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Los Alamitos for Thursday 17 December 2015

Four days left at this Lrc winter meeting. Field size sure improves on Friday (which also is a good card handicapping wise) with an average field size of 9 horses.  

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1   below average clarity

1  Secret Appeal   away since April but all three lifetime dirt races fit solidly at today's level and she draws the red-hot Maldonado who has been getting on live horses and getting the job done (19 for 32 in the exacta at the meeting)

3  Annisquam   nice win in 3rd lifetime start and did so on a drop......so.......3rd out following a four-month respite (and with a drop) seems like a dangerous proposition

4  Ebony Cat   exits a key field where this three-year old filly unwisely pressed one of the fastest cheap speed horses on the grounds......like her chances better if she sits a length or two off of the likely speed in the race in the 2 horse

 

race 2   average clarity

2  Individual Design   obvious gimme in her layoff last placed over her head in a protected race.......prior 3 races were daylight wins on the dirt at Cby by an average of over 5 1/2 lengths......full throttle go today

5  Thundering Gale   bad claim by Baltas and friends......drops to cut loses......or.......claim me please........recent a.m. work leans on the side of "drops to cut loses"

3  No Tricks for Jack    1st out following a Javier Sierra claim is often a good thing (5 for his last 19) and his new shooter sure likes the distance........bit concerned about her lone effort at Lrc being so dull or would have rated higher

 

race 3   average clarity

5  Heavenly Haze   significant wake-up in latest back on her favorite surface (Lrc)........Spawr and company are willing to drop a little as this is likely her last chance to run on its surface until April

1  Cowtownmary   one-dimensional speed type will need to put away our 4th selection and do so without putting himself away as well.......as in a reasonably fast but not suicidal pace

3  Preordained   seems likely to set up some for his off pace style and if it does he will still need to break his habit of hanging in the stretch drive

2  Sunday Pulpit

 

race 4   average clarity

5  Wildman Hart   flashed significant early speed in his lone lifetime race back in March.......away since and returns as a first time gelding for Peter Miller (9 for 15 in the exacta at the meeting) with a couple of very strong bullet drills showing.......rather sure very fit and ready .......should be in the race from the get go

4  Fusaichi Samurai   solid work regiment for this Bob Baffert 1st time starter and all of the works were at LA......and.......mom has tossed 3 winners from 4 starters one of which was a Stakes winner......hard not to like

3  Elegant Street   flashed brilliant speed on the grass in both lifetime races......been absent for 4 1/2 months but training as if he is ready just as he was running 3rd in his MSW debut and doing so with one of the lower percentage riders in S Cal aboard......hot rider up in Gonzalez this time around.......bred fine for the dirt

6  Moon Silk

 

race 5   average clarity

6  Melanie Rose   four-year old filly has been facing better at GG and appears to be lured into a two level drop because of the soft condition of this race (nw 2015 $8K).....and......high % N Cal trainer John Martin has shown multiple times that he isn't afraid to lose a horse

4  Oleanderpolarbear   big step up off of the claim (back) by Jose Moreno but sure appears to be loose here......trainer did well with this filly earlier in the year........dangerous

2  Patti D' Maria    off pace type should be motoring late in this affair full of runners that likely will find 5 1/2 furlongs a bit too far

8  Smil'n From Above

 

race 6  below average clarity

2  Octofy   seems like a good spot 1st following the claim for Cerin and company as this two-year old filly ran her best to date (and a solid fit here) in her lone endeavor at Lrc.....and it was at today's 5 1/2 furlongs

4  Some Caan Job   cut back of 1/2 furlong seems like the key as this filly sure flattens out badly at 6F.......lone win came in her only effort at today's 5 1/2 panels

3  Pretty Enough   impressive recovery in her latest as she checked hard on the turn and still was able to gather herself and finish with some vigor.......lone lifetime win was at today's 5 1/2F and at Lrc

6  One Bye Two

 

race 7   below average clarity

3  Light Striker   expecting a "surface wake up" today for this four-year old filly as she doesn't seem to care for the Dmr dirt and handles the Lrc surface just fine......and she just ran her Dmr best in her last

2  Toomanytomatoes   by far at her best running at today's one mile distance........has been headed in the right direction since she was claimed by Kitchingman 3 races back.......1st on the Lrc surface is a ? mark

5  Margie's Minute   after a very long slump just about everything Marty Jones has put on the track the last couple of months has been dangerous.....big race at Lrc at one mile on 10 July following a grass race.........last race was on the grass........hmmm

 

race 8   below average clarity

6  Secret Room   tepid top choice is working well for Eurton who seldom wins with 1st time starters but he has had one heck of a nice 2nd half of 2015 and might break the mold here considering the way he has been going

9  Uluckydevil    solid forward move in 2nd lifetime start and the effort is disguised by a bad trip (poor start and wide).....sharp in the a.m. since......better trip and another forward move and this two-year old gelding should be tough

10  H R Express   nice improvement in 2nd lifetime start both in pace and final time......like our 2nd choice he should be a major factor with another move in the desired direction

5  Gone With It

8  Mr. Game Seven

2  Soap Box

 

 

 

Posted on December 17, 2015 at 6:49 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections