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Del Mar for Thurdsday 20 November 2014

Strange that I had so many requests (four) on the same day to post Thursday's selection early. Four different groups are headed to Del Mar from L.A. or further on Thursday including a bachelor party of a dozen. Congrats to the Groom and and his Dad a long time customer and good guy. 

I am happy to say that I like the card and I hope I am right as very little beats a winning day live at Del Mar. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

3  Jedi Mind Trick    Sadler runner is 3 for 4 on the Del Mar (soon to be defunct) synthetic surface........2 for 4 with today's jock......and he is showing stout a.m. work to be at his best for what is likely his last chance ever to compete on the Dmr AW

6  Rock Twice    another Sadler runner who beat his barn mate and our top pick 2 races back..........it was his lone effort ever on the Dmr AW.......he also won his only race on the old Hollywood AW

4  Presiding Justice   done little wrong in 6 lifetime starts (6 2 4 0) and ironically was just claimed from John Sadler.......handles the Del Mar surface.......historically trainer Charles Treece is at his most dangerous 1st out after the claim......6 1/2 furlongs sure looks like a good fit as he consistently finishes up fast in the late stages  

 

race 2    average clarity

3  Hollywood Royalty   race lacks speed and this Canani filly owns some and that is somewhat hidden.....steadied early in her last (1st time blinkers) and was still only 2L off the lead at the 1/2...........good speed/gate jock remains up.......seems likely to be on or very near the lead here and the pace will likely be reasonable

6  Here's Bella   all but one of six career races fit fine in this spot......would have been top pick if I didn't believe that this filly might have some physical problems.......60/40 she's doing OK

5  Galehorn   John Sadler trained three year old filly finally gets to run at Del Mar where she has shown a fondness for the surface in the a.m. (back in August and September).......needs and might move forward with the change of surfaces

7  Queen Mad

 

race 3    above average clarity

4  Golds Venice   major league wake-up in latest her 1st ever at a route of ground.........solid work tab since.........drops one level.......Peter Miller and company seems to mean business here

2 Lookin for Money   improved speed in latest fresh off of the bench in a route grass race........and now back in 7 days and adds blinkers......believe Mora/Baze want this filly on the front end loose as a goose.......dangerous if that's where the two year old filly finds herself

7  Swiss Jet   nice forward move in her 2nd lifetime start and 1st at a route.........1st ever on the main track following two grass races........pedigree is fine to the Dmr synthetic

5  Chia Love

 

race 4    average clarity

5  Uphill Drive   crushed her competition in her debut two races back at AP in a mc 25K 5F grass race.....flashed speed for 1/2 mile down the SA hill in her next start (22 June) but stopped badly as if something went physically amiss.....off since but training exceptionally well for the given level of racing.......most likely last chance running in a 5F grass race until next summer

2  Siena Grace   last effort/fig on the AW sure fits fine here..........1st on the sod but owns a good pedigree for it.......can sit in a nice ground saving stalk position and attempt to ponce in the stretch run

7  Kohala   won at 1st asking in her debut which was a bottom level maiden claimer over at Lrc in mid Sept........like our 2nd choice she also owns a pedigree that likely will handle the grass.........been away over 2 months but her works say ready as she obviously was in her maiden debut

6  Hugh Knew

 

race 5    above average clarity

7  Madiba   SCRATCHED

3  Pioneerof the West   clobbered our top pick in last and might once again if I am wrong about the form reversal I'm predicting for the 7 horse

1  Cyrus Alexander   bad trip in debut hides his performance somewhat.........broke a length slow and was wide up on a solid pace..........did well to only get beat by 5L at the often difficult distance of 7F for a 1st timer..........blinkers off and improved works........and a pedigree that should appreciate a route of ground

4  House of Troy

 

race 6    average clarity

3  Q' Viva   hot trainer/rider combo the last two months........four year filly is very consistent and seems best at Del Mar.........lone win came turf to Dmr AW and that's the case today........likely last shot to run on it's AW surface as it is conventional dirt in 2015

1  Denotation   filly has run par like solid efforts two of her last four races......the two bad races came following bad breaks from the gate.......Guitterez knows this fily well having ridden her all six lifetime starts so hopefully he will be extra alert when the bell rings.......can be the controlling speed with a decent start

5  Rockin Girl   chronic bad trip horse to date but sure has the energy/effort to win this race.........5th new jock in lifetime race no. 6.......come on Victor Espinoza

2  Warren's Cracker

Long-shot consideration:   7  Jenny's V   filly has spent a lot of time on the turf but seems better on the AW.......1st on the Dmr synthetic.........but..........she likes the GG AW and most that do also handle the Dmr AW........and she just worked solid 5/8ths at Dmr just one week ago

 

race 7    average clarity

5  Bettys Bambino   SCRATCHED

6  Mega Heat    cut back to one mile is a significant plus as his record is (7 5 1 0) at one mile on the sod.........and this gelding just popped a bullet best of 43 5/8ths drill.......the best drill Mega Heat has shown in some time

3  Power Ped   very consistent on firm turf......and his "A game" would likely overwhelm them here........not sure if he's up to his best but sure will be dangerous if he is

7  Trend

 

race 8    average clarity

6  South Texas   debut which was at Del Mar might be good enough to take this........2nd lifetime race would beat these in all likelihood.......bit concerned the barn drops this filly back to a mdn claimer after stepping up and preforming well in a MSW affair

7  Gold Journey   nice forward move 1st out following the claim by Kathy Walsh who saw fit to take the blinkers off.......moved forward off of short rest in 2nd lifetime start......short rest once again today.......so..........that might lead to best ever.......and "best ever" sure fits solidly here 

3  Diamond Cut   ran awfully well considering she had little support at the windows (18-1).............might not have been all that cranked up for her debut........very dangerous back in short rest if that is so 

4  Cape's Rockette   SCRATCHED

2  She Got Away    SCRATCHED

8  Clem Juice

 

 

 

Posted on November 20, 2014 at 8:29 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections