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Del Mar for Friday 28 August 2015

I have high hopes for the next 3 race cards at beautiful Del Mar as I have studied all 27 races and for the most part the races look good.

Best of luck as always!


race 1    above average clarity

6  More Stormyweather    seems best on conventional dirt and drops quite a bit.......away for 10 weeks but training as if all systems are go

4  Keezheekoni   lifetime best was run turf to dirt and the that is the case today.......seems likely to sit on or near the lead and with Mr. Bejarano in the saddle

1  Nazareth   vast improvement 1st time running on the new Dmr surface and the race is disguised by a tough trip......and gets a big time rider upgrade for today

5  Flat Footed Mama   shot if last was a gimme for a full throttle go today.....difficult to tell


race 2   average clarity

1  Madam Aamoura   seems to handle any surface.....caught a touch wide up near a strong pace in an improved turf effort 2 months ago......that race was run off of a 2 month break........returns off of another break of two months this time on the dirt and with a much improved work tab......MSW start no.12 might do the trick.....rather rare for Baffert

2  Midnight Bella   last sure looks like a layoff sprint gimme to muscle up for today's full throttle go around two turns....the fact Bejarano stays up supports the notion

4  California Curl   both lifetime races are better than appear in print.......and just popped his best work since early May........not out of this with a better journey

7  Entebbe   on the improve with every start.........late runner might need more pace than anticipated


race 3    below average clarity

8  Codacious   all three races turf or dirt at 5 or 5 1/2 furlongs fit well.....5 1/2 on the sod here......2 for 2 with today's jock Bejarano up.....0 for 4 with other jocks up

6  Bonus Spin   monster move forward in 2nd lifetime out after a layoff seems like a dangerous thing......1st on grass but her pedigree to handle it is adequate

2  Desert Steel   on the improve with every start in 2015.....might be the one to beat if the trend continues

7  Moons Over Me   lifetime best was her lone turf race which was down the SA hill.......might want to run further than 5F but if she adjusts to the abbreviated 5F distance she has a shot of getting up in time


race 4    above average clarity

6  Matriculate   both lifetime races are strong and the works showing hint little has changed and another solid effort is in the cards

4  Hye I'm Jack   gelding has become very dangerous now that he has learned to rate.......shot to make it 3 straight wins in a row and 5 in a row in the exacta

2  Cornbread Red   on the right end of the learning curve........and might continue the trend getting to run off of a leg her up grass race

7  Tough Sunday   needs rebound to her December form......extra 1/2 furlong for today seems like a plus


race 5   average clarity

1  Ivana Beat Yabad   already seems to have the best early speed in the field and now adds blinkers.....should be prominent from the get go and likely tough to get by

6  Minster'sadventure   done little wrong in 4 lifetime starts effort wise.....she did get DQ'ed from 1st at today's level in her last start....should be one of the 1st to get 1st crack at our top pick

3  Vow Me Over   consistent when today's jock Bejarano is jock needs to push her along late as she tends to hang

5  Rush of Day   big improvement with the blinkers taken off and running from off the pace.......only grass race was a route and she handled the sod and the distance decently and that was with the blinkers maybe better with them off today


race 6   average clarity

9  Patriotic Diamond   might be a maiden still but fits here especially with a race under her belt ........nearly graduated in her debut despite a tardy start and running a little wide in a fast heat.......that race fits with a better trip.....and a forward move seems likely with Bejarano still wanting the mount

3  Later My Love   done little wrong in two lifetime starts......has a nice stalking style......pedigree suggests the 1/2 furlong more is to her advantage

4  Obey   2 for 2 lifetime......but carries 4 or more lbs more than anyone in the field and has to do it at 1/2 furlong further.......still very dangerous here and likely in it from the opening bell

6  Run for Retts   decent pace and final time........ another 1/2 furlong for today might hurt......might be rated too low if it doesn't


race 7    average clarity

8  Scratchmeifyoucan   significant early gas and a very positive ride change.....should be very difficult to catch if his form has held

7  Alpha Doll    drop makes sense especially with the solid purse money at Del Mar......good chance to get a nice stalk or mid pack position behind our top pick

1  Catalina Bonita   bad breaking filly moves way up if she can manage to break better from the metal monster

14  Canadian Exchange    3 of 4 lifetime dirt races fit here at today's lower level.....if of course her good health has remained intact

2  Lana Caprina   woke up in his 1st ever on the Dmr dirt......not impossible if she builds off of the effort

6  Allison Cole   improved many lengths in 2nd lifetime start......needs another significant improvement in 3rd lifetime start

Posted on August 28, 2015 at 9:49 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections