clarity

7  Silver Torch     definitely on the right end of the learning curve and proven on the Dmr AW..........strong races when he gets to run off of short.......and 16 days off since his latest sure qualifies as "short rest"

5  Mistaken Identity   very strong seemingly out of nowhere 5F bullet drill.....and finally gets to route which he is so well bred to do.......likely in the hunt from the get go and might even get loose

2  Tuff Storm   lone lifetime win came turf to Dmr AW......that is the case here for this Mike Puype three year old gelding......and I like that fact he carries 7 lbs less today than he did in his last

4  Shacleford Banks

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Tacit Approval   route turf speed-ball gets a significant upgrade in apprentice riders......and......both career grass races sure fit well here

5  Lookinfor Mr Right   decent 1st ever on the sod in last.......and......the cut back in distance for today seems like a plus.......57 to 1 in layoff last says the race was needed and that he should be much more fit today 2nd out after the layoff

2  Practising   not to much in latest but her race 2 back at Del Mar on the sod (her only race to date on the Dmr turf) fits solidly.......and the drop seems logical as she hasn't earned her keep since breaking her maiden in mid January

9  Gabby's Purim

 

race 8    average clarity

5  Speedy Tornado    nice forward move in his last his 2nd lifetime start.......the race fits well here........good speed and only 5 1/2 panels to negotiate

12  Dance Dee A Door O   seemingly the best early gas in the field cleared from the outer-most 7 post in his last.....needs to do the same today this time with a tougher outer-most 12 post.....very tough if he accomplishes the task

4  Justonemorething   OK debut with a hint of speed.....but blinkers on for today likely will quicken him up early.....quite dangerous if it does.......good speed/gate jock in Pedroza aboard

10  Jet Trick

6  Townminister

7  Don'tpreachto Darcy

Posted on November 14, 2014 at 10:54 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections