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Del Mar for Friday 30 October 2015

Good looking card today with not one race rated below average clarity. Track was in good shape on opening day but my selections weren't. Looking to rebound this afternoon.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 9  at Keeneland   $1 million Breeders Cup Distaff

10  Yahilwa    capable of handling stout fractions and is also capable of running off the pace if need be......sure appears to love Kee as she dueled in fast pace and stuck around despite of it......and since she has popped the best back to back drills of her life on the Kee dirt

4  Stopchargingmaria   seems better taking back a little....and I believe that will the strategy here........solid work regiment preparing for today.......fell off some in last.....believe she rebounds today

1  I'm a Chatterbox   never easy for three-year old fillies in the B C Distaff but this three-year old has reeled off three straight impressive Grade 1 efforts.........( 7 5 1 1) since Jones/Geroux took over the training/rider duties.......up and coming jock has won some big races this year and can add to the list here

9  Stellar Wind   gets pounded at the windows and might finally go off at odds you can support her......seems to fire every time out......another three year old trying to stick it to her elders

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Knight of Drama    last two race sure fit well vs. today's competition......should be able to range up from the outside with a nice post for a 5 horse field

4  Lord Snow   useful debut......gelded since.....surgery might have done some good as his a.m. work is improved

1  Classico   bet hard in debut to favorite............ran just OK........might not be up for a forward move...... but......... if he is he fits........ especially with Mr. Bejarano up

 

race 2    above average clarity

7  Turn Your Eyes   nobody in this field is anywhere close to what this fellow ran in his latest and the 1st timers don't seem like much

2  Malibu Dude   OK useful MSW debut......decent a.m. work since.....seems likely to move forward....to what degree is the ? mark

5  Lucky Snow   running fairly well until ran into fallen foe........decent work series since.......might be fit enough but can the youngster get over the traumatic experience in his debut

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Hail Mary Play   won at 1st asking and since worked her best 4F drill .....trainer is much better than average with winning right back following a maiden breaking win

1  Public House   went off at 4-5 in debut at Dmr and won like a good thing....clunker in 2nd lifetime start at SA.....back to Del Mar.....vastly improved work....switch to Nakatani....rebound city

5  Sharp Holiday   one race stands out........that being his only race at Dmr.....it was a win and a win the only time she has competed at 6F

2  Aiming Straight    improved some in last......rider upgrade and a decent improved 5F rent work......best likely today but is it good enough

 

race 4   average clarity

3  No Comparison   beat the boys to win a MSW affair at 5F at Dmr......showed that 46 to 1 win was not as fluke running 2nd down the hill in next......cut back to 5F seems like a plus......good gate horse and 5F is another plus

8  Sky Forever   both lifetime 5F grass races were decent and run at Del Mar .....and retains Bejarano......should be motoring late

7  Easter Fever   away since April but working as tough Miller has her ready.....toss the April one mile grass race out as she doesn't want a route....she did show speed and will likely gun from the gate here

10  Nite Delite   tough post both owns some speed and puts the blinkers on for the 1st time....good speed rider to boot.....1st on grass but owns a... decent pedigree for it

Long-shot consideration:   1  Cin City Lady   5F on the sod is a good fit if she can exit the green monster in good order which she has trouble doing at times......good start and she might have a shot at a big upset

 

race 5  above average clarity

3  Warren's Purrfect   by far at her best on conventional dirt.......last was solid with significant gaps to 3rd and 4th.........decent shot to graduate unless she is a hanger.........she does show some signs of being one

8  Miss Star Maker   fell off in last......race 2 back is solid if she can reproduce it at a route.......1st long on the dirt but owns a decent pedigree for one.......trainer and rider teamed up for a shocker with a 1ster last weekend

2  Appealing Lady   has some physical problems (voided claim 2 back) but had a turf tightener and drops.....Eurton can do no wrong these days

7  Chicago Angel   has hit the board 6 of last 7.....but.....likes to hang......maybe the weight off with the bug boy up can keep her from flattening late

 

race 6   average clarity

7  Blue Law   nice stalking style and this gelding should be able the sit behind our 1st time at a route 2nd choice.....4 of his 5 lifetime grass races fit well here vs. this soft looking group

3  One of the Greats   nice turf sprint race in last but was disqualified for drifting out on the dirt crossing......looks loose today and if he behave has a good shot at wiring the field

8  Armored Car   not too much in two lifetime starts late in 2014.....off since but returns training like a vastly improved runner.....mom has tossed two turf winners....best ever today seems likely

6  Dylan Ward   consistent sort but his running lines and record has "hanger" written all over it

 

race 7  average clarity

2  Smokey Image   has won all 4 lifetime races by daylight......and his last 109:3 is cooking for a 2 year old Cal-bred........7F seems like the only ? mark unless his latest knocked him out some

7  Family Code   on the improve with every start both in final time and early pace.......if he repeats his latest he is definitely the speed of the speed.....and he is also capable of winning without it

8  Mana Strike   impressive winning his MSW debut at GG on the AW.........OK pedigree for conventional dirt......not out of this he benefited from his debut and takes to the new surface

9  Found Money   bad spot to try and use his early speed....good spot to attempt to take back and see if he responds....right guy for the job in Nakatani

 

race 8  above average clarity

1  Bal a Bali   very well prepared in the a.m. especially for an allowance race........love when Richard Mandella gives a Stakes horse a confidences builder........believe that is the case here

8  Big Casanova    impressive move forward having to cope with a brutal pace to grab 2nd in a Grade 2 turf race........best turf race of his career.....Miller might have tweaked something to get her to handle the grass so much better........if so......she might not regress and be a handful for her competition once again

4  Texas Ryno   nicely improved with the addition of blinkers three races back.....very strong finishes.......one mile might be a little too short of a distance unless there is some real heat up front.....then lookout

6  Kulik Lodge   trip play here..........2 & 8 will fly early and most of the rest in the field are off pace runners so he should be in a nice stalk position saving ground at least thru turn 1........dangerous

 

race 9  average clarity

8  Mothersnaturespell   drops below claiming price....sharp recent drill especially for Hess who doesn't push them hard in the morning.......race seemingly sets for someone capable of running off of the pace

2  Fab Four Ever    Bejarano remains up and remains up in a race riding an off pace sort in an affair that sure seems to be advantages to late runner

4  Scratchmeifyoucan    speed of the speed but at what cost today.....does seem to appreciative the new Dmr conventional dirt surface

10  Myrna Lou   in decent form & best at 6 furlongs......not impossible with a good trip

3  Aloha Ke Akua   plus: capable of running off pace.......negative: not so hot too date running further than 5 1/2 furlongs

11  Tribal Express   last win way back in Feb came turf to dirt.....layoff turf race in last......dirt today.....trainer loves a long-shot

 

Posted on October 30, 2015 at 6:06 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections