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Santa Anita for Sunday 27 December 2015

OK card today. Let's call it a 6 on the 1 to 10 scale of things

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

1  The Custodian    there is "lone speed" but there is also "lone closer" which this four-year old gelding happens to be in this affair........this fellow has been improved since the blinkers were put on......does like to hang but might not versus this group

6  Inexcess Time   best ever was his lone effort at SA which was run two races back and run at today's six furlongs.........seems likely to rebound back on its surface this afternoon........good chance to sit mid pack in this spot which suites him well

2  Garrapata Beach   vastly improved in his latest which was run 10 weeks ago......has stayed in training since that race and steps up quite a bit hinting Glatt has discovered the trump card for his three-year old......dangerous multi level step up here

 

race 2    average clarity

2  Sweet Queen   won her debut quite easily dueling thru a quarter-mile and then leaving her foes in the dust.......it is a significant jump from MC 62.5K to a 75K Stakes but this filly owns a pedigree that should love the sod and the one mile distance

1  Family Meeting   2 for 2 on the grass with her last a Grade 3 win.....only rated 2nd and not 1st because I am a touch concerned about her weak a.m. work since her winning last.....she has always worked well but not recently

7  Mirage   fell off in latest....needs a rebound to either of her previous two efforts one of which was at SA in a one mile grass race.....gets Rosario to help get that rebound out of her.....like that Sadler saw fit to work him in the mud (and in decent time) just 4 days ago......that shows big intent

3  Belvoir Bay

 

race 3    average clarity

3  Heed to Speed   no shot 1st time out after the Miller claim and 1st time running at a route as she dueled in a fast quarter on a dull inside and predictably cashed it in.......should have plenty of endurance put into to her to finish strongly cutting cut back to a sprint today

6  Straight N Strong   need to lead type seemingly has a shot at the front end here......and figs/efforts when he snatched the lead fit well at today's lower level

7  Old Hollywood   worked well prior to her debut but didn't run well.......working well since her debut and now drops out of MSW......deserves another shot

4  Lucky Cherry

 

race 4    average clarity

3  Uninvited    seems highly likely to sit on or near the lead here.........exits a very fast MSW two year old heat where the time was 4 clicks faster than the nw alw race run that day for two-year old runners

6  French Getaway   solid forward move in 2nd lifetime start..........sprint-sprint-route sceanrio for today.........and........his pedigree screams " R O U T E  R A C I N G "

1  Trojan Nation   solid par like run in 2nd lifetime start and 1st ever at a route........nice a.m. work since........seems poised for another forward move........if so he should be a major factor here

2  Hoffenheim

 

race 5    average clarity

2  Guns Loaded  claim back by O'Neill after the crafty trainer lost him for one race.......four year old hasn't sen the SA hill in some time but one of his lifetime best races was on it......sharp recent 4F work.........the guns loaded and ready to fire

9  Cit of Vengeance   took TO the SA hill in a big way almost pulling off a 27 to 1 upset......seemingly needs the lead to win and has good chance of getting it here

12  Incline Village   good history down the majestic Santa Anita hill turf course (9 3 2 1)........has been successful loose on the lead or siting just off of it.....that gives Quinonez options

13  Zuri Chop

 

race 6    below average clarity

2  Northern Iowa   bad trips in last two races hide his decent form.......rider upgrade......good history back in short rest......a trifecta of good reasons to consider

6  Tiz Jolie   dull effort in latest........race two back is quite strong........the one to beat if he manages a rebound to that effort

4  Eagle Rock    races lacks speed and this three-year old has some.......Denise Breuer has done a decent job training limited starters.....as in 13 (2 wins and 7 in the money)

9  Crazy Al

 

race 7    average clarity

8  Roy H   whole 6 race career has been on the sod but his breeding is just fine for the dirt as well........and he sure has trained on the dirt at Slr like he has the potential to be better on the dirt.....and he is not too shabby on the turf

4  Dream Team   Baffert is dynamite route to sprint (37% win over the last 87) and that is the scenario here.........sharp recent 4F bullet work should put some more speed into him.......seems likely to be able to sit in a nice stalk position

1  Wolf Man Rocket   Baffert three-year old colt has done little wrong in 4 lifetime starts.........been away from the game since May but he fits well in this spot if this isn't a tune-up for bigger and better things done the road

3  Logan's Moon

 

race 8   average clarity

7  Stormy Lucy   won a Grade 1 in latest at 65 to 1 and shows two decent reassuring since at GG......Grade 3 today and a soft looking one at that......should be tough if she has held her form

2  Three Hearts   very consistent on firm rated turf.......Drysdale is often at his most dangerous 3rd out after a layoff which is the case here.....should have some pop left at today's 1 1/8th turf distance coming off of a 3rd place (also a Grade 3) finish at 1 3/8th

12  Glory   might feel really good coming off of a stress free soft paced loose lead which led to an easy win......and she should love the extra 1/16th with her pedigree that screams "the longer the better"........and Mr Smith sticks around

8  Fresh Feline

Long-shot consideration:   6  Peace and War   finally gets to run on the grass in the U S of A following 8 straight dirt races which included a win and a 3rd in Grade 1 races.......showed life in both grass races in GB including a race at Ascot where she beat 15 of 20 foes at 25 to 1.....should be a price and a price for a world-class trainer

 

race 9   average clarity

7  True Brilliance   solid 2nd in MSW debut way back in May both fig wise and who he was up against.......very impressive work regiment........Diodoro is very dangerous off of long layoffs

5  Lost Dutchman   works for this O'Neill first time starter haven gotten progressively better hinting he is peaking at the right time....as in right before his debut........rather sure is is ready and ready with plenty of ability

10  Demonslayer   bet hard to favorite in his MSW debut (albeit in only a 4 horse field) but only ran so so.......blinkers off today and Bejarano sticks around.....deserves another shot ?

1  Etailor

3  Woodie B Awesome

12  Jerry 'n Ward

 

 

Posted on December 27, 2015 at 11:03 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections