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Del Mar for Saturday 5 September 2015

Definitely a good card today but no doubt we will need our fair share of luck because the fields are large all day long. So my "Best of luck as always!" really applies this afternoon. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

2  Sky Mesa   bet to fave in MSW debut.....only ran so so........but.....new surface-distance-rider.......and some very strong Slr 6F drills......good pedigree for the grass and a route.......2nd time out might be the charm

4  Ring Collector   had his sprint tune-up....very solid in the a.m........the real real running starts today in his 1st at a route and on the grass which he is bred ever so well for

3  Osceola Pond   better post today might change that 2nd place one mile grass race run in his last to a MSW breaking win

7  Scatastrophe   decent MSW debut in the version of this race run on 27 July......not out of this by any means with a logical forward move

 

race 2    average clarity

7  Two Step Flor   obviously likes Dmr so why not drop two levels off of a win with the significant purse money and her last shot at running on the Dmr surface for quite a while

2  Papaslilprincess   has run well turf to dirt in the past......turf in last-dirt today.....another dropping to take advantage if the nice purse money at Del Mar

4  Oleanderpolarbear   lead type only has a shot at getting what she needs.....and if she gets it coming off a bullet best of 60 5/8ths drill......lookout

1  Flexible Ethics   ship and win player here for the added purse money.......good rider/trainer combo

 

race 3    average clarity

2  Beat of The Drum      big wake-up in last 1st time on the Dmr turf course........and the works since strongly suggest even better today......decent grass jock in James Graham

1  Majestic Heat   predictably improving as she comes from a very good turf family.........excellent recent bullet grass work.....1st time Bejarano.....should be motoring late

5  Indecise   last was a little disappointing......needs a small rebound......right trainer to make that happen in R Mandella

4  Cast in Silver   hot rider-hot trainer-and especially hot together.....dangerous N Cal

 

race 4    average clarity

1  Katy Drama   Peter Miller is rather stout dropping multiple levels and that is the case here......recent 5F work at Dmr hints she will handle the change in surfaces

10  It Girl   another taking a plunge in mc price......and Puype has scored with 5 of his last 7 dropping multiple levels......would have been top choice if she hadn't drawn such a tough post......1st time Bejarano should help

7  Bayonet   yet another dropping from the sky.....not out of this by any means

3  Chicago Angel   solid efforts in last 3 races since the blinkers were taken off.....and best drill in sometime........lifetime best might occur today

 

race 5    above average clarity

6  Arabian Leopard   just purchased in June for some significant coin and the work tab for this Baffert 1st timer suggests the returns will come in early and maybe often.......hard to train much better

7  Tristan's Trilogy   another expensive purchase (in Mar) and Peter Miller also appears to have his 1st starter meant and ready at 1st asking

10  Frank Conversation    drills are improving for this 1ster....might be peaking at the right time.......as in right before his MSW debut......tough rider/trainer/owner trio

8  Basinca   another 1st timer who didn't come cheap.......and just bought in May......not impossible but definitely 4th choice

 

race 6    average clarity

(13 AE  has a shot if draws into the field)

3  Hollywood Don   big move forward in 2nd lifetime start and the race was at today's one mile turf distance......same fits......more today and he should be very tough

10  Tiz a Billy   dueled with our top choice and was caught a little wide in doing so.....like our top pick ran a strong race and even a little more impressive.......but.....tough post or would have been top pick-a-rooo

1  I'malreadythere   broke MSW at GP at a mile on the grass..........shows up in the Hollendorfer barn 4 weeks later.........dangerous especially as hot as Jerry H is right now

11  Hot Ore   won his MSW by 7L way back in June in one of the early two turn grass races for 2-year-old runners.......training as if he returns ready........not out of this by any means

 

race 7    average clarity

5  New Summit   lifetime best (and way better than appears on paper)  was 2nd out after a layoff running at 7F.....same scenario today.....and a powerful 6F bullet work

6  Rockport Kat   strong mdn62.5K win in 2nd lifetime start and 1st for Baltas......deserves today's significant step up into a nw alw affair

1  Rockinatten   good sprint history (4 1 1 2)......tough trip or might have won this level in latest........swtch to Bejarano

4  Well Measured    2 for 2 "fresh".....0 for 5 when he isn't......fresh today......good history with today's rider

Long-shot consideration:   11  Tannersmymuscle    two straight rotten trips hides a runner capable of "real-time par" or better......not much of a jock up but it will really inflate the odds

 

race 8    average clarity  

1  Artisticdifference   checked early and ran wide and still won to break her MSW.......goes from 10 post to 1 post at one mile on the grass.......same horse with a reasonable trip and we have a repeat winner

8  Spirit of Ten   nicely improved since the D'Amato claim 3 back....versitile sort gives T C Baze options

2  Frandontjudge    Gonzalez gets the most out of this filly and remains aboard today and with a favorable post.....shot to make it 3 straight wins

5  Tiz a Kiss   consistent sort and back to Dersormeaux who seems to get the best out of this six-year-old mare

Long-shot consideration:  7  Sayitright Kat      hot trainer rider team......won a bottom level mc for 1st time Richie Baltas......ultra impressive drills since.....mega step up for 1st long and 1st grass........but Baltas is passing on a non-claiming starter race........hinting this filly is likely vastly improved

 

race 9    average clarity   

11  Songbird   fabulous MSW debut and the work regiment since hint this filly is up for similar and likely better this afternoon....M Smith sticks around for the hottest trainer in town

5  Surfside Tiara   another strong Hollendorfer entry........this girl couldn't have won more easily in the late stages ......and the time/fig is good......Bejarano sticks around

3  Pretty N Cool   2 for 2 lifetime including a Grade 2 win in latest......Baffert has a good one.....splitting hairs with top 3 picks

4  Land Over Sea   short on figs but I like the fact he is coming off of a distance turf win......might feel really good.....recent 5/8th solid drill supports the notion

Long-shot consideration:   8 My Dynamo   two-year old filly was very impressive in her MSW debut moving wide into a very strong pace and still won versus 9 foes.......might have surprised Bonde and company as she went off 33 to 1.........Bonde is a very respectable 15% with is last 60 Graded Stakes runners

 

race 10    average clarity

5  Atomic Ruler    gelding has learned how to relax and it showed in last winning as our top pick at 8 to 1........steps up some here but continues to work like a sharp runner...shot to repeat

4  Texas Ryano    lost about 3L in each of his last two races running somewhat wide  .....new jock today.....and by my book a better turf rider......should be a major player with a clean trip

7  Alex Rossi   likely needed his last first out in the good old U S of A.....1st on the grass but owns a pedigree that suggests he will handle it.......Smith sticks around

9  Zuri Chop   another invader who might be dangerous in his 2nd USA outting....and a major league rider upgrade for today

 

race 11    average clarity

(14 AE has a shot if draws into field)

7  Formally Wild   most often when a top trainer takes over an average horse it is only when the owner agrees to drop a given horse where they can win.......top trainer in Hollendorfer.....large drop

10  Wicker Man   solid work tab for 2nd lifetime start........won mc debut impressively.......well placed to win........shot to make it 2 for 2

5  Ain't Misbehavin   Puype dropping multiple levels......a dangerous thing......see comment on the 10 horse in the 4th race

12  Keegers   28 March fresh effort fits......fresh today and works hint history might repeat itself

11  Market Note   fits on drop down but likes to hang

1  Eagle Rock   last fits fine.......would have rated higher if it wasn't for the rider change

Posted on September 5, 2015 at 6:42 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections