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Del Mar for Sunday 30 August 2015

Scratching my head about the weak handicapping yesterday. I felt better than usual about my selections and the racing surfaces seemed very fair. I like the card once again today. We shall see how things turn out this go around. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity 

5  Light Striker   last 6 fast track dirt routes without blinkers fit fine.......no blinkers........a dirt route.......sunny forecast

1  Big Rosie Brown   seems likely to sit in a nice stalk or mid pack ground saving position and with the meets top gun in the saddle

2  West Coast Storm   likely to sit on or near the lead.......my guess is she might need a little more today to win her 3rd straight but she has been improving with each and every out since returning to California 4 races back

4  Runningwiththelute   most likely to grab the front end and her only lifetime route was decent.....Metz doesn't fair too well at the big So Cal tracks but might have a shot with this filly

 

race 2    below average clarity

2  My Secret Affair   SCRATCHED OUT    five furlongs sure seems like a good fit and his only grass race is better than appears in print....should be in the hunt from the get go

3  Kill Shot   another who looks like a good fit with the abbreviated sprint distance of 5F......1st on the grass is the ? mark

8  Pepnic   seems to fire his best "fresh" ............10 weeks fresh today.......proven grass runner should be motoring late

9  Giant Ego   last verses better and at today's 5F turf distance fits well.......would have rated higher if he hadn't been stuck with the outer-most 9 post

 

race 3    above average clarity

1  Stellar Wind   all 5 lifetime route races fit solidly here versus a soft looking group......has to go "south" today or have a bad trip not to be tough as nails here

2  Big Book   I have 5 lengths of trip/pace adjustment in both of her last 2 efforts and both were still wins.......still.....needs very best today and a good trip to take this down

5  Hone In   owns a record of (3 2 1 0) in two turn conventional dirt races........trainer/rider teamed up for an upset win not too long ago......should be making her move in the late stages

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Chasing the Heat   SCRATCHED OUT   last which was his 1st into Dmr fits well......like the fact he is very versatile....... comfortable on the lead or coming off the pace

4  My Slew   SCRATCHED OUT   claimed by Mullins who wins his fair share 1st out following a claim........Mullins needs to get the effort 2 or 3 back out of this 7 yr old........6F seems like a good fit (10 4 2 2)

6  No Contingency   claim back by Bonde who did well with this fellow the 2 races he had him for in the past

2  Magna Warrior   like his 2nd place finish at 7F as I don't think he really wants to run that far......interesting here cutting back to 6F

 

race 5    average clarity

4  Woody's Folly   last effort which was on the dirt is solid and disguised by a wide trip up close to the pace.......like the step up.....says he exited the race in great shape.......a ton if he handles the turf as well as the dirt........OK pedigree for the green carpet

7  Pothress   toss out last as he didn't handle the slop.....race 2 back on fast dirt fits......only race on the grass was a sprint down the SA hill and he seemed to handle the turf just fine

9  Gigantis   drops into maiden claiming for the 1st time off of some vastly improved (blinkers on) works........should be in the race from the get go......seems poised for lifetime best

2  Professor Berns    finally drops out of MSW racing to a level he fits.......not so crazy about the extra 1/16th of a furlong for today or would have rated higher

 

race 6    above average clarity

1  Hide My Heart   strong improvement 1st out on the Del Mar surface........and 3 reassuring works since....same or better seems likely this afternoon

7  Lucky Student   need to lead type has a decent shot at getting what he needs.......and....... if he does he................might........................go.....................all...................the.....................way........couldn't help myself as football season is right around the corner

6  Always a Chance   claimed by O'neill (20% 1st following a claim last 150) who needs to get the effort 2 back (6F) out of his new shooter........3 for 7 at today's 6F distance

5  Shared Image   on the improve for sure and just claimed......but this is an awfully big step up today.......not impossible but if I claimed her she would be in for about 16 or 20K

 

race 7    average clarity

4  The Gomper   steadied hard early and then ran a touch wide in an improved effort in his latest....better post and Hollendorfer is hot......should be tough with a better trip this afternoon

10  Chiropractor    also had a bad trip in the same race as our top choice...........in fact I would have selected him on top if he hadn't drawn the difficult outer-most 10 post

6  Fritz Johansen    2 for 2 at today's distance on the sod with both of those wins similar.....stalking the lead......likely to get that position once again today......hmmm

9  Forest Blue   sat too close to a brutal pace in last and predictably tired late.....blinkers off for today.......likely taking back.........interesting proposition especailly with Peter Miller as the trainer

 

race 8    average clarity

11  Sunbeamsfromheaven   lone conventional dirt race (albeit at a route) fits a ton here......been missing in action since the race which was run last December.......but.....training as if he is returning ready to roll........Hollendorfer puts him in at mdn40K which makes him eligible for the SA40Knw2 race

6  Blue Anchor   decent mdn75K debut last March........away since but drops a couple of levels and Glatt is quite dangerous with laid up runners returning in a sprint race

2  I'll Play My Hand   nice forward move 1st out after the D'Amato claim and the effort is hidden some.....very dangerous here with another move in the desired direction

7  Born to Serve   very fast pace thru 6F set by this Spwar runner in an 8F grass race in his latest.......has handled the dirt just fine.......should have the best finishing endurance of his career today cutting back in distance off of a grass race

 

race 9    average clarity   

9  Long Hot Summer     race lacks speed and she appears to have the most.......very consistent sort......let's hope that consistency shows up today

8  Native Heart  away a long time but working as if she is doing awfully well and draws Mike Smith......low % trainer but not the 1st out following a new runner that he receives in his barn

2  Mangita   need the effort 2 back and with a good trip instead of the bad one that she got......should get it as she has speed in a race that has little and she should be close up and be able to save plenty of ground

4  Butterfly Cup   2 for 2 at one mile on the turf.....last appears to be a tune-up for today.......especially considering the rate at which Hollendorfer has been winning of late.......danger city

 

race 10    average clarity

10  Rockin Rhythm   good speed in this spot and both lifetime races fit well here and his last is at today's somewhat speciality distance of 7 furlongs........hot rider remains up

12  Kiss My Face   good spot for blinkers on as being close up seems like the place to be in this affair.....nice recent work hints the equipment change has done as intended

9  Miss Star Maker   fired best ever in latest and it was at today's distance.....should be closing late.....trainer could use a win

11  Attaira   fits fig/effort wise but will need a clever ride from post 11 as he does not show the enough early speed to clear

8  Divine Tale   deep closer ran better than appears in last as she closed well into a totally slow pace.....but.......it appears another slow set of fractions up front might occur again today

7  Sidepocket Bet   handled 7F in last......rated too low if she moves forward off of the effort

 

Posted on August 27, 2015 at 3:58 pm by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections