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Santa Anita for Sunday 3 January 2016

Seems like a decent card to make a rebound of sorts following a tough day at the office yesterday.

Best of luck as always!

 

race 1    average clarity

5  Paschalitsa   nice forward move in 2nd lifetime start.......solid fig at today's level........trainer has been in a funk as has the rider.......hopefully this is a drop to jump-start things for the Sadler barn and not another horse that has slipped some

2  Casino Fever   another chilly trainer in Baffert.......both lifetime MSW races fit fine at today's MC 50K level for Cal-breds

7  Herunbridledpower   can't recall very many runners that didn't fire the last couple of months when Miyadi and Gonzo teamed up.......works are decent and the trainer often wins with soft drills with his 1st time starters

1  Papa's Magic

 

race 2    average clarity

7  Take It Easyplease   in good form.....handles SA......stout rider/trainer combo......won her only time she competed at 7F only to get DQ'ed to 4th........plenty of positives

4  Alwazaabridemaid   drops into an easier level and shows a reassuring near bullet 4F work  last week......Hollendorfer likely will pull out all stops with this filly today as she is likely to get snatched up at the claiming box

3  Altaira   has had some tough trips about half of the time but she fits if she manages a clean journey this afternoon......it seems noteworthy that she has been much better trip wise breaking from the 1 and 2 posts.......3 post will do

2  Revenue Virginius

 

race 3   average clarity

1  Mr. Opportunist   work tab for this Sadler 1st starter signals he is meant and ready to roll.......does have to deal with a difficult post for a debuting youngster

3  One More Orman   another 1st timer training like he is ready as well.......would have put him as our top selection if he wasn't for a trainer scratch at Lrc in a MSW race on Dec 20th.....as it seemed like a good spot that day

6  One More Round   this 1ster is seemingly working the best of anyone in this affair but gets rated as our 3rd choice only because the jock has struggled big time since arriving in the U S of A

4  Alaskan Cruise

 

race 4    average clarity

(AE 14 Heat   has a shot if draws into the field)

3  Vow to Be Tops   showed some life in 2nd lifetime start in a race down the hill way back in May.....been off since but working sharply and as a 1st time gelding........Glatt is stellar getting laid up sprinters to fire strong efforts......seems dangerous especially in a suspect group

4  At Ease   displays plenty of run on the grass in two turn races but he seems to find trouble......maybe a one turn turf race will make him at ease and produce a clean trip......might be a ton here if it does

5  Diablo Caballero   seems at his best running at 6 1/2 furlongs on the turf or the dirt......so so race in last but has a history of rebounding off of dull efforts

6  Ace Deuce

 

race 5   average clarity

7  Street Vision   by far has done his best running at Santa Anita and with Bejarano aboard......gets both today and 6 1/2F which accounted for his lone lifetime win the only time he ran at the distance

1  I Will Score   crushed in his lone lifetime start albeit versus a weak field at Lrc.....but Smith was in the saddle for just a few at the Lrc meeting so he likely really liked what he saw in this Hollendorfer colt....away since Sept but working as if he returns in top shape

3  Frac Candy   won by 6 1/4L and then 5 1/2L in his only 2 sprints with the blinkers on albeit versus softer.......so so going a route in his latest but that route should bluid up his endurance.......not out of this if I am correct in my assessment

2  Rockin Bayou

 

race 6    average clarity

9  Rockantharos    very solid duel both in pace and final time.....and since th race she fired her most impressive 5F work to date......same as last fits......more would be icing on the cake......one concern: sprints posts 9 thru 14 are 0 for 30 to start the meeting

4  Dreamy Art   last two race are OK but she has yet to live up to her strong MSW debut 3 back (run on an off track) which was one strong effort and a very key race.......impressive 6F work 8 days ago at Slr hints she might be up for similar today .........unless of course she is an off track lover

7  Really Gem   Dominquez never is ready with 1st time starters yet this filly ran a solid 4th at 69 to 1.......trainer isn't bad with 2nd time starters.......seems more than likely to make a forward move this afternoon.......danger city

1  Faithfully

 

race 7   average clarity

11  Ageless   11 for 12 on the grass in the money with her lone miss in the 2014 B C turf sprint vs. the boys at SA where she only got beat by 3/4 of a length for the win at 36 to 1........regular rider Leparoux bothers to fly in......a strong indication she is feeling good

6  Shrinking Violet   won this race last year with today's rider up and Desormeaux sure gets the most out of this Wesley Ward mare

7  Velvet Mesquite   you don't see me worry too much about rider choices very often as there are many reasons why a given rider selects a mount....but Bejarano took this gal over some seeming sharp others.......and that hints she might bring her "A game" which would fit quite well here

8  Illuminate

Long-shot consideration:   2  My Year Is a Day    showed plenty of life in her last which at 5F was likely a little too short of a race for her.......very solid sprint races in France at about 6 or 7 furlongs......2nd out under D'Amato's tuteledge........seems dangerous at a big price

 

race 8    average clarity

1  Apollo Ten   race is loaded with speed setting things up nicely for this off pace runner......seems best at SA .....rider upgrade........0 for 10 at the distance but has a shot at changing that here

5  Gutsy Ruler   last 4 of 5 sprint dirt races fit......and T C Baze can sit pretty .....as in an advantages mid pack position behind what seems likely to be a strong pace

6  W. Giles    speed of the speed seems to appreciate getting in light and sure does today.......he has held together a few times in the past despite having to set some brutal fractions to open up a lead

4  Real Big Deal

 

race 9    average clarity

2  Image of Joplin   one mile appears to be his favorite turf distance......as does the turf at SA........believe he will get the lead over the other speed in the 5 horse who successfully took back a little and won two back.........and this gelding showed some strong early speed crushing the field two races back with the same 114 lbs on his back (bug boy Kennedy) as he carries today

10  Hobbits Hero   both races since the red-hot Baltas claimed fit well here.....tough outer-most post but the right jock uo to overcome it.....rather sure fires a strong race....if so....it comes down to getting over by turn 1 in the 2 path or better

7  Tattenham   last at Dmr was quite good 1st out after the Hess claim at Belmont......and today we get a rider upgrade and it is to the trainer's "go to" guy.....fits fine here

1  Husband's Folly

6  Tiz Dynamic

5  Lovenseek

 

Posted on January 3, 2016 at 10:59 am by richs · Permalink
In: Free Information, Selections