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Los Alamitos for Friday 10 July 2015

Average card at best today. Saturday's looks much better similar to Thursday's which went very well.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  Papa Frank    Peter Miller is quite dangerous with maiden claiming 1st timers and he appears to have this three-year old gelding ready with a solid work regiment......and.......it sure seems like a very soft group and with a small field to conquer

2  Jack No   broke slowly and then ran wide in an eventful maiden claiming debut......continues to train as if he can run some........believe he owns some early speed.....needs to break better to show it so I like the switch to a stout gate jock in Maldonado

 

race 2    below average clarity

1  Mango Reward   needs the front end.......or.........so far in her career she cashes it in badly.......definitely owns the best ES......but...... she breaks bad about one-third of the time

3  Margie's Minute    might be dangerous with a switch in trainers from a low percentage one to high percentage one who is having the best year of his career.........and this mare crushed her competition in her lone start at Lrc back in December

 

race 3    below average clarity

5  Mudge   last was kind of disappointing......but......she has been better back in short rest in 2015.......13 days since her last.........not much speed in this affair and she has a little 

7  Powder N Blush   Leonard Powell is poor with 1st time starters but the a.m. work for this 3-year-old filly is too good to ignore........and her a.m. work hints she owns some early gas and that could be a major advantage in this spot void of speed

6  Lucky Heat   poor start in mc debut and then ran eveenly.......no support at the windows for an Ellis 1st timer suggests the rece was needed.......drop and a race under her belt suggests she might be a factor today

2  Warrenspoweroflove   last was in all likelihood disappointing to her connections.........so trainer Lewis has given her some time off and put in a good series of works.......rebound seems likely

Long-shot consideration:   3  Valentine's Reward   best career race was the lone time this filly sprinted......the number she earned that day sure fits here..........and it was her 38 to 1 debut........6F sprnt today

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Rocko's Wheel   ran a stellar (even for a faster than normal surface) 1:42:2 at SA in lone route dirt race ever.......off pace three year old runner likely gets a dream situation - plenty of gas up front & a small field to negotiate

2  Brave Act   very consistent sort when he is taken off the pace some......retains Bejarano.......should be in a decent mid pack position

3  Thesheetsguy   3 of his last 6 races fit fine here.......away for 10 weeks but working up to snuff.........does lose Bejarano (who has been aboard him for 6 straight races) to our 2nd pick 

 

race 5   average clarity

5  Lazy Daisy May   step up in claiming seems like a positive especially off of a strong work regiment for this filly who has been away for 2 1/2 months.......seems very likely to get a nice mid pack position......does tend to run a little wide but that was OK yesterday

6  Benicia Gem   last 8 starts when the rider stays on and when the track was rated fast has resulted in 5 wins and 3 2nd's......seems very deserving of today's step up in claiming

9  It's Aine   seems like 5 panels might be tough for her to get up in time but she likely will be closing fast in the very late stages

4  Silk in Silver   very consistent filly badly needed a rest and got one.......high % trainer especially off of 46 to 90 day layoffs

 

race 6    above average clarity

7  Favorably   6 to 1 for a Baffert 1ster in a 6 horse field sprint strongly suggest's his filly wasn't all that cranked up for her MSW debut and pointed to a route......so.........lookout today with a race put in that should have her muscled up for start number two which is around a couple of turns

6  Holograeme   jock upgrade and a much improved work tab since her last......seems ready for lifetime best for D'Amato and company

3  She's Reddy   solid move forward in 2nd lifetime start last year......so expecting more today 2nd out after the layoff.......1st time Bejarano for today supports the notion

1  Mahee   on the right end of the learning curve and might be the one to overcome if she can continue the learning process today

 

race 7    average clarity

(#11 AE  Cornbread Red  is dangerous if he draws into the field from the AE list)

6  Tough Sunday   away since January but likely a ton and one half in this spot if he returns ready as his last two sprints are significantly better than par and his only race at Lrc really really something running 2nd despite a BRUTAL trip 

8  Gutsy Ruler   stout history at the distance and last win came turf to dirt.....turf race in last......dirt today

5  Smack Talk   Vann Belvoir is often at his most dangerous with runners coming off of layoffs........and the a.m. prowess for his three year old gelding hints he is ready off of the 8 month hiatus

10  Roman Tizzy   2 for 2 at Lrc and appears to be in good form.....rated as 4th selection instead of higher mainly because she tends to run very wide and that makes the 10 post a significant obstacle to overcome

 

race 8    average clarity

7  Lucky Pirate   SCRATCHED OUT OF THE RACE

3  Blame It On Tekela   best credentials by far in the race to handle a route of ground.....but........needs to overcome a strong tendency to hang in the stretch.....maybe he needs to leave the booze back in the barn

9  Salty Kid   you don't see too many mdn20K debut runners work one mile in preparation for their maiden debut.......and 1:41:3 seems awfully strong of a work for the lowly 20K maiden level......seems dangerous

6  Pyrotechnics   new trainer /drops........seems dangerous despite his weak record on main track surfaces

5  Wild   fits if this colt manages a forward move......but........only two so so works over a five-week span isn't that encouraging.....although cut back of one furlong appears to be a plus

2  Mr. Pete Got Even   best of the rest and that's not saying much

 

Posted on July 10, 2015 at 9:42 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections