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Santa Anita for Saturday 17 October 2015

Look for quite the bargain (for a few days only) next week for full card selections for day two only of the Breeders Cup at Keeneland on 31 October at a 30% discount or a cost of $24.50. That breaks down to less than $2 a race.

Same feeling about the race card as yesterday as in let's once again call it a 6.5 on the 1 to 10 scale. 

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Empress Rules   solid work tab for this Gary Mandella MSW 1st timer......endurance and speed put in......draws Stevens who has had a tough go of it in sprints of late (3 for his last 60) Yikes.......Hall of Fame rider can rectify that some here with a 4th win

7  Parasail   bad trip in MSW debut....bad start and ran wide.......same horse with a better trip and he should be stout in lifetime start number two

2  California Curl   showed decent ability in both lifetime sprint races......tossed a clunker at a route in last......back to sprinting for today

6  Don't Tell Judy    broke slow and then checked on the run-up.....showed some life after that.......not impossible with a forward move and a better trip in her 2nd lifetime endeavor set for today

 

race 2    below average clarity

4  Jonny's Choice   believe back too quick in latest off of a strong win 2 back where he won in good time and did it with some significant pace for the given day.......the one to beat if rebounds

2  Pray Hard   Emd invader exits two fast heats where he ran 1st and 2nd.......solid trainer with shippers in Blaine Wright

7  Apollo Ten   seems to be on the rebound and now draws the attention of Bejarano and his agent......dangerous for sure

3  Gold Chaser   2 for 6 at 6 1/2F........0 for 4 at other main track distances......also has run well down the 6 1/2 furlong SA hill grass course.....6 1/2F here

 

race 3    average clarity

1  Sutton's Smile   big run last summer in 2nd lifetime start off of short rest dirt sprint to turf route......turf sprint 3 Oct - turf route today 2 weeks later.............hmmm

7  Lynne's Legacy   so so dirt pedigree and it showed in her MSW debut.......stout pedigree for the grass and the distance.......away since 31 July but training like graduation day isn't impossible on a surface and distance that suits her much better

6  Shakti   nice dirt race at one mile 2 back........fits here if she can produce it on the sod.......pedigree for the turf is only so so

9  Lady Chairman   interesting work regiment for this Drysdale 1st time starter........and owns a good pedigree to handle the green carpet

Long-shot consideration:   4  And in the End   like her turf pedigree.......sprint - sprint - route scenario.....trainer has had a very good year and is an underrated trainer with turf runners

 

race 4    average clarity

7  The Cleanors    nice forward move in latest and it is disguised somewhat......dueled inside on a dull rail........nice history at 5 1/2F.......Sherman has been bug boy's meal ticket so far

5  May B   crushed softer in last.....works since are reassuring........5 1/2F sure appears to be a good fit

1  Finallygotabentley    needs race 2 back......vastly improved recent works.......rebound to some degree seems likely......jock is off to a horrible start in S Cal........might jump start things here

2  Soul Crusher   rather decent racing at 5 or 5 1/2 furlongs.......new trainer (off of the claim) wisely retains the red-hot Mario Gutierrez (5 for 5 yesterday)

 

race 5    average clarity

3  Next Book   way too ambitious in last.......but.......placed well to win today.....should be in the hunt from the get go

1  Formally Wild   last two races fit and it appears like a good spot for blinkers on as he already owns decent speed and there isn't much of the commodity here

2  Smokeshow City    seems likely to get a nice stalking spot behind our top two selections.......dynamite rider/trainer combo

6  Boompa   seems to be best of the off pace runners.......trainer could use a win or two

 

race 6    average clarity

7  Gomper   bad trip in last hides a colt who held his form......improved work tab of late........switch in jocks to M Smith.......trainer/rider have won 5 of their last 13 over the last two months as a team

6  Eckersley   powerful win in only grass race to date and it was at SA and at today's distance.......away since Feb. but sure is training well enough to be fully ready.....big shot if he is

9  Image of John   seems to be on a rebound of sorts.....not too crazy about a bug boy in a turf route unless their mount has speed which this fellow does......dangerous wire to wire threat

1  Grachus the Hunter   finds trouble but might be able to get a ground saving stalk position.....lookout if he does

Long-shot consideration:   4  Itsinthepost   improving with every start in the USA.......like the cut back in distance......should help him endurance wise........good history in France running off of short rest.......15 days since his latest

 

race 7    below average clarity

4  Caminetto   needs a rebound and his recent a.m. prowess (following a grass race) hints he is ready for one....by far at his best at 6 panels

8  Sacred Ovation   75% of his efforts at 6F on conventional dirt fit well here.....and.........all 6 lifetime wins have come at 6F........and........9 of 13 in the exacta at 6F

7  Seeking the Sherif   might be quite dangerous coming off of a 5F turf tightener especially with the red-hot Gutierrez aboard

14  Vegas Strip   33 to 1 for a Baffert laid up runner strongly suggests his layoff run was a tune-up and that much more has a chance of occurring today

Long-shot consideration:   6  Guy Code   blinkers on in latest made for a signifanct wake-up.....another who seems best suited for today's distance

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Dreamologist   might feel awfully good coming off such an easy gate to wire win.......race lacks speed (blinkers off the 7 a speed horse) and this filly has plenty.....and she gets to run one less furlong today

9  Singing Kitty   seems very dangerous 3rd out following a layoff and coming off of a nice turf sprint Stakes win down the hill......good one mile grass races with Gryder.....today it is Bejarano.......that's worth a length or two or three

1  Majestic Heat   Abrams to Mandella for this nicely bred grass horse.....sure knows the 1 post as this is her 4th consecutive 1 post draw.....seems like a plus....as does Stevens riding for R Mandella

7  Paulina's Love   3 wins for Baltas yesterday......blinkers off today in all likelihood to slow this filly down in the early stages.....needs a small rebound and maybe the blinkers off will provide the catalyst for one

 

race 9    average clarity

7  Mint Julep Taffy   best figs in the race and Molly Pearson is stout historically speaking with MSW runners dropping into maiden claiming.....not crazy about the rider but he will have to do

1  Exactamente   another dropping for the 1st time into a MC.......last looked like a public workout......doubt that is the case today.......stellar brother team

11  Amare   owns solid early gas in this spot with a good gate rider in the saddle......danger city

9  Of Course It Is   poor start and then ran wide in MC debut.....blinkers on to help focus.....trouble if the equipment does as intended

3  Mended   1st time starter with enough works showing to possibly be ready at 1st asking

4  Hero for Hire   decent drills but the trainer is seldom meant and ready with 1st timers.....needs to break the mold to upset here

 

Posted on October 17, 2015 at 10:57 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections