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Del Mar for Saturday 31 October 2015

Enjoy one of the top days in racing!

Best of luck as always!


race 11  $5 million Breeders Cup Classic

4  American Paroah   not the first great horse to get beat at Saratoga rightfully called "the graveyard of champions"..........that loss takes some of the excitement off of this historic colt's final race today.......AP is likely to sit on or near the pace in what should be a very reasonable set of fractions setting him up nicely to hold off the late challengers

3  Frosted    doesn't appear to like Saratoga and he is at his best with all the efforts (some hidden) outside of his two Sar races since blinkers were put on........likely will sit close in a race with few speed horse signed up.......dangerous near the front runner especially if AP has a bad day

9  Honor Code   steadily improving four-year old until he tried the Belmont slop in his last.....toss it out.......two straight impressive Grade 1 wins prior to that........1st time running past 1 1/8th but he acts like he can run all day and has an excellent pedigree to get the 1 1/4 miles

1  Tonalist   sure has the efforts/figs to take this race but he has something to prove when not running at Belmont......other than his prowess at Bel he is only 1 for 7........but lookout if the rain arrives and the track gets some moisture in it.....chances would definitely enhance


race 1    average clarity

5  Amberella   won mc20K debut by 7L......bit surprised they didn't place this gal in a protected starter race......but she is 5 and might have some while you can

3  Yet Anotherkafwin   one race in 5 lifetime starts fit solidly.....her lone race at Dmr two back......rebounds today

2  Altaira    nice wake-up to graduate 1st time blinkers in last.......trainer seems to have woken up some from the doldrums


race 2    average clarity

6  Pray Hard   not the best of trips in his latest hides a decent run......claimed by Palma in the race and Palma is stout 1st following a recent work hints he has this fellow feeling good

2  Hye I'm Jack   has developed in to a hard trying consistent sort......should get a nice stalking ever was at Dmr.....and at today's 6 panels

1  Hazardous   dangerous fresh runner returns back home from bullet drill at Tup.....trainer seldom wins in S Cal but lookout if he gets an "A effort" out of this five-year old


race 3    below average clarity

4  Jade With Fury   tepid top pick is best with ample time between starts and gets it......five year old mare does best sitting close up and has a shot to do that here

5  West Coast Storm   most likely leader in a race without much speed and with a 7 lbs bug boy up.....might never look back

3  Barbara Beatrice   might be rated too low if this laid up late runner is at full throttle today despite be away for 4+ regiment hints she might be

2  Awesome Luck   her 1st on the sod is better than appears in print (broke slowly and ran a little wide) better post today and a good rider with off pace runners.....dangerous


race 4   average clarity

5  Monument   stepped up a bit too much 2nd out following a layoff and didn't embarrass himself......has physical issues but he looks tough here if he feels good enough to repeat his last

2  Half Dome Dude    hard trying sort isn't too crazy about 6 1/2 furlongs .....but......this is a weak group so it is less of a concern

4  Dress Code   acts like he doesn't want to go "long" anymore.......back to a sprint might wake him up.....decent history at 6 1/2 furlongs (5 for 10 in the exacta)


race 5    below average clarity

7  Mokat   last looked like the gimme to tighten-up some and be fit enough to get a route on the grass which he is well-bred to handle.......rider upgrade and a good trainer in Baltas 1st at a route on the grass

8  Award It   so so in last on the dirt.....MSW debut (in a turf route) two back is better than appears in print......blinkers on seems like the right move as she has been far back in both lifetime starts

5  That's a Lady     works seem good enough and Sadler is better than average with horses debuting on the sod.....and this is a weak looking group

6  Lemon Drop Sis   bet hard in both lifetime races and disappointed badly........blinkers on.....3rd new jock......1st long........last chance


race 6   below average clarity

2  Canadian Exchange   brutal trip in last.....not that good of a trip 2 back either.....blinkers on and a vastly improved drill showing.......Miller is quite good 1st time blinkers and 2nd following the claim....both are the case today

1  Catalina Bonita   seems to appreciate the Dmr surface the most......and I like the rider switch for a late runner like this filly

3  Aparri   decent layoff race in last was compromised by a wide trip.......reassuring work since.......better trip and a small move forward and she will be tough

9  Motutapu   horrendous trip in MC debut.....broke bad.....rushed....and rushed on a dull inside.......very big potential but the same struggling bug boy aboard and breaking from the outer-post.....not good


race 7    average clarity

1  Acceptance    all cranked up and ready to roll.......has plenty of talent but is unproven on the sod.......pedigree to handle turf is better than average.......I'll accept that

6  Ground Rules   scratched out of a tougher spot on 24 Oct for this easier level......very solid dirt route races on fast tracks.......1st on the sod but like our top pick he owns a decent pedigree for it

2  Crittenden   faced way too tough two back & too wide in last.......faces softer today and seems likely to get a much better trip-a-rooo


race 8    above average clarity

1  Finest City   not much on the grass in last but race at Dmr on the dirt 2 back is very impressive........debut is not too shabby either......back at Dmr today

5  Pleasant as Pie   OK effort in last at SA but his MSW debut at Dmr is better.......might be a bad rider change as Blanc is 1 for his last 31 in sprints.....still it's a small field and a good barn......shot to make it 2 for 32

2  Stealth Drone   back at Dmr is likely a good thing......not out of this but definitely our 3rd pick


race 9    average clarity

2  Two Steps of Glory   solid sprint down the hill 1st time out for Miller........and Miller is usually better 2nd time on the turf......bug boy stays and that might mean it will be full throttle from the get go

1  Aquacate   not much in last but her effort two back on the lawn is decent......back in short rest today and just worked a vastly improved 5F drill.....and Cerin switches to his go to guy of late in Nakatani

3  Sheza Milky Way   3 races aren't much and the other lifetime race is......same distance - surface - track.......but a much less successful grass rider up than Stevens.....but then again Eurton is white-hot of late and is doing little wrong

8  Dreamarcher   show some liking for the sod in last........might be the sprint-sprint-route manuever for Hollendorfer and company

6  Zira Gold   definitely feel her MSW debut which was down the hill was a turf tightener as Neil French is very dangerous 1st time at aroute......and mom has tossed 3 grass winners rom her other 5 starters

5  Jeremy's Legacy   tough to gauge this O'Neill Ire import......didn't exactly tear them up overseas nor did she get much support at the windows.....not impossible but definitely 6th choice



Posted on October 31, 2015 at 5:46 am by richs · Permalink
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