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Santa Anita for Saturday 24 October 2015

We are offering quite the bargain for a few days for purchase of full card selections for the 2nd day of the Breeders Cup at Keeneland on Saturday October 31st at a 30% discount or a cost of $24.50. That breaks down to less than $2 a race.

Seems like a decent card today.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

3  Tulira Castle   Miller seems to have claimed a sharp horse who has been part of the exacta 12 of 19 starts......should sit pretty stalking the 2 and/or the 3

5  Mistaken Identity   scratched from a $32K turf race on Friday for this spot......mid pack runner likely will get plenty of pace to flatter his stretch run

2  City State   Palma claimed and he is  a stout 28% win over his last 28 claims 1st time out following a claim......bug boy with his 7 lbs. break might be able to discourage the "other Speed" in the 4 horse

 

race 2   average clarity

1  Drefong   prolonged work tab with quite a few works of merit for this Baffert 1ster.....likely ready to roll

6  Student Body Left   good works prior to debut for this Baffert 2nd timer.....but.....went off 8 to 1 suggesting a gimme.....continues to work well.....seems like a full throttle go today

2  Hofferheim   another Baffert runner seemingly wound up and ready to roll

8  Legitimate   decent work regiment for this Denise Breuer 1st timer.......and Denise has hit the board with 3 of her last 4 MSW 1st timers.....mom has tossed 3 winners from 3 starters

 

race 3    average clarity

8  Frac Candy   blinkers on and improved works......both lifetime sprints fit well and the way in which this colt is working the best to date might occur today.....stout brother team at the helm

4  Purrin' Proud   rider upgrade especially so with a speed horse........owns good early speed.......trainer has been awfully good with 2-year-old maidens

6  I'mcomingthrough    fell off in 2nd lifetime start.......needs a rebound to his debut to have a shot

2  Hemakesmyheartsing   possible gimme/go here in 2nd lifetime start........wouldn't be the 1st gimme/go for Miyadi and company

 

race 4   average clarity

5  Roy H   lone race with the blinkers on down the SA hill is very strong both in pace and final time and supported by significant gaps to 2nd - 3rd- 4th........powerful a.m. works in preparation for today......seems more than ready for today's endeavor

4  Labour   late runner likely gets what should be a very fast set of fractions in this affair.....both races down the SA hill are better than appear on paper

9  Stormy Liberal   needs to bring "A game" and do it fresh off the bench....works hint he might......dynamite trainer/rider combo

11  Hawkedon   consistent mid pack runner when racing down the hill....will need a very good trip from the outside but has the right guy aboard to get that accomplished

Long-shot consideration:   8  Tiz Ladys Legs   filly versus the boys...... but...... her 6F one mile turf split in her last two are very fast and bodes well for her cutting back to a turf sprint.........especailly getting in at 117 lbs with her sex allowance

 

race 5    average clarity

5  Warren's Cracker   drops but the a.m. work hints this laid up mare is doing well.....and if she is she should be a ton here as her two lifetime sprints with blinkers on are very strong and better than appear to many

8  I'mwiththeblonde   suspicious drop???.......maybe not.......mare has only earned $14K 2013 thru 2015......and owner has oh so many thoroughbreds and just keeps buying more......and his trainer sure could use a win for his "meal ticket" owner

1  Golds Venice   lead type only so far might have to chase as the 3 horse is rather quick......hot app. up might help

7  Ebony Cat   somewhat dangerous looking Hst invader ends up with K Walsh.........invader just kept getting better......and better........and better.......and better......and........

 

race 6    average clarity

5  Papa Papa Papa   no shot whatsoever in debut.......set a sizzling quarter and did it on a dull rail......that folks does anyone in little lone a baby......sharp in a.m. since.......inside has been fine of late......definitely deserves another shot

8  Oppidum   so so works prior to MSW debut and little support at the windows for a Baffert 1ster......solid drills since........Gonzalez was up - 1st call jock Garcia up today.......obvious gimme/go

3  Police Escort   Baffert 1st timer might be rated too low especially if his drill on Sept 30th isn't a fluke

9  Jury   plenty of furlongs of work put in to finish well.......but doubt a speed type as I don't see any hints of early speed in her works......1st timer might be at the mercy of fractional calls especially considering this is a 5 1/2 furlong affair

 

race 7    average clarity

3  Om   very impressive Grade 2 win in last with the blinkers taken off.......same distance today and another Grade 2........likely patiently pointed for today's race ........should be tough from start to finish once again

2  Mister Brightside   GB invader sure popped an impressive bullet 3F drill 3 days ago strongly suggesting he has arrived totally fit......trainer won this Grade 2 race a couple of years ago with an invader

1  Hunt   decent 1st into the good old U S of A in last 1st time with Lasix.......excellent work regiment since.......Mike Smith hangs around.....more should occur today.....to what degree is the ? mark

4  Ground Rules   impressive wide efforts in last two efforts on the dirt.....1st on the sod but his pedigree for the grass is stout.......if it turns out this colt prefers the turf and he gets a better ride.......lookout

 

race 8    above average clarity

5  Dortmund   ran some races that were every bit as good as the Triple Crown winner/stable-mate at SA.....I firmly believe he wasn't at his best in the Ky Derby and still ran a 3 beaten length 3rd.......might not be that meant here with bigger things down the road but I doubt it as Baffert likely wants to build up this fellows confidence with a win

2  Motown Men   clunker in last....race two back is solid......good history with T C Baze (6 3 0 2).......nice 6F works......should make a good account of himself

4  Soi Phet   Powell's elder statesman seems to be on the rebound and gets in light......and back to Dersormeaux who fits the seven-year old well

 

race 9   below average clarity

11  Aztec Warrior   ample work put in by this O'Neill MSW 1ster.......excellent grass pedigree......tough post but the runaway leading jock up

8  Quality Line   big sprint race 2 back off of short rest......one mile dirt race in last......back in short rest for 1st ever on the grass which she owns an OK pedigree for.......hmmm

7  Canada   decent forward move in 2nd lifetime start both of which were one mile grass races......fits just fine with another logical forward move

9  Above Board   Baffert is 2 for his last 7 with maidens debuting on the turf......mom has tossed two turf winners....... not out of this by any means

5  Strong Values   obvious advantage of two grass routes under his belt.....but.....better run his best to date if he wants to get to the circle of joy

3  Opening Roads   1ster is training OK......bug boy in all likelihood will be full throttle from the opening bell

 

Posted on October 24, 2015 at 10:51 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections