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Santa Anita for Saturday 18 April 2015

Not the best of Saturday cards especially quality wise. Sunday's card looks good.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Dress Code    37 days away which is the largest break for this old fellow since Oct 9th......decent recent works......joints and muscles should feel good for a change......well....as good as they can at 9 running in race #68

1  Jackson Sundown   needs a rebound to his race two back which would likely do the trick in this spot......but the drop from 16K to 8K isn't very encouraging......toss a coin

3  Trucial State   late runner needs his best.....bug boy is improving.....trainer has done well with limited starters 

7  Kingpin Ryno   seems likely to get loose....but...... he does have a poor history on the SA dirt and the 1 1/16th distance

 

race 2    average clarity

1  Shakeitupbetty   better pace and final time in latest which was his 1st dirt race with blinkers on.......when both early foot and final time fig improve together it is unusually a good sign of a horse feeling better.....positive rider change....seems set for solid effort

7  Courageous Call   fronts off and/or T C Baze has improved this five-year old mare.......not to mention the trainer Ron Ellis who is having another solid SA meeting......middle aged mare should be in this race from the get go

4  Big Break   6 1/2F  seems like a good fit......steps up but steps up into a weak looking nw alw group

3  Blushing Angel   away for 2 years but might be ready enough at 1st asking off of prolonged tightly spaced work regiment

 

race 3    below average clarity

8  J and S Express   eight year can sit in a nice stalk position.......good history at 6 furlongs........very consistent since the blinkers were put on 5 races back.....trainer has does exceptionally well with limited starts 

7  Peppy Bolly   solid history at Santa Anita despite breaking poorly most of the time......three nice 3F works  seems likely to be a big factor late once again

3  Sensational Nikki   dull works prior to her poor layoff run last June.........good works prior to today's layoff run.........hmmmm

4  Moscato Girl   decent win for this filly in her latest and Bill Spawr is good with claim repeaters

 

race 4    average clarity

6  Pretentious   very strong stretch run from far back in latest into a total lack of pace up front.....back in short rest and 1/8th more to run today..........should be making a big run late once again at a distance that should be more to her liking 

2  Papacoolpapacool    3 for 3 on the SA sod.....those 3 wins were at one mile.......seems to have a strong enough pedigree to handle the extra furlong......should get a nice ground saving stalk position

8  Ride Hard Cowboy   3 for 3 on the sod.....trainer Molly Pearson did very well last year with her Tup invaders....especially for us

4  Hero Ten All   best of the rest.....gets the hot T C Baze

 

race 5  below average clarity

3  Believe Too   seems best on conventional dirt running at today's 6F distance......last is par like.....sharp 5/8ths work since his last hint that better than par might occur today.....hot trainer/rider combo

7  Domingo Cat   solid improvement 2nd out after the layoff.........sharp 4F work-out at LA since.......another move in the desired direction might be in the cards.......jock needs a win bad......he is oh so COLD 

1  I'm Popeye   needs a rebound......sharper recent a.m. work hints we will see one.....to what degree is the ? mark

4  Top Drawer   consistently tries hard......still likely will need best......rider upgrade should help find it

 

race 6    average clarity

9  Alamo   horrid trip in last......broke slow and rushed.......did extremely well to finish only 2 1/2L from the winner......gelded.......sharp drills.......seems like a ton today if the surgery settles him down

5  Forest Blue   Peter Miller appears to have this first starter all cranked up and ready to roll......new sire is off to a good start and mom has tossed 5 winners from 5 starters

3  War Destiny   needs his race three back......as good a shot as anyone if he finds it today

2  J Serino   big awakening in last.....dangerous if builds on the effort

 

race 7    average clarity

6  Diversy Harbor   best credentials in this race........brutal trip and no pace up front to close into in her latest......Gary Stevens will be out to make amends

1  Three Hearts   3 straight solid Graded race runs since Hall of Fame trainer Neil Drysdale took over......and the mare retains the red-hot T C Baze .....distance of 10 furlongs seems like a good fit

5  Walk Close  Clement does well shipping into S Cal.........sharp in the a.m. at Payson which is a wonderful place to get your horse fit

3  Fanticola   will attempt to wire.......tall task but not impossible

 

race 8    average clarity

1  Lady Now   best ever was 3 back which was 2nd out following a prolonged layoff.......same scenario today.......5 1/2 furlongs seems like a good fit

4  Spy Girl   up the track in last two races.......but......significant drop and her morning works hints at rebound.......very tough if she does bounce back to her race 3 back 

6  Grey Girl Gone   lone win in 4 lifetime starts came the only time this filly was up for a tag....up for a tag today ......retains Sir Baze

3  Secret Appeal   suspicious drop down following a strong race at twice the tag just 6 days ago........flip a coin

 

race 9    average clarity

4  Hazardous Dreams   1st time Dean Pederson and drops with a solid recent 5F drill.....like when a new trainer takes over and they connections are willing to drop....best ever was his lone race a route on the turf

11  Miltee   overdo drop into claiming.....probably lured into this race because there aren't many mc50K races carded for the sod....not good enough for MSW racing but he fits fine here

12  Gin Riki   another dropping into maiden claiming for the 1st time......trainer is 4 for his last 8 (and 3 others in the money) with such a move

2  Dually Affirmed   FG invader likes firm turf.......welcome to S Cal

5  Blue Harbor   1st time as a gelding.......blinkers back on.....1st time in a maiden claimer........danger city

10  Passinaflash   close in a Mdn75K (kind of weak fig though)....drops to mdn50K

Posted on April 18, 2015 at 10:33 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections