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Santa Anita for Thursday 16 April 2015

So so card this afternoon. Friday's appears somewhat more interesting.

Best of luck as always!


race 1    average clarity

4  Mr. Count On Me   blinkers back on after being taken off for his 2nd career start and two recent very good-looking gate drills.....all set for best........should be in the mix from the get go

6  True Image   laid up since Sept. but returns as a 1st time gelding and with a work series that hints the surgery helped....and he takes that ever danger drop into MC from MSW

5  Jett'n to Maui   dangerous work regiment at Dxd for this laid up MSW drop trainer has been tricky


race 2    below average clarity

5  Yana   made a strong turn move in last which is often a sign of a horse feeling since especially for Bill Spawr are quite good......1st long (on the dirt) but bred for it......and jock upgrade to T C Baze who is coming off his most prolific week of riding in many a moon  

3  Seeking Shamrocks   trainer sure has woken up the last couple of weeks.......filly seems sharp just posting a bullet 5/8ths work.....likely to get loose in her 1st ever at a route and that is so often a dangerous thing in one mile routes with fillies

6  Spirit of Ten   seems like a good spot to rate which she is capable of doing and few are in this group of six are 


race 3    above average clarity

3  Cyrus Alexander   on the right end of the learning curve especially since the blinkers were put back on......won by about 4L two back and would have also won easily in his last if it wasn't for about 6L of trip trouble

7  Force   on the right end of the learning curve......and now the a.m. work is improved........I believe this Mark Casse colt is sitting on his lifetime best......which he needs to be to have a shot here

1  Rock Shandy   recent a.m. prowess hints he will rebound to his effort 2 back which would give him a shot

6  Battle of Evermore   consistent sort.......might be trouble if he avoids flattening out as he has been doing in two turn races


race 4    average clarity

6  Twinkle Toes   all three lifetime SA races fit here and her latest which was her 1st at a route might be better than her fig suggests as the filly that beat her by a nose for 2nd came back to win on Sunday in a mdn50K 

2  Dixie Dame   Philip D'Amato is dangerous sprint - sprint - route and that is the case here with his three-year old filly.......seemingly best early speed in the field........might get away and if she does it likely enhances her chances at earning the right to visit the circle of joy for the 1st time ever

1  Valentine's Reward   improving.......cut back of 1/16th today appears to be a plus

8  Miserable Blue   "best of the rest" is the best I can come up with for this young lady


race 5   below average clarity

4  Industry Leader   one race in his last three does not fit and he acted up prior to the start....toss it out.......just claimed by 4f drill put in by the stout trainer....positive rider switch.......should be a major player

9  Papa's Paisley   four-year old seems best on the SA dirt...............trainer has been in drop mode since returning from a brief suspension...........hmmm

3  Bob Consultation   finally woke-up with the blinkers off in latest.......and the race was a route,,,,,seemingly better suited for a sprint

7  Peacenik   eight year old won but in weak time and with a very soft set of fractions......might have slipped some....but obviously still dangerous


race 6    below average clarity

6  Super Ability   earned a giant adjusted for trouble (pace and bad position) fig in last.....stout drills since......seems better suited to today's one mile distance......Gaines is due to awaken....likely in the mix from the get go 

2  Global View   sprint turf tune-up in last.....aggressive works since.....right up Tom Proctor's is using Stevens........colt is (4 2 2 0) running on the turf at 1 mile or 1 1/16th mile

8  Midnight Storm   fits fine is ready fresh off the are good enough to be ready

7   Gabriel Charles    laid up Mullins five-year old is also training well enough to be ready following the extended hiatus from the track.....miserable meet for Mullins but small wake-up hints of late

Long-shot consideration:   5  Fly Lexis Fly   only lifetime route grass race was his best lifetime race.....and it was at 1 1/8th....seems better suited to one mile.......ultra impressive work regiment........back to Maldonado who rode him in his lone lifetime turf route


race 7    below average clarity

6  Field Report   extremely consistent......needed last and the drills since (especially for Spawr) strongly suggest that the effort did him a world of good and that much more can occur today

4  City Chapel    very bad trip in an alw race in last or could have won at 65 to 1........faces slightly easier today and he is an off pace runner in a race with plenty of speed....fits solidly if he can repeat his last with of course a better trip-a-rooo

9  Brando the Birdman   last two efforts fit with his latest disguised by a bad trip.......switch to Bejarano to gets things right

5  Success Rate   poor history on conventional dirt but a big bullet drill of 46:3H at SA hints that might not include the SA dirt


race 8    average clarity

6  Freddies Dream   last week was the best week of the meeting for Puype by far.........Freddy earned a strong adjusted or trouble fig down the hill in latest............impressive 6F drill since and it was just 6 days ago........bred to get the 1 1/8th distance

2  Papa Z   par like adjusted for trouble fig in his last.......and bred quite well to appreciate the 1 1/8th turf distance offered in the night -cap

4  Bold Papa   switch in trainers / nice drills =  significant......and switch in surfaces to one he is well-bred for = significant

1  Ace Deuce  keeps improving one baby step at a more step might do the trick

5  The Custodian   good history sprint to route off of short rest.....1 1/8th too far?

8  Book Thirty Four   good dirt routes but not very well-bred for the sod on his sire side of the equation



Posted on April 16, 2015 at 10:57 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections