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Del Mar for Wednesday 5 August 2015

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Pat the Bear   3 for 3 when up for a tag......cut back in distance looks like a plus (solid 5/8th's fractional times)  as does the rider change.......remains sharp in the morning

3  Bobby Z Man   very consistent in grass sprints and sure seems like the best late runner and by a wide margin.......jock is off to a great start at the meeting and he knows this gelding well......9th straight mount on him

5  Next Right   owns dangerous early speed and appears sharp in the a.m.......has a shot at getting away with a hustle from the gate guy like Pedroza up

7  Okaad   low % trainer but not off of long layoffs (very high %) and not 1st start under his guidance (better than average).......1 for 1 at 5F on th grass

 

race 2    average clarity

5  Memphis   drops a couple of levels........better rider aboard today........last two races at 7 panels are good and better than appear in print

9  Justification   exits a fast heat of 8K runners......smartly and deservedly steps up a notch for his 2nd out after a layoff.....should be closing late

6  Congregationalist   decent history at 7F.......takes a logical cut back in claiming.......might have to shake free from the 7 horse

2  North Pacific   needs a rebound......enough time off to possible provide one

Long-shot consideration:   7  Atascaderan   might get away with seemingly only one other speed type in the race........has run well at big odds three times over his last 10 races

 

race 3    average clarity

4  Indian Assault   yikes - away nearly 4 years..........works sure suggest this laid up drop down for Desormeaux is ready ..........why not risk him for 25K because you would have to have some big (you know what) to claim a horse off of a 47 month layoff......and if he runs well but doesn't win he gets eligible (and capable in) for the protected SA40Knw2 races

3  Lassie's Reward   3% trainer to 22% trainer.....can handle convention dirt.......move forward sure seems likely with this significant trainer switch

1  Book Thirty Four   needs a drop and gets a drop........trainer has been hot and we get a jock upgrade......seems like major factor here

8  Proud Captive   might be a decent claim by Gary Stute as this fellow showed a liking for the dirt in his last his 1st run on it.....should be in the mix from the get go

Long-shot consideration:   7  Visitation   public work-out in latest........only win came following a dead last finish.......dead last in last........hmmm.......has shot to kick free......lookout if he does

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Katy Drama   nasty 12 post in last......much better draw today........sharp move by Miller to put in some endurance building works since her last as she has been a little flat in the late stages.....should be in the mix early and likely to save ground

9  Ya Ya Girl   believe the best animal in the race but once again draws a tough post especially with the rail at 24 feet.......Bejarano will need to get clever

7  Autumn Flower   all 3 route grass races fit.....might have rated higher if there was more gas in the field to flatter this late runners stretch run

5  Lirica Heat   ran well versus better in last.......that race sure fits here.....but.....back in 5 days is stressful....trainer has won 2 of his last 13 with mini rest of 5 days or less

Long-shot consideration:    8  Del Mar Ann   39 to 1 in MSW debut suggests the effort was a tune-up and that much more can be expected in today's maiden claimer.......bred just fine to handle a turf route....trainer is much better with 2nd time starters than 1st time starters

 

race 5    below average clarity

8  Lily Pod   MSW debut sure fits...............but.............. he was awfully geared up for it (4 to 5 fave) and sometimes these kind fall off quite a bit in their 2nd lifetime start......but if he doesn't he will be very tough

5  Audra   has hit the track weekly for an extended period and the recent drills on the deep morning track at Dmr are impressive......rather sure this 1ster is ready at 1st asking

3  Sturdy One   big wake-up in 2nd lifetime start and 1st on the dirt.........solid shot at the circle of joy with any move forward for today

11  Microburst   moved forward in 2nd lifetime start and will need another today........might feel good for her connections to ship her on down to the "big" track

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Mrazek   all three lifetime races fit rather well in this spot......getting used to (and proven) the inside having drawn the 2, 1, 1 post in 3 lifetime starts......red hot trio of Reddam/Gutierrez/O"Neill

4  Xingontothebone   might feel really good running off of an easy MSW win in latest........big race two back in a Stakes breaking slightly tardy - running wide - and close to a decent pace........gave it 8L of adjustment for my Santucci fig.......lost by 4L for the win

5  Viviendo El Sueno   useful win in MSW debut....but more importantly the work regiment since suggest a strong necessary move forward is in the cards for today....retains Bejarano

 

race 7    average clarity

8  Tara's Tango   whole career fits here......impressive tightly spaced work series with the last work a very solid 100 flat on the deep a.m. track which quite often is the case at Del Mar

4  Yana  best ever by far was the only time this Spawr runner ran in a dirt route (at today's distance too)........definitely can give our top choice a challenge for the top prize if he runs as well at one mile today.......strong work tab says he might

9  Conquest Curlgirl   done little wrong in 3 lifetime dirt races.......not impossible but she might need her lifetime best

7  Savannah Sky     similar to our 3rd selection.......all 4 lifetime route races are competitive but she will likely need best ever........... or.......... a flawless trip to win this

 

race   8    above average clarity

2  Divine Tale   all three lifetime dirt races are solid for the level.......they average a few lengths better than the par time/fig that it takes to win a mc20K.....remains very sharp in the morning

3  Take It Easyplease   should be tough on the drop into maiden claiming if of course her good health has remained intact....my guess is that it has

4  Avo   solid wake-up on the drop in last.....and like our 2nd choice drops again......blinkers on and a quick 3F work.....like last time she should be a factor from the opening bell

5  Sparkling Peg   needs more today with the top 3 appearing rather tough

8  Kenny's Girl   race 3 back fits.....need a rebound to it and maybe a little more

7  Heat To Perfection   best of the rest (never fit so well)

Posted on August 5, 2015 at 10:30 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections