Printer Friendly View Printer Friendly View

Santa Anita for Sunday March 29th 2015

Last day to save $5.00 when you purchase full card selections for the Kentucky Derby day. As in the past the selections will be sent in your email the night before at approximately 4 p.m Pacific time.

Different format for at least awhile as I want to give comments for every horse which means only the top two choices will have full comments and the rest of the runners will have abbreviated comments. After a full week like this I would appreciate any feedback you could give.

Thanks, your handicapper,

Rich Santucci

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  No Contingency   1st career mount for new bug boy Bruno Panicucci (ten pounds off) and if the kid breaks this freshened up Powell runner cleanly and we get yesterday's track (which was decent for speed types) he might never be caught

4  Traweek   so so race in last but ran a very solid race 2 back...........claimed by Mulhall in his latest and she got this gelding to work better than he has lately......so....that run 2 back might be in the cards this afternoon

2  Timeless Indy   Jose Periban is having a good SA meeting and is decent with "claim repeaters"......and this gelding won his last.....solid sprint 3 back at today's distance

6  Industry Leader    drops........not the best trainer with drop downs.......seems like a toss of the coin proposition

 

race 2    below average clarity

3  Dynamo Dixie   last looks like a little dirty up his form race to keep the claiming vultures at bay.......drops........gets Mr Bejarano to ride......and........go go go

4  Papa's Paisley   last fits well and would have been top pick if his a.m. prowess since the race at today's exact level was a little better

5  Sudden Rumor   drops and owns a good history competing at the somewhat "specialty" 7F distance

 

race 3    average clarity

3 Derby Glass   on the improve for the ever dangerous Ron Ellis.......blinkers on for today likely will put this gelding up closer today and/or help him sustain his stretch drive as he has flattened out a little in the late stages of his two route races

5  Bula Bula   likely needed his last to some degree.....what we want and believe we will get is his effort 3 back.......and a low % jock was up that day and a high % jock rides today.......seeemingly has a shot to fire lifetime best

1  Bentley's Gone    not the best of trips hides a solid 1st ever at a route in last.....can be in the mix from the get go

7  Larry Birdstone   blew an easy paced lead in last....but........3rd out after the layoff today.....a strong stat for D'Amato

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Saint Dermot    same post as his winning last.......same Hall of Fame jock still up........seems likely to get another nice ground saving trip again and if he doesn't get blocked (boxed) on the turn and stretch as he did in winning his last.....he has a shot at handling the step up and make it back to back wins

4  Brave Act   this time last year:   won (only to get disqualified) one mile turf to 1 1/16th on the dirt off of 21 days rest.........2015:  one mile grass race in latest........21 days later here he is competing at 1 1/16th on the dirt......hmmm 

5  Silent Ruler    very consistent deep deep closer in conventional dirt routes.........1 1/16th seems like his best distance

6  Lucky Views     dangerous looking speed in this spot and with a jock who likes to send early

 

race 5   average clarity

5  Jan's Spirit   like this Baltas claim......bred well to take to the sod and the hot trainer has put in some sharp drills into his new shooter since he took over.....especially like the 35:3 breezing worked just 5 days ago

6  Q' Viva   has fired to some degree in all four of her lifetime races down the majestic Santa Anita hill grass course.......and Bejarano sticks around with his record of (5 1 3 1) on her back

8  Birthday Song   needs to produce her lifetime best and in her 1st ever grass race this afternoon........stranger things have happened with the Cassidy/Gonzalez trainer/rider combo

2  Kantina Kowgirl    2 of her 4 lifetime races down the hill fit.......not out of this he she makes it 3 out of 5

 

race 6    average clarity

2  Sweet Silver   on the improve both in final time and early pace......cut back in distance sure looks like a plus.....should be in the hunt from the get go and with 1st time Bejarano........and the trainer sure has been firing on all cylinders for the majority of the SA meeting

3  Dixie Dame   done little wrong in two lifetime races (two 2nd place finishes) without blinkers and on fast rated tracks......gets both today

5  Haaay Sexy Lady   blinkers on for today and a vastly improved recent 5F work.....dangerous drop out of MSW racing

7  Powerful Girl    7F definitely seems too far for this filly maiden.....much better figs at 6 and 6 1/2F

Long-shot consideration:   4  Sparkling Peg    horrid green trip in maiden debut.......kind of doubt she can win with a low % jock up but a piece of the pie might be doable

 

race 7    average clarity

8  Thewandaofu    brutal trip in her last and a much-needed race off of the prolonged layoff since last seen in Ireland in Nov 2013.......major league rider upgrade and a better post.....seems like solid contender if she makes a logical forward move this afternoon

3  Nickels Way   not really a turf sprinter.....so.........that and going off at odds of 17 to 1 off of her layoff run in last says that the race was a gimme and that a full throttle go at a route can be expected today

7  Circling   lived up to her name in last with a wide trip.......would actually be my top pick if this race was longer but one mile is not her best distance.....still she is not impossible t0 come roaring home late

2  Gas Total   only 1 for 20 on the sod overseas.....but.....did work a strong 6F for R Mandella

 

race 8    below average clarity

6  Galicado   crushed his competition in all 3 lifetime races in Argentina and the last 2 races were Grade 1's..........away from the game 9 months but has put in copious furlongs of work for McAnally.......might be a special addition to the S Cal racing seen.....should find out today or maybe in her 2nd U S of A start if this is a tune-up......I obviously believe it is not

4  Appealing Tale   toss out last as he dueled on a dull rail and predictably tired......big race 2 back and showed he can rate if need be.....that can come in handy here

1  Secretsatmidnight   seems very sharp in the a.m. for today's layoff run.........2 wins and a 2nd the last 3 races Garcia has been aboard 

2  Majestic City    been awhile since this Ellis runner was impressive but he is a closer in a race loaded with speed.........and.......might feel really good 2nd out after the layoff

 

race 9    average clarity

10  Young And Hungry   par like efforts down the SA hill in both lifetime starts......and today I think he will move forward off of an improved recent drill.......and with a top team of Stevens/Proctor at the helm

4  Foreverly   no support at the windows in MSW debut which was down the SA hill like today and still he managed to run fairly well.......seems highly likely to show more this afternoon......mom has tossed 4 grass winners including a Grade 2 winner on the grass

9  Perfectly Majestic   bet hard to favoritism in MSW debut and just missed.....nice drill since....1st on the grass is the ? mark.......solid peidgree to handle it

2  Tizzling   debut last likely a gimme.....go today.......fits well here if that is the scenario

7  Top Floor   no shot in MSW debut as he sat too far back off of a somewhat easy pace in a race that was also down the hill.....Tom Proctor is very high % 2nd time on the grass

5  Ultra Sharp    1st time gelding and 1st time turf.....mom has tossed 3 grass winners........might be danger city here.....and overlooked

Posted on March 29, 2015 at 10:38 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections