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Los Alamitos for Thursday 2 July 2015

Decent card on opening day as you can tell by the clarity ratings. Watch the racing surface early because opening day last year for the summer Lrc meeting (and the following two days) had a somewhat dull rail condition. 

 

Selection format has been tweaked slightly. Here is the new selection structure:

Races with 5 or fewer horses we give you 2 selections.

Races with 6 horses we give you 3 selections.

Races with 7 horses we give you 3 or 4 selections.

Races with 8 or more horses we give you 4 selections.

In the last race because of the Super High Five we give you 5 or 6 selections.

 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  It's Aine   only runner in the field that knows how to win from off of the pace and she has only 4 horse's to negotiate......and she sure appreciated the new Lrc surface last year (6 3 2 0)

5  Shy Rosa   speed horse's that ranged up from the outside did quite well at Lrc last year and it seems likely this six-year-old mare will stalk the 2 horse who usually has little left in the late stages of a 6F race

 

race 2    above average clarity

8  Big Hat Charlie   lifetime best was his lone race run at Lrc.....and.....the effort is well hidden as he ran wide on a day the rail was golden......he did well to finish 4th and 2nd and 3rd came back to graduate in their next start.......and last but not least he is a 1st time gelding today

5  Artic Warrior   last couple efforts fit........ especially his run 2 back and in that effort he had about 6L of trip trouble and he only lost by 1 3/4.......also ........apprentice rider Brayan Pena is starting to look more accomplished on a given horse of late

4  Coach John   been an every other performer so far in his 4 race career and today is the on good end of the pedulum.....like the switch back to Gonzalez

9  Thor's Champion   so so mc debut......but the drop and a logical move forward might put this 2nd time starter in the mix here

 

race 3    average clarity  

(AE 11  Octofy  has a shot if draws into the field)

8  Aiming Straight   owns some early gas and gets a rider upgrade.....gets to race on the track that she trains on for the 1st time this afternoon......and she sure has trained decently on the Lrc surface

3  Esmeralda Belle   exits a fast heat and she had a wide trip....her adjusted for trouble fig was better than par.......the ?'s are can she come back in one weeks rest and change equipment (blinkers off) and run the same race

9  Vronsky's Devka   last couple of drills for this Mike Harrington 1ster hint she is meant and ready to roll at 1st asking...... NOTE: Patricia Harrington trains our top choice

1  Warm Endowment   works - pedigree - trainer stats all seem good enough to consider this first timer as possible ready and dangerous in her MSW debut

 

race 4    above average clarity

3  Warren's My Boy   moved forward in 2nd lifetime start and now Mendoza cuts claiming price in half (mdn40K to mdn20K) ........trainer's 1 for 18 in 2015 but his lone win was with today's rider.......and the conditioner is decent dropping 2 or more claiming levels

5  Cowtownmary   decent opportunity to use his good early speed and get loose here .........and he only has to stick around for 5 1/2 furlongs......dangerous ES type in this spot

7  Dee For Dave    exits a very fast heat for the bottom level maiden claiming ranks in S Cal.....and he had about 6L of trip trouble.....so his 19 lengths behind the winner at the wire is not as bad as it appears........blinkers on and a sizzling 3F gate drill since.....not impossible

4  Spike the Punch   last was poor.....debut 2 back was much better......needs a rebound to the better effort and maybe a little more today

 

race 5   average clarity

8  Domingo Cat   solid wake-up in last and the speed effort is hidden by dueling on a dull inside in decent pace and predictably tired in the late going.......same effort on a fair track with a cut back of 1/2 furlong and he might be tough especially with a good speed/gate rider up

1  Takem by Surprise   consistent sort retains Bejarano in the saddle.......seems hard to keep off of the board in this soft spot but winning might be a different matter as he sure likes to hang in the stretch.....right jock up to time his late move and overcome his tendency to hang

5  Keepers   by far at his best at today's 5 1/2F distance.....and he ran 2nd in his lone race at Lrc......retains Talamo.......not impossible here by any means

2  Rainsford   Dean Pederson and company seem to have made a bad claim......but this three-year old gelding might have one or two left in him and if he does fits as well as anyone in the field

Long-shot consideration:   7  Outthink'em   lousy record but not at 5 1/2F and not at Lrc........gets both today.......interesting price shot

 

race 6    average clarity

(AE  12 Caliente Cat   has some shot if he draws into the field)

5  Leothelion   whole career fits solidly here.....laid up over 2 years and this is only the eight year old runner's 11th race but training well......and for Puype to keep and bother to bring him back tells me he is healthy enough (at least for today) to strut his stuff especially in the easiest spot of his career

8  Como Mi Padre    flashed big early speed in his last 1st time with blinkers and tired at 6 1/2F........cut back of one furlong sure seems dangerous with his new-found speed.....and he can win from off the pace if need be

7  My Count Silver    training vastly better off of the 4 month break and he better be as he takes a big step up in claiming here

1  Momma Tried   momma keeps trying but only has one win in 11 starts......but her only start at Lrc (run in Sept. of 2014) is one of her career best runs

 

race 7    average clarity

7  Soi Phet   seven-year old has only raced twice on the Lrc surface and those two efforts are the two best efforts of his 33 race career......and both were at today's 1 mile distance winning by a combined distance of 11 lengths.....that'll do 

10  Alert Bay   consistent sort based at GG seems at his very best on conventional dirt where he is 3 for 3.........four year old travels well and T C Baze knows him well.....should be tough even from not the best of posts

1  Spirit Rules   set a strong pace in his latest which was at SA and ran 2nd in a 150K Stks affair.....ran 2nd in this 100K Stks last year cutting out strong fractions that day as well.....had the one post last year and has it again today......gate to wire threat

6  Ambitious Brew   consistent sort has never been on conventional dirt......Mike Smith must think he will handle it as he shows up for this race which happens to be his lone mount on opening day 

 

race 8    below average clarity

7  Lily Pod   trainer/rider over the last two months are 10 for 22 in the win column as a team.......and this is only 1 of 2 mounts for Mr. Bejarano on today's opening day card.....and the works sure seem good enough for this Baltas 1ster to put in a strong effort in her MSW debut

8  California Girl   good-looking work regiment for this 1st timer starter from the Pat Harrington barn......filly has both good speed and good endurance drills put in which makes her look rather dangerous at 1st asking

4  Del Mar Ann   another 1st timer with a nice looking work tab......not crazy though about the 0 for their last 15 record for the trainer/jock as a combo......the best I can say about that is that they sure are overdo

5  Ebony Princess   not much in four lifetime races but she sure is working significant better this time around off of the 1/2 year layoff.....bred decently to be a good sprinter.......not impossible

2  Nite Delite   so so fig earned in her MSW debut but 1st and 3rd came back to win......so she seems dangerous is she logically shows a little more in lifetime start no. 2

1  Alyeska   broke slowly and then showed life in maiden 30K debut.......might have exited the race muscled up and feeling good for Kathy Walsh to step up into MSW racing

Posted on July 2, 2015 at 9:30 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections