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Los Alamitos for Saturday 12 December 2015

Decent card today as you can tell by the clarity ratings assigned. Sunday's card also looks quite good.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    above average clarity

5  Mistaken Identity   very good figs running on main track surfaces at 8 or 8 1/2 furlongs.....and his latest is hidden as he ran wide up near the pace on a slightly biased rail ......seems likely to track our 2nd choice in good position

2  Knock Em Flat   has been facing better with little success.......drop helps as does the fact he gets what he needs as in a loose lead......meets leading rider is up

3  Dress Code   declining nine-year-old might perk up at his most successful career distance (22 6 6 4)

 

race 2    below average clarity

5  Sacred Ovation   3 for 3 at Lrc and looks loose on the front end with one of the more dangerous speed riders at the abbreviated Lrc meeting in Maldonado........12 of 20 in the exacta on main track surfaces

1  I B Mike   Belvoir is quite successful dropping multiple levels ( 28% with last 40).....last effort is rather dull but the works since are not........form reversal seems likely

3  Love de Car   hot rider/trainer combo.....cut back of 1/2 furlong looks like a plus......placed well to succeed and grab a 2nd straight trip to the circle of joy

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Darling Grace   best lifetime race by far was his lone effort at Lrc which was run on 2 July........beat 6 of 11 foes in a MSW affair running a 4 beaten length 5th and did it with a wide trip......Arias rode that day.......T C Baze up today......solid work regiment

2  Miz Graycee   away almost one year but she sure is working well (plenty of furlongs put in to get the 7F fresh off of the bench) especially considering today's maiden claiming level.......and........she is not eligible to be claimed....such a deal

5  Miss Bliss    race 2 back sure fits.......last does not.......big bullet 5/8ths work hints at a rebound........would have rated higher if this race was shorter as her running lines hint that she might flatten at today's extended sprint distance of 7F

4  Audra

 

race 4    average clarity

4  Mybabykim   often when a trainer (especially a Hall of Fame trainer in Hollendorfer) agrees to take over a cheap claimer they do so under an agreement with the owners to place the horse where he has a very strong chance of winning.....that appears to be the scenario here

1  Sayitright Kat   Richard Baltas has done well with limited starters at the meeting.......rider upgrade to Gonzalez who has 9 wins at the meet with his closest challenger sitting on 5 wins

5  Warren's Cracker   improved since the blinkers were put on 7 races back...........good race/ bad race type.......bad race in last......good race 2 back which was not much figure wise but I like the fact she ran 2nd and 1st and 3rd came back to win their next out

 

race 5    average clarity

6  Cool Green    finally gets to run off of short rest and that is especially significant for somewhat like Doug O'Neill .......gets a positive rider change to the meetings top gun.......1st at a route but his pedigree seems fine for one

5  Action Hero   wide trip in layoff last (which was at today's 8F distance) resulted in a decent 3rd when you consider the trip.....better journey today and he likely will be a major factor when push comes to shove in the late stages of the race

2  Picasso's Mandolin   so so in 2nd lifetime start......very good MSW debut.........sprint-sprint-route maneuver.......right up the Ron Ellis alley

 

race 6    average clarity

1  Kellianne Can Can   turf route in latest was decent and more importantly likely muscled up this filly for today's one mile dirt race......and.......I like her pedigree for dirt more than turf

4  Pico Chick   on the improve with every start.....tries a route for the first time in her 4th start......should be in the hunt from the get go and with the hot riding Gonzalez up

7  Nine Point Nine   on the improve since the Cerin claim and a nice reassuring 4F drill put in just 3 days ago......feeling good....decent shot for another move in the desired direction

3  Room On the Broom

 

race 7    above average clarity

9  Found Money   2 wins and 2 2nd's when not running in Graded races.....O'Neill youngster has earned twice as much money than anyone in the race......rider/trainer/owner sure have had a great year as a trio

8  Glory Bound   vastly improved since switching to route racing........and retains the rider who was up for those route races........Maldonado likely needs to avoid a speed duel one way or another

3  Record Highs   wide trip in latest somewhat hides a rebound in form for this two-year colt trained bt Carla Gaines.....and draws Bejarano for his 1st ever at a route.......smart move

7  Tough It Out

Long-shot consideration:  2  Swiss Minister   on the improve with every start and his latest effort is nicely disguised as he ran wide on a day at Del Mar where the rail was golden......and I believe Quinonez will be in no hurry early......which.......might be a good thing in this affair with plenty of speed types

 

race 8    average clarity

3  Stays in Vegas   great trainer in Hollendorfer developing young fillies......4 for 5 lifetime.......believe she is extremely fit coming off of two straight turf wins and working extremely well

4  Pacific Heat   Cal-bred crushed her competition in both lifetime races with efforts/figs that fit if she can run similar today 1st time in a route......pedigree to get the two turns as a two-year-old is decent

2  Street Fancy    1st at a route today seems like a positive........and a good pedigree for one......D'Amato is stout 1st time at a route with a given horse.....draws Mike Smith away from his mini-vacation

1  Treasuring

Long-shot consideration:   7  Mama's Sugar   very strong MSW debut 6L win as she made a strong early move into a strong 1/2 mile and still pulled away in the stretch......and I sure like her pedigree to get a route of ground

 

race 9    average clarity

7  Two Steps of Glory   woke up some with the blinkers put on in his latest.......back to back (only 3 days apart) decent drills since......seems likely to move forward if he handles his 1st ever at Lrc.....tough if he does

4  B K Miss   par like debut for this Knapp youngster.......repeat of the effort might do the trick.......any move forward this afternoon and I likely should have put her fanny on top

10  Reinahermosa   all 3 lifetime races at 5 1/2 furlongs fit here and all occurred at Lrc......trainer seldom wins but might break the mold here

6  Betty's Joy

2  Avaudrey

3  Dixie Spice

Posted on December 12, 2015 at 9:04 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections