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Los Alamitos for Saturday 11 July 2015

Decent card today. Let's call it a 7 of the 1 to 10 scale of things.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

6  Celtic Moon   Peter Miller seems to be in drop mode and he drops this 4 yr old gelding who should get a nice close to the front position......much better with the blinkers off and they our taken off for today 

4  Kingsbury   back in very short rest of 6 days doesn't bother me much as he competed in a 4 1/2F sprint.....not much more stressful than a workout.....rider upgrade......good history in main track routes........seems primed and ready 

2  Warren's Rail Girl   best of the rest

 

race 2   above average clarity

3  Annie's Candy   very strong effort/fig in his last his 2nd lifetime start.......debut wasn't too shabby either.......repeat of his last should win.......debut 2 back might be good enough as well

4  Nuke Laloosh    Miller trains our top choice and also this 1st timer training well at Slr for his debut.......just bought in April at sale so Miller and company pretty much knew what they were getting.......seems like the one to overcome if the other Miller horse has a bad day for one reason or another

 

race 3   average clarity

5  Councilman   very sharp at LA (excellent times) and relatively fresh.......five yr old has won at today's distance.....hot/trainer rider combo.......and the jockette has a nice history with this fellow

3  Caliente Cat   trainer is dynamite with laid up runners and that includes with this fellow who has won his last two endeavors coming off of breaks.......Gary Boag has won 6 of his last 8 riding aboard this guy

6  Soul Crusher   improving sort just graduated in his latest.....good history back in short rest......16 days qualifies for "short rest"...... believe the abbreviated 5F distance will be a good fit

10  Cousin Ricky   interesting claim and his new trainer wins his fair share 1st out following a claim.......tough post though unless the track plays outside as it did on Thursday

 

race 4    average clarity

2  Don't Tell Jackie   works look good for this O'Neill 1ster especially for a two-year old filly maiden 40K 1ster......filly is showing hints of some good early speed

5  Seaside Fantasy   moved forward some in 2nd lifetime start and 1st with the blinkers on.......likely will need another forward move today to take home the top prize here.....recent 4F drill hints she might

7  Lady of the Lake   trainer has won 10 of his 20 starts in 2015......yikes!

6  Tumbleweedprincess   bore out badly in last.......but worked well since.....new jock up today......shot here dropping into maiden claiming if of course she behaves

 

race 5   average clarity

6  Dragon Flower   works are decent at Slr for this two-year old filly ......quite a few speed works and then finished up with a nice 5F drill.........trainer Rosemary Trela has won 3 of 6 starts in 2015 

5  Little Like Ana   works seem good enough especially in this soft looking field to compete for the top prize in her maiden debut......seems significant that T C Baze takes the mount as he hasn't been aboard for many so far at Lrc

2  Take Me to Church   low percentage trainer (8% for the year) but not running MSW to maiden claiming which is the case here.....seems like a gimme/go go go situation

 

race 6    above average clarity

2  Smooth Talker   away since mid May but this mare sure is well prepared in the a.m. especially considering the level of racing......rather sure O'Neill has this gal meant and ready to roll

6  Haaay Sexy Lady   three-year old filly has won 2 of her last 3 including her last which was her 1st ever on the Lrc surface.....so.....might be a good claim by Miyadi and the crafty trainer wins his fair share 1st out following a claim

3  Tough Annie   (7 4 1 1) on conventional dirt.......seems at a very sharp peak......level doesn't scare me at all ........but the distance does.....should be prominent from the get go

4  Smili'n From Above    fits OK but she sure likes to hang hang hang

 

race 7    below average clarity

5  True History   won her only race on conventional dirt by 8L (albeit in the slop at Tam) when wearing blinkers and running with Lasix........been competing on the turf since.......finally back to the dirt and this time of course on a fast track as it is more likely for the ground to shake than for it to rain in S Cal these days........stout trainer & rider

8  Watdifrentzitmake   trainer is hot and this filly is improving........like the turf to dirt and cut back in distance.......seems likely to be a major player

4  Asparagus   her grass races fit......can she handle the dirt......trains well on it

3  Zuzu's Petals   trainer is bad news 1st time at a route including with the often successful sprint-sprint-route scenario.......but......look who shows up on her.......the highly selective Mr Smith

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Ramona's Wildcat   woke up in latest and that is somewhat hidden........good history at the distance.....should get a nice mid pack position in a race loaded with some very fast speed types......believe this filly is feeling really good for O'Neill to step her up into a Grade 2.....don't really believe she is a Grade 2 caliber horse but this race seems like it might collapse and she could win a soft time

5  Sunday Rules   training awfully well and going for 6 in a row......never been headed and today she will need to go extremely fast early for that to remain intact

6  Fantastic Style  also has never been headed......popped a big number in last with 1st time Bejarano.....one heck of a brilliant filly to be placed this low

7  Warren's Style   route superstar tries a sprint......wouldn't like her at all today in this sprint if it wasn't for the nasty pace that seems likely to develope.......she should be flying late

 

race 9    average clarity

7  Pax Tecum   hellllooooo Lrc.......very strong lifetime best in last in his 1st ever on the Lrc surface.......and the effort is somewhat disguised......and 5F sure seems like a good fit

4  Not Enough Eddie   one for one at Lrc......and takes a logical significant drop.......most everything that O'Neill has sent out at the short meeting has been ready

5  Rock Steady Eddie   last was decent and was at today's abbreviated sprint distance of 5F....and today we get a major league rider upgrade

6  Land of the Free  over his head in last.....back to a level that he might handle and especially with a very positive change in riders

2  Znelle   low % trainer but not 1st following a claim where he is 23% with his last 39

1  Voluntary   best of what is left

Posted on July 11, 2015 at 9:26 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections