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Del Mar for Thursday 6 August 2015

Card seems good but the track has been rather crazy. Something has to give. You think I sound a little frustrated.

Best of luck as always!


race 1    average clarity

3  Avicii   drops to enhance chances and take advantage of the ship and win added purse money......6 1/2 furlong seems like a good fit....has a shot to sit pretty behind the 2 and the 6

6  Two Steps Flor   just claimed off of a decent effort at Del Mar.......much higher % jock and trainer take over.....trainer has won with 40 of his last 120 1st out following a claim....that is impressive

4  Always a Chance    better on conventional dirt (7 3 0 2) but spent too much of her career racing on the turf.......dirt today and steps up following an easy win at two claiming levels lower......not out of this by any means


race 2    average clarity

3  Scarlet Emerald   eventful MSW debut which was on an off track......broke slow and rushed displaying a high level of ES.......drops into maiden claiming and that might have always been the plan as she went off with little support at the windows for a Miller 1ster........might get away with a clean break and wire

4  Aware   back to back sharp works in early July......dull two drills in the 2nd half of July.......likely to put some doubt into the claiming vultures........rate it about 70/30 this 1st timer is meant and ready

1  Mitzi Winks   O'Neill and company are in go mode and appear to have this 1st timer ready at 1st asking


race 3    average clarity

7  Kristi's Copilot   two strong dirt races last since but a solid 5/8ths work put in one week ago to finish off a good-looking work tab.......Marty Jones is dangerous 1st time on the sod and he does especially well in turf sprint races

5  Contemplate   nice grass win in latest......switches trainers today and new trainer Ken Black got this colt to work a nice 4F work on the sod just 4 days ago....seems set for another good grass effort

6  Saticoy   1st on the sod with an OK pedigree for it.....owns some dangerous ES and gets Smith to ride

1  Tribalist   did little wrong in 3 lifetime races in 2014 including a nice 2nd on the sod.......away a year but sure fits if returns ready

Long-shot consideration:   3  Gutsy Ruler   has sizzling speed on the turf at times.....1 for 1 on the dirt at 5F.....not impossible


race 4    average clarity

2  Second Proposal   sure should be a handful at today's much lower level if he returns ready off of  1/2 year hint he is sharp and ready for the challange......trainer/rider won as a team yesterday as one of our long-shot suggestions.......and they got hammered at the window

7  Chasing Heat   invader is placed well to succeed and is extremely consistent on convention dirt surfaces....has been running shorter sprint races but he has won the last two times he raced a 6F



race 5    average clarity

2  Big Discovery   small drop helps but more importantly the switch to Bejarano signals a "green" flag as the stout grass rider has won his last 4 out of 5 for Tim Yakteen

7  Admiral Jaxon   wasn't in the gate when the gate opened but showed plenty of life after that losing by 10L......he lost about a dozen lengths in the early going....1st on the lawn but owns an OK pedigree for it

6  Architop   last two eforts were somewhat disaapointing.....needs a rebound to his grass race run 3 races back

1  Alltheleavesrbrown   away 10+ months but Stidham and friends have the added incentive with the extra $$$ for invaders to have their three year old ready fresh


race 6    average clarity


10  Alizarin Beauty   decent MSW debut at Lrc somewhat hidden by a wide trip.....blinkers on to help focus........might be rated too low if the blinkers do just that

4  Princess Kendra   drop should help after basically running in the middle of the pack in 3 MSW affairs


race 7    average clarity

4  Istanford   2 for 2 on the new Del Mar grass course and both were at today's one mile distance.....speeds her game and she has more than enough to get the lead here

5  Famous Alice   solid race at 20 to 1 in latest.....and seems sharper in the a.m. since.......believe poised for a top effort......Stevens and his agent think so

2  Indecise   away 3 1/2 months but very well prepared in the a.m........mare has won 3 of her last 4 when placed in an allowance race


race 8   average clarity

5  Miltee   might be a good claim as this fellow sure took to his 1st conventional dirt race in a big way.....and his effort caught to eye of Bejarano and his agent

2  Southeast Asia   last time this fellow caught a fast rated route race was 4 back and that race sure fits here

3  Jens De Ville   can sit very  close up in this affair lacking speed...........and in this route race that sure seems like a big plus

6  Out Of Mischief   can't drop fast enough.......or maybe he more left in him?......toss a coin

9  Illybilly Boy   needs effort 3 back and maybe slightly more

4  Ghost of Navigator   needs to find his ability displayed way back in late winter



Posted on August 6, 2015 at 10:59 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections